• Title/Summary/Keyword: 다중시계열분석

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A study on solar irradiance forecasting with weather variables (기상변수를 활용한 일사량 예측 연구)

  • Kim, Sahm
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.1005-1013
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, we investigate the performances of time series models to forecast irradiance that consider weather variables such as temperature, humidity, cloud cover and Global Horizontal Irradiance. We first introduce the time series models and show that regression ARIMAX has the best performance with other models such as ARIMA and multiple regression models.

Bone Loss Detection in Dental Radiography by Domain Knowledge Based Multi-template (지식기반 다중 템플릿을 이용한 치과용 디지털 X-ray 영상에서의 미세변화 검출에 관한 연구)

  • Ahn, Yon-Hak;Chae, Ok-Sam
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.70-80
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    • 2010
  • This study proposes the algorithm to automate image alignment and detect marginal bone destructions, based on subtraction radiography for dental radiographic images necessary for dental PACS, which hasn't been covered by related literatures. The proposed algorithm enables a quick and precise detection of marginal bone destructions around teeth including implant through the knowlege-based multi-template matching in reference to ROI(Region Of Interest) obtained from applicable teeth using information about their geometric forms to solve problems single-template matching is exposed to. Actually, the test showed that it was possible not only to quickly and precisely detect marginal bone destructions around teeth, but also to get more objective and quantitative results through the algorithm.

Automatic Change Detection of MODIS NDVI using Artificial Neural Networks (신경망을 이용한 MODIS NDVI의 자동화 변화탐지 기법)

  • Jung, Myung-Hee
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea CI
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    • v.49 no.2
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    • pp.83-89
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    • 2012
  • Natural Vegetation cover, which is very important earth resource, has been significantly altered by humans in some manner. Since this has currently resulted in a significant effect on global climate, various studies on vegetation environment including forest have been performed and the results are utilized in policy decision making. Remotely sensed data can detect, identify and map vegetation cover change based on the analysis of spectral characteristics and thus are vigorously utilized for monitoring vegetation resources. Among various vegetation indices extracted from spectral reponses of remotely sensed data, NDVI is the most popular index which provides a measure of how much photosynthetically active vegetation is present in the scene. In this study, for change detection in vegetation cover, a Multi-layer Perceptron Network (MLPN) as a nonparametric approach has been designed and applied to MODIS/Aqua vegetation indices 16-day L3 global 250m SIN Grid(v005) (MYD13Q1) data. The feature vector for change detection is constructed with the direct NDVI diffenrence at a pixel as well as the differences in some subset of NDVI series data. The research covered 5 years (2006-20110) over Korean peninsular.

A Study on Monitoring the Land Surface Temperature Changes Caused by Constructions of Rainwater Villages Using the Multi-temporal Landsat-8 Satellite Images (다중시기 Landsat-8 위성영상을 활용한 빗물마을 조성 사업에 의한 지표면 온도 변화 모니터링에 관한 연구)

  • CHOUNG, Yun-Jae;YU, Ki-Kwang;LEE, Yong Ik
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.30-40
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    • 2020
  • Monitoring the urban environmental changes caused by the urban regeneration project is necessary for evaluating the effect of the various types of urban regeneration projects that have been carried out in Seoul, South Korea. However, there is few available data and professional expert for evaluating the effect of these urban regeneration projects. This research evaluated the effect of the construction of rainwater village in Jangwi-dong area, constructed through the Seoul urban regeneration project, by utilizing the land surface temperatures derived from the multi-temporal Landsat-8 satellite images through the following steps. In the first step, the land surface temperature images were generated using the multispectral bands of the Landsat-8 satellite images. In the final step, the effect of constructing the rainwater villages was assessed by calculating the seasonal LST statistics for Jangwi-dong area, its neighbor area and entire Seoul area. The experimental results led the following conclusion: the construction of rainwater villages did not have the significant effect on the land surface temperature changes in Jangwi-dong area.

Detection of Abnormal CAN Messages Using Periodicity and Time Series Analysis (CAN 메시지의 주기성과 시계열 분석을 활용한 비정상 탐지 방법)

  • Se-Rin Kim;Ji-Hyun Sung;Beom-Heon Youn;Harksu Cho
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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    • v.13 no.9
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    • pp.395-403
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    • 2024
  • Recently, with the advancement of technology, the automotive industry has seen an increase in network connectivity. CAN (Controller Area Network) bus technology enables fast and efficient data communication between various electronic devices and systems within a vehicle, providing a platform that integrates and manages a wide range of functions, from core systems to auxiliary features. However, this increased connectivity raises concerns about network security, as external attackers could potentially gain access to the automotive network, taking control of the vehicle or stealing personal information. This paper analyzed abnormal messages occurring in CAN and confirmed that message occurrence periodicity, frequency, and data changes are important factors in the detection of abnormal messages. Through DBC decoding, the specific meanings of CAN messages were interpreted. Based on this, a model for classifying abnormalities was proposed using the GRU model to analyze the periodicity and trend of message occurrences by measuring the difference (residual) between the predicted and actual messages occurring within a certain period as an abnormality metric. Additionally, for multi-class classification of attack techniques on abnormal messages, a Random Forest model was introduced as a multi-classifier using message occurrence frequency, periodicity, and residuals, achieving improved performance. This model achieved a high accuracy of over 99% in detecting abnormal messages and demonstrated superior performance compared to other existing models.

Analysis of Cropland Spectral Properties and Vegetation Index Using UAV (UAV를 이용한 농경지 분광특성 및 식생지수 분석)

  • LEE, Geun-Sang;CHOI, Yun-Woong
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.86-101
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    • 2019
  • Remote sensing technology has been continuously developed both quantitatively and qualitatively, including platform development, exploration area, and exploration functions. Recently, the use cases and related researches in the agricultural field are increasing. Also, since it is possible to detect and quantify the condition of cropland and establish management plans and policy support for cropland and agricultural environment, it is being studied in various fields such as crop growth abnormality determination and crop estimation based on time series information. The purpose of this study was to analyze the vegetation index for agricultural land reclamation area using a UAV equipped with a multi-spectral sensor. In addition, field surveys were conducted to evaluate the accuracy of vegetation indices calculated from multispectral image data obtained using UAV. The most appropriate vegetation index was derived by evaluating the correlation between vegetation index calculated by field survey and vegetation index calculated from UAV multispectral image, and was used to analyze vegetation index of the entire area.

Comparison of Reflectance and Vegetation Index Changes by Type of UAV-Mounted Multi-Spectral Sensors (무인비행체 탑재 다중분광 센서별 반사율 및 식생지수 변화 비교)

  • Lee, Kyung-do;Ahn, Ho-yong;Ryu, Jae-hyun;So, Kyu-ho;Na, Sang-il
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.37 no.5_1
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    • pp.947-958
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    • 2021
  • This study was conducted to provide basic data for crop monitoring by comparing and analyzing changes in reflectance and vegetation index by sensor of multi-spectral sensors mounted on unmanned aerial vehicles. For four types of unmanned aerial vehicle-mounted multispectral sensors, such as RedEdge-MX, S110 NIR, Sequioa, and P4M, on September 14 and September 15, 2020, aerial images were taken, once in the morning and in the afternoon, a total of 4 times, and reflectance and vegetation index were calculated and compared. In the case of reflectance, the time-series coefficient of variation of all sensors showed an average value of about 10% or more, indicating that there is a limit to its use. The coefficient of variation of the vegetation index by sensor for the crop test group showed an average value of 1.2 to 3.6% in the crop experimental sites with high vitality due to thick vegetation, showing variability within 5%. However, this was a higher value than the coefficient of variation on a clear day, and it is estimated that the weather conditions such as clouds were different in the morning and afternoon during the experiment period. It is thought that it is necessary to establish and implement a UAV flight plan. As a result of comparing the NDVI between the multi-spectral sensors of the unmanned aerial vehicle, in this experiment, it is thought that the RedEdeg-MX sensor can be used together without special correction of the NDVI value even if several sensors of the same type are used in a stable light environment. RedEdge-MX, P4M, and Sequioa sensors showed a linear relationship with each other, but supplementary experiments are needed to evaluate joint utilization through off-set correction between vegetation indices.

Hourly electricity demand forecasting based on innovations state space exponential smoothing models (이노베이션 상태공간 지수평활 모형을 이용한 시간별 전력 수요의 예측)

  • Won, Dayoung;Seong, Byeongchan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.581-594
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    • 2016
  • We introduce innovations state space exponential smoothing models (ISS-ESM) that can analyze time series with multiple seasonal patterns. Especially, in order to control complex structure existing in the multiple patterns, the model equations use a matrix consisting of seasonal updating parameters. It enables us to group the seasonal parameters according to their similarity. Because of the grouped parameters, we can accomplish the principle of parsimony. Further, the ISS-ESM can potentially accommodate any number of multiple seasonal patterns. The models are applied to predict electricity demand in Korea that is observed on hourly basis, and we compare their performance with that of the traditional exponential smoothing methods. It is observed that the ISS-ESM are superior to the traditional methods in terms of the prediction and the interpretability of seasonal patterns.

Design and Implementation of a Computing Environment for Geovisual Analytics Using HTML5 Canvas (HTML5 Canvas를 활용한 시각적 공간분석 환경의 설계와 구현)

  • Park, Mi-Ra;Park, Key-Ho;Ahn, Jae-Seong
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.44-53
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    • 2011
  • This study designed and implemented a web-based computing environment for geovisual analytics using HTML5 canvas. The computing environment supports visualization tools and user's interaction. The visualization tools are cluster map, animated map, temporal parallel coordinate plot, and temporal heat map chart. Users can explore the temporal changes of cluster using multiple view and brushing technique. The computing environment that works well across browsers is used in the computing environment with multiple devices.

Predictation of Precipitation using Empirical Mode Decomposition (경험적 모드분해법을 활용한 우리나라 강수의 예측)

  • Choi, Wonyoung;Shin, Hongjoon;Kim, Taereem;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.147-147
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    • 2016
  • 최근 기후변화로 인한 기상이변이 빈번히 발생하면서 그로 인한 피해도 점점 증가하고 있다. 이를 최소화하기 위해서는 기후변화가 강수에 미치는 영향에 대한 연구가 필요하며, 특히 강수의 기후변화를 고려한 장기적인 변동에 대한 예측이 매우 중요하다. 그 중, 기후변화로 인한 강수현상의 변화를 분석하기 위한 방법 중 하나로 강수 현상이 주변 기후 요소의 분포에 영향을 받는다는 가정 하에 기상인자를 통하여 강수를 예측하는 방법이 있다. 우리나라에 영향을 미치는 주변 기상인자들과 강수 간의 상관관계를 분석하여 상관관계가 높게 나타나는 기상인자를 통해 우리나라 강수량을 예측하면 장기적인 관점에서 강수 예측의 정확도를 높일 수 있다. 하지만 상관관계 분석에 있어서 강수 원 자료 와 기상인자간의 상관관계를 비교할 경우 원 자료가 가지는 큰 변동성으로 인해 정확한 상관관계 분석이 이루어지지 않을 가능성이 크다. 따라서 강수자료를 분해하여 분해된 요소별로 상관관계를 분석하여 분석의 정확도를 높일 필요가 있다. 다양한 자료 분해 방법중 경험적 모드분해법(Empirical Mode Decomposition, EMD)을 사용할 경우 자료의 분해에 있어서 주기성, 경향성에 따라 분해가 가능하며, 비정상성을 가지고 있는 시계열에 대해 효과적으로 분해가 가능한 장점이 있다. 본 연구에서는 30년 이상의 자료기간을 가지는 지점의 강수량 자료를 바탕으로 경험적 모드분해법을 이용하여 강수자료를 분해하고, 이를 다양한 기상인자와의 상관관계를 분석함으로써, 우리나라 강수량 변동과 연관이 있는 기상인자들을 선별하였다. 선별된 기상인지를 바탕으로 다중회귀분석을 수행하여 기상인자를 독립변수로 하는 강수 예측식을 구축하여 우리나라 강수의 예측 가능성을 살펴보고자 한다.

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