• Title/Summary/Keyword: 다기준 의사결정 기법

Search Result 145, Processing Time 0.032 seconds

Risk Analysis Method for Deriving Priorities for Detailed Inspection of Small and Medium-sized Fill Dam (중소형 필댐의 정밀점검 우선순위 도출을 위한 간이 위험도 분석 방법)

  • Kim, Jinyoung;Kang, Jaemo
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
    • /
    • v.21 no.10
    • /
    • pp.11-16
    • /
    • 2020
  • Korea's agricultural reservoir is one of the country's major infrastructures and plays an important role in people's lives. However, aging reservoirs are a risk for life and property. Currently, large and small dams and reservoirs have been constructed nationwide for more than 40 years of aging. Dams and reservoirs built nationwide are managed by various institutions. Therefore, it is difficult to manage all dams and reservoirs due to cost and time. Managers in the field with less management personnel and lack of expertise should be able to quickly identify risk factors for multiple reservoirs. In this study, risk factors such as seepage, leakage, settlement slide, crack and erosion were selected. To assess the risk of the items, we used the analytical hierarchical process (AHP), one of the Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) methods. The analysis showed that seepage has the greatest impact on reservoir collapse. It is judged that the priority of detailed diagnosis can be determined by evaluating the risk of dam reservoir collapse in a convenient way in advance using the calculated weight.

A study on performance-based evaluation system for NATM tunnels in use: development of evaluation model and validation (공용중인 NATM 터널의 성능중심 평가체계 연구: 평가모형 개발 및 검증)

  • Moon, Joon-Shik;Kim, Hong-Kyoon;An, Jai-Wook;Lee, Jong-Gun
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
    • /
    • v.22 no.1
    • /
    • pp.107-120
    • /
    • 2020
  • In a performance-based evaluation of structures in use, the current performance is assessed by summing up the weighting of the evaluation indices for each performance. In this study, to suggest a performance-based evaluation technique for NATM tunnels in use, the performance evaluation indices were derived by examining the characteristics and similarities of each index developed from previous study. The weighting of the evaluation indices was derived by calculating the relative importance of each evaluation indices from the AHP analysis. In order to develop a quantitative evaluation model, grading criteria for each performance index was derived through literature review, and performance evaluation tables for road and railway tunnels were presented. In order to verify the significance of the proposed performance evaluation model, the correlation analysis was performed between each evaluation index and the final evaluation result. In the correlation analysis, the survey data measured through precision safety diagnosis in the tunnel in use was applied. It may be said that the proposed evaluation indices, weighting, criteria and evaluation models for tunnels in use can be applied to the performance-based maintenance system of tunnels.

Evaluation of Non-point source Vulnerable Areas In West Nakdong River Watershed Using TOPSIS (TOPSIS를 이용한 서낙동강 유역 비점오염 취약지역 평가 연구)

  • KAL, Byung-Seok;PARK, Jae-Beom;KIM, Ye-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
    • /
    • v.24 no.1
    • /
    • pp.26-39
    • /
    • 2021
  • This study investigated the characteristics of the watershed and pollutants in the Seonakdong River basin in the lower stream of the Nakdong River Water System, and evaluated the areas vulnerable to nonpoint pollution by subwatershed according to the TOPSIS(Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution) method. The selection method consists of selection of evaluation factors, calculation of weights and selection of areas vulnerable to non-point pollution through evaluation factors and weights. The entropy method was used as the weight calculation method and TOPSIS, a multi-criteria decision making(MCDM) method was used as the evaluation method. Indicator data were collected as of 2018, and national pollution source survey data and national statistics were used. Most of the vulnerable watersheds were highly urbanized had a large number of residents and were evaluated as having a large land area among industrial facilities and site area rate. Through this study, it is necessary to approach a variety of weighting methodologies to assess the vulnerability of non-point pollution with high reliability, and scientific analysis of the factors that affect non-point pollution sources and consideration of the effects are necessary.

Water resource vulnerability assessment of South Korea using hydrological model (수문 모형의 활용을 통한 국내 수자원 취약성 평가)

  • Won, Kwang Jai;Chung, Eun-Sung;Kim, Soo Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2015.05a
    • /
    • pp.264-264
    • /
    • 2015
  • 최근 기후변화는 우리 삶에 다양한 영향을 미치고 있으며, 이에 따른 수문순환 변화 역시 자명하게 받아들이고 있다. 이에 따라 수자원 취약성 평가 및 대책에 관한 연구는 다양하게 진행되고 있는 실정이다. 하지만 국내의 경우 전체 유역에 대한 수자원 취약성 평가 연구는 부족한 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 국내 총 12 수계인 한강, 안성천, 금강, 삽교천, 영산강, 섬진강, 탐진강, 만경강, 동진강, 낙동강, 태화강, 형산강 유역에 대한 수자원 취약성 평가를 실시하였다. 평가 방법으로는 장기간에 걸친 다양한 토양의 특징, 토지이용, 관리상태의 변화에 따른 크고 복잡한 유역의 유출량을 추정하기 위해 개발된 SWAT(Soil and Water Assessment Tool) 모형을 이용하여 수문 모형을 구축하였고, 유출 관련 매개변수 최적화 작업은 SWAT-CUP 모형을 이용하였다. 최적화된 매개변수의 적용을 통해 각 유역별 유출량을 산정하였다. 그 결과 2009년과 2011년은 한강, 낙동강, 금강, 영산강순 이였으며, 2010년은 낙동강, 한강, 금강, 영산강순 이였다. 면적별 유출량인 비유량(specific discharge)을 산정한 결과, 2009년에는 영산강, 낙동강, 금강, 한강순 이며, 2010년에는 영산강, 금강, 낙동강, 한강순 이였으며, 2011년에는 금강, 한강, 영산강, 낙동강 순을 보였다. 또한, 인구당 유출량 산정 결과 2009년에는 영산강, 금강, 낙동강, 한강순 이며, 2010년에는 영산강, 금강, 낙동강, 한강순 이며, 2011년에는 영산강, 금강, 낙동강, 한강순 이었다. 이를 바탕으로 국내 총 12 수계에 대한 수자원 취약성을 산정해보았다. 대응변수는 이수의 수요 및 공급적인 측면에서 구분하였으며, 사회/경제, 물 이용, 환경, SWAT으로 구성하였습니다. 수자원 취약성 평가를 위해 다기준의사결정기법(MCDM, Multi-Criteria Decision Making) 중 하나인 TOPSIS(Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution)기법을 사용하였다. 산정 결과 삽교천, 동진강, 형산강, 안성천, 섬진강, 만경강, 낙동강, 영산강, 태화강, 금강, 한강, 탐진강 순 이였다. 본 연구 결과는 향후 다중 공간에 구축한 고해상도 모형을 통해 국내 수문상황 진단 및 고해상도 미래 수문 시나리오 생산을 통한 수자원 관리에도 활용될 전망이며, 기후변화 취약성 평가를 위한 지표 개발에 이용될 예정이다.

  • PDF

Development of an Technique for Assessing Priority of Alternatives in Railroad Projects Considering Civil Petitions (민원을 고려한 철도대안 우선순위 판단기법 개발)

  • Chung, Sung-Bong;Song, Ki-Han;Hong, Sang-Yeon;Kim, Dong-Jun;Kim, Dong-Sun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.23 no.7 s.85
    • /
    • pp.87-98
    • /
    • 2005
  • Through rail transit has many merits as a safe, environmental harmonic and scheduled transit, there are many problems to construct railroads because of the public resentment. However, there is no reasonable way to settle the conflict properly and it causes enormous social and economic losses. This paper suggests a methodology to evaluate public complaint using the AHP technique, which is generally used as the methodology to evaluate public complaint using the AHP technique, which is generally used as the Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM). However, the result from the AHP has some defects to control conflicts because the interests related to railroad projects are so complex that it is hard to make people persuaded easily. Therefore, this paper suggests 'the improvement ranking method', 'the sensitive analysis', and 'the assessment of independence relationship' which can aid the basic AHP to be robust. And the AHP. modified by fuzzy method, is also suggested to apply this methodology to example rail paths in Korea.

VTS Task Assessment using AHP (AHP를 활용한 VTS업무 중요도 평가)

  • Kim, Joo-Sung;Jung, Cho-Young;Kim, Kwang-il
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
    • /
    • 2018.11a
    • /
    • pp.261-262
    • /
    • 2018
  • The tasks of Vessel Traffic Services are classified according to the content of the information provided. Since the establishment of the first Vessel Traffic Service center in 1993 at Phohang harbour, it has been steadily developed and its work domain and scope have been expanded. In this paper, the importance and workload of Vessel Traffic Service operators were analyzed according to classification of the tasks. In order to measure the importance and workload, questionnaires were conducted for the operators nationwide, and conclusions were drawn using the multi-criteria decision making process. The relationship between the importance of tasks and the workload might be used as the weights for setting the service areas in the future. Furthermore, it is expected to be used as the data of changable sector operation based on the relationship between importance and workload.

  • PDF

Development of Reliability Estimation Method for Storm Sewer Networks (우수관망 신뢰도 산정방법의 개발)

  • Lee, Jung-Ho;Song, Yang-Ho;Ryu, Seung-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2012.05a
    • /
    • pp.470-470
    • /
    • 2012
  • 우수관거 시스템에서의 신뢰도 분석에 대한 기존 연구들은 시스템의 설계상에서의 각종 매개변수들에 대한 불확실성 분석에 기초하여 왔다. 그러나 본 연구에서는 동일한 설계빈도하에 설계된 우수관망이라 하더라도 관망의 노선 선정에 따라서 유출구에서의 첨두유출량 및 초과강우사상에 따른 침수 발생량이 달라질 수 있다는 점에 주목하였다. 그러므로 신뢰도 높은 우수관망을 설계하기 위해서는 이러한 침수 발생 확률을 줄일 수 있도록 하여야 하며, 이를 위해서는 관망 구성에 따라 달라지는 신뢰도를 하나의 정량화된 수치로 나타야 한다. 본 연구에서는 설계빈도를 초과하는 강우사상들에 대하여 해당 우수관망의 월류 발생 정도를 정량적으로 평가함으로써 상대적인 신뢰도를 하나의 지표로서 나타내고자 하였다. 이때 고려되는 것은 초과강우사상 발생 시 해당 관망에서의 월류 발생량 및 월류 발생 지점 개수이다. 또한 이때 고려 대상이 되는 월류량 및 월류 발생지점 수는 서로 다른 척도를 갖는 항목이므로 이에 대한 종합적인 고려를 위하여 본 연구에서는 다기준의사결정기법 중 하나인 DMM(Distance Measure Method)을 이용하였다. 본 연구에서 개발한 우수관망 신뢰도의 산정 절차는 다음과 같다. step 1) 초과빈도별 월류 발생량 및 월류 발생 지점 수 산정 step 2) 빈도별 월류발생량 비율( ) 및 월류발생지점 비율($N_i$) 산정 $$V_i$$ $$V_o/V/R$$ $$N_i=N_o/N_T/R$$ 여기서, $V_i$는 적용된 강우량당 유역의 전체 유출량 대비 월류발생량을 나타내며, $N_i$는 적용된 강우량당 해당 관망의 전체 지점 수 대비 월류 발생지점 수를 나타낸다. step 3) 중심점(central point)에 대하여 DMM을 이용한 치수안전성 산정 $$Reliability\;of\;Sewer\;Networks=1-\;{(1-N_i)^2+(1-V_i)^2\atop2}$$.

  • PDF

Flash Flood Risk Assessment using PROMETHEE and Entropy Method (PROMETHEE와 Entropy 기법을 이용한 돌발홍수 위험도 평가)

  • Lee, Jung-Ho;Jun, Hwan-Don;Park, Moo-Jong;Jung, Jae-Hak
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
    • /
    • v.11 no.3
    • /
    • pp.151-156
    • /
    • 2011
  • Previously most of flood prevention efforts have been made for relatively large watersheds near to channel flow. However, as economical development and the expansion of leisure areas to mountainous region, human casualty by flash flood occurs frequently, requiring additional prevention activity. Therefore, to reduce the damage of human lives and property by flash flood, we develop an assessment method for flash flood occurrence for mountainous areas considering various factors involving it. PROMETHEE(Preference Ranking Organization METHod for Enrichment Evaluations) which is one of the MCDM(Multi-Criteria Decision Making) was adopted to assess the contribution of each factor to the risk of the flash flood in the mountainous area. The main evaluation criteria are classified into three categories, namely, the regional and rainfall characteristics, and geographical features. Also, the Entropy method is used to determine the weight of each evaluation criteria without survey. The suggested method based on PROMETHEE with Entropy method is applied to BongHwa region to verify its applicability. After applied, the method successfully assesses the relative risk of flash flood occurrence of each sub region in the BongHwa region. Out of the seventeen sub-regions, five, seven and five of them are evaluated as high-risk, medium-risk, and low-risk, respectively. To verify the results, we searched the historical data of flash flood and the flash flood had occurred in one of high-risk sub-regions at 2008.

A Priority Analysis of Equipment Operation Plan for Container Terminal in Gwangyang Port (광양항 컨테이너터미널의 장비 작업계획 우선순위 분석)

  • Yeun, Dong-Ha;Choi, Yong-Seok
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
    • /
    • v.27 no.1
    • /
    • pp.75-94
    • /
    • 2011
  • This paper is concerned about applying the AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) for a priority analysis of equipment operation plan to improve productivity of the container terminal in Gwangyang port. In this study, main elements of container terminal are assumed as into yard equipment area, transport equipment area, berth equipment area and C/Center area. A questionnaire is used to collect the opinions of equipment operating department and operational planning department. On the whole, the result of the analyses reveals that the most important area is yard equipment area. Examining each department is responses, equipment operating department preferred the C/Center area to other areas, on the other hand, operational planning department preferred yard equipment area. The result of this study suggests some guidelines for deciding priority of operation plan in the container terminal.

Assessment of Water Use Vulnerability Considering Climate and Socioeconomic Changes in Han River Watershed (기후 및 사회·경제 변화를 고려한 한강 유역의 물이용 취약성 평가)

  • Park, Hyesun;Kim, Heey Jin;Chae, Yeora;Kim, Yeonjoo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.37 no.6
    • /
    • pp.965-972
    • /
    • 2017
  • Assessment of vulnerability of water use to climate change include a variety of climate change scenarios. However, in most future vulnerability studies, only the climate change scenarios are used and not the future scenarios of social and economic indicators. Therefore, in this study, we applied the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) climate change scenario and Shared Socioeconomic reference Pathway (SSP) developed by IPCC to reflect the future. We selected indicators for estimating the vulnerability of water use, and indices were integrated with a multi-criteria decision making approach - Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS). The indicator data utilized national statistics and reports, social and economic scenarios, and simulated results from the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model which reflects climate change scenario. Finally, we derived the rankings of water use vulnerability for the short-term future (2020) and mid-term future (2050) within the Han River watershed. Generally, considering climate change alone and considering climate change plus social and economic changes showed a similar spatial distribution. In the future scenarios, the watershed rankings were similar, but showed differences with SSP scenario in some watersheds. Therefore, considering social and economic changes is expected to contribute to more effective responses to climate change.