• Title/Summary/Keyword: 국민총생산

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Political Regimes and Natural Resources in Southeast Asia (동남아시아의 정치체제와 자연자원 사이의 상관관계)

  • Park, Jung Hoon
    • The Southeast Asian review
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.269-303
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    • 2012
  • 이 연구는 1960년부터 2009년까지의 시계열횡단연구(cross-sectional time series) 자료를 이용하여 동남아시아의 각국의 자연자원에 대한 의존도와 정치체제 사이의 상관관계를 밝히고자 하였다. 동남아시아는 중동과 서부사하라 아프리카와 더불어 전 세계에서 가장 자연자원이 풍부한 지역 가운데 하나이나, 관련된 연구는 자료의 부족으로 인해 타 지역에 비해 그다지 축적되어 있지 못한 상태이며, 그나마 단일 사례 혹은 국가에 치중되어 있다. 따라서 본 연구는 기존 자연자원의존도와 정치체제와의 경험적 연구들에서 주장된 인과 관계들이 동남아시아에서도 적용될 수 있는지 살펴보고자 하였다. 분석 결과, 본 연구는 동남아시아에서도 한 국가의 자연자원에 대한 의존도의 증가가 민주주의 발전에 부정적인 영향을 끼친다는 것을 발견할 수 있었다. 구체적으로 본 연구에서 자연자원 의존도로 사용하였던 두 가지 지표인 총 수출 대비 자연자원 수출비율과 국민 총생산 대비 자연자원 수입비율 모두 민주주의 수준을 종속변수로 상정한 각 모델에서 음의 상관계수를 보여주었다. 기존 연구들에서 다루어졌던 주요 이론들인 지대추구(rent-seeking), 지대국가(rentier state), 근대화(modernization)이론을 대표하는 통제변수들을 사용한 대부분의 결과 역시 기존 문헌의 주장을 뒷받침 하고 있다. 그러나 내전 발발과 이슬람을 비롯한 일부 통제변수들의 경우에는 기존 민주화 관련 연구결과와는 상반된 결과를 나타내기도 하였다. 이러한 동남아시아의 지역적 특수성을 보여주는 결과는 후속 연구에 의미있는 시사점을 제시해 줄 것이다.

Forecasting of Electricity Demand for Fishing Industry Based on Genetic Algorithm approach (유전자 알고리즘에 기반한 수산업 전력 수요 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Heung-Soe;Lee, Sung-Geun
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.19-23
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    • 2017
  • Energy is a vital resource for the economic growth and the social development for any country. As the industry becomes more sophisticated and the economy more grows, the electricity demand is increasing. So forecasting electricity demand is an important for electricity suppliers. Forecasting electricity demand makes it possible to distribute electricity demand. As the market for Negawatt market began to grow in Korea from 2014, the prediction of electricity consumption demand becomes more important. Moreover, power consumption forecasting provides a way for demand management to be directly or indirectly participated by consumers in the electricity market. We use Genetic Algorithms to predict the energy demand of the fishing industry in Jeju Island by using GDP, per capita gross national income, value add, and domestic electricity consumption from 1999 to 2011. Genetic Algorithm is useful for finding optimal solutions in various fields. In this paper, genetic algorithm finds optimal parameters. The objective is to find the optimal value of the coefficients used to predict the electricity demand and to minimize the error rate between the predicted value and the actual power consumption values.

The Recycling of End-of-Life Vehicles(ELVs) in Taiwan

  • Tsai, Min-Shing;Chen, Wei-Sheng;Wu, Chung-Liu
    • Resources Recycling
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.6-15
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    • 2005
  • The overall area of Taiwan is 36,006 km$^2$ and population was about 22,535,000 persons in 2003. The population density became 625persons/km$^2$. The economic of Taiwan progress since 1970. Gross national production in 2004 increased by 2.3 trillion or 493% relative to 1981. The number of automobiles in 1981 was 821,862, and increase to 6,389,186 in 2004. The number of motorcycles in 1981 were 4,591,547 and increase to 12,793,950 in 2004. The vehicle growth rate of automobile and motorcycle was 677% and 178% respectively. The recycling end-of-life vehicles(ELVs) is specified in the Waste Disposal Act. Its main content is the system of asking the vehicle manufacturer and importing agents, who are responsible for recycling of the ELVs. The recycling task on ELVs was startedinitially in 1993. It is required that the manufacturers and importing agents deposit certain ratios of Waste Vehicle Disposal Fees proportional to the number of vehicle they manufacture and import into Taiwan under sales. This report will introduce the current status of ELVs recycling in Taiwan, and the future direction, as well as measures proceeding for the EPA- Fund Management Committee(RMFC) operating in the fiture.

A Study on Measures to Improve the Production and Service of Records of Presidential Overseas Trips: Focusing on "Records Collection" of the Presidential Archives Website (대통령 해외순방 기록의 생산과 서비스 개선방안 연구 대통령기록관 웹사이트 '기록컬렉션'을 중심으로)

  • Jeon, Na Hyeong
    • The Korean Journal of Archival Studies
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    • no.78
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    • pp.5-42
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    • 2023
  • Since presidential overseas trips are carried out as the head of state representing the Republic of Korea, the resulting records of such trips have high academic and historical significance and value both in contemporary times and for future generations. This study analyzes the status of production and service of overseas trip records, focusing on whether the records of the president's overseas trips are being produced properly and provided sufficiently to the public, and examines development plans for improvement. Currently, as a result of examining a total of 282 overseas trips provided by the Presidential Archives website, it is difficult for users to understand which records are being produced for even the basic records regarding the trips are not posted. In addition, the website is provider-centered, making users feel alienated rather than being considered in terms of search and provided records. In this study, for the production of high-quality overseas travel records, the "Presidential Overseas Trip Records Production Guidelines" established during the 'Participatory Government' will be supplemented, improved and applied. This archive policy will not be subject to any external variables, including changes in the government, and is suggested that it be consistent and unaffected. In addition, in order to improve the service provided, the following is proposed: first, provision of 'comprehensive information' that allows users to understand the overall context of the trip; second, use of the "file-record" layer and hyperlink function; third, a system that allows the stages of production and service of overseas trip records to be interconnected. In order to carry out these tasks, it would be essential to establish and operate an organization dedicated to records, such as the Secretariat of Archives and Records Management during the 'Participatory Government' period.

An Alternative Approach for Setting Equilibrium Prices of Sericultural Products (잠사류의 균형 가격모색)

  • 이질현
    • Journal of Sericultural and Entomological Science
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    • no.12
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    • pp.47-50
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    • 1970
  • There are many factors affecting the development of sericultural industry in Korea. The setting of a rational pricing system for sericultural products is one of important activities of the Korean Government to improve the incentives to producers. The determination o: the prices for many years were based on the production costs including a certain level of profits. Some of cost items are in conflict both in cocoon producers and silk-reeling industries. Government officials have to evaluate these conflicting problems and estimate the consequences of their decisions. In this situation the final decision often became political decisions. This analysis is aimed at providing an alternative method of setting the prices of sericultural products. The criteria of the equilibrium employed in this analysis are based on economic principle which equilibrium condition is determined by the relationships between the marginal productivity of input factors and factor prices. In order to obtain the related information Cobb-Douglas'functions were fitted using KIST computer and data were obtained mostly from the Bank of Korea and the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestru, An important assumption is that "Opportunity Costs" of factors input in both cocoon production and silk-Peeling industries are same, The major finding s obtained are as followings. 1) The sum of coefficient of production elastisity in silk-reeling industries is greater than one. Silk-reeling industries are operating under the situation of increasing return to scale and it is, therefore, expected to develop the industries as the capital-intensive large scale. 2) The cocoon producing farmers are under the situations of the decreasing return to scale and it is expected to continue their cocoon farming as the labor-intensive small scale, assuming the present level of production technology. As the development of commercial farming, the resources input in cocoon production will be shifted to the production for higher profitable crops, 3) The price elastisity of production is higher in cocoon production than in silk-reeling industries. It is expected that the price changing effects on domestic production will be resulted from cocoon producers. 4) Based on analysis results of marginal productivities and the opportunity costs of resources, cocoon price for meeting equilibrium price condition is to be increased by 8-16 percent or standard price level of silk increased by 6-8 percent. There were the possibilities of over evaluation on opportunity cost of resources input in silk-reeling industries, or income transfered from the farmers to the industries. It is recommended that the prices for meeting equilibrium price conditions are to be determined by 72 percent for cocoon and 28 percent for silk-reeling costs, based on standard level of the exporting prices.

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Study on the Effects of R&D Activities on the Exports of Korean Economy (R&D투자가 한국경제 수출에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Kim Byung-Woo
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.31-66
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    • 2006
  • The country with a relative abundance of human capital conducts relatively more R&D in the steady state than its partner. This country acquires the know-how to produce a relatively wider range of innovative goods. High technology comprises a large share of the national economy in the human-capital rich country and real output growth is faster. This prediction would seem to accord weakly with empirical observation of Korean economy.

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Does Economy Dictate Hemline Move? -Verification of the Hemline Theory- (경제와 헴라인의 상관관계 -헴라인 이론의 검증-)

  • Ahn, Insook
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
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    • v.39 no.5
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    • pp.755-764
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    • 2015
  • This study investigates if the relationships between hemline and macro-economic factors (rGDP, recession, and unemployment) are still applicable as well as analyzes time lags that reflect economic factors on the hemline index using U.S. data. The hemline theory and fashion cyclical theory were applied to propose the relationships studied. The data for the hemline measurements of women's day-wear were obtained from US Vogue spring and fall editions from 1950 to 2014. Data were standardized by dividing the length from shoulder to hemline by the length from the shoulder to ankle. I aggregated 2260 samples and hemline data to create a yearly average. This study used OLS of Stata 13 program to explore the relationship between macro-economic factors and hemline. The main findings were the recession and unemployment influenced hemline length for four years in a positive direction. Furthermore, the effects of previous recession and unemployment on the current hemline were very close to the significant level respectively. This finding supports the hemline theory in that a recessionary economy is related to longer hemlines and hemlines become shorter in flourishing economic periods.

국내 영농형 태양광 발전 시스템 개발 및 하부 작물 생육 특성 분석 및 고찰

  • Kim, Geun-Ho
    • Bulletin of the Korea Photovoltaic Society
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.15-24
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    • 2020
  • 영농형 태양광 발전은 농업과 태양광 발전 시스템의 동시 상생이 가능한 기술로 현재와 같은 농업 환경 및 생태계 개선 그리고 에너지 전환의 시대에 대처해야 하는 훌륭한 대안이다. 한국형 영농형 태양광 발전 시스템 개발 및 보급을 위한 국내 첫 연구개발 사업인 농림축산식품부(농림식품기술기획평가원 첨단생산기술개발사업)의 "한국형 태양광 이모작(농업&태양광 발전 병행) 스마트 영농 시스템 개발(과제번호: 1545015977)"과제를 통해 총 60kW급 규모의 5개소 실증단지(10kW급 3개소 신규 개발 및 구축)를 활용한 최적 시스템 개발, 6품종(벼 2품종, 감자, 배추, 마늘, 양파 및 배) 표준재배기술 도출 등을 수행하였다. 기존 태양광 발전용 모듈(72cell) 대비 half-size(36cell) 모듈 개발, 작물 별 최적 구조물(차광률 30% 미만 적용) 도출, 대상 작물 감수율 20% 미만 달성 및 표준재배기술개발을 수행하였다. 추후 장기간 동안 영농형 태양광 구조물의 경제성 확보, 시공성 개선 그리고 다양한 작물 대상 표준재배기술 최적화 등의 실증연구가 필요하다. 마지막으로 영농형 태양광 발전 시스템의 확산 및 보급을 위해 국가적 지원과 농민들의 적극적인 참여 없이는 불가능 하다. 그리고 본 개발 기술은 농업인을 위한 기술로 범국민적인 수용성 개선 또한 수반되어야 한다. 특히, 정부는 영농형 태양광 발전 시스템이 대한민국의 식량안보와 에너지안보를 확보를 위해 농업진흥지역에 대한 최대 20년까지 타용도 일시전용이 가능하도록 농지법 개정으로 화답 할 때이다.

Seasonal Adjustment on Chain-Linking (연쇄가중법 도입에 따른 계절변동조정)

  • Jeon, Gyeong-Bae
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 2009
  • Chain-linking is a method for aggregating volume measures which would improve the quality of estimates of economic growth over the present fixed base in Korea. There is a risk that choice of chain-linking techniques such annual overlap, one-quarter overlap or over-the-year overlap may create an artificial seasonality to the volume series. The empirical results on Korean GDP suggest that the use of the annual overlap is recommended. And conducting seasonal adjustment after chain-linking to produce the chain-linked seasonally adjusted GDP is more appropriated in Korea.

Comparison of Hydroelectronic Power with Other Power Source in terms of Environmental Cost (수력발전과 타 발전원과의 환경비용 추정 연구)

  • Choi, Hanju;Ryu, Mun-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.129-129
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    • 2015
  • 2011년 후쿠시마 원자력발전소 사고 이후, 발전원의 위험사고비용 및 환경피해비용에 대한 관심이 대두되고 있다. 전력은 생산과정 뿐만 아니라 발전소 건설, 발전소 운영, 송 배전을 통한 전력 공급, 폐기물처리 등의 각 과정에서 다양한 환경비용을 야기하고 있다. 따라서 발전원의 환경영향을 수용자적 입장에서의 평가할 필요가 있다. 본 연구에서는 컨조인트 분석법의 일종인 선택실험법을 적용하여 발전에 따른 환경영향 속성들에 대해 평가한 후, 발전원별로 상이한 속성 값에 속 성별 추정치를 반영하여 발전원별 환경비용을 수용자적 입장에서 추정하였다. 발전원부문이 환경에 미치는 영향에 대한 속성을 온실가스 배출, 건강피해, 지역피해, 온배수 배출로 선정하였고, 제시금액은 비교 대상 발전원들의 전력거래 단가 및 가구당 지출하는 월평균 전기요금수준을 기준으로하여 35,000원에서 75,000원까지의 총 다섯 가지 속성수준으로 구분하였다. 다항로짓모형을 적용하여 발전원별 각 환경영향에 대한 속성별 한계지불의사액 추정하고, 발전원간의 환경비용을 산정하였다. kWh 당 수력발전(0원/kWh) 대비 타 발전원의 추가 환경비용은 26원/kWh­832원/Wh로 환경적 영향 측면에서 국민수용성이 가장 높게 나타났다.

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