• Title/Summary/Keyword: 기후효과

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A Study on Comparative Analysis of Socio-economic Impact Assessment Methods on Climate Change and Necessity of Application for Water Management (기후변화의 사회경제적 영향평가 방법론 비교분석과 물관리 부문 적용 필요성에 관한연구)

  • Chee, Hee Mun;Park, Doo Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of societal Security
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.57-64
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    • 2011
  • Although it is uncertain that the cause of changed pattern of the natural disaster related to water (i.e. flood and drought) is due to excessive carbon dioxide yielded from economic activity or the increased number of sunspots, it is apparent that there have been unusual climate change that directly affects the water resource management. Due to such a frequent unusual weather activities, there have been increased natural disaster and the most direct and major reason is considered as climate change. As we see, the climate change necessarily causes social costs. Especially, the effects on the water resource due to flood and drought take the considerable part of such costs. Therefore, this study is basic work to develop a new economic analysis technique to be used in pursuing appropriate adaptation project in field of the amount of cost damage through analysis of the effects of the climate change on the water resource. The models appeared in many reports for cost assessment of climate change were various (e.g., PAGE, DICE, AIM, IMAGE, MERGE, and etc.) and this report summarizes general characteristics of each model. To assess the effects of climate change of the water management, we defined the field of the water management on climate change. The results help post-study in field of the climate change's social-economic effect assessment, can be employed for the prioritizing process of the national fund's investment.

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Assessing the Performance of CMIP5 GCMs for Various Climatic Elements and Indicators over the Southeast US (다양한 기후요소와 지표에 대한 CMIP5 GCMs 모델 성능 평가 -미국 남동부 지역을 대상으로-)

  • Hwang, Syewoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.11
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    • pp.1039-1050
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    • 2014
  • The goal of this study is to demonstrate the diversity of model performance for various climatic elements and indicators. We evaluated the skills of the most advanced 17 General Circulation Models (GCMs) i.e., CMIP5 (Climate Model Inter-comparison project, phase 5) climate models in reproducing retrospective climatology from 1950 to 2000 over the Southeast US for the key climatic elements important in the hydrological and agricultural perspectives (i.e., precipitation, maximum and minimum temperature, and wind speed). The biases of raw CMIP5 GCMs were estimated for 16 different climatic indicators that imply mean climatology, temporal variability, extreme frequency, etc. using a grid-based observational dataset as reference. Based on the error (RMSE) and correlation (R) of GCM outputs, the error-based GCM ranks were assigned on average over the indicators. Overall, the GCMs showed much better accuracy in representing mean climatology of temperature comparing to other elements whereas few GCM showed acceptable skills for precipitation. It was also found that the model skills and ranks would be substantially different by the climatic elements, error statistics applied for evaluation, and indicators as well. This study presents significance of GCM uncertainty and the needs of considering rational strategies for climate model evaluation and selection.

Assessment of Climate Change Communication via Facebook Social Network in Vietnam Today (베트남의 Facebook 소셜 네트워크를 통한 기후변화 대응 평가)

  • Tran, Thi Mai Phuong;Nguyen, Khac;Lee, Dal-Heui;Park, Tae-Yoon;Han, Shin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Earth Science Education
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.18-26
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    • 2019
  • Vietnam is one of the countries most affected by climate change. Therefore, communication activities on climate change in Vietnam are focused with various media such as television, newspapers, radio, internet etc. In particular, Facebook social network is a potential media but less interested and developed. In this topic, Audience Insight tool of the Facebook social network and the online sociological survey method were conducted to assess the current status and effectiveness of climate change communication activities via Facebook in Vietnam today. Vietnam ranks seventh in the world with 58 million users. However, the number of climate change communication fanpages has only about 15 fanpages with the largest number of followings is 94,721 persons. Among of the 10 most contented Facebook users in Vietnam today, there is no fanpage related to climate change. The results of research and evaluation two fanpages of climate change communication that are the most and most frequent followers in Vietnam showed that climate change communication via Facebook in Vietnam is not as effective as expected. At the same time, online survey results also pointed out the causes of the above problems. This is the scientific basis for management agencies to find the solutions to promote the strength of Facebook social network in climate change communication in the future.

자연에너지와 건축조경계획

  • Jo, Gyun-Hyeong
    • Solar Energy
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    • v.13 no.2_3
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    • pp.22-29
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    • 1993
  • Indoor thermal environment and energy consumption of buildings are preferentially affected by the microclimate around buildings. It is the first method to improve energy conservation effect of buildings and the ways to utilize natural energy for the comfortable residential environment that the difference between the microclimate condition and the indoor thermal condition is made in minimum as far as possible. There are many factors to control and minimize the difference, but landscape element is the major one among the factors. In this respect, the report analyzes landscape elements and their function to control microclimate and presents basic data for the desirable landscape planning mehtods to improve energy conservation effect of buildings and to attain the comfortable residential environment.

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Probability Precipitation Estimation according based on Sea Surface Temperature (해수면온도 변동에 따른 확률 강우량 산정)

  • Park, Myeong-Sun;Oh, Tae-Suk;Moon, Young-Il;Yoon, Sun-Kwon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.1337-1340
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구에서는 최근에 발생하는 자연재해의 형태는 점차 대형화되고 있으며, 지구온난화에 따른 기후변화로 인하여 극한강우사상의 발생 빈도의 양상이 변화하고 있는 추세이다. 따라서 기후변화의 효과를 반영한 확률강우량을 산정하여 평가할 필요성이 있다. 기상청에서 관측하고 있는 서울지점을 대상으로 일강우자료를 활용하여 강우사상의 변화특성에 대한 변동성과 경향성 분석을 수행하였으며, 지역가중인자를 이용하여 확률강우량을 산정하고, 마지막으로 수문기상인자인 해수면온도가 지구온난화에 따른 기후변화로 변화한다고 가정하여 미래의 확률강우량을 산정하여 비교하였다.

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Effects of Utilizing of Weather and Climate Information on Farmer's Income (기상·기후 정보 활용이 농가 소득에 미치는 효과 분석)

  • Jeong, Hak-Kyun
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.283-291
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the effects of useof weather and climate information on farmer income. To accomplish the objective of the study a farm survey was conducted, whose target respondents were local correspondents and reporters of the Korea Rural Economic Institute. The ordered logit model was employed for empirical analysis on determining whether use of weather and climate information affects farmer income. The analysis results show that the greater is farmer use of short-range weather forecasts, the higher is the income. The results also show higher farmers income with use of short-range special weather forecasts. Based upon the empirical results, the dissemination of more precise weather and climate information is suggested to increase farmer income.

Rainfall Prediction using the QPM by Province of the Korean Peninsula (고해상도 강수량 진단 모형(QPM)을 이용한 한반도 도별 강수 예측)

  • Kim, Ji-Hye;Oh, Jai-Ho;Jung, Yoo-Rim;Her, Mo-Rang
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.34-34
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    • 2011
  • 최근 우리나라에서는 기상이변과 기후변화에 의한 국지성 집중호우의 발생으로 인해 인명 및 재산 피해가 증가하는 추세이다. 따라서 이러한 기상현상을 좀 더 정확하게 예측하고 이를 대응하고자 악기상 모형의 개발과 구축 및 활용에 대한 연구들이 활발하게 진행 중에 있다. GCM이 제공하고 있는 많은 유용한 정보에도 불구하고 대부분의 모델이 시 공간 분해능과 물리 과정의 한계점으로 인해 지역적인 기후 특성이나 변화를 예측하기에는 많은 문제점들이 나타나고 있다. GCM의 한계점을 극복하기 위한 방법으로 세밀한 규모의 기후 정보를 얻기 위해 복잡한 지형과 해안선, 호수, 식생, 지표특성과 같은 아격자 규모의 강제 효과를 반영할 수 있는 고해상도 지역 기후 모델(Regional Climate Model, RCM)의 필요성이 제기되었다. 본 연구에서는 전지구 20km 격자자료를 입력장으로 하여 8km 격자로 한반도를 포함하는 도메인에 대해 비정역학 완전 압축성 중규모 모델인 WRF를 이용하여 상세예측자료를 생산하고자 하였다. 강수 예측의 경우 돌발적으로 발생하는 경우가 많아, 이를 예측하기 위해서는 상세한 강수량 정보를 빠른 시간 내에 정확히 제공할 수 있는 모델을 사용하여야 한다. 강수의 경우 온도와는 달리 공간적 편차가 매우 커 지역적으로 정확한 강수량을 예측 하는데 어려움이 있다. 상세강수 예측을 위해 미세 격자 규모의 비 정역학 모형을 사용할 경우 계산양이 매우 늘어나기 때문에 장시간의 모형 적분 시간뿐 아니라, 상당한 컴퓨터 자원을 필요로 하므로 이에 대한 대안으로 지형효과를 포함한 강수량 진단 모형인 QPM(Quantitative Precipitation Model)을 사용하였다. 최종적으로 한반도의 복잡한 지형적 영향을 반영하기 위해 1 km의 수평해상도를 가지는 고해상도 강수량 진단 모형(QPM)과 상세한 지리적, 공간적 분석을 할 수 있는 ARCGIS를 이용하여 한반도 도별 상세 강수자료를 생산하고자 한다.

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A Study on Climate Change KML Contents Publishing by using Meteorological Model (수치모델을 이용한 기후변화 KML 콘텐츠 출판 연구)

  • An, Seung-Man;Choi, Yeong-Jin;Eum, Jung-Hee;Jeon, Sang-Hee;Sung, Hyo-Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.35-45
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study is visualizing climate change contents from Weather Research and Forecasting model and providing useful tool to anyone who want to use them for communication and actual movement. As a results, we have built a process and user interface for publishing Arrow KML, BWS KML, and DI KML. Arrow KML provide wind rose service and wind attribute information for each arrow. BWS KML provide a wind power index and DI KML provide a thermal comfort. All KML contents are more reliable because those are visualized from the scientifically verified climate change prediction model. Further study will focus on searching for climate change contents mining and useful contents design for wide range of climate change mitigation/adaptation activity.

National Accounts and Greenhouse Gas Emissions: The Korea's NAMEA-air (국민계정과 온실가스 배출: 한국의 NAMEA-air 편제)

  • Kim, Jong-Ho;Kim, Hoseok
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.963-1001
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    • 2010
  • The national accounting matrix including environmental accounts(NAMEA) includes informations on environmental pressures in relation to economic activities as developed in the national accounts. In the NAMEA, conventional national accounts tables have been extended with accounts in physical units. This paper describes the background for work carried out on environmental accounts in Korea and explains how the NAMEA-air is developed. The Korea's NAMEA-air provided here serves several purposes; (1) a consistent and systemic feature of the interrelationship between the economy and the environment; (2) a basis for environmental economic analysis; and (3) the vital information for climate and air policy planning.

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Analyzing the Economic Relevance of Climate Variables in the Agriculture of Gangwon-do (기후변수가 강원도의 농업에 미친 경제적 효과 분석)

  • Jeong, Jun-Ho;Kim, Kwang-Bae
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.192-205
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    • 2012
  • This study estimates how much climate variables affect the land price and acreage of rice paddy and dry farm field in agriculture with the case of Gangwon-do in Korea. To this end, we capitalize upon the Ricardian approach based upon the panel data on climate, soil and geography, farmland prices and acreage, other economic and social variables for 11 municipal units comprising Gangwon-do during the period of 1992-2010. Our empirical analysis shows that the temperature variable has negative economic impacts on the price and acreage of rice paddy and dry farm field, confirming that the temperature variable is much significant than that of precipitation in global warming. On the other hand, the other determinants of farmland price and acreage are different with the type of farmland in Gangwon-do.

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