• Title/Summary/Keyword: 다항로짓

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Identification on the Differentiating Characteristics of Determinant Factors on Commuting Mode Choice for the Single-Person Household Compared to the Multi-Person Household (다인 가구와의 비교를 통한 1인 가구의 통근수단 선택 결정요인의 차별적 특성의 파악)

  • Sung, Hyungun
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2020
  • The aim of this study is to empirically identify the differentiating characteristics of determinant factors on sing-person households' commuting mode choice compared to multi-person households' one in order to establish the customized police directions to decrease private car use in commuting. While the study use the 2% sample survey data on the population and housing in 2015, it employ multinomial logit models on relative choice probability of such alternative commuting modes as bus, subway or rail, and walking, rather than driving. As potential determinant factors, the study employs demographic, socio-economic, and housing and residential one for both models of single-person and multi-person households. The study finds that the behavior of commuting mode choice has distinctive difference by gender, marriage status, physical activity constraint, job type, residential period in current housing of the single-person household's workers compared to the multi-person households' ones. Based on the findings, the study deduce ten commuting policy directions customized for the single-person household.

Express Train Choice and Load Factor Analysis as Line Extension in Seoul Metro 9 (서울지하철 9호선 2단계 개통에 따른 급행열차 선택 및 혼잡도 변화분석)

  • Kim, Kyung Min;Oh, Suk Mun;Rho, Hag Lae
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.663-671
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    • 2016
  • This paper investigates how to change passengers' preferences for express trains according to line extension in Seoul Metro Line 9. Before-and-after line extension, we traced passengers' path choices using Smart Card data via the method suggested by Kim et al. (2015). We developed two multinomial logit models before-and-after line extension. Transferability test showed that there is no difference between the two models. However, the load factor of the express train increased by 6.7% and the gap between the local and express trains became significantly wider.

Comparison of Hydroelectronic Power with Other Power Source in terms of Environmental Cost (수력발전과 타 발전원과의 환경비용 추정 연구)

  • Choi, Hanju;Ryu, Mun-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.129-129
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    • 2015
  • 2011년 후쿠시마 원자력발전소 사고 이후, 발전원의 위험사고비용 및 환경피해비용에 대한 관심이 대두되고 있다. 전력은 생산과정 뿐만 아니라 발전소 건설, 발전소 운영, 송 배전을 통한 전력 공급, 폐기물처리 등의 각 과정에서 다양한 환경비용을 야기하고 있다. 따라서 발전원의 환경영향을 수용자적 입장에서의 평가할 필요가 있다. 본 연구에서는 컨조인트 분석법의 일종인 선택실험법을 적용하여 발전에 따른 환경영향 속성들에 대해 평가한 후, 발전원별로 상이한 속성 값에 속 성별 추정치를 반영하여 발전원별 환경비용을 수용자적 입장에서 추정하였다. 발전원부문이 환경에 미치는 영향에 대한 속성을 온실가스 배출, 건강피해, 지역피해, 온배수 배출로 선정하였고, 제시금액은 비교 대상 발전원들의 전력거래 단가 및 가구당 지출하는 월평균 전기요금수준을 기준으로하여 35,000원에서 75,000원까지의 총 다섯 가지 속성수준으로 구분하였다. 다항로짓모형을 적용하여 발전원별 각 환경영향에 대한 속성별 한계지불의사액 추정하고, 발전원간의 환경비용을 산정하였다. kWh 당 수력발전(0원/kWh) 대비 타 발전원의 추가 환경비용은 26원/kWh­832원/Wh로 환경적 영향 측면에서 국민수용성이 가장 높게 나타났다.

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Supply Chain-based Freight Distribution Channel Choice Model using Distribution Channel Analysis (유통경로분석을 통한 공급사슬기반의 화물유통경로선택모형 개발)

  • Go, Yeong-Seung;Park, Dong-Ju;Kim, Chan-Seong;Kim, Hyeon-Su;Park, Min-Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.133-146
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    • 2010
  • The objective of this study is to develop a supply chain-based freight distribution channel choice model considering shippers' logistics behaviors which will be used for freight demand estimation. For this purpose, this study utilized the distribution channel data of the petrochemical and automobile industries collected by KTDB center. The distribution channel choice models for these industries were developed by including transport mode, time, cost, and shipment size. It was found that the multinomial logit model with transport cost, time and shipment size is the best, and as shipment increases, bigger transport mode is preferred. Generally direct distribution channel with small truck was preferred over the one using distribution center and/or big truck.

Mode Choice Behavior Analysis of Commuter Feeder Passengers to Subway System (통근.통학자의 지하철 연계교통수단 선택행태분석)

  • 정헌영;김정주
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.69-82
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    • 2000
  • When new subway lines are considered to construct in a large city, there is a need to establish the appropriate transfer systems between subway and other transit modes, so as to increase the use of subway system. In this study, a multi-nominal logit model is developed to analyze the travel characteristics and the mode choice of subway Passengers transferring to and from the buses, minibuses and taxi. These passengers represent a large Portion of transit Passengers in Pusan city It shows that the explanatory variables that affect Passengers\` mode choice are in order of OVIT(Out-of-Vehicle Travel Time), IVTT(In-Vehicle Travel Time), transit fare,. income, gender, and age in modeling. In particular, OVTT is shown to have more significant impact on the mode choice than IYTT due to the fact that transfer trip is involved only in a short distance. Variables associated with the travel costs, however, do have an insignificant impact on the mode choice. It shows that it would be a better Policy to improve the quality of transit service using additional financial resource by increasing transit fare rather than by reducing the fare to increase travel demand. It also shows that value of travel time of OVTT is remarkably higher than that of IVTT and value of travel time of taxi Passengers is much higher than that of minibus Passengers .

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Youth Poverty and Employment (청년 빈곤 및 고용실태 분석)

  • Kim, Anna;Hong, Hyunwoo
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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    • v.49 no.2
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    • pp.93-124
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    • 2018
  • Using the Korean Survey of Household Finances and Living Conditions panel data from 2012~2016, this study analyzed youth (19~34 years) poverty and employment and examined the factors that affect employment status. The analysis revealed an increase in the proportion of young people who are students or jobless; the economic conditions of the young people varied by factors such as marital status, education, job status, and loans; and the government public transfer policy had little impact on reducing the relative poverty rate of the youth. We also examined the factors affecting the youth's employment status and the risk of being employed in low-paid jobs, using multi-logit and logit regression model respectively. Considering employment status, the older and more educated the youth were, the less frequently they were employed in temporary or daily jobs instead of regular ones, but there was no difference between genders in terms of having temporary or daily jobs. A logit analysis on the determinants of low-paid jobs demonstrated that women, the less educated, spouses or children of the household, and temporary or daily workers have a greater probability of working at low-paid jobs. As women became older, their risk of having low-paid jobs increased, which demonstrated the phenomenon of "lock-in" at low-paid jobs. Temporary or daily workers of all age groups faced a higher risk of lowpaid employment, which stood out for the youth. Based on these results, we suggest that government employment and welfare policies should consider individual characteristics of the youth and their life cycle, along with efforts to supply decent jobs, continuously and stably.

An Analysis on Consumer Preference for Attributes of Agricultural Box Scheme (농산물 꾸러미 속성별 소비자선호 분석)

  • Park, Jae-Dong;Kim, Tae-Kyun;Jang, Woo-Whan;Lim, Cheong-Ryong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.329-338
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    • 2019
  • In this study, we analyze consumer preferences based on the agricultural box scheme attributes, and make a suggestion for business revival. We estimate the marginal willingness to pay (MWTP) for box scheme attributes using a choice experiment. Attributes include the bundle method, the delivery method, and price. To select an efficient model for statistical analysis, we evaluate the conditional logit model, heteroscedastic extreme value model(HEV model), multinomial probit model, and mixed logit model under different assumptions. The results of these four models show that the bundle method, the delivery method, and price are statistically significant in explaining the probability of participation in a box scheme. The results of likelihood ratio tests show that the heteroscedastic extreme value model is the most appropriate for our survey data. The results also indicate that MWTP for a change from fixed type to selection type is KRW 7,096.6. MWTP for a change from parcel service to direct delivery and cold-chain delivery are KRW 3,497.5 and KRW 7,532.7, respectively. The results of this study may contribute to the government's local food policies.

The Choice of Self-Employment and Career Interruption Among Females (여성의 자영업 결정요인과 경력단절 가능성)

  • Sung, Jaimie
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.161-182
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    • 2002
  • The self-employment can provide work time flexibility. Work time flexibility would be a critical factor for married females' labor supply considering allocation of their time to market work and household work. This study used the 1998 and 2000 Korea Labor and Income Panel Survey for the empirical analyses. Applying the bivariate probit model with partial observability, this study analyzed factors related to the choice of participation in labor market and choice of self-employment. Also, this study examined the effects of marriage and the presence of younger children on changes in decisions related to labor supply using the multinomial logit model: exit from the labor market, increasing and decreasing work hours. The presence of the younger children showed a significantly negative effect on the participation in labor market while positive, but insignificant, effect on self-employment. Compared with females working for others, self-employers without employees and unpaid family workers are less likely to exit labor market rather than increasing work hours. The self-employment would be a good alternative to evade females' career interruption and therefore to enhance the potential human resources.

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Family, Self or State as a Desired Source of Support for the Elderly (노후부양의 바람직한 자원으로서의 가족, 자신 및 국가에 관한 한국 노인들의 태도)

  • 김정석;이가옥
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.197-220
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    • 1999
  • Family, Self or State as a Desired Source of Support for the Elderly As Korean society has undergone rapid socioeconomic transformation and reached the final stage of its demographic transition, the central emphasis of population policies in Korea has shifted from fertility and population control to aging issues. Recently, it has been advocated that the Korean government should provide more intensive public services to supplement self-care and family caregiving, heightening the need to know more about the norms and expectations of old-age support and how they will change. Using the Survey of the Living Status of the Korean Elderly in 1994, this study investigates the extent to which the Korean elderly themselves view family, self, or the state as desired sources of support. The multinomial log it model analysis reveals that the elderly without a son are less likely to emphasize the traditional view of family, while economically and physically better off elderly are more likely to favor the view of self-support. However, the idea that the emphasis on the 'state responsibility' may be found among those elderly who are in need of financial help and in poor health is not supported. The implications and suggestions for further research are discussed.

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A Mode Choice Model with Market Segmentation of Beneficiary Group of New Transit Facility (신교통수단 수혜자의 시장분할을 고려한 수단선택 모형 개발)

  • Kim, Duck Nyung;Choi, A Reum;Hwang, Jae-Min;Kim, Dong-Kyu
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.667-677
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    • 2013
  • The introduction of a new transit facility affects mode share of travel alternatives. The multinomial logit model, which has been the most commonly used for estimating mode share, has difficulty in reflecting heterogeneity of travelers' choices, and it has a limitation on grasping their characteristics of mode choice. The limitation may lead to over- or under-estimation of the new transit facility and bring about significant social costs. This paper aims to find a methodology to overcome the problem of preference homogeneity. It also applies market segmentation structure of separating the whole population into direct and indirect beneficiary to consider their preference heterogeneity. A mode choice model is estimated on data from Jeju Province and statistically tested. The results show that mode transfer rate of direct beneficiaries that inhabit in downtown areas increases as the new transit facility provides more advanced services with higher costs. The results and the model suggested in this study can contribute to improving the accuracy of demand forecasting of new transit facilities by reflecting heterogeneity of mode-transfer patterns.