• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.13 no.3
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• pp.111-119
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• 2011

The noise prediction model, KRON-2006, in South Korea has been developed for obtaining the average noise level. The model is based on an outdoor sound propagation method based on ISO9613 and ASJ Model-1998 and supports the analysis of the linear noise source, such as highway, for obtaining Leq. Because of that, the model can't obtain Lmax, Lmin from the time series noise profile based on traffic at every moment. In order to address this problem, the real time noise prediction model based on traffic simulation using GIS model and algorithm is proposed. It can predict the vehicle point noise level based on vehicle type, speed generated from traffic simulation by using headway and obtain Lmax, Lmin as integrating the noise profile generated from it at every moment. An evalution of the noise prediciton model using field measurements finds good agreement between predicted and measured noise levels at 1m, 8m, 15m from curb of the near side lane.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.20 no.4
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• pp.135-150
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• 2002

The basic assumption of analytical Dynamic Traffic Assignment models is that traffic demand and network conditions are known as a priori and unchanging during the whole planning horizon. This assumption may not be realistic in the practical traffic situation because traffic demand and network conditions nay vary from time to time. The rolling horizon implementation recognizes a fact : The Prediction of origin-destination(OD) matrices and network conditions is usually more accurate in a short period of time, while further into the whole horizon there exists a substantial uncertainty. In the rolling horizon implementation, therefore, rather than assuming time-dependent OD matrices and network conditions are known at the beginning of the horizon, it is assumed that the deterministic information of OD and traffic conditions for a short period are possessed, whereas information beyond this short period will not be available until the time rolls forward. This paper introduces rolling horizon implementation to enable a multi-class analytical DTA model to respond operationally to dynamic variations of both traffic demand and network conditions. In the paper, implementation procedure is discussed in detail, and practical solutions for some raised issues of 1) unfinished trips and 2) rerouting strategy of these trips, are proposed. Computational examples and results are presented and analyzed.

• Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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• v.8 no.4
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• pp.165-178
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• 2021

We studied driftwood behaviors including generation and deposition in a tsunami using a numerical simulation. We used an integrated two-dimensional numerical model, which included a driftwood dynamics model. The study area was Sendai, Japan. Observation data collected by Inagaki et al. (2012) were used to verify the simulation results by comparing them with driftwood deposition patterns. A simplified model was developed to consider the threshold of driftwood generation by the drag force of water flows. To consider the volume of driftwood generated, we estimated the total wood number in the study area using Google Earth. Therefore, we simulated more than 13,000 pieces of driftwood that were generated and transported inland from approximately 300,000 trees that were growing in the forest. The final distribution of the driftwood was similar to the observation data. The reproducibility of the generation and deposition patterns of driftwood showed good agreement in terms of longitudinal deposition pattern. In the future, a sensitivity analysis on driftwood parameters, such as the size of the wood, boundary conditions, and grid size, will be implemented to predict the travel patterns of driftwood. Such modeling will be a useful methodology for disaster prediction based on water flow and driftwood.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.32 no.4
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• pp.401-409
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• 2014

This study deals with capacity expansion planning of airport infrastructure in view of economic validation that reflect construction costs and social benefits according to the reduction of passengers' delay time. We first forecast the airport peak-demand which has a seasonal and cyclical feature with ARIMA model that has been one of the most widely used linear models in time series forecasting. A discrete event simulation model is built for estimating actual delay time of passengers that consider the passenger's dynamic flow within airport infrastructure after arriving at the airport. With the trade-off relationship between cost and benefit, we determine an economic quantity of conveyor that will be expanded. Through the experiment performed with the case study of Incheon international airport, we demonstrate that our approach can be an effective method to solve the airport expansion problem with seasonal passenger arrival and dynamic operational aspects in airport infrastructure.

• Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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• v.13 no.1
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• pp.51-62
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• 2022

AI-based speed prediction studies have been conducted quite actively. However, while the importance of explainable AI is emerging, the study of interpreting and reasoning the AI-based speed predictions has not been carried out much. Therefore, in this paper, 'Explainable Deep Graph Neural Network (GNN)' is devised to analyze the speed prediction and assess the nearby road influence for reasoning the critical contributions to a given road situation. The model's output was explained by comparing the differences in output before and after masking the input values of the GNN model. Using TOPIS traffic speed data, we applied our GNN models for the major congested roads in Seoul. We verified our approach through a traffic flow simulation by adjusting the most influential nearby roads' speed and observing the congestion's relief on the road of interest accordingly. This is meaningful in that our approach can be applied to the transportation network and traffic flow can be improved by controlling specific nearby roads based on the inference results.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.13 no.3
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• pp.99-120
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• 1995

가속차선이 교통류의 운영상태와 안전에 기여하는 바는 벌써부터 인식되어 왔으나 이 변속차선이 유입형 연결로 접속부 전체의 운영에 미치는 영향을 수치화하거나 체계적으로 평가하기 위해 현장 자료를 바탕으로 한 실험적 연구는 진행되어 오지 못하엿다. 현재 널리 참고되고 있는 1985년 USHCM의 접속부 운영상태 분석 방법론은 단지 차선 1의 교통량을 예측하는 데 주안점을 두고 있는데 가속 차선의 길고 짧음에 따라 접속부 바로 전 차선 1의 교통량 분포가 크게 변화한다는 사실(많은 현장 관측을 통해 확인)은 고려하지 못하고 있다. 이는 접속부 운영 상태가 같은 교통량 조건하에서도 크게 차이가 나나다는 것을 뜻하며 가속차선의 존재를 무시한채 운영과 관련한 MOE를 도출하는 것이 서비스수준 산정 방법으로 충분한 것인가 하는 의문을 자연히 낳게 한다. 본 논문은 가속차선이 고속도로 연결로 접속부의 운영에 미치는 영향을 주로 다루고 있다. 가속차선의 독립적인 역할과 영향을 체계적으로 관찰하기 위해 미국내 여러 지역에서 8개의 고속도로 연결로접속부를 선택하고 각 지점에 접속부의 상하류 지역을 포함하는 2,000ft 구간내에 다섯대의 카메라를 설치, 지점별로 약 3시간 동안 자료를 수집하였다. 총 193개 자료수의 분석을 통해서 다중 회귀 모형을 구성하는 독립변수로 가속차선의 길이를 사용하는 것이 타당하다고 결론지었으며, 접속부 운영의 질, 특히 속도를 추정하기 위한 모형을 수립하였다. 본 연구를 통해 얻어진 관점과 방법론은 1994USHCM 고속도로 연결로 분석 방법론 설정에 일부분 반영되고 잇으며 특히 교통운영과 흐름의 방식에서 유사한 엇갈림 구간의 분석 방법과 일관성 있는 분석 체계 마련을 위해서 서비스수준 산정 절차 정립에 엇갈림 알고리즘을 활용하는 방안을 제시하였다.

• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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• v.39 no.3
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• pp.199-207
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• 2015

In ports of Korea, the marine traffic flow is congested due to a large number of vessels coming in and going out. In order to improve the safety and efficiency of these vessels, South Korea is operating with a Vessel Traffic Service System, which is monitoring its waters for 24 hours. However despite these efforts of the VTS (Vessel Traffic Service) officers, collisions are occurring continuously, the risk situation is analyzed that occurs once in about 20 minutes, the risk may be greater. It investigated to reduce these accidents by providing a safety standard for collision danger in a timely manner. Thus, this study has developed a risk prediction module to predict risk in advance. This module can avoid collision risk to adjust the speed and course of ship using a risk evaluation model based on ship operator's risk perspective. Using this module, the ship operators and VTS officers can easily be identified risks in complex traffic situations, so they can take an appropriate action against danger in near future including course and speed change. To verify the effectiveness of this module, this paper predicted the risk of each encounter situation and confirmed to be capable of identifying a risk changes in specific course and speed changes at Busan coastal water.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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• 2022.01a
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• pp.77-82
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• 2022

GUI(Graphical User Interface)를 대신하는 차세대 인터페이스로서 NUI(Natural User Interace)에 기대가 모이는 것은 자연스러운 흐름이다. 본 연구는 NUI의 손가락 관절을 포함한 손동작 전체를 인식시키기 위해 웹캠과 카메라를 활용하여 다양한 배경과 각도의 손동작 데이터를 수집한다. 수집된 데이터는 전처리를 거쳐 데이터셋을 구축하며, ResNet50 모델을 활용하여 전이학습한 합성곱 신경망(Convolutional Neural Network) 알고리즘 분류기를 설계한다. 구축한 데이터셋을 입력시켜 분류학습 및 예측을 진행하며, 실시간 영상에서 인식되는 손동작을 설계한 모델에 입력시켜 나온 결과를 통해 가위바위보 게임을 구현한다.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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• v.28 no.5
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• pp.780-790
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• 2022

Quantitative risk levels must be presented by analyzing the causes and consequences of accidents and predicting the occurrence patterns of the accidents. For the analysis of marine accidents related to vessel traffic, research on the traffic such as collision risk analysis and navigational path finding has been mainly conducted. The analysis of the occurrence pattern of marine accidents has been presented according to the traditional statistical analysis. This study intends to present a marine accident prediction model using the statistics on marine accidents related to vessel traffic. Statistical data from 1998 to 2021, which can be accumulated by month and hourly data among the Korean domestic marine accidents, were converted into structured time series data. The predictive model was built using a long short-term memory network, which is a representative artificial intelligence model. As a result of verifying the performance of the proposed model through the validation data, the RMSEs were noted to be 52.5471 and 126.5893 in the initial neural network model, and as a result of the updated model with observed datasets, the RMSEs were improved to 31.3680 and 36.3967, respectively. Based on the proposed model, the occurrence pattern of marine accidents could be predicted by learning the features of various marine accidents. In further research, a quantitative presentation of the risk of marine accidents and the development of region-based hazard maps are required.

• KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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• v.6 no.7
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• pp.297-306
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• 2017

Citizens want more accurate forecast information using Bus Information System. However, most bus information systems that use an average based short-term prediction algorithm include many errors because they do not consider the effects of the traffic flow, signal period, and halting time. In this paper, we try to improve the precision of forecast information by analyzing the influencing factors of the error, thereby making the convenience of the citizens. We analyzed the influence factors of the error using BIS data. It is shown in the analyzed data that the effects of the time characteristics and geographical conditions are mixed, and that effects on halting time and passes speed is different. Therefore, the halt time is constructed using Generalized Additive Model with explanatory variable such as hour, GPS coordinate and number of routes, and we used Hidden Markov Model to construct a pattern considering the influence of traffic flow on the unit section. As a result of the pattern construction, accurate real-time forecasting and long-term prediction of route travel time were possible. Finally, it is shown that this model is suitable for travel time prediction through statistical test between observed data and predicted data. As a result of this paper, we can provide more precise forecast information to the citizens, and we think that long-term forecasting can play an important role in decision making such as route scheduling.