• Title/Summary/Keyword: 동태적 산업연관 모형

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The Propagation Effects on the National Economy induced by u-City Construction: I-O Analysis (u-City 구축에 따른 생산 파급효과 추정)

  • Kim, Pang-Ryong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2007.06a
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    • pp.139-142
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    • 2007
  • 본 연구는 RAS 계수법과 동태적 산업연관 모형을 동시에 적용하여 u-City 구축의 경제적 파급효과를 분석하였다는 점에서 통상적인 산업연관분석과 차별성을 지닌다. 한국은행이 가장 최근 발표한 산업연관표는 2000년도 자료이다. 본 연구는 RAS 계수법으로 알려져 있는 예측기법을 이용하여 2000년 산업연관표를 2010년 표로 연장시켜 u-City 산업의 경제적 파급효과를 분석한다. 한편 산업연관분석에 통상적으로 사용되고 있는 모형은 정태적 분석모형인 기본 산업연관 모형이지만, 본 연구에서는 동태적 산업연관 모형을 적용하여 u-City 산업의 경제적 파급효과를 동태적으로 분석하였다. u-City 구축에 따른 총 생산파급효과는 약 3.3배로 추정되었으며, u-City 산업은 전방연쇄효과는 매우 높지만 후방연쇄효과는 그다지 높지 않은 것으로 나타났다.

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The Propagation Effects on the Regional Economy Induced by U-City Construction in Wha-sung and Dong-tan City (U-City 구축에 따른 지역경제 파급효과 - 화성.동탄지역을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Pang-Ryong;Cho, Byung-Sun;Jeong, Woo-Soo
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.31 no.12B
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    • pp.1087-1098
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    • 2006
  • This study is unlike common Input-Output Analysis in the point that both RAS and methods are applied to the dynamic Input-Output Model simultaneously. We have analyzed the propagation effects on the regional economy from the investment generated by u-City construction in Wha-sung and Dong-tan City. The main results of the study are as follows. The total induced effect on production according to u-City construction in Wha-sung and Dong-tan City is estimated about 2.9 times. On the other hand, u-City industry is appreciated as a industry which a forward linkage effect is very high while a backward linkage effect is not that high.

Dynamic Changes of Urban Spatial Structure in Seoul: Focusing on a Relative Office Price Gradient (오피스 가격경사계수를 이용한 서울시 도시공간구조 변화 분석)

  • Ryu, Kang Min;Song, Ki Wook
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.11-26
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    • 2021
  • With the increasing demand for office space, there have been questions on how office rent distribution produces a change in the urban spatial structure in Seoul. The purpose of this paper is to investigate a relative price gradient and to present a time-series model that can quantitatively explain the dynamic changes in the urban spatial structure. The analysis was dealt with office rent above 3,306 m2 for the past 10 years from 1Q 2010 to 4Q 2019 within Seoul. A modified repeat sales model was employed. The main findings are briefly summarized as follows. First, according to the estimates of the office price gradient in the three major urban centers of Seoul, the CBD remained at a certain level with little change, while those in the GBD and the YBD continued to increase. This result reveals that the urban form of Seoul has shifted from monocentric to polycentric. This shows that the spatial distribution of companies has gradually accelerated decentralized concentration implying that the business networks have become significant. Second, contrary to small and medium-sized office buildings that have undertaken no change in the gradient, large office buildings have seen an increase in the gradient. The relative price gradients in small and medium-sized buildings were inversely proportional among the CBD, the GBD, and the YBD, implying their heterogeneous submarkets by office rent movements. Presumably, those differences in the submarkets were attributed to investment attraction, industrial competition, and the credit and preference of tenants. The findings are consistent with the hierarchical system identified in the Seoul 2030 Plan as well as the literature about Seoul's urban form. This research claims that the proposed method, based on the modified repeat sales model, is useful in understanding temporal dynamic changes. Moreover, the findings can provide implications for urban growth strategies under rapidly changing market conditions.

A Study on the Validity of Technology Innovation Aid Programs for IT Small and Medium-sized Enterprises: Focusing on the Dynamic Characteristics and Relationship (IT중소기업 기술혁신 지원사업의 타당성 연구: 동태적 특성 및 연관성을 중심으로)

  • Park, Sung-Min;Kim, Heon;Sul, Won-Sik
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.33 no.10B
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    • pp.946-961
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    • 2008
  • This study aims to provide guidelines on future policy for restructuring the scheme of aid programs associated with If small and medium-sized enterprises (i.e. SME) in Korea. For this purpose, we investigate an empirical dataset of recent aid programs deployed by Ministry of Information and Communication (i.e. MIC) for the last four years First, it is examined that the programs are practiced in accordance with their own policy objective by comparing matching samples between two groups such as program beneficiary and non-beneficiary companies. Second, positioning transition of programs within a same category is visualized in terms of two business portfolio analysis matrices. Third, an affiliation network matrix of (he programs is newly developed and then we attempt to analyze the programs relationship by the application of multidimensional scaling method to the affiliation network matrix. The empirical dataset is composed of two different kinds of corporate datasets. One is a corporate dataset of 8,994 beneficiary companies that are aided by MIC during the year of '03-'06. The other is also a corporate dataset of 18,354 non-beneficiary companies that have no records of the program supports during the years at all. Particularly, the matching samples of non-beneficiary companies are prepared in order to have comparable corporate age years (i.e. CAY) against beneficiary companies' CAY. Results show that; 1) up-to-date, the programs are properly assigned to IT SME conforming to their own policy objective; 2) however, as the year goes on, the following two distinct positioning transitions are revealed such as (1) both CAY and corporate sales (i.e. SAL) are increased simultaneously, (2) ratio of intangible assets (i.e. RIA) is decreased and ratio of operating gain to revenue (i.e. ROR) is increased. Hence, the role of the programs gets weakened with regard to providing seed money to technology innovation-typed IT SME so that a managerial adjustment of the programs is required consequently; 3) even though the model adequacy is not satisfactory through the analysis of multidimensional scaling method, the relationship of indirect-typed programs can relatively be stronger than that of direct-typed programs.