• Title/Summary/Keyword: 기간신뢰도

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Development of GZF Assessment System on Rating Curve (수위-유량관계곡선식의 GZF 평가 시스템 개발)

  • Lee, Yeon-Kil;Shim, Eun-Jeung;Kim, Hyoung-Seop;Lee, Jin-Won;Jung, Sung-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.1854-1858
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    • 2007
  • 수자원 분야에서 가장 기본적이면서 중요한 과업 중의 하나는 고품질의 유량측정 자료를 확보하여 신뢰성 있는 수위-유량관계곡선식을 개발하는 것이다. 이는 수공구조물 설계, 친수 하천공간 조성, 친환경적인 하천의 설계, 하천 관리수량 산정, 홍수 예 경보 운영 등에 기본적인 자료를 제공하게 된다. 신뢰성 있는 곡선식은 계측장비의 개량과 유량관측 기준의 강화 등을 통하여 축적된 양질의 유량측정 자료로부터 개발될 수 있으며, 또한 수위관측소 지점의 하도특성과 통제구조물의 특성 등을 고려하는 것도 곡선식의 신뢰도를 높일 수 있다. 본 연구는 통제단면의 가장 낮은 부분의 수위로 정의되는 흐름이 0인 수위인 GZF(Gauge Height of Zero Flow) 평가에 관한 연구이다. 이와 같은 연구를 수행하기 위해서 GZF의 변화에 따라 곡선식의 신뢰도를 분석할 수 있는 시스템을 개발하였으며, 이 시스템은 사용자들이 쉽게 이용할 수 있는 엑셀 VBA(Visual Basic for Applications)를 이용하여 개발하였다. GZF 평가 시스템은 입력자료 구축 모듈, 수위관측소 지점의 하도 단면 입력 모듈, GZF 설정 모듈, GZF 평가 모듈의 4개 모듈로 구성되었다. 입력자료 구축 모듈은 기 개발된 곡선식의 GZF 적정성을 파악할 수 있도록 자료를 구축하는 모듈이며, 하도 단면 입력 모듈은 수위관측소 지점의 하상의 변화 유무와 구간분리, 기간분리 등의 필요성을 파악할 수 있도록 구성하였다. GZF 설정 모듈은 GZF의 변화가 곡선식의 신뢰도를 파악할 수 있도록 구성되었다. 마지막으로 GZF 평가 모듈은 기 개발된 곡선식의 GZF와 금회 개발될 곡선식의 GZF를 비교 분석할 수 있도록 구성되었다. 본 연구의 성과는 향후 수위-유량관계곡선식을 개발할 때 GZF 산정의 오류를 감소시켜 앞으로 개발될 곡선식의 신뢰도 향상에 기여를 할 것으로 판단된다.소를 파악해야한다. 7. 부아 유대에 대한 위협요소 확인을 위한 도구개발과 그들에 대한 효과적인 간호전략이 필요 된다. 8. 가족에 있어서 모든 부모행위가 하나의 독립변수로서 연구되어야 하고 부아유대 증진에 관한 연구가 시도되어야겠다. 오늘날 부모들은 임신기간동안 많은 정보에 접하기를 원한다. 산전, 산후의 교육과 지식은 긍정적인 부아 관계를 증진시키고, 이것은 아동의 발달에 크게 기여할 수 있다. 긍정적으로 이러한 관계는 가족단위를 강하게 통합시키게 되므로 건강관리자(Health care workers)들은 애착에 대해 높은 관심을 갖어야 하겠다.2유수지는 BTL사업을 통해 주변공단으로부터의 오폐수를 원천적으로 차단하도록 하였으며 2유수지를 매립하여 지하는 강우시 유출수 저류가 가능한 화물차주차장으로 활용하고 지상은 녹지공간으로 조성하여 공단근로자 및 지역주민을 위한 휴식공간으로 활용될 수 있도록 제안하였다. 본 연구는 남동유수지 환경 개선 사업 실행을 위한 정책 연구로 연구결과를 인천시가 적극 수용하기로 결정함에 따라 인천시의 환경 현안 문제인 남동유수지의 수질개선을 통해 시민의 휴식 및 여가선용 공간으로 활용하기 위한 사업의 기초자료로 활용되며 이미 설계검토가 시작되었다. 본 연구결과는 유수지 및 저수지의 환경개선 사업의 선두적인 성공사례로 국내 타 지역의 유사한 사업에 있어 벤치마킹을 할 수 있는 훌륭한 사례가 될 것이다.요 생산이 증가하자 군신의 변별(辨別)과 사치를 이유로 강력하게 규제하여 백자의 확대와 발전에 걸림돌이 되었다. 둘째, 동기(銅器)의 대체품으로 자기를 만들어 충당해야할 강제성 당위성 상실로 인한 자기수요 감소를 초래하였을 것으로 사료된다. 셋째, 경기도 광주에서 백자관요가 운영되었으므로 지방인 상주지역에도 더 이상 백자를 조달받을 필요가 없이, 일반 지방관아와 서민들의 일상용기 생산으로 전락하여 소규모화 되었을 것이라고 사료

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A Study on the Reliability Analysis of Anti-ship missile using Field Data (야전 운용자료를 이용한 대함유도탄의 신뢰도 분석 연구)

  • Kim, Seok-Kon;Wang, Young-Jin;Kim, Yong-Jin;Kim, Sung-Ouk;Lee, In-Hyun;Lee, Key-Seo
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.6 no.6
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    • pp.881-887
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, age exploration of ${\bigcirc}{\bigcirc}$ anti-ship missiles which were deployed on RoKN ships were analysed using parametric estimation method. Additionally, Life distribution and failure pattern of ${\bigcirc}{\bigcirc}$ anti-ship missile were analysed by using field data such as collected inspection, fail, maintenance record for 6 years. Storage failure and MTBF of missile and components were analysed by using reliability analysis s/w Weibull++ v7. The results were compared with maintenance policy including periodic inspection and MTBF which were analysed during development phase. Finally, the suggested methodology using field data analysis of oo anti-ship missile will be applied on re-estabilishment of maintenance policy of ${\bigcirc}{\bigcirc}$ anti-ship missile for TLCSM(Total Life Cost System Management) effectively.

Dynamic Vehicle Arbitration Algorithm on Multilane (다중 차선에서의 차량 우선 처리를 위한 동적 중재 알고리즘)

  • Jang, Myung-Deok;Yoo, Se-Keun;Kim, Yong-Deak
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics S
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    • v.36S no.7
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    • pp.16-24
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    • 1999
  • This paper deals with the dynamic vehicle arbitration algorithm for communication between vehicles and a roadside control init on multilane environment. The suggested algorithm varies its parameter values according to the current vehicle arrival rate to get the maximum performance. To get the optimum parameter values, arbitration methods that use random delay counter and persist mechanism were taken into account and the performance of these methods with respect to the vehicle arrival rate was analyzed by computer simulation. After applying the optimum parameter values to suggested algorithm, it is shown that more enhanced reliability was acquired This algorithm could be applied to various systems which include the communication between a transponder and a control unit.

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A Time Series-based Algorithm for Eliminating Outliers of GPS Probe Data (시계열기반의 GPS 프로브 자료의 이상치 제거 알고리즘 개발)

  • Choi, Kee-Choo;Jang, Jeong-A
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.67-77
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    • 2004
  • A treatment of outlier has been discussed. Outliers disrupt the reliability of information systems and they should be eliminated prior to the information and/or data fusion. A time series-based elimination algorithm were proposed and prediction interval, as a criterion of acceptable value width, was obtained with the model. Ten actual link values were used and the best model was identified as IMA(1,1). Although the actual verification was difficult in a sense that the matching process between the eliminated data and model data was not readily available, the proposed model can be successfully used in practice with some calibration efforts.

Development of Vehicular Load Model using Heavy Truck Weight Distribution (II) - Multiple Truck Effects and Model Development (중차량중량분포를 이용한 차량하중모형 개발(II) - 연행차량 효과 분석 및 모형 개발)

  • Hwang, Eui-Seung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.3A
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    • pp.199-207
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, new vehicular load model is developed for reliability-based bridge design code. Rational load model and statistical properties of loads are important for developing reliability-based design code. In the previous paper, truck weight data collected at eight locations using WIM or BWIM system are analyzed to calculate the maximum truck weights for specified bridge lifetime. Probability distributions of upper 20% total truck weight are assumed as Extreme Type I (Gumbel Distribution) and 100 years maximum weights are estimated by linear regression. In this study, effects of multiple presence of trucks are analyzed. Probability of multiple presence of trucks are estimated and corresponding multiple truck weights are calculated using the same probability distribution function as in the previous paper. New vehicular live load model are proposed for span length from 10 m to 200 m. New model is compared with current Korean model and various load models of other countries.

Development and application of integrated indicators for assessing the water resources performance of multi-purpose and water supply dams (댐 용수공급능력 안정성 평가를 위한 통합지표 개발 및 적용)

  • Sung, Jiyoung;Kang, Boosik;Kim, Bomi;Noh, Seongjin
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.9
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    • pp.687-700
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    • 2022
  • For comprehensively assessment the water resources performance of multi-purpose dams and water supply dams in South Korea, a methodology was proposed to utilize the durational reliability along with the integrated auxiliary indicators including resiliency, dimensionless vulnerability, water resource efficiency, specific inflow, and specific water supply. In addition, for the purpose of sustainable dam operation in the future, a plan to grade the water resources performance was presented to periodically evaluate the performance and determine the priority of each dam's structural or non-structural planning according to the evaluation results. As major results, in the case of Sumjingang Dam, the durational reliability was 99.0%, but the integrated auxiliary index was the lowest of 44 points, which was 5th grade. This means that despite the current high reliability, hydrological changes due to future climate change or regional change of water demand-supply balance can have significant impacts on the water resources performances. In contrast, the Chungju Dam with a durational reliability of 93.0%, which is below the average among all multi-purpose dams, shows the 76 points of the integrated auxiliary index, which is 3rd highest following the Soyanggang Dam and the Namgang Dam. Nevertheless, due to the size of the basin, the specific inflow is sufficiently high as 185%, so the actual performance could be evaluated relatively high. The water supply dams designed for a single purpose tend to be evaluated relatively high because they have a high proportion of industrial and municipal water supply and have enough room for the supply capacity.

On Software Reliability Engineering Process for Weapon Systems (무기체계를 위한 소프트웨어의 신뢰성 공학 프로세스)

  • Kim, Ghi-Back;Lee, Jae-Chon
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.36 no.4B
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    • pp.332-345
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    • 2011
  • As weapon systems are evolving into more advanced and complex ones, the role of the software is becoming heavily significant in their developments. Particularly in the war field of today as represented by the network centric warfare(NCW), the reliability of weapon systems is definitely crucial. In this context, it is inevitable to develop software reliably enough to make the weapon systems operate robustly in the combat field. The reliability engineering activities performed to develop software in the domestic area seem to be limited to the software reliability estimations for some projects. To ensure that the target reliability of software be maintained through the system's development period, a more systematic approach to performing software reliability engineering activities are necessary from the beginning of the development period. In this paper, we consider the software reliability in terms of the development of a weapon system as a whole. Thus, from the systems engineering point of view, we analyze the models and methods that are related to software reliability and a variety of associated activities. As a result, a process is developed, which can be called the software reliability engineering process for weapon systems (SREP-WS), The developed SREP-WS can be used in the development of a weapon system to meet a target reliability throughout its life-cycle. Based on the SREP-WS, the software reliability could also be managed quantitatively.

Analysis of Spatial Distribution of Droughts in Korea through Drought Severity-Duration-frequency Analysis (가뭄심도-지속기간-빈도해석을 통한 우리나라 가뭄의 공간분포 분석)

  • Kim Dae-Ha;Yoo Chul-Sang
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.9 s.170
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    • pp.745-754
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    • 2006
  • This study adopted the Rectangular Pulses Poisson Process Model for the drought severity-duration-frequency analysis to characterize the spatial pattern of drought over the Korean peninsula using the rainfall data of the 59 rain gauge stations. First of all, the drought severity in the southern part of the Korean peninsula was found to be generally high for any return period. This result is consistent for both cases with and without considering the overlap probability of rectangular pulses, which is also valid for longer durations. Comparison with those of observed drought frequency and maximum severity also showed that the result in this study has enough reliability.

A Study on the Risk Assessment of Small Reservoirs using Reliability Analysis Methods (신뢰도 분석기법을 이용한 소규모 저수지의 위험도 분석)

  • Kim, Mun-Mo;Park, Chang-Eon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.15-30
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    • 2000
  • This study is to develop the applied method of reliability analysis to present risk - initial water level relationship in the small reservoir. To determine the reliability, the grasping of uncertainty sources is prerequisited and performance function is formulated. Reliability analysis method is a statistical method and the basic procedure of risk evaluation for overtopping of reservoir is as follows. 1. Define the risk criterion and performance function for the overtopping. 2. Determine the uncertainties of all the variables in the performance function. 3. Perform the risk analysis with suitable risk calculation method. Reliability analysis method such as Monte Carlo simulation(MCS) method and mean value first order second moment(MVFOSM) method are used to calculate the risk for reservoir. Finally, risk - initial water level relationship is established according to return period and it is useful for reservoir operation and safety assessment.ssment.

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Comparative Study of AI Models for Reliability Function Estimation in NPP Digital I&C System Failure Prediction (원전 디지털 I&C 계통 고장예측을 위한 신뢰도 함수 추정 인공지능 모델 비교연구)

  • DaeYoung Lee;JeongHun Lee;SeungHyeok Yang
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2023
  • The nuclear power plant(NPP)'s Instrumentation and Control(I&C) system periodically conducts integrity checks for the maintenance of self-diagnostic function during normal operation. Additionally, it performs functionality and performance checks during planned preventive maintenance periods. However, there is a need for technological development to diagnose failures and prevent accidents in advance. In this paper, we studied methods for estimating the reliability function by utilizing environmental data and self-diagnostic data of the I&C equipment. To obtain failure data, we assumed probability distributions for component features of the I&C equipment and generated virtual failure data. Using this failure data, we estimated the reliability function using representative artificial intelligence(AI) models used in survival analysis(DeepSurve, DeepHit). And we also estimated the reliability function through the Cox regression model of the traditional semi-parametric method. We confirmed the feasibility through the residual lifetime calculations based on environmental and diagnostic data.