• Title/Summary/Keyword: 델파이분석

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Identifying Problems and Suggesting Improvements for the Scuba Rescue Curriculum Using the Delphi Method (델파이 기법을 활용한 스쿠버 레스큐 교육과정의 문제점 및 개선방안)

  • Dong-Il Han;Jae-Yong Jang;Geun Lee;Dae-Geon Yoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.28 no.7
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    • pp.1179-1190
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study was to identify, analyze and address problems in the current scuba diving rescue curriculum in Korea by using the Delphi method to collect expert opinions on the topic. This expert information can form a data-based foundation for the scuba diving rescue curriculum, allowing teaching to be conducted more professionally and systematically, and allowing participants to enjoy scuba diving with greater safety and confidence. In this study, eight experts, all involved in developing the scuba rescue curriculum, were selected, and the research was conducted with informed consent from all participants and in accordance with all related ethical rules. Improvement measures were identified for scuba rescue leaders, teaching programs and training facilities. The study revealed that to improve leadership, a system to verify the leader's ability should be developed and that, in general, the ability of scuba rescue leaders should be strengthened. To improve teaching programs, each scuba organization should produce updated program manuals, prepare evaluation standards, and develop programs that employ a wide variety of training equipment. Finally, in terms of facilities, improvements should be made by constructing artificial wave devices at training centers.

A Study on the Development of Educational Subjects for Nurturing Autonomous Ship Officers Using Delphi Survey (델파이 조사를 활용한 자율운항선 해기사 양성을 위한 교과목 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Son, Jang-Yun;Shin, Yong-John
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.33-46
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    • 2023
  • The Autonomous ships are equipped with a function to judge and navigate the sea conditions on their own, so the job of the ship officer who operates it changes. The educational curriculum to nurture ship officer with the ability to operate and manage autonomous ships must also be changed. This study aimed to develop the curriculum for training autonomous ship officer by using the Delphi survey method suitable for predicting the uncertain future. Among the current 61 subjects for training ship officer identified in the Delphi survey, 32 subjects with high importance should be maintained in the training for autonomous ship officer, and subjects with low importance should be abolished or integrated into other subjects. These subjects were collectively referred to as 'general courses'. The expert panel of the Delphi survey suggested 42 items as new subjects, with 18 items of 'high', 14 items of 'middle', and 10 items of 'low'. Through in-depth analysis of these items by experts, 27 subjects were adjusted and three courses were proposed : 1)'Basic course(10 courses)' for developing basic capabilities such as basic theories for understanding advanced technology and information applied to autonomous ships, 2)'Job course(10 courses)' for practical competency directly related to autonomous ship operation, 3)'Intensive course(7 subjects)' for fostering land remote operators of autonomous ships. Since the introduction and spread of autonomous ships will progress rapidly, research to develop and supplement autonomous ship pilot training courses should be continued by reflecting the level of autonomous navigation of autonomous ships.

Problems and Improvement Measures for Survival Swimming Education as a University Liberal Arts Course for Water Safety Using Delphi Method (델파이 기법을 활용한 수상안전을 위한 대학 교양으로서 생존수영 교육의 문제점 및 개선방안 모색)

  • Myung-Chul Lee;Kyung-Hun Han;Dong-Il Han
    • Journal of the Korean Applied Science and Technology
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.260-272
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    • 2024
  • This study utilized the Delphi technique to derive results by gathering opinions from experts, analyzing the problems in university survival swimming education, and seeking improvement methods. The conclusions of this study revealed several issues in university survival swimming education. From the perspective of instructors, the lack of expertise and certification in survival swimming was identified as a problem. From a program standpoint, discrepancies between educational content and real-world applications led to decreased practicality. Regarding facilities, the absence of swimming pools within universities was highlighted as a major issue. Proposed solutions included mandatory completion of instructor certification courses to address instructor-related issues. For program improvements, conducting education in environments similar to real-world scenarios was suggested. In terms of facilities, there was a call for expanding swimming facilities within universities. It is anticipated that addressing the identified problems and implementing proposed solutions will lead to more systematic and professional education. Furthermore, it is believed that addressing changeability and hopefulness, and continuously improving based on them, will positively impact the establishment of societal safety consciousness and, ultimately, enhance awareness of water safety.

Classification of Environmental Industry and Technology Competitiveness Evaluation (환경산업기술 분류체계 및 기술 경쟁력 평가)

  • Han, Daegun;Bae, Young Hye;Kim, Tae-Yong;Jung, Jaewon;Lee, Choongke;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.245-256
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the technological competitiveness of the environmental industry with developed countries in order to establish an international market expansion strategy of the Korean environmental industry and technology. In order to evaluate the competitiveness of the environmental industry and technology, core technologies were classified by the environmental industry sectors based on the classification system of the domestic and international environmental industry and technology. After developing the evaluation index data, the Delphi analysis, journal and patent analysis, as well as the export and import analysis were carried out and the standardization analysis was performed on the index data. Moreover, the weights of each evaluation index were calculated using the AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) method and the evaluation results of competitiveness of the environmental industry and technology in Korea, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and France were derived. As a result of the evaluation, the United States was rated with the highest technological competitiveness in all the environmental industry sectors, while Korea got the lowest technological competitiveness rating compared to the 4 developed countries. In particular, Korea got the lowest level of technological competitiveness in the sector of multi-media environmental management and development for a sustainable social system. Therefore, in order for the Korean environmental industry and technology to enter the global advanced market, it is necessary to strengthen the competitiveness through the development of the fourth environmental industry based on IoT(Internet of Things), cloud, big data, mobile, and AI(Artificial Intelligence), which are currently the country's domestic strengths.

Development of Analysis Model for R&D Environment Change in Search of the Weak Signal (Weak Signal 탐색을 위한 연구개발 환경변화 분석모델 개발)

  • Hong, Sung-Wha;Kim, You-Eil;Bae, Kuk-Jin;Park, Young-Wook;Park, Jong-Kyu
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.189-211
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    • 2009
  • The importance of searching the weak signal has been increasingly recognized to cope with rapidly changing circumstances as an environmental analysis technique. This study proposed the NEST process for the searching for the weak signal. The NEST (New & Emerging Signals of Trends) is a micro environmental analysis process based on both quantitative and qualitative method. For this, the weak signal Searching Board is developed and traditional methods as global monitoring, trend analysis, brainstorming and delphi method are implemented to NEST. The NEST process is consists of three stage modules; the global monitoring stage in search of seeds information related to the environmental change, the weak signal analysis stage using the weak signal Tracking Board, and the delphi valuation stage for objectifying the final result. The NEST provides the weak signal of the promising technology which can bring new paradigm and the Up-Coming Trends which can lead new trend in the future. These outputs can be used to select promising technology from firm level to national level. The NEST system can be effectively operated as well as in small group so that small and medium innovative firms can develop and execute their own NEST process individually.

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Development of Construction Manager's Competency Evaluation Index Using Sports Analysis Techniques - Focused on Notational Analysis - (스포츠 분석 기법을 활용한 건설관리자 역량 평가지표 개발 - 부호화 분석을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Jinsol;Park, Moonseo;Lee, Hyeon-soo;Cho, Jongwoo;Yoon, Inseok
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.34-45
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    • 2019
  • To drive construction project successful, a construction manager with good competency is needed. In order to select appropriate construction manager, there should be a standard and a method for appropriately evaluating the competency of construction manager. There have been many researches on the competency of construction managers, but there are two points to be supplemented. One is that construction manager's competency measurement was not concrete and objective, and the other is that construction project performance directly reflects individual manager's performance. The purpose of this study is to derive a construction manager competency evaluation index by using the Notational Analysis technique that is used when deriving an indicator that measures the athlete's competency in sports. This analysis was drawn with Delphi method. Finally, the 'measurable behaviors'were derived that can evaluate the competency of construction managers. Through this, it is possible to express each manager's expertise, leadership, and personal characteristics in numerical expression. This will help decision makers when selecting construction managers. It is anticipated that decision makers will be able to make the decision to select the necessary construction managers easier because it can evaluate the construction managers through a scientific approach based on the record by supplementing the existing method which only relied on intuition.

Analysis of Priority Factors and Relative Importance about the Components of Rehabilitation Physical Activity Program (재활체육프로그램 구성요인의 상대적 중요도 및 우선순위 분석)

  • Lee, Dong-Chul
    • 재활복지
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.177-201
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to develop systematical components and implementation of rehabilitation physical activity by analyzing the relative importance among each factor. To achieve the purpose of this study, 20 participants were selected, and they consisted of instructors and adapted physical activity teachers and professional who have experiences in institutes and hospital where have operate program related to rehabilitation physical activity and adapted physical activity program. Delphi technique was conducted for three times by the participants. For the decision of priorities about improvement factors, AHP was performed. The results were as follows. As the result of this study, the factors of the rehabilitation physical activity consisted of six type of exercise; fitness, psychological exercise, aquatic exercise, sense & perception exercise, ambulatory exercise, and motor skills. Also, 21 sub-factors were also extracted. The result from analyzing the priorities of factors was fitness 33.2%, aquatic exercise 20.6%, psychological exercise 16.3%, sense & perception exercise 11.7%, ambulatory exercise 10.8% and motor skills 8.6%. Also, among results from the weighted state of priority factors, muscular strength and endurance were the most importance factor which had 23.4% weighting, and meditation was the least importance factor which had 0.5% weighting.

A Study on the Effect of Construction Safety and Health Management on the Post-management of Safety Inspection Evaluation (건설공사 안전 보건관리가 안전점검평가 사후관리에 미치는 영향관계)

  • Kim, Jin Tae;Shin, Yong Seung;Moon, Yu Mi
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.228-240
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    • 2022
  • A comprehensive safety management system will be required in accordance with the implementation of the Major Disaster Punishment Act for close-up safety management of construction sites. Safety management level evaluation management requires a comprehensive relationship between safety management under the Construction Technology Promotion Act and health and health management system under the Industrial Safety and Health Act. Purpose: Safety under the Serious Accidents Punishment Act. The ultimate goal is to study the comprehensive analysis and relationship of health management and to improve the safety evaluation level of health and health management. Methods: The feasibility of the questionnaire was confirmed through the second Delphi analysis of construction site experts and safety managers, and the regression coefficient and path analysis of potential variants in safety management, safety management, health management and safety inspection were confirmed. Result and Conclusion: In the structural model, the regression coefficient (89%) from safety management, health system, and safety management to safety inspection execution and lambda values of appropriate observation variables were confirmed. In the path analysis, the total effect (.809) was confirmed by mediating health hygiene in the relationship between health plan establishment adequacy and post-inspection management, and the path coefficient (.82) of temporary structure safety was confirmed.

ETRI Vision 2020 Future Strategies Methodology (ETRI 비전 2020 미래전략 고찰)

  • Ryu, Dong-Hyeon;Seo, Gyo-Ung;Ha, Won-Gyu;Hwang, Seong-Hyeon
    • Electronics and Telecommunications Trends
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.156-170
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    • 2008
  • 21세기 지식경제사회의 우위를 선점하기 위해 세계 선진국에서는 미래전략 연구에 대한 연구를 활발히 추진하고 있다. 반면에 우리나라의 경우 미래전략 연구에 소홀한 실정으로, 지난 2007년 한국전자통신연구원(ETRI)에서는 IT 기반 융합기술 시대를 대비함과 동시에 신성장 동력 발굴을 위한 비전연구를 진행하였다. 2012년과 2020년을 각 각 중기와 장기목표로 구분하고, '즐겁고, 편리하고, 안전한 인간중심 IT 비전'을 topdown 방식으로 설정하였다. 설정된 비전 달성을 위해 비전위원회를 구성하여 bottom-up 방식으로 메가 트렌드 분석, 델파이, 시나리오 기법, TRM 설계를 통하여 미래 전략을 수립하였다. 본 고는 국외에서 활발히 진행되고 있는 미래예측 및 기술예측 등 미래전략 연구 방법론과 사례에 대해 연구결과를 중심으로 정리하였다. 그리고, 이러한 미래전략 방법론을 ETRI 비전수립 과정과 접목한 사례 일부 결과를 고찰하였다. 본 고를 통해 아직 초보단계에 있는 국내 비전연구, 미래예측 및 전략수립에 대한 방향을 제시한다.

An Empirical Study of Selection of Cruise Terminals Location by Using HFP (계층퍼지분석법(HFP)을 이용한 크루즈 터미널 입지 선정에 관한 연구)

  • CHOI DO-SUEK;LEE SANG-HWA
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.19 no.4 s.65
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    • pp.56-65
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    • 2005
  • This study aims at selecting optimum locations for cruise terminal This study uses the HFP(Hierarchical Fuzzy Process) based on the fuzzy theory, which is known to be effective in evaluating a complicated system whose evaluation attribut are vague or overlapping with one another such as the elements in selecting cruise terminal location and in treating both qualitative and quantitative data.