• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.23 no.3 s.81
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• pp.61-71
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• 2005

We evaluated the availability of Origin-Destination Matrix from traffic counts Using conjugate gradient method to large scale networks by applying it to the networks in 246 zones. As a result of the analysis of the consistency of the model on Nationwide Networks, the upper and lower levels in model had the systematic relationship internally. From the analysis of the estimable power or the model according to the number of traffic counting links, the error in traffic volume had the estimable power in the range of permissible error. In addition, the estimable power of estimation of an Origin-Destination Matrix was more satisfactory than that of existing methods. We conclude that conjugate gradient method cab be applied to nationwide networks if we can make sure that the algorithm of the developed model is reliable by doing various kinds of experiment.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.32 no.4
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• pp.165-182
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• 2016

This study examines the competitiveness and cooperativeness among the container ports in East Asia by analyzing their monthly dynamics in eight years (2008-2015). Time series data on container throughput divided into origin and destination (O/D), such as the top six Chinese ports and the transshipment (T/S) ports such as Hong Kong, Busan, and Singapore, are computed with two methods based on the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). The first Granger causality test results show that Busan T/S has significant bilateral relations with three Chinese O/D ports; and significant unidirectional relations with three other O/D ports. Shenzhen port has significant bilateral relations with Singapore, and has a significant unidirectional relation with Hong Kong port. Co-integrating test results showed that Busan holds negative co-integration with all Chinese O/D ports. Impulse response function (IRF) results show an opposite direction between paired ports. The ratios of the impulse from T/S ports are significantly high to one another in the short-run, but its power declines as time passes. The ratio of the impulse from the Chinese ports to T/S ports is less significant in the short-run period, however, it becomes more significant as time passes. The significance of most shocks was high in the second period, but was diluted after the sixth period.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.19 no.5
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• pp.49-59
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• 2001

In the transportation planning process, origin and destination(O-D) trip matrix is one of the most important elements. There have been developments and applications of the methodology to adjust old matrices using link traffic counts. Commonly, the accuracy of an adjusted O-D matrix depends very much on the reliability of the input data such as the numbers and locations of traffic counting points in the road network. In the real application of the methodology, decisions on the numbers and locations of traffic counting points are one of the difficult problems, because usually as networks become bigger, the numbers of traffic counting points are required more. Therefore, this paper investigates these issues as an experiment using a nationwide network in Korea. We have compared and contrasted the set of link flows assigned by the old and the adjusted O-D matrices with the set of observed link flows. It has been analyzed by increasing the number of the traffic counting points on the experimental road network. As a result of these analyses, we can see an optimal set of the number of counting links through statistical analysis, which are approximately ten percentages of the total link numbers. In addition, the results show that the discrepancies between the old and the adjusted matrices in terms of the trip length frequency distributions and the assigned and the counted link flows are minimized using the optimal set of the counted links.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.27 no.1
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• pp.117-127
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• 2009

This study analyzed the uncertainty of the forecasted link traffic flow, and estimated of the interval link flow using Korea Transport Data Base (KTDB) to consider those risks into the feasibility study. In the paper, the uncertainty was analyzed according to the stochastic variation of the KTDB origin-destination traffic. It was found that the uncertainty of the entire network traffic forecasts was 15.4% in average,. when the stochastic variation of the KTDB was considered. The results showed that the more congested the roads were, the bigger the uncertainty of forecasted link traffic flow were found. In particular, we estimated the variance of the forecasted traffic flow, and suggested interval estimates of the forecasted traffic flow instead of point estimates which were presented in the common feasibility studies. These results are expected to contribute the quantitative evaluation of uncertain road investment projects and to provide valuable information to the decision makers for the transport investment.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.35 no.5
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• pp.409-422
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• 2017

TOD (Transit-Oriented Development) is one of the urban structure concentrated on the multifunctional space/district with public transportation system, which is introduced for maintaining sustainable future cities. With such trends, the project of building complex transferring centers located at a urban railway station has widely been spreaded and a comprehensive and systematic analytical framework is required to clarify and readily understand the complicated procedure of estimation with the large scale of the project. By doing so, this study is to develop a comprehensive analytical framework for estimating a pedestrian OD matrix using a spatial information and an integrated smart card data, which is so called a data depository and it has been applied to the Samseong station for the model validation. The proposed analytical framework contributes on providing a chance to possibly extend with digitalized and automated data collection technologies and a BigData mining methods.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2013.06a
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• pp.144-145
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• 2013

우리나라는 수출입화물의 99% 이상이 항만을 통해 해외로 운송되고 있는 관계로 해상화물 운송이 국가적으로 매우 중요한 역할을 수행하고 있다. 해상화물은 크게 일반화물(벌크화물)과 컨테이너화물로 구분되는데 컨테이너화물은 갈수록 그 비중이 증가하고 있어 국내 물류망 개선뿐만 아니라 물류비 인하와 관련해 매우 중요한 부분을 차지하고 있다. 따라서 컨테이너화물의 운송에 대한 기초 연구들은 사회경제적으로 매우 중요한 역할을 담당하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 2011년 기준 우리나라 컨테이너화물의 내륙기종점(O/D)에 관한 연구 분석결과를 중심으로 국내 수출입컨테이너의 주요 항만별, 수입 수출별, 내륙시도별 분포 현황을 살펴 본 후 그 시사점을 도출하고자 한다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.11 no.3
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• pp.31-48
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• 1993

본 연구에서는 다른 기종점 통행표(Trip Matrices)들을 같은 교통망(Network)에 배정하였을 때 교통분배 결과의 차이점들을 분석하고 교통분배의 민감도를 비교하였다. 전통적인 4단계 교통수요 추정에 의해서 산출된 교통배분을 비교의 기본자료로 이용했다. 또한 본 연구에서는 교통배분의 결과를 평가하기 위해 주로 사용하는 측정효과들과 교통배분의 기법들(Traffic Assignment Techniques)의 민감도도 연구조사하였다. 본 연구를 통하여 총교통량(Total Trips)과 통행길이빈도(Trip Length Frequency)제약에 의해 임의로 선출된 기종점 통행표를 이용한 교통배분의 결과는 전통적인 4단계 교통수요 측정에 의해 산출된 교통배분 및 조사교통량(Counted Traffic Volumes)에 매우 유사한 결과가 나왔다. 결론적으로 죤별 통행발생량에서의 오차는 교통배분의 본성적인 집계특성(Aggregative Nature)에 의하여 그 심각성이 감소되는 경향이 있다. 이것은 즉 앞단계(Trip Generation and Distribution Phases)에서 전통적으로 요구되어지는 정밀도가 없어도 적절한 교통배분기법을 사용함으로써 좋은 결과를 산출할 수 있다는 것을 암시한다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.29 no.4
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• pp.85-93
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• 2011

Many policies, such as transit-oriented development, encouraged use of bicycle and pedestrian, reduction of green house gas (GHG) and etc., have been deployed to support transport sustainability. Although various studies regarding GHG were presented, no one has yet adequately explained the behavior of travelers. This paper proposes a GHG emission model by highlighting its sensitivity, elasticity with regard to such travel cost as travel time, travel fare, and GHG pricing, introduced to reduce the amount of GHG in transportation system. For better estimation of GHG, the proposed model adopts (1) a production-constrained gravity model and (2) the travel distance from the origin and the destination (OD). The gravity model has a merit that it considers travel pattern between OD pairs. The model was tested with an example, and the promising results confirmed its validation and applications.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.26 no.4
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• pp.185-194
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• 2008

When forecasting demand for a new road, a select link analysis is usually used to understand the OD pairs that send trips along paths that use the selected link (i.e., the new road). These OD pairs and their associated volumes are listed in a select link analysis. However, there is no research about other methods to obtain these results, so experts are almost always dependent on select link analysis results to obtain these results. The purpose of this study is to propose a model with a different approach from select link analysis to obtain the previously mentioned results. Time and spatial characteristics of networks are used in this new approach. Select link analysis results are used as a comparison index for the results by the proposed model. Also, two case studies (interzonal trips and intracity trips) are performed to validate the significance of the model. Consequently, a correlation coefficient between the results by the proposed model and the comparison index shows high significance: 0.82.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.26 no.3
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• pp.119-128
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• 2008

Weather like rain, strong wind or snowfall may make the road condition deteriorated and sometimes induce traffic accidents, which lead to severe traffic congestion, thereby travelers may change their destinations elsewhere. Although origin-destination trip information is required to analyze transportation planning in urban area, there are little researches on the relationship between weather condition and travel patterns. This paper investigates the characteristics of travel patterns on expressway in rainy days of 2006. We compare the normal travel patterns with those of rainy days by the travel distance for each vehicle type. Results show that traffic volume and travel distance have been reduced in rainy days as we expect, and also show different travel patterns for weekday and weekend.