• Title/Summary/Keyword: 금융시장

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The Analysis of Factors which Affect Business Survey Index Using Regression Trees (회귀나무를 이용한 기업경기실사지수의 영향요인 분석)

  • Chang, Young-Jae
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 2010
  • Business entrepreneurs reflect their views of domestic and foreign economic activities on their operation for the growth of their business. The decision, forecasting, and planning based on their economic sentiment affect business operation such as production, investment, and hiring and consequently affect condition of national economy. Business survey index(BSI) is compiled to get the information of business entrepreneurs' economic sentiment for the analysis of business condition. BSI has been used as an important variable in the short-term forecasting models for business cycle analysis, especially during the the period of extreme business fluctuations. Recent financial crisis has arised extreme business fluctuations similar to those caused by currency crisis at the end of 1997, and brought back the importance of BSI as a variable for the economic forecasting. In this paper, the meaning of BSI as an economic sentiment index is reviewed and a GUIDE regression tree is constructed to find out the factors which affect on BSI. The result shows that the variables related to the stability of financial market such as kospi index(Korea composite stock price index) and exchange rate as well as manufacturing operation ratio and consumer goods sales are main factors which affect business entrepreneurs' economic sentiment.

Forecasting Power of Range Volatility According to Different Estimating Period (한국주식시장에서 범위변동성의 기간별 예측력에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jong-Hae
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.237-255
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    • 2011
  • This empirical study is focused on practical application of Range-Based Volatility which is estimated by opening, high, low, closing price of overall asset. Especially proper forecasting period is what I want to know. There is four useful Range-Based Volatility(RV) such as Parkinson(1980; PK), Garman and Klass(1980; GK) Rogers and Satchell(1991; RS), Yang and Zhang(2008; YZ). So, four RV of KOPSI 200 index during 2000.5.22-2009.9.18 was used for empirical test. The emprirical result as follows. First, the best RV which shows the best forecasting performance is PK volatility among PK, GK, RS, YZ volatility. According to estimating period forcasting performance of RV shows delicate difference. PK has better performance in the period with financial crisis of sub-prime mortgage loan. if not, RS is better. Second, almost result shows better performance on forecasting volatility without sub-prime mortgage loan period. so we can say that forecasting performance is lower when historical volatiltiy is comparatively high. Finally, I find that longer estimating period in AR(1) and MA(1) model can reduce forecasting error. More interesting point is that the result shows rapid decrease form 60 days to 90 days and there is no more after 90 days. So, if we forecast the volatility using Range-Based volaility it is better to estimate with 90 trading period or over 90 days.

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Comparative Analysis of Default Risk of Construction Company during Macroeconomic Fluctuations (거시경제변동 전후 건설기업의 부실화 비교분석 - IMF 외환위기 및 서브프라임 금융위기 전후를 중심으로 -)

  • Choi, Jae-Kyu;Yoo, Seung-Kyu;Kim, Jae-Jun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.60-68
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    • 2012
  • The past IMF foreign exchange crisis and subprime financial crisis had a big influence on variability of macroeconomics, even if the origin of its occurrence might be different. This not only had a significant infrequence on the overall industries, but also produced many insolvent companies by being closely linked with a management environment of an individual construction company leading the construction industry. Actually, the level of default risk of construction companies before and after fluctuation of macroeconomics gets to experience a rapid changing process, and a difference in reaction against shock exists according to each company. Accordingly, the purpose of this paper is to confirm the fluctuation process of the default risk of construction companies under the fluctuation of macroeconomics such as the IMF financial crisis and the subprime mortgage crisis. As an analysis result, it is judged that the subprime financial crisis gave bigger shock to construction companies than the foreign exchange crisis, and it is expected that this would have a relation with the construction market before shock of macroeconomics. In addition, it was analyzed that when comparing insolvent companies with normal companies, the recovery speed of normal companies is faster. It is judged that this was affected by a difference of internal business capacity between insolvent companies and normal companies.

Quantification of a Global Construction Core Competencies for Korean Construction/Engineering Firms (국내 건설업체의 해외 진출역량 계량화 연구)

  • Kim, Sang-Bum;Kim, Yong-Bi
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.2541-2549
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    • 2013
  • The Construction industry has been dealing with much trouble due to global economic recession and domestic political trends emphasizing on welfare than development. Consequently, domestic construction market has been dramatically shrunk during the last a few years, and international market has become the only potential solution for the industry. However, there has been lack of efforts in developing a quantified measure of global competencies for Korean engineering and construction organizations. This study attempted to develop quantified indices for Korean engineering and construction contractors with which the level of global construction competencies can be objectively monitored. In doing so, a survey questionnaire was developed to identify relative importances of core competency elements which were derived from extensive literature reviews and experts interviews. AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) was employed as a main analysis method in developing quantification measures. The analysis results reveal little differences in competency requirements between engineering and construction firms and it implies that the global market becomes more integrated and requires a total solution for a construction project. The developed core competency measures can be used to quantify the level of preparedness of Korean engineering and construction firms at the time of evaluation and also be used as a basis for performance benchmarking indicators if they are compared with business showings.

Legal Research about the Public Offering of Director Compensation (이사보수의 공개에 관한 법적 연구)

  • Kwon, Sang-Ro
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.12 no.10
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    • pp.169-177
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    • 2012
  • Due to the influences of global financial crisis, countries are putting their efforts on the enhancement of appropriateness and transparency of director compensation. In several countries including Germany, the United States, the United Kingdom, France, and Italy, listed companies and financial institutions in certain levels make public announcement for compensations of individual directors, not the averages. Recently, even Asian countries including China, Hong Kong, and Singapore are introducing individual director compensation public announcement policies. On the other hand, in cases of companies, which must submit annual reports, under current Korean capital market laws and enforcement ordinances, they are obligated to mention 'total wage paid to all executives in that business year' on the annual report, but does not have to mention individual wages of each executive. About this, at the 17th national assembly, revised bill for the Securities and Exchange Act for companies to mention wages of each executive. The financial world is opposing to open individual director compensation to the public as they concern about the shrinking of outstanding human resources recruitment, breach of corporate confidence, privacy invasion, deterioration of labor-management relations, and downfall of the executive's management will as director compensation will be standardized downward; however, if public opening of individual director compensation is forced, domestic companies will prepare more objective and rational standards when they calculate director compensations, and moreover, it will prevent arbitrary intervention of dominant shareholders. Therefore, to clearly and efficiently control director compensation, we need regulations for obligating public opening of individual director compensation.

A Directional Distance Function Approach on the Efficiency of Chinese Commercial Banks (방향성거리함수를 이용한 중국의 상업은행 효율성 분석)

  • Hwang, Ryeon-Hee;Kim, Seong-Ho;Lee, Dong-Won;Nam, Doo-Woo
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.81-94
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    • 2012
  • On December 11, 2001, China joined the WTO and became one of the member countries and the Chinese financial markets had to be open in 5 years. So, the Chinese government transformed national commercial banks into joint-stock banks. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the validity of this decision by the Chinese government. In order to measure the efficiency of banks, the directional distance function (DDF) methodology is used, which analyzes whether a bad output exists in the outputs. In the empirical analysis, the number of staffs, the fixed assets, and the equity capital are used as inputs, while the loans and the non-performing loans ratio are used as a good output and a bad output, respectively. The non-performing loans ratio is included in output since it could affect the efficiency of banks. If it isn't considered in the analysis, a distortion might occur in analyzing the efficiency of banks. The results show that the efficiency of the major commercial banks was improved, and that the efficiency of joint-stocks banks was higher for 2002-2003 while the efficiency of national commercial banks was higher for 2004-2006. It was due mainly to the foreign exchanges reserve funds injected into national commercial banks by the Chinese Ministry of Finance, and as a result bad assets were eliminated.

Study on Factors Affecting Financial Customer's Switching Intention to Internet only bank: Focus on Kakao bank (인터넷 전문은행의 성공 요건, 금융 소비자의 전환의도에 영향 주는 요인 분석: 카카오뱅크를 중심으로)

  • Kwak, Na-Yeon;Yoo, Hyein;Lee, Choong C.
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.157-167
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    • 2018
  • Internet only banking has been spreading rapidly since it was first introduced in Korea since 2017, but issues regarding its limitations continuously are rising. In this research, consumers' intention to switch have been empirically demonstrated toward the internet banking by applying the PPM theory. To achieve a purpose of the research, survey targeting total 132 person who have experiences of using KaKaobank have been implemented by using Smart PLS 3.0. In conclusion, it has been verified that the push and full effect have a positive effect on the consumers' intention to switch main bank and the degree of usage of KaKaobank have significantly influences on relation between mooring factor and consumers' intention to switch main bank. Through this study, the scope of the PPM theory applied in previous researches regarding consumer's service transition shall be extended to Fintech service and practically it provides implications for establishing a strategy to enter the Internet only bank market.

A Debate on the Reform Plan of Korean National Pension Fund Governance Structure - A Critique on the Appliance of the Agency Theory and a Democratic Alternative - (국민연금기금 지배구조 개편 논쟁에 관한 연구 - 대리인 이론 적용 비판과 민주주의적 대안의 모색 -)

  • Joo, Eun-Sun
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.63 no.1
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    • pp.343-368
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    • 2011
  • This Study aims to criticize national pension fund governance reform plan of Korea government and to search for an alternative direction of the reform. Firstly, I examine the theoretical basis of the Korean government reform plan by clarifying limits of application of agency theory to the public pension fund governance. Secondly, I try to reconstruct principles of the public pension fund governance with an alternative theoretical view emphasizing democracy principle. Thirdly, I evaluate the government reform plan with the basis of reconstructed pension fund governance principles. The government reform plan is expected to cause retrenchment of democracy and even political autonomy. It also would make worse the problem of pension fund autonomy from the financial market and the risk of the pension fund caused by market turbulence. Finally I suggest alternative direction of the pension fund governance reform emphasizing the democracy principle. This direction contains constructing co-determination structure of the state and the civil society, escalating controling power of the governing body to the administration body, setting the limits of the roles of the state, attaining of the autonomy from the financial market, strengthening organizational and social accountability.

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Factors Influencing User Satisfaction and Continuous Usage Intention on Mobile Credit Card: Based on Innovation Diffusion Theory and Post Acceptance Model (모바일 신용카드 사용자 만족 및 지속사용의도에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 연구: 혁신확산이론 및 후기수용모형을 중심으로)

  • Jung, Young Hoon;Kim, Gun;Lee, Choong C.
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.11-28
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    • 2015
  • Due to the mobil-centered lifestyle following the wider use of Smartphones, Mobile services, including mobile banking and mobile shopping business have increased rapidly. Also with the emergence of "Fintech", which finance combined with technology, IT based financial market is going to be highly promising. In this trend, interests mobile credit cards are increasing. But diffusion of the mobile credit card services is still in the low level. In this situation, to identify factors that influencing satisfaction and continuous usage intention on mobile credit card, this study applied innovation diffusion theory (IDT) and post acceptance model (PAM). To conducting this research, survey data were collected, and we used SmartPLS to analyze survey data. As a result of the study, perceived easy of use, image, compatibility and facilitation positively affect user's satisfaction in mobile credit cards and that such satisfaction have a positive impact on continuous intention to use. The facilitation influences user satisfaction more strongly for those who use mobile credit cards more than plastic credit cards. Also, perceived of use and image influence user satisfaction more strongly for those who use plastic credit cards more than mobile credit cards. It is expected that this study can be a guideline for credit card service providers and policy makers to invigorate mobile credit card business. Also it worths as a early-stage research on Fintech-related studies.

The Violence of Neoliberalism Represented in the Works of Eduardo Galeano (에두아르도 갈레아노의 작품에 나타난 신자유주의의 폭력성)

  • Yoo, Wang-Moo
    • Cross-Cultural Studies
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    • v.41
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    • pp.199-227
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    • 2015
  • In the twenty-first century, one of the most controversial issues concerns neoliberal policies and its results. In particular, since the mid-1980s, the United States and international financial institutions have imposed their programs on Latin American countries. The result is a deepening social inequality in Latin America that puts an emphasis on financial stability instead of social security. Consequently, social inequality is worsened and an imbalance in income distribution took place. Because of the flexibility of labor, the middle class is destroyed. For the poor person deprived of the opportunity to rise, violence is a common occurrence in daily life. Thus, in this context, Eduardo Galeano raises the necessity of a critique concerning the values that neoliberalism regards as important. Furthermore, Galeano is also wary of the "militarization of neoliberalism." This is because the neoliberal multinationals motivate a war without borders under the guise of peace. Neo-liberal policies also contribute to environmental pollution. However, environmental vandalism, which happens in partnership with large and international organizations, is not readily apparent to the public because those perpetrators wore a "green mask." Hence, Galeano assiduously endeavors to undercover the false consciousness hiding behind the green mask. Thus, in brief summary, Galeano represents in his works a depiction about Latin America where violence often happens in daily life.