• Title/Summary/Keyword: 기후변화 민감도

Search Result 254, Processing Time 0.035 seconds

Establishment of Flood Risk Index for Flood Management (치수특성평가를 위한 홍수위험지수 개발)

  • Lee, Dong-Ryul;Lim, Kwang-Suop;Choi, Si-Jung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2009.05a
    • /
    • pp.342-346
    • /
    • 2009
  • 홍수피해를 발생시키는 외부적인 요소 측면에서 과거와는 다른 강우특성이 뚜렷이 나타나고 있고, 홍수 피해의 측면에서 홍수에 의한 피해 잠재성이 매우 커지고 있는 시점에서 치수대책은 내 외부적인 여건변화에 민감하게 대처해야 한다. 수자원장기종합계획보고서(국토해양부, 2006)에서는 과거와 같은 제방위주의 치수대책으로는 변화하고 있는 강우상황에 대처할 수 없을 뿐만 아니라 급증하는 홍수피해를 줄이기에는 한계가 있다고 강조하고 있다. 따라서 이와 같은 내 외부적인 환경변화에 대응하기 위해 새로운 패러다임의 홍수대책의 수립이 필요하고, 급변하는 기후변동에 의한 유역의 홍수취약성을 파악하기 위한 지표를 개발하여 치수 정책과 관련 사업의 의사결정을 지원할 수 있는 체계가 뒷받침 되어야 한다. 본 연구에서는 P(Pressure, 압력)-S(State, 현상)-R(Response, 대책) 구성체계를 기반으로 홍수위험지수(Flood Risk Index, FRI)를 개발하여 유역 간 홍수의 취약성 비교 분석을 하고 해당 지역의 주된 취약요인을 파악하여 정부 및 지자체의 치수관련 정책 결정을 효과적으로 지원할 수 있도록 하는데 목적이 있다.

  • PDF

북극해 항로 검토를 위한 북극해빙 모니터링

  • Yang, Chan-Su
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
    • /
    • 2009.06a
    • /
    • pp.21-22
    • /
    • 2009
  • 북극의 환경은 전 지구적으로 환경변화에 민감하다. 그중 해빙의 증가 및 감소는 지구의 온난화 진행의 지표로 작용을 한다. 본 연구에서는, 수동 마이크로파 센서인 AMSR-E를 이용하여 북극을 중심으로 북위 $60^{\circ}$ 이내의 지역에서 2002년$\sim$2009년 동안의 북극해빙 면적에 관한 데이터를 획득하고 북극 해빙 전체면적의 증가 및 감소에 관한 변화를 관측하였다. 추가로, 고해상도인 합성개구레이더를 이용하여 북극 다산기지 주변 해역에 대해 얻어진 데이터의 결과에 대해 고찰한다. 구체적인 연구 내용은 다음과 같다. 1. 북극 해빙 면적의 연변동 조사, 2. 북극 해역별 해빙 분포 특성, 3. 해빙 변동 특성 해석, 4. 향후, 활용 방향 소개: 온난화에 따른 북극 기후 변화, 북극 자원탐사 및 항로 개발 적용 방안, 5. SAR의 주파수별, 편파별 해빙 산란 특성 기초 조사 및 향후 활용 방향, 6. 북극 현장 관측 프로그램 소개.

  • PDF

Landslide Vulnerability Mapping considering GCI(Geospatial Correlative Integration) and Rainfall Probability In Inje (GCI(Geospatial Correlative Integration) 및 확률강우량을 고려한 인제지역 산사태 취약성도 작성)

  • Lee, Moung-Jin;Lee, Sa-Ro;Jeon, Seong-Woo;Kim, Geun-Han
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
    • /
    • v.12 no.3
    • /
    • pp.21-47
    • /
    • 2013
  • The aim is to analysis landslide vulnerability in Inje, Korea, using GCI(Geospatial Correlative Integration) and probability rainfalls based on geographic information system (GIS). In order to achieve this goal, identified indicators influencing landslides based on literature review. We include indicators of exposure to climate(rainfall probability), sensitivity(slope, aspect, curvature, geology, topography, soil drainage, soil material, soil thickness and soil texture) and adaptive capacity(timber diameter, timber type, timber density and timber age). All data were collected, processed, and compiled in a spatial database using GIS. Karisan-ri that had experienced 470 landslides by Typhoon Ewinia in 2006 was selected for analysis and verification. The 50% of landslide data were randomly selected to use as training data, while the other 50% being used for verification. The probability of landslides for target years (1 year, 3 years, 10 years, 50 years, and 100 years) was calculated assuming that landslides are triggered by 3-day cumulative rainfalls of 449 mm. Results show that number of slope has comparatively strong influence on landslide damage. And inclination of $25{\sim}30^{\circ}C$, the highest correlation landslide. Improved previous landslide vulnerability methodology by adopting GCI. Also, vulnerability map provides meaningful information for decision makers regarding priority areas for implementing landslide mitigation policies.

  • PDF

Changes on Growth, Photosynthesis and Pigment contents of the Maackia amurensis and Viburnum opulus var. calvescens under Enhanced Temperature and CO2 Concentration (온도와 CO2 농도 증가에 따른 다릅나무와 백당나무의 생장, 광합성 및 광색소 함량 변화)

  • Han, Sim-Hee;Kim, Du-Hyun;Kim, Gil-Nam;Lee, Jae-Cheon
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
    • /
    • v.13 no.3
    • /
    • pp.115-122
    • /
    • 2011
  • The impacts of elevated temperature and $CO_2$ were studied on the seedlings of Maackia amurensis and Viburnum opulus var. calvescens. The seedlings were grown in controlled-environment growth chambers with four combinations of temperature and $CO_2$ treatments: $25^{\circ}C$ + ambient $CO_2$ (400 ppm), $25^{\circ}C$ + elevated $CO_2$ (800 ppm), $30^{\circ}C$ + ambient $CO_2$ (400 ppm), and $30^{\circ}C$ + elevated $CO_2$ (800 ppm). Under elevated temperature and $CO_2$ concentration, the dry weight decreased in seedlings of M. amurensis, but increased in seedlings of V. opulus var. calvescens. In addition, the shoot to root (S/R) ratio in M. amurensis reduced but that of V. opulus var. calvescens increased under elevated $CO_2$ concentration. The S/R ratios of two tree species increased under higher temperature. M. amurensis represented lower carboxylation efficiency under higher temperature and $CO_2$ concentration and that of V. opulus var. calvescens showed lower values under the only higher temperature. Photosynthetic pigment content of in the leaves of M. amurensis was lower under higher $CO_2$ concentration and higher under the increase of temperature, but that of V. V. opulus var. calvescens decreased according to the increase of temperature. Chlorophyll a/b ratios of M. amurensis and V. V. opulus var. calvescens decreased obviously with the increase of $CO_2$ concentration and temperature, respectively. In conclusion, the growth and physiological responses under the environmental changes such as temperature and $CO_2$ concentration depend on the tree species. Therefore, more studies are needed to predict the response of each tree species against the climate changes.

Economic Analysis on a PV System in an Apartment Complex (공동주택 태양광발전 시스템의 경제성 평가)

  • Kim, Jin-Hyung
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
    • /
    • v.1 no.2
    • /
    • pp.163-177
    • /
    • 2010
  • This study analyzes the economies of photovoltaic systems in an apartment complex of 1,185 households, in cases of feed-in tariff and subsidy for solar home program of the government. When including the revenue only from electricity sales, NPVs of subsidy and that of feed-in tariff are -560 million KRW and -87 million KRW respectively. With the avoided social cost included without the revenues from CERs, NPVs of subsidy and feed-in tariff are -556 million KRW and -84 million KRW respectively. With the revenues from CERs, NPV of subsidy is -526 million KRW and NPV of feed-in tariff is -54 million KRW. As results of sensitivity analysis based on the changes in capital costs and discount rates, while all scenarios with subsidy including the revenues from CERs are not commercially viable, all scenarios with feed-in tariff exclusive of the revenues from CERs are commercially viable when discount rate is less than 7.2% or capital cost is less than 6,840 thousand KRW/kW. In the cases that include the avoided social cost, while all scenarios with subsidy including the avoided social cost as well as the revenues from CERs are not commercially viable, all scenarios with feed-in tariff are commercially viable without the revenues from CERs when discount rate is less than 7.2% or capital cost is less than 6,856 thousand KRW/KW. The results indicate that the changes in discount rates do not influence the revenues from CERs, but the revenues from electricity sale. Considering that the number of apartment complex and the positive environmental and social benefits from PV system, government needs to promote its diffusion.

Ranking Determination of Foods and Foodborne Pathogens for Impact of Climate Change on Microbiological Food Safety (미생물학적 식품안전을 위한 기후변화 영향 식품 및 식중독 세균 우선순위 결정)

  • Bahk, Gyung Jin;Ha, Sang Do;Oh, Deog Hwan
    • Journal of Food Hygiene and Safety
    • /
    • v.28 no.1
    • /
    • pp.36-40
    • /
    • 2013
  • This study was performed to determine the ranking foods and related foodborne pathogens for the impact of climate change, e.g., increasing temperature, on microbiological food safety. To do this, we developed an impact-ranking model comprising an Excel spreadsheet by using Risk Ranger. Because of a lack of data, input values in this model were determined on the basis of an expert's opinion. These values also were converted to normal distribution, and the developed model was simulated using @RISK. In conclusion, the 5 superior ranking foods and related foodborne pathogens for climate change impact were as follows: ready-to-eat foods (RTE) (Staphylococcus aureus, Salmonella spp., and Escherichia coli O157:H7); bread and rice cakes (S. aureus and Bacillus cereus); meat and egg products (Salmonella spp., E. coli O157:H7, and S. aureus); tofu (bean curds) and jellies (B. cereus, E. coli O157:H7, and S. aureus); and fish products (S. aureus, Vibrio spp., and E. coli O157:H7).

Trend Analyses of Monthly Precipitation in Jeolla According to Climate Change Scenarios Using an Innovative Polygon Trend Analysis (혁신적 다각 경향성 분석을 이용한 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 전라도 월 강수량의 경향성 분석)

  • Hong, Dahee;Kim, Soukwoo;Cho, Hyeonseon;Yoo, Jiyoung;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.44 no.3
    • /
    • pp.315-328
    • /
    • 2024
  • Precipitation is a crucial meteorological variable widely used as essential input data in most hydrological models. However, due to climate change, there is an escalating precipitation variability. Trend analysis plays an important role in planning and operating water resources systems. As recently developed, Innovative Polygon Trend Analysis (IPTA) is useful in identifying and and analyzing the trends of hydrologic variables. In this study, the IPTA was applied to monthly precipitation data obtained from 13 meteorological observatories in Jeolla province, along with synthesized precipitation data according to Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) scenarios. The trend results were compared those obtained from the Mann-Kendall test and the Sen's slope estimation which are generally used in practice. The results revealed monthly precipitations from February to July and November had increasing trends, and monthly precipitation in October had a decreasing trend. IPTA, Mann-Kendall test, and Sen's slope estimation detected trends in 75.00 %, 5.13 %, and 5.13 % of 156(13 stations × 12 months) time series of monthly precipitation, respectively, which indicates that the IPTA is more sensitive in trend detection compared to the Mann-Kendall test and Sen's slope estimation.

Comparison Study of the Snout-vent Length (SVL) and the Biomass for the Climate Change Sensitive Species, Narrow-mouthed Toads (Kaloula borealis, Endangered Species II), at the three different areas (Seoul, Nonsan, Busan) of South Korea (남한의 세지역(서울·논산·부산)에서 기후변화 민감종인 맹꽁이(Kaloula borealis, 멸종위기 야생동물 II급)의 체장길이 및 몸무게 차이 비교 연구)

  • An, Chi-Kyung;Hong, Sung-Gu;Na, Sumi;Doh, Jiseon;Oh, Ki Cheol;Yi, Hoonbok
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
    • /
    • v.22 no.1
    • /
    • pp.8-14
    • /
    • 2020
  • This study was carried out to compare the Snout-vent length (SVL) and the biomass for the endangered species II, narrow-mouthed toad (Kaloula borealis), at the three different latitude sites (Seoul, Nonsan, Busan) in Korea. For the narrow-mouthed toad study, pitfall traps and inducement traps were used to catch the species, and environmental factors (temperature, precipitation, humidity) were compared by region. As a result of this study, each of the male narrow-mouthed toads' SVL and biomass in Busan was 41.6±0.39mm, and 11.3±0.17g, which showed that it was the biggest and heaviest among the three regions. For Seoul and Nonsan, each of the SVL of the female narrow-mouthed toad was 36.6±2.03mm, 36.6±1.76mm, and the biomass was 8.1±0.55g, 8.2±0.91g, which showed that there was no significant difference between Seoul and Nonsan. Each of the female narrow-mouthed frogs' SVL and biomass in Busan was 44.7±0.35mm, 13.1±0.18g, which was also biggest but showed no significant difference in biomass by region. Concluding, this showed that the female narrow-mouthed toad in Busan is larger and heavier than those of other regions. We hope this study will be a standard for the future amphibian research with comparing the SVL and biomass for the endangered species II, narrow-mouthed toad. It is expected that if this kind of study keeps for long, it will be a basis for understanding changes in biomass of amphibian species due to climate change.

A Proposal of the Prediction Method of Decentralized Power on Climatic Change (기후 변화에 따른 분산 전력 예측 방법 제안)

  • Kim, Jeong-Young;Kim, Bo-Min;Bang, Hyun-Jin;Jang, Min-Seok
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
    • /
    • 2010.05a
    • /
    • pp.942-945
    • /
    • 2010
  • The development of decentralized power has appeared as part of an effort to decrease the energy loss and the cost for electric power facilities through installing small renewable energy generation systems including solar and wind power generation. Recently a new era for decentralized power environment in building is coming in order to handle the climatic and environmental change occurred all over the world. Especially solar and wind power generation systems can be easily set up and are also economically feasible, and thus many industrial companies enter into this business. This paper suggests the overall architecture for the decentralized renewable power system and the prediction method of power on climatic change. The ultimate goal is to help manage the overall power efficiently and thus provide the technological basis for achieving zero-energy house.

  • PDF

Paleoclimatic Reconstruction in the Central Great Plains Using Environmental Magnetism and Stable Isotope (자성과 동위원소를 이용한 중부대평원의 고기후 복원)

  • Kyeong Park
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
    • /
    • v.33 no.3
    • /
    • pp.377-394
    • /
    • 1998
  • The magnetic record of loess deposits may be one of the most detailed and useful records of Quatermary climate change on the continents. Stratigraphic variations of magnetic parameters define alternating zones of high and low concentrations of magnetic minerals. All the concentration-sensitive magnetic parameters show an increase within the interstadial Gilman Canyon Formation and interglacial Brady soil and a systematic decrease within the Wisconsinan Peoria loess. The influence of climate change on magnetic records is confirmed by a high correlation between the magnetic parameters and biological proxies. Rock magnetic data appear to be better correlated with temperature-sensitive biological proxies than does a precipitation-sensitive index such as the aridity index derived from opal phytoliths. Simultaneous, higher resolution sampling of magnetic and biological proxies proved to be a better sampling tactic, and enhanced the feasibility of rock magnetic parameters as independent climate proxies.

  • PDF