• Title/Summary/Keyword: 대외경제

Search Result 453, Processing Time 0.026 seconds

Macroeconomic Effects of the Global Resource Crisis (글로벌 자원위기의 거시경제적 효과분석)

  • Song, Tae-Jung;Kim, Gi-Seung
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.8 no.10
    • /
    • pp.259-267
    • /
    • 2008
  • This research will examine the probabilities of future global resource crisis and what significance and effect will come upon our economy through the rise of the cost of resources. From now on, the lack of the supply of global resources will dull the world economic growth. Not only that, but the direction of each country's economic development will be decided by the appropriate measure to the resource crisis. If we are to sustain this inefficient industrial structure, as a country with high dependancy on foreign resources, Korea might face macroeconomic shock and the loss of industrial competitiveness. Therefore, we must increase the efficiency of the resource usage in the manufacturing industry such as the chemical and steel industry, and now is a period when we must add high value to our products. Henceforth, the structural constraints of supply will be the root cause of resource crisis. Thus, we must lead the subject of the economic agencies, such as companies and consumers, so that they will be able to adapt to a new paradigm called the fundamental lack of resources, rather than temporal crisis management. The Korean economy must adjust the environment for industry transformation to be achieved.

자본자유화(資本自由化)의 거시경제파급효과(巨視經濟波及效果) : 신고전파(新古典派) 성장모형(成長模型)을 중심으로

  • Jo, Dong-Cheol;Kim, In-Cheol
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
    • /
    • v.19 no.1
    • /
    • pp.3-50
    • /
    • 1997
  • 경제자유화(經濟自由化)와 규제완화(規制緩和)라는 세계적인 흐름과 함께 우리나라도 1992년 이후 자본시장(資本市場)을 점진적으로 개방(開放)하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 우선 몇몇 핵심 거시경제변수(巨視經濟變數)들의 상관관계(相關關係)가 자본거래의 자유화와 더불어 어떻게 변화할 것인가에 대한 이론적(理論的)인 배경(背景)을 설명하고 있다. 여기에서는 무엇보다도 자본자유화(資本自由化)와 더불어 나타나게 되는 실질환율체상(實質換率切上)및 경상수지적자(經常收支赤字)의 의미를 합리적인 경제주체들이 자원(資源)을 보다 효율적(效率的)으로 배분(配分)하고자 하는 노력의 결과로 나타나는 현상으로 파악하고 있다. 즉 자본시장의 개방은 상대적으로 높은 국내의 자본생산성 및 실질이자율을 향한 해외자본의 유입(자본수지(資本收支)의 흑자(黑字))을 초래하며, 대외부문의 항등식을 고려하는 한 이는 경상수지(經常收支)의 적자(赤字)로 연결된다. 또한 본 연구에서는 신고전파적(新古典派的) 장기모형(長期模型)과 케인즈적(的) 단기모형(短期模型)에 기초한 거시경제 모형을 구성하고 자본자유화(資本自由化)의 속도(速度), 환율(換率)및 통화정책(通貨政策)의 변화에 따른 거시경제의 동태적(動態的) 시간경로(時間經路)를 계량화하고자 노력하였다. 예를 들어 경상수지적자(經常收支赤字)의 폭은 자본자유화의 추진속도 및 거시정책에 의존할 것이나, 예상하지 못한 큰 충격이 도래하지 않는 경우 향후 2~3년간 GDP 대비 3% 내외에 이를 것으로 추정되며, 그 이후에는 실질이자율의 하락과 함께 적자폭도 축소될 것으로 나타나고 있다. 그리고 실질환율(實質換率)의 시간경로는 자본유입과 함께 지속적으로 절상될 수는 없으며 개방초기의 절상에 이어 점차 절하되는 추세에 놓이게 될 것이다. 자본시장의 개방에 따른 경상수지의 적자는 국내의 (실물)자본축적을 보다 용이하게 함으로써 실질이자율(實質利子率)을 하락(下落)시킬 것으로 기대되나 그 효과는 연 0.2%포인트 이내에 머무를 것으로 추정되었다. 아울러 자본자유화의 초기단계에 발생할 환율절상은 수출의 가격경쟁력을 약화시켜 단기적(短期的)으로 경기침체(景氣沈滯)를 유발할 수 있으나 중장기적(中長期的)으로 성장잠재력(成長潛在力)을 확충시킨다.

  • PDF

A Study on the Development of North Korea's Economic Development Zones through Development Cooperation between South and North Korea (남북 개발협력을 통한 북한 경제개발구 개발 연구)

  • Kwon, Ki Chul
    • Land and Housing Review
    • /
    • v.6 no.2
    • /
    • pp.49-60
    • /
    • 2015
  • North Korean leader Kim Jong Un decided to open 19 Economic Development Zones which are located in all over the country, as a new economic development strategy. The strategy is estimated for accepting change from socialistic planning economic system into socialistic market economic system gradually. South Korean government is busy preparing for reunification between South and North Korea. Recently, many forums and seminars for the issue, 'reunification' are held by public side as well as private sector. This study is focused on making practical strategy for developing 13 Economic Development Zones which were established in 2013 in concurrence with South and North Korea. The study assessed investment potential of the 13 zones in terms of locational, economic and legal competency from the investor's perspective of south koreans. 5 E.D.Zs, Songrim, Hyungdong, Heungnam, Chungjin, Waudo were chosen to be developed on the preferential basis. Development cooperation between South and North Korea on the 13 E.D.Zs will increase the income of north koreans in rural areas by creating jobs, contribute to boost North Korea's economic growth, and bring forward economic integration between South and North Korea.

An Evaluation of Korea's 20-Year ODA (한국의 공적개발원조 20년의 평가)

  • Lee, Kye Woo;Park, Gi Hoon
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
    • /
    • v.29 no.2
    • /
    • pp.41-74
    • /
    • 2007
  • This paper aims to assess the effectiveness of Korea's official development assistance (ODA) in terms of improvement in per capita gross domestic product (GDP) of aid recipients, and promotion of Korea's exports and outward foreign direct investments (FDI) to ODA recipients. The assessment has also been done for different groups of aid recipient countries divided by their regional location, income level, and economic freedom. For this purpose, this paper empirically tests the effectiveness of bilateral grants and loans for 163 aid recipient countries during the period of 1990 to 2003. Results show that ODA from Korea had not been able to explain the variations in aid recipient countries' growth in per capita GDP. Provision of aid promoted outward FDI to aid recipient countries during the entire period considered. With respect to exports, provision of aid had facilitated Korea's exports to aid recipient countries, except for the period of 2000~2003. On the basis of the findings, recommendations for future aid policy have been made.

  • PDF

Mega-Sporting Events from the Perspective of Russian Cultural Policy in the 21st Century (21세기 러시아 문화정책 차원에서 바라본 메가 스포츠이벤트)

  • Song, Jung Soo
    • Cross-Cultural Studies
    • /
    • v.43
    • /
    • pp.289-326
    • /
    • 2016
  • The strategy of "soft power" in the foreign and internal policies of modern Russia is one of the important factors in the implementation of public policies, and the influence of soft power is increasingly becoming stronger and gaining new forms and methods of implementation. The Russian government exerts efforts to form a positive image of Russia in the international arena, in order to strengthen the country's competitiveness, based on active use of "soft power." Currently, Russian cultural policy is developing in two main directions. In the internal policy sphere, the Russian government emphasizes national unity and civic solidarity, and fosters a sense of patriotism and national pride. In the sphere of foreign policy, the Russian government is attempting to regain its status as a great power and to create a new image of Russia that is different from that of the former Soviet Russia. In this article, we examine and analyze various aspects of the hidden political mechanisms involved in mega-sporting events, in particular the Sochi Olympics, from the viewpoint of Russian internal and foreign policy. We address the major functions of mega-sporting events and their influence in the political realm. The political impact of mega-sports projects can even compensate for economic losses incurred during the preparation and hosting of the Olympic games. In this respect, we can define mega-sporting events as one of the main components of soft power; such events reflect the basic directions of internal and foreign policy in post-Soviet Russia, which are to form and promote an image of Russia using national branding. In order to fairly and objectively analyze the recognition and perception held by Russians of the significance of mega-sporting events, in this work, we carefully studied the results of various surveys conducted by the Russian research organization VCIOM (Russian Public Opinion Research Center) before and after Russia hosted the Winter Olympic games in Sochi (2014) and the Summer Olympic games in Kazan (2013). Furthermore, on the basis of the ranking of national brands by Simon Anholt (Anholt Nation Brands Index - NBI), and on the basis of the ranking of 100 national brands conducted by the British consulting company "Brand Finance" (Brand Finance Nation Brands 100), we minutely trace the development and qualitative change in Russia's image and the role of the mega-sporting projects. This article also examines the Kremlin's internal and foreign policies that were successfully carried out in practical terms. This study contributes to the understanding of the value of mega-sporting events from the point of view of cultural policy of the current ruling party of Russia. This standpoint allows us to outline the main directions of Russian cultural policy and to suggest perspectives on the branding strategy of modern Russia, including strategies related to consolidating Russia's position in the international arena.

Analysis on Korea's Economic Volatility: Focusing on the Role of the Service Industry (우리나라 경기변동의 안정성 분석: 서비스산업의 역할을 중심으로)

  • LEE, Jaejoon
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
    • /
    • v.33 no.2
    • /
    • pp.1-39
    • /
    • 2011
  • This study discusses the phenomenon behind various forms of macroeconomic volatility faced by countries in terms of industrial structure through empirical analysis, and in the process attempts to validate the role of the service industry. The analysis shows that economic fluctuations in Korea have been significantly improved, mainly due to the country risk. However, Korea is still exposed to the impact of external shocks, which is attributable to the manufacturing-centered industrial structure. Under such industrial structure, it is inevitable for the Korean economy to be continuously exposed to macroeconomic fluctuations caused by global sectoral shocks. So, in order to alleviate business fluctuations, it is necessary to enhance the role of non-tradable sectors that account for most of the service industry.

  • PDF

창업보육센터 입주기업 마케팅 활성화 방안 연구

  • Jang, Seok-Ju;Yun, U-Gyu;Mun, Yeong-Sin
    • 한국벤처창업학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2008.04a
    • /
    • pp.253-301
    • /
    • 2008
  • 본연구는 우리나라의 창업보육센터가 태동기, 양적 기반 확충기를 거쳐 이제 질적인 성장을 고려해야 할 성숙기의 단계에 접어들고 있는 시점에서 중소 벤처기업의 가장 어려운 난관인 Marketing 취약점을 제도적으로 지원함으로써 BI 입주기업의 성공을 도와 지역경제를 회생시키고 나아가 국가경제의 부흥을 도모할 필요가 있어 BI입주기업들을 대상으로 설문조사하여 분석 하였으며, 그 결과를 토대로 해결방안을 모색하였다. 조사 분석 결과 BI입주기업은 기술력과 사업성은 우수하나, 대외 인지도 및 마케팅능력 부족 등으로 매출신장은 미흡한 실정이고, 일부 BI 입주업체를 위한 마케팅 교육, 전시회 참가 및 홈페이지 제작 등을 지원하고 있으나, 그 성과는 극히 미홉하며, 기존 중소기업을 위한 판로지원 시책은 그 지원규모가 영세하고 또한, 기업의 성장단계 면에서 볼 때 초기 단계에 있는 BI입주기업이 이들 시책을 활용하기에는 애로가 있다. 경영자원의 부족에 따른 판매성과 미흡, 이에 따른 신규 경영자원 확보 실패와 계속적 판매 부진의 악순환을 탈피하기 어려울 것으로 판단되어진다. 이에 해결방안으로는 BI 입주기업에 대한 마케팅 지원을 활성화하기 위해서는 BI 입주기업만을 대상으로 하는 사업과 예산의 확보가 절대 필요하며 이를 시행함에 있어서는 수요자인 BI 입주기업이 필요로하는 서비스에 최우선을 두면서 소요 예산을 감안하는 것이 필요하다. 지원대상에 있어서는 BI 입주기업 전체를 지원하는 것은 예상되는 사업 비용상 불가능하며 차등적 지원을 통해 성공모델을 육성하는 것이 필요하리라고 전망된다.

  • PDF

A Comparative and Idiographic Study on Kuwait Education (쿠웨이트 교육의 실태와 정체성에 대한 비교 연구)

  • Zhang, Can;Jeong, Kioh
    • Korean Journal of Comparative Education
    • /
    • v.26 no.3
    • /
    • pp.161-187
    • /
    • 2016
  • Kuwaitis faced with as serious problems with respect to quality and equity in education. The purpose of this thesis is to analyze the Kuwaiti education in the 21 century knowledge society. It has its own problems and limits in addition to future possibilities. Adopting comparative approaches and idiographic methodology together, investigators firstly examines the Kuwaiti education in terms of political, economic, educational, and international aspects. In addition, we investigators outlined Kuwaiti education in its cultural identity. Necessary measures and policy recommendations were drawn finally according to the analysis.

Implementation of Container Volume Prediction Technology using Deep Learning (딥러닝을 이용한 컨테이너 물동량 예측기술 구현)

  • Mi-Sum Kim;Ye-Ji Kim;Eun-Su Kim;Bo-Kyung Lee;Yu-Ri Han;Gyu-Young Lee
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
    • /
    • 2023.11a
    • /
    • pp.1094-1095
    • /
    • 2023
  • 우리나라는 지리적 여건 상 대외무역에 대한 의존도가 높기 때문에, 해상운송에서의 물동량을 예측하여 항만시설을 개발하는 것이 매우 중요하다. 한편 우리나라 컨테이너 운송의 75%는 부산항을 통해 운송되고 있기 때문에 경기 회복을 위해서는 부산항의 경쟁력 강화가 급선무이다. [1] 물동량은 경제적 수입 뿐만 아니라, 지속가능성을 예측하는 측면에서도 가치가 있다. 본 연구에서는 물동량, 경제지수, 기후정보 등 다양한 입력변수와 LSTM 모델을 이용하여 보다 정확한 부산항 컨테이너 물동량 딥러닝 예측모델을 구현하였다.

An Empirical Analysis on the Trade Policy and Its Effectiveness to International Reserves Implemented by Emerging Markets (신흥경제권에 있어서 통상정책과 외환보유고의 상관관계에 관한 실증분석)

  • Park, Suk-Gang;Park, Bok-Jae
    • International Commerce and Information Review
    • /
    • v.15 no.3
    • /
    • pp.41-62
    • /
    • 2013
  • This paper, the accumulation of foreign exchange reserves in the financial systems of emerging markets mid-to long-term impact on how investigated. The accumulation of foreign exchange reserves in emerging markets is a highly effective means to prevent the recurrence of another financial crisis as well as to minimizing risks of financial crisis. By examining the economic effects of excessive accumulation of foreign exchange reserves on factors such as foreign liabilities, domestic consumption, domestic investment and economic growth from a mid-to long-term perspective, it reduced domestic consumption, but on the other hand, led to the expansion of the trade-related industries based on increase of exports. Although China implements a policy to substantially increase domestic investment, other emerging market countries have stagnant domestic investment activities due to excessive accumulation of foreign exchange reserves. Such fact signifies that excessive accumulation of foreign exchange reserves increases potential risks by depressing the mid-to long-term economic growth through the scale down of trade-related industries.

  • PDF