• 제목/요약/키워드: 누적분석

검색결과 1,636건 처리시간 0.035초

An Empirical Model for Forecasting Alternaria Leaf Spot in Apple (사과 점무늬낙엽병(斑點落葉病)예찰을 위한 한 경험적 모델)

  • Kim, Choong-Hoe;Cho, Won-Dae;Kim, Seung-Chul
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.221-228
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    • 1986
  • An empirical model to predict initial disease occurrence and subsequent progress of Alternaria leaf spot was constructed based on the modified degree day temperature and frequency of rainfall in three years field experiments. Climatic factors were analized 10-day bases, beginning April 20 to the end of August, and were used as variables for model construction. Cumulative degree portion (CDP) that is over $10^{\circ}C$ in the daily average temperature was used as a parameter to determine the relationship between temperature and initial disease occurrence. Around one hundred and sixty of CDP was needed to initiate disease incidence. This value was considered as temperature threshhold. After reaching 160 CDP, time of initial occurrence was determined by frequency of rainfall. At least four times of rainfall were necessary to be accumulated for initial occurrence of the disease after passing temperature threshhold. Disease progress after initial incidence generally followed the pattern of frequency of rainfall accumulated in those periods. Apparent infection rate (r) in the general differential equation dx/dt=xr(1-x) for individual epidemics when x is disease proportion and t is time, was a linear function of accumulation rate of rainfall frequency (Rc) and was able to be directly estimated based on the equation r=1.06Rc-0.11($R^2=0.993$). Disease severity (x) after t time could be predicted using exponential equation $[x/(1-x)]=[x_0/(1-x)]e^{(b_0+b_1R_c)t}$ derived from the differential equation, when $x_0$ is initial disease, $b_0\;and\;b_1$ are constants. There was a significant linear relationship between disease progress and cumulative number of air-borne conidia of Alternaria mali. When the cumulative number of air-borne conidia was used as an independent variable to predict disease severity, accuracy of prediction was poor with $R^2=0.3328$.

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Development of Deterioration Prediction Model and Reliability Model for the Cyclic Freeze-Thaw of Concrete Structures (콘크리트구조물의 반복적 동결융해에 대한 수치 해석적 열화 예측 및 신뢰성 모델 개발)

  • Cho, Tae-Jun;Kim, Lee-Hyeon;Cho, Hyo-Nam
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 2008
  • The initiation and growth processes of cyclic ice body in porous systems are affected by the thermo-physical and mass transport properties, as well as gradients of temperature and chemical potentials. Furthermore, the diffusivity of deicing chemicals shows significantly higher value under cyclic freeze-thaw conditions. Consequently, the disintegration of concrete structures is aggravated at marine environments, higher altitudes, and northern areas. However, the properties of cyclic freeze-thaw with crack growth and the deterioration by the accumulated damages are hard to identify in tests. In order to predict the accumulated damages by cyclic freeze-thaw, a regression analysis by the response surface method (RSM) is used. The important parameters for cyclic freeze-thawdeterioration of concrete structures, such as water to cement ratio, entrained air pores, and the number of cycles of freezing and thawing, are used to compose the limit state function. The regression equation fitted to the important deterioration criteria, such as accumulated plastic deformation, relative dynamic modulus, or equivalent plastic deformations, were used as the probabilistic evaluations of performance for the degraded structural resistance. The predicted results of relative dynamic modulus and residual strains after 300 cycles of freeze-thaw show very good agreements with the experimental results. The RSM result can be used to predict the probability of occurrence for designer specified critical values. Therefore, it is possible to evaluate the life cycle management of concrete structures considering the accumulated damages due to the cyclic freeze-thaw using the proposed prediction method.

Study on Hydration Heat of Blended Belite Binder (벨라이트계 혼합 결합재의 수화열 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Kewn-Chu;Cho, Jae-Woo;Jung, Sang-Hwa;Kim, Jang-Ho Jay
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.145-150
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    • 2011
  • Presently, mass concrete structures are being built in federal and private projects of civil infrastructures and building structures. The hydration heat of mass concrete structures is the most important factor in the quality of concrete matrix and construction period. Moreover, internal cracks caused by hydration heat degrades durability, water tightness, and strength of concrete. To reduce hydration heat, it is necessary to blend belite cement (${\beta}-C_2S$) with industrial by-products (i.e. granulated slag and fly ash). In this experiment, 14 levels of binary binders and 4 levels of ternary binders were used to understand the effect of different replacement ratio on hydration heat, strength and microstructure (i.e. SEM and XRD) of mortar. Cumulative hydration heat at 28 days for the binary and ternary binders was affected by replacement ratio of fly ash and/or granulated slag. As fly ash content increased, hydration heat decreased. As granulated slag content increased, reduction rate of the hydration heat was lower than when fly ash was used. Especially, the hydration heat of ternary binder blended with 40% flyash and 30% granulated slag showed about 50% of hydration heat from using belite cement (P). The study results showed that the temperature rise of concrete matrix can be decreased by using blended belite binders producing low hydration heat and reasonable strength.

Improvement of Fatigue Model of Concrete Pavement Slabs Using Environmental Loading (환경하중을 이용하는 콘크리트 포장 슬래브 피로모형의 개선)

  • Park, Joo-Young;Lim, Jin-Sun;Kim, Sang-Ho;Jeong, Jin-Hoon
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.103-115
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    • 2011
  • Concrete slab curls and warps due to the uneven distribution of temperature and moisture and as the result, internal stress develops within the slab. Therefore, environmental loads must be considered in addition to the traffic loads to predict the lifespan of the concrete pavement more accurately. The strength of the concrete slab is gradually decreases to a certain level at which fatigue cracking is generated by the repetitive traffic and environmental loadings. In this study, a new fatigue regression model was developed based on the results from previously performed studies. To verify the model, another laboratory flexural fatigue test program which was not used in the model development, was conducted and compared with the predictions of other existing models. Each fatigue model was applied to analysis logic of cumulative fatigue damage of concrete pavement developed in the study. The sensitivity of cumulative fatigue damage calculated by each model was analyzed for the design factors such as slab thickness, joint spacing, complex modulus of subgrade reaction and the load transfer at joints. As the result, the model developed in this study could reflect environmental loading more reasonably by improving other existing models which consider R, minimum/maximum stress ratio.

Research on Application of Spatial Statistics for Exploring Spatio-Temporal Changes in Patterns of Commercial Landuse (상업적 토지이용 패턴의 시공간 변화 탐색을 위한 공간통계 기법 적용 연구)

  • Shin, Jung-Yeop;Lee, Gyoung-Ju
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • 제42권4호
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    • pp.632-647
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    • 2007
  • Lots of geographic phenomena have dynamic spatial patterns with time changes, and there have been lots of researches on exploring these dynamic spatial patterns. However, most of these researches focused on the static pattern analysis in a given period, rather than dealing with dynamic changes in the spatial pattern over time with the continual or cumulative perspective. For this reason, investigation of the inertia of spatial process in terms of temporal changes is needed. From this background, the purpose of this paper is to propose the methodology to explore the changes in spatial pattern cumulatively by considering the inertia of the spatial statistics over time, and to apply it to the case study That is, we introduce the new spatial statistic, and produce the z-values of the statistic using Monte Carlo Simulation, and then to explore the changes in spatial patterns over time cumulatively. To do this, the method to combine the J statistic with CUSUM statistic for exploring spatial patterns, and to apply it to the changes in the commercial landuse in Erie County, New York State. Through the proposed method for spatio-temporal Patterns, we could explore continual changes effectively in the spatial patterns reflecting the statistics by temporal spot cumulatively.

Changes in Growths of Tomato and Grafted Watermelon Seedlings and Allometric Relationship among Growth Parameters as Affected by Shading During Summer (여름철 차광처리에 따른 토마토묘와 수박 접목묘의 생육과 생육지표간 상대적 관계)

  • Kang, Yun-Im;Kwon, Joon-Kook;Park, Kyoung-Sub;Yu, In-Ho;Lee, Si-Young;Cho, Myeong-Whan;Kang, Nam-Jun
    • Journal of Bio-Environment Control
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.275-283
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    • 2010
  • This study was conducted to examine the changes in growths of tomato and watermelon seedlings and the relationship among growth parameters which are used to evaluate healthy seedling as affected by shading. Plants were grown under 0%, 25%, 50%, and 75% shadings using polyethylene films. Leaf area index (LAI) of tomato and grafted watermelon seedlings increased under 50% and 75% shading. Total dry weight decreased with increase of shading level. The growth rates of stem diameter, LAI, total weight were faster under 50% and 75% shading with increase of integral radiation than under 0% and 25% shading. Stem diameters of tomato and grafted watermelon seedlings showed no significant differences among shading regimes. Stem diameters of tomato seedlings had upward tendency with increase of total dry weight and shoot height, but there were no significant differences among shading regimes. Stem diameters of grafted watermelon seedlings had no relationship with shoot height. These results indicate that stem diameter of tomato seedlings is not appropriate for assessing seedlings quality but stem diameter of grafted watermelon seedlings with shoot height is available.

A Study on the Biogasification of Municipal and Industrial Wastewater Sludge (도시 하수 및 공장 폐수 슬러지의 바이오가스화에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jahyun;Kim, Seogku;Hwang, Injoo;Ahn, Jaehwan;Kang, Sungwon;Lee, Wontae;Lim, Junhyuk;Lee, Jeakun;Lee, Taeyoon
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • 제15권9호
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    • pp.5-12
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    • 2014
  • Anaerobic digestion was investigated for the stabilization of sludge, decrease of volatile solids, production of biogas for wastewater sludge. In this study, total solids and volatile solids, elemental analysis were conducted to determine characteristics of various types of sludges and investigate the feasibility of biogas production of Municipal Wastewater Sludge (MWS), Industrial Wastewater Sludge (IWS), mixed sludge (Mix), and Municipal Wastewater Sludg Cake (MWSC). Total solids, volatile solids, and C/N ratio were determined in the range of 11.2~20.6 %, 62.1~83.1 % of TS and 4.96~8.33 %. Using the biochemical methane potential (BMP test), mixed sludge and wastewater sludge finished the methane production within approximately 20 day and 16~17 day. Sludge cake finished within 10 day. Mixed sludge produced 395.5 mL $CH_4$ per g of Volatile Solid (VS) and resulted in the highest methane production. For carbon dioxide production, five sludges had similar value of accumulated carbon dioxide production except for sludge cake.

The Studies on The Development of 305-day Adjustment Factors and Formulas for Production Traits in Dairy Cattle (젖소의 생산형질에 대한 305일 보정계수 및 함수식 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Kwang-Hyeon;Lee, Joon-Ho;Na, Seung-Hwan;Son, Sam-Kyu;Seo, Kang-Seok;Kim, Si-Dong;Choi, Jae-Gwan
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • 제51권2호
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    • pp.111-122
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    • 2009
  • This study was performed to make it possible to adjust milk production records which are changing with days in milk more accurately as developing new 305-day adjustment factors considering current circumstance and to offer easier application by converting adjustment factors to formulas. Total 4,264,347 records were used in this analysis after eliminating unusual value and data was classified by first parity and over second parity. Herd-year effects were classified with 2,878 and 19,783 classes in first parity and over second parity, respectively and number of subclass of age-calving season-lactation stage effects were 136 (age 2, calving season 4, lactation stage 17). For calculation of least square mean, SAS GLM was used and multiplicative adjustment factors were developed. The result of error analysis, deviations between means of adjusted yields and cumulated yields were the lowest in new adjustment factor which was developed in this study comparing with other adjustment factors which were developed in the past (94', 02') in first parity and in over second parity, results of adjustment factors which were developed in 2002 and this study were similar. For easier application, formulas of 305-day adjustment factors were developed using SAS NLIN.

Estimation of Site Index Curves for Loblolly Pine(Pinus taeda L.) and Slash Pine(Pinus elliottii Engelm.) Plantations (테에다소나무림(林)과 엘리오티소나무림(林)의 조림지(造林地)에 대한 지위지수(地位指數) 곡선(曲線) 추정(推定)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究))

  • Lee, Young-Jin;Hong, Sung-Cheon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • 제88권3호
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    • pp.285-291
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    • 1999
  • Loblolly(Pinus taeda L.) and slash(Pinus elliottii Engelm.) pines are the most important timber producing species in the Southern United States. Site index equations to estimate site index curves(base age 25 years) for loblolly pine and slash pine plantations have been developed based on long-term repeated measurement data sets. To check magnitude of errors in estimating site index, each cumulative measurement cycle data sets and all combined data sets were used to recalculate site index values. The Chapman-Richards' growth function was selected for stand height prediction. Anamorphic base age invariant site index curves were presented based on this height prediction equation. Statistics used in the evaluation were mean of the differences and mean of the absolute differences. For plantation ages less than 5 years, site index values showed very sensitive fur both species based on the evaluation test.

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An Ergonomic Study on Carpal Tunnel Syndrome (손목관증후군에 관한 인간공학적 연구)

  • 김철홍
    • Proceedings of the ESK Conference
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    • 대한인간공학회 1993년도 추계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.3-14
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    • 1993
  • 손목관증후군(CTS)이란 장기간에 걸쳐 여러가지 의학적, 생리학적, 직업적 요인들에 기인 하여 발생하는 누적외상병(Cumulative Trauma Disorders: CTD)의 대표적인 한 형태이다. 이 증 후근은 1960년에 국제노동기구(ILO)에 의해 직업병으로 인정되었으며 미국을 비롯한 구미각국에 서는 산업체에서 발생하는 작업손실시간및 산업재해보상으로 인한 경비손실에 중요한 요인의 하 나로 규정되어 이에 대한 예방책의 연구가 정부기관, 대학, 연구소, 그리고 산업체를 중심으로 활 발히 이루어지고 있으나, 우리나라에서는 아직 이에 대한 인식및 예방책에 관한 연구가 미흡한 실정이다. 본 논문에서는 직업적 요인을 중심으로 손목관증후군(CTS)의 발병가능성이 높은 직업 및 그 작업조건들을 고찰하고 이의 예방을 위한 연구방안을 다음과 같이 모색하였다. 첫째, 손목 관증후군에 관련된 문헌조사를 통하여 어떠한 직업들이 보다 높은 발병위험에 직면하고 있으며 어 떤 작업조건및 환경적 요인들이 손목관증후군(CTS)을 발병시킬수 있는가에 대하여 고찰하였다. 둘째, 미국등의 대학및 연구소에서 여러가지 작업조건들을 통제한 실험을 통하여 얻어진 이 증후군 의 발병율을 감소시키기 위한 여러가지 안전한 작업기준들을 검토하고 정부기관(NIOSH, OSHA)의 정책방향을 검토하였다. 세째, 미국의 연구소및 경영자문회사등에서 산업체를 대상으로 시행하고 종합적인 누적외상병(CTD)의 예방프로그램을 검토하였다. 마지막으로, 현재 우리나라의 손목관증 후군(CTS)을 중심으로한 누적외상병의 현실을 검토하고 앞으로의 예방을 위한 연구방향및 방법과 정책적 대응방안등에 대하여 연구검토하였다. 결론을 제시하고자 한다.기서 사용된 아이콘에 대해서만 타당한 것으로 이것을 모든 아이콘에 대해 일반화시키기는 어려우나 이후에 행해질 Icon-based User Interface 분야의 많은 연구들의 기초가 될 것이다. 더불어 아이콘과 관련된 많은 요인들(문화적 영향, 아이콘 색깔, 크기, 아이콘의 위치등이 인식에 미치는 영향)에 대해서도 연구가 행해져야 할 것이다. 확인하고 각각의 기능을 분명히 했다.가 수월하게 하였고 메모리를 동적으로 관리할 수 있게 하였다. 또한 기존의 smpl에 디버깅용 함수 및 설비(facility) 제어용 함수를 추가하여 시뮬레이션 프로그램 작성을 용이하게 하였다. 예를 들면 who_server(), who_queue(), pop_Q(), push_Q(), pop_server(), push_server(), we(), wf(), printfct() 같은 함수들이다. 또한 동시에 발생되는 사건들의 순서를 조종하기 위해, 동시에 발생할 수 있는 각각의 사건에 우선순위를 두어 이 우선 순위에 의하여 사건 리스트(event list)에서 자동적으로 사건들의 순서가 결정되도록 확장하였으며, 설비 제어방식에 있어서도 FIFO, LIFO, 우선 순위 방식등을 선택할 수 있도록 확장하였다. SIMPLE는 자료구조 및 프로그램이 공개되어 있으므로 프로그래머가 원하는 기능을 쉽게 추가할 수 있는 장점도 있다. 아울러 SMPLE에서 새로이 추가된 자료구조와 함수 및 설비제어 방식등을 활용하여 실제 중형급 시스템에 대한 시뮬레이션 구현과 시스템 분석의 예를 보인다._3$", chain segment, with the activation ener

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