• Title/Summary/Keyword: 다제품 확산모형

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A Cross-country Study on Diffusions of Communication Technologies : The Internet, Mobile Phone, and Telephone (정보통신 서비스 확산의 대체, 보완현상에 관한 국제 비교 연구 : 인터넷, 휴대전화, 유선전화를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Jong-Su;Lee, Min-Kyu
    • Journal of Information Management
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2006
  • Due to the dramatic development of the Internet, the ICT market has changed from a voice based services to data based services. Substitution and complementary dynamism has emerged from communication technology services such as the Internet, mobile phone, and telephone. This paper analyses diffusion patterns of communication technologies such as the Internet, cellular phones, and telephones in different country groups. We estimate modified logistic growth model using time series data for the years 1975-2002. As a result, it is possible to categorize country groups according to the patterns of diffusions. This research creates essential information to forecast demand for new services based on incumbent services as well as provide information on strategies for entering the network industry.

A Choice-Based Multi-Product Diffusion Model Incorporating Replacement Demand (대체수요를 고려한 선택관점의 다제품 확산모형)

  • Kim, Jeong-Il;Jeon, Deok-Bin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.161-164
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    • 2006
  • The sales of consumer durables are composed of first time purchases and replacement purchases. Since the sales for most mature durable products are dominated by replacement sales, it is necessary to develop a model incorporating replacement component of sales in order to forecast total sales accurately. Several single product diffusion models incorporating replacement demand have been developed, but research addressing the multi-product diffusion models has not considered replacement sales. In this paper, we propose a model based on consumer choice behavior that simultaneously captures the diffusion and the replacement process for multi-product relationships. The proposed model enables the division of replacement sales into repurchase by previous users and transition purchase by users of different products. As a result, the model allows the partitioning of the total sales according to the customer groups (first-time buyers, repurchase buyers, and transition buyers), which allows companies to develop their production and marketing plans based on their customer mix. We apply the proposed model to the Korean automobile market, and compare the fitting and forecasting performance with other Bass-type multi-product models.

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인터넷 메타몰의 요구사항 분석

  • 장활식;오창규
    • Proceedings of the Korea Association of Information Systems Conference
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    • 1998.10a
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    • pp.20-30
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    • 1998
  • 고도화된 정보통신의 확산으로 인해 인터넷(internet)을 통한 지역간의 거리를 극복 한 전자상거래가 점점 발달하고 있으며 이에 따른 시장의 잠재성 또한 커지고 있다. 그러나 현재 구축된 인터넷 쇼핑몰도 그 규모나 숫자에 비해서 매출액은 아직 높은 편이 아니다. 이에 대한 많은 이유가 있겠지만 가장 큰 이유중의 하나가 구매자 수의 부족을 들을 수 있 다. 이에 본 연구에서는 인터넷 쇼핑몰에 방문한 고객이 기꺼이 구매할 수 있는 환경을 제 공해 주기 위해 '지능형 메타몰(Intelligent Meta-Mall)'을 제안하고, 인터넷 쇼핑몰 중에서 사용자가 직접 마주치는 부분인 프론트 오피스(Front Office) 부분에서 제공되어야 하는 기 능 37가지를 제안하였다. 그리고 이들 기능을 일반관리 기능 및 소비자 구매과정 모형에 따 라 분류한 후, 현재 국내에서 운영되고 있는 쇼핑 몰의 웹마스터에게 설문조사를 실시함으 로써 상대적으로 중요한 기능과 불필요한 기능들을 파악하였다. 상대적으로 중요한 기능은 (1) One-stop Shopping 기능, (2) 비교쇼핑기능, (3) 단어(keyword) 탐색 기능, (4) 보안 모니터링 기능, (5) 부도 보증 기능, (6) 반품 관리 기능, (7) 속달 기능, (8) One-stop Payment 등으로 조사되었다. 상대적으로 불필요한 기능은 (1) 경매제품 탐색 기능, (2) 인 터페이스 수정 기능, (3) 사이버 머니 제공 기능, (4) 신원확인 기능, (5) No Blank 페이지 제공 기능, (6) 기본 사양 여과(filtering) 기능, (7) 다국어 지원 기능, (8) 보안 모니터링 기 능 등으로 조사되었다.

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A Study on the Differences of Information Diffusion Based on the Type of Media and Information (매체와 정보유형에 따른 정보확산 차이에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Gun;Kim, Jin-Hwa;Baek, Heon;Lee, Eui-Bang
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.133-146
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    • 2013
  • While the use of internet is routine nowadays, users receive and share information through a variety of media. Through the use of internet, information delivery media is diversifying from traditional media of one-way communication, such as newspaper, TV, and radio, into media of two-way communication. In contrast of traditional media, blogs enable individuals to directly upload and share news, which can be considered to have a differential speed of information diffusion than news media that convey information unilaterally. Therefore this Study focused on the difference between online news and social media blogs. Moreover, there are variations in the speed of information diffusion because that information closely related to one person boosts communications between individuals. We believe that users' standard of evaluation would change based on the types of information. As well, the speed of information diffusion would change based on the level of proximity. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to examine the differences in information diffusion based on the types of media. And then information is segmentalized and an examination is done to see how information diffusion differentiates based on the types of information. This study used the Bass diffusion model, which has been frequently used because this model has higher explanatory power than other models by explaining diffusion of market through innovation effect and imitation effect. Also this model has been applied a lot in other information diffusion related studies. The Bass diffusion model includes an innovation effect and an imitation effect. Innovation effect measures the early-stage impact, while the imitation effect measures the impact of word of mouth at the later stage. According to Mahajan et al. (2000), Innovation effect is emphasized by usefulness and ease-of-use, as well Imitation effect is emphasized by subjective norm and word-of-mouth. Also, according to Lee et al. (2011), Innovation effect is emphasized by mass communication. According to Moore and Benbasat (1996), Innovation effect is emphasized by relative advantage. Because Imitation effect is adopted by within-group influences and Innovation effects is adopted by product's or service's innovation. Therefore, ours study compared online news and social media blogs to examine the differences between media. We also choose different types of information including entertainment related information "Psy Gentelman", Current affair news "Earthquake in Sichuan, China", and product related information "Galaxy S4" in order to examine the variations on information diffusion. We considered that users' information proximity alters based on the types of information. Hence, we chose the three types of information mentioned above, which have different level of proximity from users' standpoint, in order to examine the flow of information diffusion. The first conclusion of this study is that different media has similar effect on information diffusion, even the types of media of information provider are different. Information diffusion has only been distinguished by a disparity between proximity of information. Second, information diffusions differ based on types of information. From the standpoint of users, product and entertainment related information has high imitation effect because of word of mouth. On the other hand, imitation effect dominates innovation effect on Current affair news. From the results of this study, the flow changes of information diffusion is examined and be applied to practical use. This study has some limitations, and those limitations would be able to provide opportunities and suggestions for future research. Presenting the difference of Information diffusion according to media and proximity has difficulties for generalization of theory due to small sample size. Therefore, if further studies adopt to a request for an increase of sample size and media diversity, difference of the information diffusion according to media type and information proximity could be understood more detailed.