• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2010.05a
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• pp.1159-1163
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• 2010

최근의 극심한 기상이변으로 인하여 발생되는 유출량의 예측에 관한 사항은 치수 이수는 물론 방재의 측면에서도 역시 매우 중요한 관심사로 부각되고 있다. 강우-유출 관계는 유역의 수많은 시 공간적 변수들에 의해 영향을 받기 때문에 매우 복잡하여 예측하기 힘든 요소이다. 과거에는 추계학적 예측모형이나 확정론적 예측모형 혹은 경험적 모형 등을 사용하여 유출량을 예측하였으나 최근에는 인공신경망과 퍼지모형 그리고 유전자 알고리즘과 같은 인공지능기반의 모형들이 많이 사용되고 있다. 하지만 유출량을 예측하고자 할 때 학습자료 및 검정자료로써 사용되는 유출량은 수위-유량 관계곡선식으로부터 구하는 경우가 대부분으로 이렇게 유도된 유출량의 경우 오차가 크기 때문에 그 신뢰성에 문제가 있을 것으로 판단된다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 선행우량 및 수위자료로부터 단시간 수위예측에 관해 연구하였다. 신경망은 과거자료의 입 출력 패턴에서 정보를 추출하여 지식으로 보유하고, 이를 근거로 새로운 상황에 대한 해답을 제시하도록 하는 인공지능분야의 학습기법으로 인간이 과거의 경험과 훈련으로 지식을 축적하듯이 시스템의 입 출력에 의하여 연결강도를 최적화함으로서 모형의 구조를 스스로 조직화하기 때문에 모형의 구조에 적합한 최적 매개변수를 추정할 수 있다. 따라서 정확한 예측이 어려운 하천수위를 과거의 자료로 부터 학습된 신경망의 수학적 알고리즘을 통해 유출량의 예측에 적용할 수 있을 것이다. 유전자 알고리즘은 적자생존의 생물학 원리에 바탕을 둔 최적화 기법중의 하나로 자연계의 생명체 중 환경에 잘 적응한 개체가 좀 더 많은 자손을 남길 수 있다는 자연선택 과정과 유전자의 변화를 통해서 좋은 방향으로 발전해 나간다는 자연 진화의 과정인 자연계의 유전자 메커니즘에 바탕을 둔 탐색 알고리즘이다. 즉, 자연계의 유전과 진화 메커니즘을 공학적으로 모델화함으로써 잠재적인 해의 후보들을 모아 군집을 형성한 뒤 서로간의 교배 혹은 변이를 통해서 최적 해를 찾는 계산 모델이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 인공신경망의 가중치를 유전자 알고리즘에 의해 최적화시킨후 오류역전파알고리즘에 의해 신경망의 학습을 진행하는 모형으로 감천유역의 선산수위표지점의 수위를 1시간~6시간까지 예측하였다.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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• v.21 no.6
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• pp.792-797
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• 2011

This paper discusses the application of a hybrid discretiziation method for the discretization procedure that needs to be included in discrete particle swarm optimization (DPSO) for the problem of allocating PV (photovoltaic) systems onto distribution power systems. For this purpose, this paper proposes a rule-based expert system considering the objective function value and its optimizing speed as the input parameters and applied it to the PV allocation problem including discrete decision variables. For multi-level discretization, this paper adopts a hybrid method combined with a simple rounding and sigmoid funtion based 3-step and 5-step quantization methods, and the application of the rule based expert system proposing the adequate discretization method at each PSO iteration so that the DPSO with the hybrid discretization can provide better performance than the previous DPSO.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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• v.18 no.4
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• pp.572-578
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• 2008

We analyze the search space considered by the previously proposed R-CORE method for learning Bayesian network structures of large scale. Experimental analysis on the search space of the method is also shown. The R-CORE method reduces the search space considered for Bayesian network structures by recursively clustering the random variables and restricting the orders between clusters. We show the R-CORE method has a similar search space with the previous method in the worst case but has a much less search space in the average case. By considering much less search space in the average case, the R-CORE method shows less tendency of overfitting in learning Bayesian network structures compared to the previous method.

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.13 no.2
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• pp.69-80
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• 2007

The preferences of customers change over time. However, existing collaborative filtering (CF) systems are static, since they only incorporate information regarding whether a customer buys a product during a certain period and do not make use of the purchase sequences of customers. Therefore, the quality of the recommendations of the typical CF could be improved through the use of information on such sequences. In this study, we propose a new methodology for enhancing the quality of CF recommendation that uses customer purchase sequences. The proposed methodology is applied to a large department store in Korea and compared to existing CF techniques. Various experiments using real-world data demonstrate that the proposed methodology provides higher quality recommendations than do typical CF techniques with better performance.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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• v.21 no.3
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• pp.401-406
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• 2011

In order to solve a complex optimization problem more efficiently than traditional approaches, various meta-heuristic algorithms such as genetic algorithm, ant-colony algorithm, and harmony search algorithm have been extensively researched. Compared with other meta-heuristic algorithm, harmony search algorithm shows a better result to resolve the complex optimization issues. Harmony search algorithm is inspired by the improvision process of musician for most suitable harmony. In general, the performance of harmony search algorithm is determined by the value of harmony memory considering rate, and pitch adjust rate. In this paper, modified harmony search algorithm is proposed in order to derive best harmony. If the optimal solution of a specific problem can not be found for a certain period of time, a part of original harmony memory is updated as the selected suitable harmonies. Experimental results using test function demonstrate that the updated harmony memory can induce the approximation of reliable optimal solution in the short iteration, because of a few change of fitness.

• Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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• v.24 no.2
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• pp.67-74
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• 2023

Stock price prediction research in the financial sector aims to ensure trading stability and achieve profit realization. Conventional statistical prediction techniques are not reliable for actual trading decisions due to low prediction accuracy compared to randomly predicted results. Artificial intelligence models improve accuracy by learning data characteristics and fluctuation patterns to make predictions. However, predicting stock prices using long-term time series data remains a challenging problem. This paper proposes a stable and reliable stock price prediction method using K-means clustering-based data augmentation and normalization techniques and LSTM models specialized in time series learning. This enables obtaining more accurate and reliable prediction results and pursuing high profits, as well as contributing to market stability.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2022.06a
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• pp.68-71
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• 2022

항로표지는 해상에 독립적으로 암초 위나 줄에 의해 떠 있는 형태로 존재하며, 선박들의 안전 운행에 필요한 다양한 정보를 제공하는 역할을 수행한다. 이러한 항로표지의 설치 및 동작 형태는 풍랑에 따라 기기의 위치가 가변적으로 변하게 된다. 따라서 기기의 위치가 급격하게 변했을 때, 항로표지 기기 내에도 영향을 받는다면 지방청의 항로표지 데이터 수신이 낮아질 것이라고 가설 설정했다. 본 논문에서는 기상특보에 따른 시간적 기준으로 구간을 나누어 풍랑과 항로표지 데이터 수신 간의 상관관계가 있는지 연구를 진행하였다. 연구 결과 풍랑이 거세질수록 평균 데이터 수집량이 감소하는 것으로 데이터 수신 강도의 영향을 줄 수 있음을 확인하였다. 이번 연구를 통해 풍랑에 대비한 항로표지 데이터의 개선이 필요하며, 선박의 안전과 관련된 만큼 정밀한 개선을 요한다.

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.23 no.3
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• pp.45-67
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• 2017

According to the Internet Usage Research performed in 2016, the number of internet users and the internet usage have been increasing. Smartphone, compared to the computer, is taking a more dominant role as an internet access device. As the number of smart devices have been increasing, some views that the demand on high-speed internet will decrease; however, Despite the increase in smart devices, the high-speed Internet market is expected to slightly increase for a while due to the speedup of Giga Internet and the growth of the IoT market. As the broadband Internet market saturates, telecom operators are over-competing to win new customers, but if they know the cause of customer exit, it is expected to reduce marketing costs by more effective marketing. In this study, we analyzed the relationship between the cancellation rates of telecommunication products and the factors affecting them by combining the data of 3 cities, Anyang, Gunpo, and Uiwang owned by a telecommunication company with the regional data from KOSIS(Korean Statistical Information Service). Especially, we focused on the assumption that the neighboring areas affect the distribution of the cancellation rates by coupling type, so we conducted spatial cluster analysis on the 3 types of cancellation rates of each region using the spatial analysis tool, SatScan, and analyzed the various relationships between the cancellation rates and the regional data. In the analysis phase, we first summarized the characteristics of the clusters derived by combining spatial information and the cancellation data. Next, based on the results of the cluster analysis, Variance analysis, Correlation analysis, and regression analysis were used to analyze the relationship between the cancellation rates data and regional data. Based on the results of analysis, we proposed appropriate marketing methods according to the region. Unlike previous studies on regional characteristics analysis, In this study has academic differentiation in that it performs clustering based on spatial information so that the regions with similar cancellation types on adjacent regions. In addition, there have been few studies considering the regional characteristics in the previous study on the determinants of subscription to high-speed Internet services, In this study, we tried to analyze the relationship between the clusters and the regional characteristics data, assuming that there are different factors depending on the region. In this study, we tried to get more efficient marketing method considering the characteristics of each region in the new subscription and customer management in high-speed internet. As a result of analysis of variance, it was confirmed that there were significant differences in regional characteristics among the clusters, Correlation analysis shows that there is a stronger correlation the clusters than all region. and Regression analysis was used to analyze the relationship between the cancellation rate and the regional characteristics. As a result, we found that there is a difference in the cancellation rate depending on the regional characteristics, and it is possible to target differentiated marketing each region. As the biggest limitation of this study and it was difficult to obtain enough data to carry out the analyze. In particular, it is difficult to find the variables that represent the regional characteristics in the Dong unit. In other words, most of the data was disclosed to the city rather than the Dong unit, so it was limited to analyze it in detail. The data such as income, card usage information and telecommunications company policies or characteristics that could affect its cause are not available at that time. The most urgent part for a more sophisticated analysis is to obtain the Dong unit data for the regional characteristics. Direction of the next studies be target marketing based on the results. It is also meaningful to analyze the effect of marketing by comparing and analyzing the difference of results before and after target marketing. It is also effective to use clusters based on new subscription data as well as cancellation data.

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.23 no.3
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• pp.95-118
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• 2017

Recent centrally the downtown area, the transaction between the row housing and multiplex housing is activated and platform services such as Zigbang and Dabang are growing. The row housing and multiplex housing is a blind spot for real estate information. Because there is a social problem, due to the change in market size and information asymmetry due to changes in demand. Also, the 5 or 25 districts used by the Seoul Metropolitan Government or the Korean Appraisal Board(hereafter, KAB) were established within the administrative boundaries and used in existing real estate studies. This is not a district classification for real estate researches because it is zoned urban planning. Based on the existing study, this study found that the city needs to reset the Seoul Metropolitan Government's spatial structure in estimating future housing prices. So, This study attempted to classify the area without spatial heterogeneity by the reflected the property price characteristics of row housing and Multiplex housing. In other words, There has been a problem that an inefficient side has arisen due to the simple division by the existing administrative district. Therefore, this study aims to cluster Seoul as a new area for more efficient real estate analysis. This study was applied to the hedonic model based on the real transactions price data of row housing and multiplex housing. And the K-Means Clustering algorithm was used to cluster the spatial structure of Seoul. In this study, data onto real transactions price of the Seoul Row housing and Multiplex Housing from January 2014 to December 2016, and the official land value of 2016 was used and it provided by Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport(hereafter, MOLIT). Data preprocessing was followed by the following processing procedures: Removal of underground transaction, Price standardization per area, Removal of Real transaction case(above 5 and below -5). In this study, we analyzed data from 132,707 cases to 126,759 data through data preprocessing. The data analysis tool used the R program. After data preprocessing, data model was constructed. Priority, the K-means Clustering was performed. In addition, a regression analysis was conducted using Hedonic model and it was conducted a cosine similarity analysis. Based on the constructed data model, we clustered on the basis of the longitude and latitude of Seoul and conducted comparative analysis of existing area. The results of this study indicated that the goodness of fit of the model was above 75 % and the variables used for the Hedonic model were significant. In other words, 5 or 25 districts that is the area of the existing administrative area are divided into 16 districts. So, this study derived a clustering method of row housing and multiplex housing in Seoul using K-Means Clustering algorithm and hedonic model by the reflected the property price characteristics. Moreover, they presented academic and practical implications and presented the limitations of this study and the direction of future research. Academic implication has clustered by reflecting the property price characteristics in order to improve the problems of the areas used in the Seoul Metropolitan Government, KAB, and Existing Real Estate Research. Another academic implications are that apartments were the main study of existing real estate research, and has proposed a method of classifying area in Seoul using public information(i.e., real-data of MOLIT) of government 3.0. Practical implication is that it can be used as a basic data for real estate related research on row housing and multiplex housing. Another practical implications are that is expected the activation of row housing and multiplex housing research and, that is expected to increase the accuracy of the model of the actual transaction. The future research direction of this study involves conducting various analyses to overcome the limitations of the threshold and indicates the need for deeper research.

• 한국HCI학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2006.02a
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• pp.1289-1297
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• 2006

모든 곳에 존재하는 네트워크 환경을 의미하는 '유비쿼터스' 시대와 최신 기술로 구현되어 인간을 도와주는 '지능형 로봇'의 시대가 도래하고 있다. 기술의 흐름은, 이제 우리에게 공장과 공원 등의 공공 장소뿐 만이 아니라, 생활의 기본이 되는 가정 안에서의 로봇을 받아들일 준비를 요구하고 있다. 로봇과 사용자는 실제 생활 속에서 많은 상호 작용을 하게 되며, 필연적으로 여러 가지의 불확실성을 내포하게 되는데, 각각의 요청들과 상황들은, 미리 정해진 규칙에 의거해 처리하기에는 너무 다양하다. 그 어려움을 극복하는 방법으로, 어떤 상황에 적응하는 방법으로 기억을 사용 하는 인간과 마찬가지로, 로봇은 새로운 요청을 처리하기 위해 과거의 기록을 사용할 수 있다. 여러 가지 과거의 기록들을 잘 정리해서 분류하여 저장해둔 후, 현재의 요청에 대한 답으로, 가장 가능성 있는 과거의 기록을 찾아내는 것이다. 본 논문에서는 사용자와 로봇 사이에서 상호 작용에서 발생할 수 있는 불확실성을 과거기록의 탐색을 통해 해결하고자 하였다. 과거 기록은 시간, 장소, 대상 물건, 행동 유형으로 구분되어 저장하였으며, 각각의 유사 가능성(Possibility)들의 합을 기준으로, 전체 기록을 K-Means 알고리즘을 통하여 군집화하고 협력 필터링을 기반으로 현재의 요청이 담고 있는 불확실성에 대한 가능성 있는 값을 추천해 주었다. 제한된 공간과 제한된 자료의 수에 의한 실험 결과로서의 한계를 가지고 있지만, 실제 가정용 로봇에서의 적용 가능성을 보여주었다.