• Title/Summary/Keyword: 돌발지수

Search Result 28, Processing Time 0.02 seconds

An Analysis of Decision-Making in Extreme Weather using an ABM Approach Application of Mode Choice in Heavy Rain & Heavy Snow (극한기후 시 의사결정 변화를 고려한 ABM 연구 - 폭우.폭설 시 교통수단 선택을 사례로 -)

  • Na, Yu-Gyung;Lee, Seung-Ho;Joh, Chang-Hyeon
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.15 no.2
    • /
    • pp.304-313
    • /
    • 2012
  • Uncertainty increases as a result of environment change and change of individual decision-making in extreme weather. This study consider individual decision-making which has been not covered until now. The purpose of this study is making Agent-Based Model to predict it more accurate that how much change travel demand in heavy rain and heavy snow. Through this model, it can be utilized to forecast travel demand, changes in travel behavior and traffic patterns. It will be also possible to predict discomfort index and risk of accidents.

  • PDF

Development of Performance Evaluation Model for Members of Floodgate for River Structure Life-Cycle Management (하천 시설물 생애주기 관리를 위한 수문 부재별 성능평가모델 개발)

  • Kim, Jin-Guk;Kim, Boram;Kim, Sooyoung;Kim, Hyung-Jun;Yoon, Kwang Seok
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2021.06a
    • /
    • pp.475-475
    • /
    • 2021
  • 전 세계적으로 기후변화에 따른 예측하기 어려운 국지성호우의 발생빈도가 증가하고 있으며, 수반되는 돌발홍수를 사전에 대비하기 위해 하천운영의 중요성이 강조되고 있다. 일반적인 하천 시설물 점검 및 보수 계획 수립 시, 시설물의 중요도나 하천의 현황 보다는 행정적인 편의성을 고려하여 구간에 따른 육안 점검 등을 통해 일률적으로 수행되고 있다. 그러나 현재 우리나라의 하천 시설물 중 약 40% 이상이 준공연수가 30년을 초과한 것으로 파악되고 있으며, 노후화된 하천 시설물의 정확한 상태평가에 따른 보수보강 계획수립이 필요한 실정이다. 이를 위해서는 하천 시설물 관리에 있어 다양한 문제점과 관련된 자료를 수집하여 DB화하고, 모델링 및 정밀검사 등을 통해 다양한 각도에서 분석되어야 한다. 본 연구에서는 시설물통합정보관리시스템(Facilty Management System; FMS)에서 제공하는 하천 시설물 관리대장 중 테스트베드에 위치한 수문의 개별부재에 대한 상태 평가지수를 활용하여 시설물의 생애주기를 통합적으로 고려할 수 있는 성능평가모델을 제안하였다. 본 연구에서 제안된 성능평가모델은 하천 시설물의 합리적인 관리체계를 통해 분석된 결과로부터 시설관리자가 하천 관리 및 계획수립에 있어 의사결정을 할 수 있도록 정보를 제공하는 지원 도구로 활용 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

  • PDF

A Study on the Contents for Operation of Tunnel Management Systems Using a View Synthesis Technology (영상정합 기술을 활용한 터널관리시스템의 운영 효율성 제고를 위한 콘텐츠 연구)

  • Roh, Chang-gyun;Park, Bum-Jin;Kim, Jisoo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.16 no.6
    • /
    • pp.507-515
    • /
    • 2016
  • In South Korea, there are a large number of tunnels because of the mountainous terrain, and to overcome this characteristics, lengths of tunnels are more longer than existing tunnels. The need to improvement current tunnel management contents is giving rise for accidents in tunnel section is continuously increased although lots of efforts to reduce the accidents. Conventionally, disaster prevention have been focused on the Tunnel Management Systems, tunnel operators generally tend to depend on CCTV images for most contents of detailed traffic flow managing. In this paper, investigation about current Tunnel Management Systems contents using IPA survey was conducted, and Priority Improvement Contents(Accident Situation Management Support, 2nd Accident Management Support, Traffic Flow Monitoring), which importance are high, but satisfaction are low, are deducted. Also, CCTV images, lack intuitive understanding, are judged as a main cause of low satisfaction of those contents. To overcome those limitations of the existing Tunnel Management Systems, this study sought to develop a technology for the synthesis of road images to derive traffic information from synthesis images, and the contents improvement stragegy is established. Tunnel operators-oriented satisfaction survey on new contents was carried out, and scored 4.2 on a 5-point scale. This has confirmed that the availability of new contents and at this stage, with pushing ahead of long-tunnels and undersea tunnels construction, politic applications are expected.

동지나해의 초음파 산란층에 관한 연구 ( 1 ) ( Acoustic Scattering Layers in the East China Sea ( 1 ) )

  • Lee, Dae-Jae;Shin, Hyeong-Il;Park, Jung-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
    • /
    • v.26 no.1
    • /
    • pp.14-19
    • /
    • 1990
  • This paper describes on the characteristics of the acoustic echoes from the scattering layers by the aggregation of marine organisms which was measured by using a 50kHz echo sounder on board of the training ship SAEBADA belong to National Fisheries University of Pusan during the summer, 1989 in the East China Sea. A data acquisition system was used to record digitally the envelope of the echoes and the frequency distribution of echo amplitudes on the whole water column was examined as a function of time during the sunrise and sunset periods. Acoustic data showed that the abundance distribution of marine organisms according to depth in the servery area changed with time and that the organisms were most active during the twilight of morning, and the echo strength on the water column or scattering layer was also strongest during this time. Additional results of this survey suggest that other interest, such as the relationship between environmental conditions and biomass depth distribution, could be also investigated in hydroacoustic method.

  • PDF

An Assessment of Flooding Risk Using Flash Flood Index in North Korea - Focus on Imjin Basin - (돌발홍수 지수를 이용한 북한 홍수 위험도 평가 - 임진강 유역을 중심으로 -)

  • Kwak, Chang Jae;Choi, Woo Jung;Cho, Jae Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.48 no.12
    • /
    • pp.1037-1049
    • /
    • 2015
  • The most of natural disasters that occur in North Korea are flood, typhoon and damage from heavy rain. The damage caused by those disasters since the mid-1990s is aggravating North Korea's economic difficulties every year. By recognizing the seriousness of the damages from the floods, the North Korean government has carried out the river maintenance, farmland restoration, land readjustment and afforestation projects since the last-1990s, but it has failed preventing the damages. In order to estimate the degree of flood risk regarding damage from chronic floods that occur inveterately in North Korea, this research conducted an additional simulation for rainfall-runoff analysis to reflect the characteristics of the ungauged area that make foreign countries hard to obtain the hydrological data and do not open the topographical data to public. In addition, this research estimates the degree of flood risk by selecting the factors of the hazard, exposure and vulnerability by following the standards of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

Regional Frequency Analysis for Rainfall Under Climate Change (기후변화를 고려한 일강우량의 지역빈도해석)

  • Song, Chang Woo;Kim, Yon Soo;Kang, Na Rae;Lee, Dong Ryul;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
    • /
    • v.15 no.1
    • /
    • pp.125-137
    • /
    • 2013
  • Global warming and climate change have influence on abnormal weather pattern and the rainstorm has a localized and intensive tendency in Korea. IPCC(2007) also reported the rainstorm and typhoon will be more and more stronger due to temperature increase during the 21st century. Flood Estimation Handbook(Institute of Hydrology, 1999) published in United Kingdom, in the case that the data period is shorter than return period, recommends the regional frequency analysis rather than point frequency analysis. This study uses Regional Climate Model(RCM) of Korea Meteorological Administration(KMA) for obtaining the rainfall and for performing the regional frequency analysis. We used the rainfall data from 58 stations managed by KMA and used L-moment algorithm suggested by Hosking and wallis(1993) for the regional frequency analysis considering the climate change. As the results, in most stations, the rainfall amounts in frequencies have an increasing tendency except for some stations. According to the A1B scenario, design rainfall is increased by 7~10% compared with the reference period(1970-2010).

An Evaluation of Extreme Precipitation based on Local Downpour using Empirical Simulation Technique (Empirical Simulation Technique 기법을 이용한 집중호우의 극한강우 평가)

  • Oh, Tae-Suk;Moon, Young-Il
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.29 no.2B
    • /
    • pp.141-153
    • /
    • 2009
  • The occurrence causes of the extreme rainfall to happen in Korea can be distinguished with the typhoons and local downpours. The typhoon events attacked irregularly to induce the heavy rainfall, and the local downpour events mean a seasonal rain front and a local rainfall. Almost every year, the typhoons and local downpours that induced a heavy precipitation be generated extreme disasters like a flooding. Consequently, in this research, There were distinguished the causes of heavy rainfall events with the typhoons and the local downpours at Korea. Also, probability precipitation was computed according to the causes of the local downpour events. An evaluation of local downpours can be used for analysis of heavy rainfall event in short period like a flash flood. The methods of calculation of probability precipitation used the parametric frequency analysis and the Empirical Simulation Technique (EST). The correlation analysis was computed between annual maximum precipitation by local downpour events and sea surface temperature, moisture index for composition of input vectors. At the results of correlation analysis, there were revealed that the relations closely between annual maximum precipitation and sea surface temperature. Also, probability precipitation using EST are bigger than probability precipitation of frequency analysis on west-middle areas in Korea. Therefore, region of west-middle in Korea should prepare the extreme precipitation by local downpour events.

Autonomic Neuropathy in Adolescents with Diabetes Mellitus (청소년기 당뇨병 환자의 자율신경계 합병증에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Eun-Gyong;Ahn, Sun-Young;Kim, Duk Hee
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
    • /
    • v.46 no.6
    • /
    • pp.585-590
    • /
    • 2003
  • Purpose : This study is designed to determine the prevalence of cardiovascular autonomic neuropathy and its relationship to risk factors in adolescents with diabetes mellitus(DM). Methods : Ninety-two diabetic patients(80 with type 1 DM and 12 with type 2 DM), ranging from eight to 26 years of age, were studied for cardiovascular autonomic function, and the relationship to age, duration of diabetes, glycated hemoglobin(HbA1c), urinary albumin excretion, and the presence of diabetic retinopathy and abnormal nerve conduction velocities(NCV) were analysed. Autonomic function was assessed by measuring heart rate variation during valsalva manoeuvre, deep breathing and standing from a lying position(30 : 15 ratio), and postural hypotension. Results : Among patients with type 1 DM, 22.5% had early, 8.7% had definite, and 1.3% had severe autonomic dysfunction, and among patients with type 2 DM, 16.7% had early, 8.3% had definite, and 8.3% had severe autonomic dysfunction. On logistic regression analysis including both type 1 and type 2 diabetic patients, the age of the patient(OR=1.133(1.003-1.279), P<0.05) and duration of diabetes(OR=1.148(1.009-1.307), P<0.05) significantly predicted cardiovascular autonomic dysfunction while HbA1c, blood pressure, urinary albumin excretion, and presence of diabetic retinopathy and abnormal NCV did not. The valsalva ratio was borderline or abnormal in 31.5% of patients, the heart rate variation on deep breathing in 41.3%, the 30 : 15 ratio in 14.1%, and postural hypotension in 9.8% of patients. The valsalva ratio and the heart rate variation on deep breathing significantly predicted cardiovascular autonomic dysfunction, but the 30 : 15 ratio and postural hypotension did not. Conclusion : Cardiovascular autonomic dysfunction was found in 32.6% of diabetic patients and 10.8 % of patients had definite or severe involvement. The risk of cardiovascular autonomic dysfunction increased with the patient's age and the duration of DM. This study suggests that the valsalva ratio and the heart rate variation on deep breathing are the most useful tests in evaluating the cardiovascular autonomic function in children and adolescents with DM.