• Title/Summary/Keyword: 꼬리 확률

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Amphibian Fauna in the Mt. Myungji (명지산 일대의 양서류)

  • 계명찬
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Biology
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.203-207
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    • 2003
  • Amphibian biodiversity, community structure and habitats were surveyed in the Mt. Myungji area from April 2002 to March 2003. During the survey period 2orders, 4 families, 7 species of amphibians were observed. Bombina orientalis (DI =45.1%) was dominant and Bufo stejnegeri (DI = 12.8%), Rana rugosa and Rana dybowskii (DI = 9.9% each) Rana nigromaculata and Rana huanrenensis (DI 1.4% each), and Onycodactylus fisheri (DI = 7.0%) followed. Frequency of occurrence of O. fisheri and B. stejnegeri was largely different according to the altitude and human residence in their habitats.R. nigromaculata and R. huanrenensis showed low frequency of occurrence (<10%) suggesting the decrease in habitation density in this area. The species richness (R'), general diversity (H'), and evenness (E') of amphibians in this area were 0.98, 2.12, and 0.76, respectively, suggesting relatively healthy condition of amphibian community in this area.

Solute Transport Analysis in a Natural River using Convolutional Storage Model (합성곱 저장대모형을 이용한 하천에서의 용존물질 거동 해석)

  • Kim, Byunguk;Seo, Il Won;Gwon, Si-Yun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.200-200
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    • 2021
  • 하천은 용수공급, 관개, 친수활동, 산업활동 등 인간의 활동에 중요한 역할을 한다. 이에 따라 수질관리는 필수적이며 유기물, 중금속, 화학물질 등의 용존물질들은 수질문제에 직접적으로 영향을 미친다. 따라서 하천에서의 용존물질의 혼합 거동을 파악하기 위한 연구가 지난 수십년간 이루어지고 있다. 하천 흐름에 따른 오염물질의 이동 및 확산 거동을 예측하기 위하여 1차원 추적모형이 활용되는데, 그 중 하천저장대 모형(Transient Storage Model, TSM)은 자연하천의 복잡하고 불규칙한 수리·지형적인 특성을 단순하게 반영할 수 있다는 장점때문에 가장 많이 사용된다. 하지만 TSM은 매개변수에 대한 의존성과 불확도가 크며, TSM의 저장대에서의 농도분포에 대한 지수함수형태의 모델링이 하상간극수역(Hyporheic zone)에서의 저장대 특성을 반영하기에 구조적으로 부정확하다는 단점이 제기되고 있다. 최근 이러한 TSM의 단점을 보완하고 하천에서의 저장대 메커니즘을 보다 정확하게 구현하고자 체류시간분포(residence time distribution)를 이용한 확률론적 저장대 모델링 프레임워크가 등장하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 본류대와 저장대에서의 오염물질의 체류시간분포를 분리하여 해석하고 이를 전달함수(transfer function)를 이용한 합성곱으로 결합한 형태의 프레임워크를 적용하여 모델링하였다. 상기의 모형을 검증하기 위하여 2019년 감천의 4.85km 구간에서 추적자 실험을 실시하였다. 실험 당시 유량은 12.9 m3/s로 풍수기에 해당되며 평균 유속은 약 0.6 m/s로 측정되었다. 모형의 매개변수는 추적자 실험으로부터 최적화 기법을 통해 역모델링기법으로 결정하였다. 제안된 모형에 의한 모의 결과를 추적자 실험에서의 농도측정자료와 비교한 결과, 평균 0.988의 결정계수를 보여 매우 높은 정확도를 보이고 있음을 알 수 있었다. 저장대특성을 나타내는 농도곡선의 꼬리부에 대하여 같은 조건에서 1차원 이송-분산(ADE) 모형, TSM의 모의결과와도 비교한 결과 본 모형은 추적자 실험 농도측정 결과와 평균 0.195의 오차율을 보이며, 이는 ADE 모형과 TSM의 오차율인 14.03과 1.866에 비해 매우 정확한 것으로 나타났다.

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Establishment of the High-Throughput Hair Roots' DNA Isolation System and Verification of Its Appicability for Hanwoo Traceability Using the 11 Microsatellite Makes (대량 모근 시료 DNA 분리 체계 확립과 11 microsatellite maker를 사용하는 한우 생산이력제로의 적용가능성 검증)

  • Lim, Hyun-Tae;Lee, Sang-Ho;Yoo, Chae-Kyoung;Sun, Du-Won;Cho, In-Cheol;Yoon, Du-Hak;Yang, Dae-Young;Cheong, Il-Cheong;Lee, Jung-Gyu;Jeon, Jin-Tae
    • Journal of agriculture & life science
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    • v.44 no.6
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    • pp.91-99
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    • 2010
  • We used a multiplex PCR primer set composed of 11 microsatellite (MS) markers and two sexing markers for gender detection. Genomic DNA extracted from hair roots of 3,510 Hanwoo were genotyped. Based on the 11MS markers, no animals had identical genotypes(TGLA227, BM2113, TGLA53, ETF10, SPS115, TGLA122, ETH3, ETH225, BM1824 and INRA23). The expected probability of identity among genotypes of random individuals (PI), the probability of identity among genotypes from random half-sibs ($PI_{half-sibs}$) and among genotypes of random individuals, and the probability of identity among genotypes from random sibs ($PI_{sibs}$) were estimated as $1.31{\times}10^{-23}$, $2.52{\times}10^{-16}$and $1.09{\times}10^{-6}$, respectively using the API-CALC program, version 1.0. We successfully completed the genotype analysis of 3,510 Hanwoo with a 3.93% genotyping failure rate. It was revealed that extracting DNA from the hair root was a time-efficient and cost-effective method to collect specimens for DNA isolation from live animals. This method also minimized stress for the animals during specimen collection. Among the hair roots from the back, belly, upper tail and lower tail, 5~13 hair roots of the lower tail led to the best genotype analysis results. Finally, we established a 96-well-format method of DNA preparation applicable for high- throughput genotype analysis.

Analysis of extreme wind speed and precipitation using copula (코플라함수를 이용한 극단치 강풍과 강수 분석)

  • Kwon, Taeyong;Yoon, Sanghoo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.797-810
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    • 2017
  • The Korean peninsula is exposed to typhoons every year. Typhoons cause huge socioeconomic damage because tropical cyclones tend to occur with strong winds and heavy precipitation. In order to understand the complex dependence structure between strong winds and heavy precipitation, the copula links a set of univariate distributions to a multivariate distribution and has been actively studied in the field of hydrology. In this study, we carried out analysis using data of wind speed and precipitation collected from the weather stations in Busan and Jeju. Log-Normal, Gamma, and Weibull distributions were considered to explain marginal distributions of the copula. Kolmogorov-Smirnov, Cramer-von-Mises, and Anderson-Darling test statistics were employed for testing the goodness-of-fit of marginal distribution. Observed pseudo data were calculated through inverse transformation method for establishing the copula. Elliptical, archimedean, and extreme copula were considered to explain the dependence structure between strong winds and heavy precipitation. In selecting the best copula, we employed the Cramer-von-Mises test and cross-validation. In Busan, precipitation according to average wind speed followed t copula and precipitation just as maximum wind speed adopted Clayton copula. In Jeju, precipitation according to maximum wind speed complied Normal copula and average wind speed as stated in precipitation followed Frank copula and maximum wind speed according to precipitation observed Husler-Reiss copula.

On the distribution-free tests for umbrella alternatives in a randomized block design (화률화 블록 계획법에서 우산형 대립가설에 대한 분포부관 검정법의 연구)

  • 김동희;김영철
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.41-57
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    • 1992
  • Distribution-free test for umbrella alternatives in a randomized block design is proposed and asymptotic properties test statistics and the asymptotic relatives efficiency (ARE) of the proposed test statistics with respect to the Puri's parametric method are investigated. For given peak points 2,3,4, with 4 blocks and 5 treatments, and with 3 blocks and 5 treatments : for given peak point 3, with 2 blocks and 4 treatments : from the small sample Monte Carlo Study, the empirical powers between the proposed test and Puri's test are compared. Throughout the simulation results, the proposed test statistic is efficient for the heavy tailed distributions.

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GENERAL CONVERGENCE ANALYSIS OF THE LVCMS ALGORITHM (LVCMS 알고리즘에 대한 일반적인 수렴 특성 분석)

  • Nam, Seung-Hyon;Kim, Yong-Hoh
    • The Journal of Natural Sciences
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.63-67
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    • 1996
  • Adaptive algorithms based on the higher order error criterion such as the LVCMS and the LMF show performance degradation if input signal contains additive noise with a heavier-tailed density. Conventional analysis often neglects higher order terms in the recursion and my not suit for prediction exact behavior of these higher order algorithms. This paper presents a new convergence analysis which contains all the higher order term in the recursion. The analysis shows that the higher order terms, which are often neglected, dose not affect the upper bound on the step size but the misadjustment. However, the effect decreases sharply proportional to the square of the step size.

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Explicit Expression for Moment of Waiting Time in a DBR Line Production System with Constant Processing Times Using Max-plus Algebra (Max-plus 대수를 이용한 상수 공정시간을 갖는 DBR 라인 생산시스템에서의 대기시간에 대한 간결한 표현식)

  • Park, Philip;Seo, Dong-Won
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.11-17
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    • 2015
  • Although systems with finite capacities have been the topic of much study, there are as of yet no analytic expressions for (higher) moment and tail probability of stationary waiting times in systems with even constant processing times. The normal queueing theory cannot properly handle such systems due to the difficulties caused by finite capacity. In this study, for a DBR (Drum-Buffer-Rope) line production system with constant processing times, we introduce analytic expressions by using previous results obtained using a max-plus algebraic approach.

Estimation of Residual Useful Life and Tracking of Real-time Damage Paths of Rubble-Mound Breakwaters Using Stochastic Wiener Process (추계학적 위너 확률과정을 이용한 경사제의 실시간 피해경로 추적과 잔류수명 추정)

  • Lee, Cheol-Eung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.147-160
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    • 2020
  • A stochastic probabilistic model for harbor structures such as rubble-mound breakwater has been formulated by using the generalized Wiener process considering the nonlinearity of damage drift and its nonlinear uncertainty, by which the damage path with real-time can be tracked, the residual useful lifetime at some age can also be analyzed properly. The formulated stochastic model can easily calculate the probability of failure with the passage of time through the probability density function of cumulative damage. In particular, the probability density functions of residual useful lifetime of the existing harbor structures can be derived, which can take into account the current age, its present damage state and the future damage process to be occurred. By using the maximum likelihood method and the least square method together, the involved parameters in the stochastic model can be estimated. In the calibration of the stochastic model presented in this paper, the present results are very well similar with the results of MCS about tracking of the damage paths as well as evaluating of the density functions of the cumulative damage and the residual useful lifetime. MTTF and MRL are also evaluated exactly. Meanwhile, the stochastic probabilistic model has been applied to the rubble-mound breakwater. The related parameters can be estimated by using the experimental data of the cumulative damages of armor units measured as a function of time. The theoretical results about the probability density function of cumulative damage and the probability of failure are very well agreed with MCS results such that the density functions of the cumulative damage tend to move to rightward and the amounts of its uncertainty are increased as the elapsed time goes on. Thus, the probabilities of failure with the elapsed time are also increased sharply. Finally, the behaviors of residual useful lifetime have been investigated with the elapsed age. It is concluded for rubble-mound breakwaters that the probability density functions of residual useful lifetime tends to have a longer tail in the right side rather than the left side because of the gradual increases of cumulative damage of armor units. Therefore, its MRLs are sharply decreased after some age. In this paper, the special attentions are paid to the relationship of MTTF and MRL and the elapsed age of the existing structure. In spite of that the sum of the elapsed age and MRL must be equal to MTTF deterministically, the large difference has been shown as the elapsed age is increased which is due to the uncertainty of cumulative damage to be occurred in the future.

Bivariate skewness, kurtosis and surface plot (이변량 왜도, 첨도 그리고 표면그림)

  • Hong, Chong Sun;Sung, Jae Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.959-970
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    • 2017
  • In this study, we propose bivariate skewness and kurtosis statistics and suggest a surface plot that can visually implement bivariate data containing the correlation coefficient. The skewness statistic is expressed in the form of a paired real values because this represents the skewed directions and degrees of the bivariate random sample. The kurtosis has a positive value which can determine how thick the tail part of the data is compared to the bivariate normal distribution. Moreover, the surface plot implements bivariate data based on the quantile vectors. Skewness and kurtosis are obtained and surface plots are explored for various types of bivariate data. With these results, it has been found that the values of the skewness and kurtosis reflect the characteristics of the bivariate data implemented by the surface plots. Therefore, the skewness, kurtosis and surface plot proposed in this paper could be used as one of valuable descriptive statistical methods for analyzing bivariate distributions.

A Study on the Ultra-Low Energy Ion Implantation using Local Cell Damage Accumulation Model (국부 셀 격자 결함 모델을 사용한 극 저 에너지 이온 주입에 관한 연구)

  • Kwon, Oh-Keun;Kang, Jeong-Won;Hwang, Ho-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics D
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    • v.36D no.7
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    • pp.9-16
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    • 1999
  • We have investigated effects of local damage accumulation for ultra-low energy As and B ion implant using highly efficient molecular dynamics(MD) scheme. We simulated ion implantation by MD simulation using recoil ion approximation (RIA) method and local cell damage accumulation (LCDA) model proposed in the paper. Local damage accumulation probability function consisted of deposited energy in a unit cell, implant dose rate, target material, projectile atom, and recoil event number. The simulated results were good agreement with the experimental and other simulated results. The MDRANGE results without damage accumulation were different from SIMS data in the tail region. We also simulated 2 dimensional dopant and damage profiles using the local damage accumulation model and recoil ion approximation method.

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