• Title/Summary/Keyword: 기술 리스크

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Probabilistic Safety Assessment of Gas Plant Using Fault Tree-based Bayesian Network (고장수목 기반 베이지안 네트워크를 이용한 가스 플랜트 시스템의 확률론적 안전성 평가)

  • Se-Hyeok Lee;Changuk Mun;Sangki Park;Jeong-Rae Cho;Junho Song
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.273-282
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    • 2023
  • Probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) has been widely used to evaluate the seismic risk of nuclear power plants (NPPs). However, studies on seismic PSA for process plants, such as gas plants, oil refineries, and chemical plants, have been scarce. This is because the major disasters to which these process plants are vulnerable include explosions, fires, and release (or dispersion) of toxic chemicals. However, seismic PSA is essential for the plants located in regions with significant earthquake risks. Seismic PSA entails probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA), event tree analysis (ETA), fault tree analysis (FTA), and fragility analysis for the structures and essential equipment items. Among those analyses, ETA can depict the accident sequence for core damage, which is the worst disaster and top event concerning NPPs. However, there is no general top event with regard to process plants. Therefore, PSA cannot be directly applied to process plants. Moreover, there is a paucity of studies on developing fragility curves for various equipment. This paper introduces PSA for gas plants based on FTA, which is then transformed into Bayesian network, that is, a probabilistic graph model that can aid risk-informed decision-making. Finally, the proposed method is applied to a gas plant, and several decision-making cases are demonstrated.

The Effect of Artificial Intelligence on Human Life by the Role of Increasing Value Added in the Industrial Sector (인공지능의 산업 분야 부가 가치 증대 역할에 따른 정책 수립 및 인간 생활에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Ji-Hyun;Yu, Ji-in;Jung, Ji-Won;Choi, Hun;Han, Jeong-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2022.10a
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    • pp.505-508
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    • 2022
  • Artificial intelligence itself has the value of advancing technology, and it is used in various industrial fields to enhance the added value of products and services produced in various industries. Therefore, regulations and policies related to artificial intelligence should be considered from a broader perspective. However, researchers have different understandings, and there is no agreement on how to regulate artificial intelligence. Therefore, we will examine the direction of government regulation on artificial intelligence technology in an exploratory manner. First, accountability, transparency, stability, and fairness are derived as the goals of artificial intelligence regulation, and the system itself, development process, and utilization process are set as the scope of regulation, and users and developers are subject to regulation. The academic significance of this study can be seen as analyzing the current level of artificial intelligence technology and laying the foundation for consistent discussions on artificial intelligence regulations in the future. Considering the life cycle from AI development to application, what is important is the balance of promotion policies to promote the artificial intelligence industry and regulatory policies to respond to the resulting risks. The goal of law related to artificial intelligence is to establish a system in which artificial intelligence can be accommodated in a positive direction to all participants, including developers, companies, and users.

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The Strategy for Global Competitiveness of the Outsourcing Logistics in the Information-Contents Business (정보콘텐츠 기업의 아웃소싱물류 국제 경쟁력전략)

  • Yun, Hui-Suk
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.241-263
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    • 2008
  • Since the outsourcing logistics business has been an emerging opportunities for many new service providers entering into such an ever-changing technology, knowledge and logistics market, it has resulted into a price-sensitive and high competition industry. In order to sharpen the global competitive power of the information-contents business in this severe environment, this research is engaged in meeting the following purposes: 1. well position the outsourcing logistics services in the logistics business industry 2. articulate the business model to compete in the outsourcing logistics services market, Information-contents industry. 3. propose a competitive strategy for a outsourcing logistics services provider to grow the information-contents business. This research report could also serve as a framework for the other logistics and the outsourcing services companies to plan out their competitive strategies of information-contents industry. For new comers to join the same market, it will be also helpful in positioning their services and making business decisions in a holistic view.

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Structural Safety Evaluation of Cable Stayed Bridge based on Cable Damage Scenarios (사장교 케이블 손상 사나리오에 따른 구조 안전 수준 평가)

  • Kim, Ga Young;Seo, Dong-Woo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.7
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    • pp.105-111
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    • 2018
  • This study aims to evaluate the safety for cable stayed bridge due to damages on the cable system. Many cable supported bridges, including cable stayed bridge and suspension bridge, have been built in the Korean peninsula. This requires efficient maintenance and management since this structure has complex structural components and system. This large structure also often faces risks either from manmade or natural phenomenon. In 2015 one cable-stayed bridge in South Korea had been struck by a bolt of lightning on the cables. This event had led to fire on cables. These cables had been damaged and putting the bridge at risk. This bridge was back in used after a few weeks of investigations and replacements of the cables. However, enormous social and economic expense were paid for recovery. After this event risk based management for infra structures is required by public demands. Therefore, this study was initiated and aimed to evaluate risks on the cable system due to potential damages. In this paper one cable-stayed bridge in South Korea was selected and investigated its safety based on the damage scenarios of cable system for efficient and prompt management, and for supporting decision making. FEM analysis was conducted to evaluate the safety of the bridges due to damages on the cable system.

Proposing the Method for Improving the Forecast Accuracy of Loan Underwriting (대출심사의 예측 정확도 향상을 위한 방법 제안)

  • Yang, Yu-Young;Park, Sang-Sung;Shin, Young-Geun;Jang, Dong-Sik
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.1419-1429
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    • 2010
  • Industry structure and environment of the domestic bank have been changed by an influx of large foreign-banks and advanced financial products when the currency crisis erupted in Korea. In a competitive environment, accurate forecasts of changes and tendencies are essential for the survival and development. Forecast of whether to approve loan applications for customer or not is an important matter because that is related to profit generation and risk management on the bank. Therefore, this paper proposes the method to improve forecast accuracy of loan underwriting. Processes in experiments are as follows. First, we select the predictor variables which affect significantly to the result of loan underwriting by correlation analysis and feature selection technique, and then cluster the customers by the 2-Step clustering technique based on selected variables. Second, we find the most accurate forecasting model for each clustering by applying LR, NN and SVM. Finally, we compare the forecasting accuracy of the proposed method with the forecasting accuracy of existing application way.

The Paradox and Pitfall in an Analytical Approach to China's Politics and Economics and The New Perspective (중국의 경제와 정치에 대한 분석과 새로운 비젼에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Eung-Kweon
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.403-425
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    • 2007
  • The sudden emergence of China as a superpower in world politics and economics is apparently a big surprise. This, however, is not an unusual incident. As far as the Chinese are concerned, they say that China is simply running almost the same track that its neighboring countries. In the recent years, a number of experts and scholars have expected that the emergence of China as a great economic power will be argued as a major issue in world politics and economics. So its economic progress will require experts and scholars to watch carefully how China is going to change. It certainly has created an atmosphere that most of the world leaders, experts and scholars are very concerned about China's remarkable performance in its economics and then willing to accept China's rapid growth as an urgent matter. Many experts and scholars began to analyze carefully the factors that have contributed to the rapid growth. Foreign direct investment (FDI), import-export, and economic reform were then listed as the most important factors. As a result, philosophy of economics, analytical economics, and economics are immediately needed for China who is at the moment very anxious to sustain the stable and continuity of rapid economic growth. But unfortunately China does not even recognize the reason why they need to adopt these economic concepts and methods.

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Value Management of Private Finance Initiative Projects (민간투자사업을 위한 VE 적용방안)

  • Lim, Jong-Kwon;Kim, Seoung-Il
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.123-130
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    • 2006
  • Recently, Korean government promotes BTL(Build-Transfer-Lease) for their public construction project to apply private sector's experience and finance initiatives. Many of public buildings and civil infrastructure projects were planned to be delivered by BTL and it helps to continue public projects under tight budget conditions. Since the characteristics of BTL projects, creative ideas for the project function, performance and its LCC (Life Cycle Cost) become more important than usual public work project. This paper introduces the systematic "VE job Plan" application techniques for BTL project and shows the process. This study shows the application of "VE job Plan" for BTL project to help decision making and value improvement. Also, Project cost was estimated by LCC (Life Cycle Cost) analysis. Technical "FAST diagram"was developed and used to find major functions of the project. So, it helps to improve performance of functions and make creative ideas. FAST diagram also help to find relationships between functions and cost. A case study (Daegu Art Gallery BTL Project) was conducted using proposed "VE job Plan. Study demonstrates how value management helps save money and increase functional performance. Researcher found that project can save cost and improve performance of functions significantly by using appropriate VE analysis process at appropriate time.

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An Analysis on the Influence of the Financial Market Fluctuations on the Housing Market before and after the Global Financial Crisis (글로벌 금융위기 전후 금융시장 변동이 주택시장에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Kim, Sang-Hyeon;Kim, Jae-Jun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.480-488
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    • 2016
  • As the subprime mortgage crisis spread globally, it depressed not only the financial market, but also the construction business in Korea. In fact, according to CERIK, the BSI of the construction businesses plunged from 80 points in December 2006 to 14.6 points in November 2008, and the extent of the depression in the housing sector was particularly serious. In this respect, this paper analyzes the influence of the financial market fluctuation on the housing market before and after the Global Financial Crisis using VECM. The periods from January 2000 to December 2007 and January 2008 to October 2015, before and after the financial crisis, were set as Models 1 and 2, respectively. The results are as follows. First, when the economy is good, the Gangnam housing market is an attractive one for investment. However, when it is depressed, the Gangnam housing market changes in response to the macroeconomic fluctuations. Second, the Gangbuk and Gangnam housing markets showed different responses to fluctuations in the financial market. Third, when the economy is bad, the effect of low interest rates is limited, due to the housing market risk.

A self-portrait of the information society: An Arguments on the SNS users' Responsibilities

  • Seo, Ran-Sug
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.25 no.8
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    • pp.159-172
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    • 2020
  • Social networking services (SNS) are developing significantly with the Internet and smartphones. It's a friendly social media, but if you think deeply about it, you'll find that it has a variety of faces. It is a communication tool between users, a medium for delivering information, an infrastructure for providing applications, and a community where people with common interests gather. In recent years, business tools, shopping and payment methods are also being swallowed. The influence of the spread of SNS on the real world is also expanding, and the work being dealt with from a sociological perspective is also increasing. Also, if you pay attention to the technical aspects of SNS, it is composed of various technical elements, such as infrastructure that handles large-scale access, user interface that supports comfortable use, and big data analysis to understand people's behavior more deeply. However, I usually use it as usual. However, if you look through SNS, you can see that the situation is surprisingly profound and multifaceted. This study began by looking at the history and current status of SNS and attempted to find its status through comparison with other media. From the point of view of relationship with society, it can be a risk and legal issue when using SNS, such as crimes using bad social media or social media. It is also necessary to comment on the activities on SNS or the guidelines established by the operators. Therefore, various legal issues on SNS will be discussed. Also, as an example of using SNS, I will introduce an example of using SNS in disaster response. From a more technical point of view, you will receive commentary on SNS's network-based technology and SNS's information use, and these articles will help you understand and use SNS safely and help you further utilize or develop SNS.

A Study on Computation of the Reduction Rate in the Total Cost of Ownership of the Open Source Software in Comparison to the Commercial Software (상용소프트웨어대비 공개소프트웨어 총소유비용 절감비율 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Shin-Pyo;Kim, Tae-Yeol;Park, Keun-Ha
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.115-126
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study was to confirm the extent of the reduction in the total cost of ownership of the open source software in comparison to the commercial software installed for information system, PC and cloud computing. Accordingly, the actual reduction rates in the total cost of ownership, when open source software is installed in the information system, PC and cloud computing, were computed and analyzed for 51 companies in the area of information system, 18 companies in the area of PC and 6 companies in the area of cloud computing, which included government institution, educational institution and private enterprises. The results of expert survey illustrated that the reduction rates are (1)63.3% on the average for the 4areas of information system, namely, DBMS, WAS, Web and OS, (2) 59.4% on the average for the 6 areas of PC, namely, OS, Documentation Program, Back-up and Restoration, Screen Capture, Vaccine and Others and (3) 61.2% on the average for the 6 areas of cloud computing, namely, Virtualization, OS, WEM/WAS, DBMS, DFS and Cloud Management.