• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.20 no.1
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• pp.55-63
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• 2002

It has been known well that Traffic Conflict Technique(TCT) used to evaluate the safety of intersections in the case of shortage of traffic accidents data and surveying time. Because data for using in traffic conflict technique that is collected by trained surveyors, it is rely on the knowledge, experience and the characteristics of them. The data of surveying generate varying result. So, its variance must minimize and then it is considered of calculating in traffic conflict technique however obviously technique to minimize has not developed until now. So, this paper has a focus on the technical method to minimize the variance. For this, it applied the fuzzy reasoning theory to the existed traffic conflict technique that is the most comprehensive method in the country and then developed the new traffic conflict technique model. Fuzzy reasoning theory is a very appropriate method for minimizing the variance among surveyors because it can systematically calculate the uncertainty of surveyors by approximation reasoning structure. The result of analysis from pilot study, the new Procedure in this Paper minimized the variance by 53 Percentiles and it increased the value of conversion factor two times than the exited traffic conflict technique. The method proposed in this paper, it can be used for evaluating the safety of intersection, and before and after analysis of improving Project of black spots.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.18 no.1
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• pp.14-26
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• 2019

For bus drivers' safe driving, a policy that analyzes the causes of the drivers' traffic accidents and then assists their safe driving is required. Therefore, the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport set up its plan to gradually expand the equipping of commercial vehicles with FCWS (Forward Collision Warning System) and LDWS(Lane Departure Warning System), from the driver-supporting ADAS(Advanced Driver Assistance Systems). However, there is not much basic research on the analysis of bus drivers' traffic accidents in Korea. As such, the time is appropriate to research what is the most necessary ADAS for bus drivers going forward to prevent bus accidents. The purpose of this research is to analyze how serious the accidents were in the different bus routes and whether the accidents were repetitive, and to give recommendations on how to support ADAS for buses, as an improvement. A model of ordered logit was used to analyze how serious the accidents were and as a result, vehicle to pedestrian accidents which directly affected individuals were statistically significant in all of the models, and violations of regulations, such as speeding, traffic signal violation and violation of safeguards for passengers, were indicated in common in several models. Therefore, the pedestrian-sensor system and automatic emergency control device for pedestrian should be installed to reduce bus accidents directly affecting persons in the future, and education for drivers and ADAS are to be offered to reduce the violations of regulations.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.32 no.2D
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• pp.137-145
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• 2012

According to the National Police Agency, the total number of traffic accidents which occurred in 2010 was 226,878. Intersection accidents accounts for 44.8%, the largest portion of the entire traffic accidents. An research on the signalized intersection is constantly made, while an research on the unsignalized intersection is yet insufficient. This study selected traffic volume, road width, and sight distance as the input variables which affect unsignalized intersection accidents, and number of accidents as the output variable to build a model using ANFIS(Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System). The forecast performance of this model is evaluated by comparing the actual measurement value with the forecasted value. The compatibility is evaluated by R2, the coefficient of determination, along with Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Mean Square Error (MSE), the indicators which represent the degree of error and distribution. The result shows that the $R^2$ is 0.9817, while MAE and MSE are 0.4773 and 0.3037 respectively, which means that the explanatory power of the model is quite decent. This study is expected to provide the basic data for establishment of safety measure for unsignalized intersection and the improvement of traffic accidents.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.38 no.1
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• pp.81-90
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• 2018

The purpose of this study is to evaluate the effect of downward speed limit of urban arterial roads at 29 sites in Busan Metropolitan Police Agency to reduce road traffic accidents from '10 to '15. As a result of analyzing the traffic accidents occurred for 1~3 years after the decrease in the speed limit, the number of traffic accidents decreased by 3.09% and the number of injured persons decreased by 8.76%, but the number of deaths decreased by 36.73% The results of this study are as follows. The average speed reduction rate of 6.31km/h was decreased by investigating the change of the vehicle speed before and after the downward speed limit, and the change of average speed was statistically significant in most of the sections. The rate of compliance with the speed limit increased by 10.26% p, which is considered to have greatly improved overall traffic safety. A survey conducted by residents near the target area with a lower speed limit showed that 57.9% of the respondents felt the driving speed of the vehicle was lowered. However, this project was focused on vehicles with limited speed road signs and traffic safety signs, Only 25.8% of respondents said walking safety was improved. In the future, it is necessary to consider the safety of pedestrians by improving roads around roads such as road curvature and separation. In addition, there is a clear positive result in terms of decreasing the fatal accidents in the downward speed limit zone of Busan Metropolitan Subway. However, more detailed analysis is needed for the 29 accidents. Therefore, it is expected that traffic practitioners will be able to utilize it as a basis to increase the accident reduction effect by setting an appropriate speed limit based on the easy and objective grounds.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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• v.38 no.1
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• pp.57-67
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• 2020

Recently, smart cities are attracting attention as a solution for a plethora of urban problems, including transportation, environment, safety, and energy. However, despite a substantial body of research dealt with the concept, trends, policy, and legal institutions of smart cities, few researchers have examined how the smart city services influence the cities from the dynamic perspective that considers the entire cycle of a city, including its growth, stagnation, and decline. Thus, it is vital to understand how the city changes with time from the view that a city is a system of sub-elements-population, industry, transportation, environment, housing, and land-closely interacting together. Within this context, this study explores how the urban dynamics of Anyang-city develop for the long term using the System Dynamics method and analyzes the effect of smart city project investment on the dynamics of Anyang-city. According to the result, Anyang-city is a "mature and stable" type, and its population is expected to decrease slowly by 2040. Specifically, the Anyang-city population will be reduced to 553,000 by 2030. It was analyzed that the number will decrease to 543,000 by 2040. It was also found that the investment in smart city projects in Anyang, based on the Plan for Anyang Smart City, would have the following effects: easing population decline, increasing number of businesses, improving urban safety index, and increasing average driving speed. The population will grow by 4,000 and the number of businesses will increase by 761 than before budget investment. The result of this paper is expected to contribute to identifying and predicting the effect of smart city policies from a long-term perspective.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.21 no.4
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• pp.1-17
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• 2022

As pedestrian deaths account for a high proportion of traffic accident deaths in Korea, interest in pedestrian safety is growing. In particular, it is necessary to develop various pedestrian-centered traffic signal operation techniques to improve the pedestrian environment at signal intersections. Therefore, in this study, a method for time-of-day operating a pedestrian signal based on residual pedestrians was studied. To this end, the pedestrian signal operation technique in response to the pedestrian demand, which is operated by extending the pedestrian signal time only during the time when the pedestrian demand and the number of remaining pedestrians increase, was applied to the field. The difference in safety according to the application of the new pedestrian signal operation technique was statistically analyzed. As a result of the analysis, the residual pedestrian rate decreased by 20% (3.3 people) before application and 8% (1.4 people) after application, and the residual pedestrian rate in the crosswalk at the time of red signal decreased by 12% (1.9 people), And it was analyzed that the position of the residual pedestrian decreased by 3.3m from 5.2m before application to 1.9m after application.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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• v.26 no.6
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• pp.606-614
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• 2020

The administrative ship, Chuja-ho, is the only mode of transportation between manned islands in the Chuja-do, Jeju. Chuja-ho is a 25-year-old age, which is identified to pass the persisting period (25 years) for public ships, and there is an urgent need for a replacement. The residents of the island are also requesting that the new administrative ship be outfitted with medical functions because there is no sea transportation system for medical emergencies in Chuja-do. The purpose of this study is to examine the required functions of a new administrative ship outfitted with medical functions and to suggest a conceptual design. In order to review the necessity of an emergency patient transport system, user requirements were surveyed and analyzed, and the ship's condition assessed by ship experts who carried out an on-site survey and analysis of ship survey data. Thereafter, a conceptual design for a new administrative ship with medical functions was presented. The results of this study can be used during a review of a new budget plan and for basic ship designs during the replacement project by the local government. It is also expected to improve the safety and medical environment of Chuja-do residents.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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• v.32 no.5
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• pp.141-148
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• 2017

Over the past 30 years, the business effects of the improvement project at black spot have been decreasing since 2010, with a reduction in the amount of government spending, coupled with proposing a uniform improvement plan. In order to promote more efficient improvement projects, it is necessary to evaluate the efficiency of local governments and improve the business methods of local governments with low efficiency. However, more sophisticated efficiency analysis methods are needed. Because in previous studies have been limited to the analysis of effects before and after the project through the simple before-after analysis. For this purpose, this study analyzed the efficiency of improvement project at black spot by local governments in Gyeonggi-do using DEA to compare and analyze efficiency in various fields. As a result, Goyang, Seongnam, Paju, Hanam and Yangju showed high efficiency local governments. For local governmetns with low efficiency, the improvement projets to improve efficiency were divided into civil engineering work, structure work, pavement work, additional work and transportation work, and the appropriate construction ratios of each local government were analyzed and presented.

• The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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• v.5 no.4
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• pp.379-385
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• 2019

The purpose of this study is to investigate the damage status of wood sleepers on concrete track of urban transit at different locations and to analyze the causes of damages. In addition, the turnout maintenance history during the service period of about 24 years was analyzed in conjunction with the train passing tonnage and that was to compare the current repair history. The most frequent damage components were rail, tie plate, spike and wooden sleeper. And, the damage caused by the defect of the rail fastening system such as spike and tie plate according to the deformation of the wooden sleeper was analyzed as the main type of damage. As a result, the damage of track components of turnout system was on the increase because they are directly affected by the train passing tonnage. The supplementary points of the check sheet for current turnout maintenance were derived and the improvement proposal was suggested based on the research results.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.15 no.9
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• pp.5585-5593
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• 2014

This study tested the hypothesis that the significance of the heterogeneous dispersion parameter in safety performance function (SPF) used to estimate the expected crashes is affected by the endogenous heterogeneous prior distributions, and analyzed the impacts of the mis-specified dispersion parameter on the evaluation results for traffic safety countermeasures. In particular, this study simulated the Poisson means based on the heterogeneous dispersion parameters and estimated the SPFs using both the negative binomial (NB) model and the heterogeneous negative binomial (HNB) model for analyzing the impacts of the model mis-specification on the mean and dispersion functions in SPF. In addition, this study analyzed the characteristics of errors in the crash reduction factors (CRFs) obtained when the two models are used to estimate the posterior means and variances, which are essentially estimated through the estimated hyper-parameters in the heterogeneous prior distributions. The simulation study results showed that a mis-estimation on the heterogeneous dispersion parameters through the NB model does not affect the coefficient of the mean functions, but the variances of the prior distribution are seriously mis-estimated when the NB model is used to develop SPFs without considering the heterogeneity in dispersion. Consequently, when the NB model is used erroneously to estimate the prior distributions with heterogeneous dispersion parameters, the mis-estimated posterior mean can produce large errors in CRFs up to 120%.