• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.34 no.4
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• pp.341-353
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• 2016

Highway is mainly in charge of middle-long distance of vehicular travel. Trip length has shown a growing trend due to increased commute distances by the relocation of public agencies. For this reason, the proportion of driver-driven accidents, caused by their fatigue or sleepiness, are very high on highways. However, existing studies related to accident prediction have mainly considered external factors, such as road conditions, environmental factors and vehicle factors, without driving behavior. In this study, we suggested an accident index (FDR, Fatigued Driving Rate) based on traffic behavior using large-scale Car Navigation path data, and exlpored the relationship between FDR and traffic accidents. As a result, FDR and traffic accidents showed a high correlation. This confirmed the need for a paradigm shift (from facilities to travel behavior) in traffic accident prediction studies. FDR proposed in this study will be utilized in a variety of fields. For example, in providing information to prevent traffic accidents (sleepiness, reckless driving, etc) in advance, utilization of core technologies in highway safety diagnostics, selection of priority location of rest areas and shelter, and selection of attraction methods (rumble strips, grooving) for attention for fatigued sections.

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.11 no.2
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• pp.159-166
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• 2009

On freeways, factors inducing traffic accidents consist of two major elements such as driver factors and road environment factors. Research have been done and shown that there would be relationship between design elements such as radius, slopes, superelevations, and observed speeds and accident rates. The present paper confirms that these elements are correlated with accident rates. Furthermore, the paper identifies standard deviation of these elements as the design consistency and compare them with reduction of accident rates. This type of work leads to identify the fact that standard deviations based design consistency are correlated with accident rates. The results of the paper may contribute to encourage the quantified use of design consistency during highway design.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.35 no.2
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• pp.105-115
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• 2017

Each year, a number of tourists visit Jeju Island, a popular tourist destination in the Republic of Korea. A large portion of the tourists (about 61%) use a rental car as a means of transportation. With this reason, the number of rental cars registered in Jeju was 15,517 in 2011, while the total number of the rental car has rapidly increased to 26,338 in 2015. For the same period, the number of rental car involved traffic accidents has been doubled. Thus, this study aims to analyze the rental car accidents' characteristics, clarifying primary factors related to rental car accidents in Jeju Island. To do this, 918 rental car accidents and 4,201 non-commercial passenger car accidents that occurred in Jeju island over the two years (2014-2015) were compared, using statistical methods such as chi-square test and z-test. The results show that the characteristics of rental car involved accidents are different from those caused by the passenger cars. Most of the rental car accidents in Jeju were caused by young drivers and drivers who had just obtained their driver's licenses. This study finds that driver immaturity, unfamiliar geography, and driving an unfamiliar vehicle are the main causes of the rental car accidents. Statistical analysis confirms that the characteristics of these accidents appeared significantly different from the passenger cars in terms of human and environmental factors. On the other hand, there is no clear evidence that vehicle-related characteristics are different between rental car and non-commercial passenger car accidents. The implications on transportation safety analysis and effective solutions to prevent rental car traffic accidents are discussed.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
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• 2017.11a
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• pp.207-208
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• 2017

본 연구는 전국 고속도로별 첨두 비첨두 시간에 발생되는 교통사고 중 사망사고의 주요 요인들을 발견하고 분석하여 각 노선별 사고 특성을 제시하고자 한다. 이에 로지스틱 회귀분석을 통해 분석한 결과 남해선의 경우 첨두 시간에 발생되는 사망사고의 요인 중 주시태만이 첨두가 비첨두의 경우보다 높게 나타났고, 논산천안선, 호남선과 중부내륙선의 경우 모두 졸음의 사망사고 위험도가 첨두일 경우 비첨두의 경우보다 높게 나왔으며 논산천안선, 호남선의 경우 비첨두일 때 과속에도 영향을 받는 경향을 나타냈다. 특이하게 경부선의 경우 졸음의 사망사고 위험도가 오히려 비첨두일 경우가 첨두의 경우보다 높게 나타났다. 비첨두일 경우 경인선, 서해안선, 영동선 등의 노선에서도 졸음, 주시태만과 과속의 위험도가 나타났다.

• Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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• v.29 no.8
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• pp.1-9
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• 2024

In this paper, we propose a new approach by analyzing driver behavior and gaze changes within the vehicle in real-time to assess and predict the risk of traffic accidents. Utilizing data analysis and machine learning algorithms, this research precisely measures drivers' abnormal behaviors and gaze movement patterns in real-time, and aggregates these into an overall Risk Score to evaluate the potential for traffic accidents. This research underscores the significance of internal factors, previously unexplored, providing a novel perspective in the field of traffic safety research. Such an innovative approach suggests the feasibility of developing real-time predictive models for traffic accident prevention and safety enhancement, expected to offer critical foundational data for future traffic accident prevention strategies and policy formulation.

• Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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• v.17 no.3
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• pp.427-441
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• 2021

Purpose: This study proposes a method for developing a model that predicts the probability of traffic accidents in advance to prevent the most frequent traffic accidents in the military. Method: For this purpose, CRISP-DM (Cross Industry Standard Process for Data Mining) was applied in this study. The CRISP-DM process consists of 6 stages, and each stage is not unidirectional like the Waterfall Model, but improves the level of completeness through feedback between stages. Results: As a result of modeling the same data set as the previously constructed accident investigation data for the entire group, when the classification criterion was 0.5, Significant results were derived from the accuracy, specificity, sensitivity, and AUC of the model for predicting traffic accidents. Conclusion: In the process of designing the prediction model, it was confirmed that it was difficult to obtain a meaningful prediction value due to the lack of data. The methodology for designing a predictive model using the data set was proposed by reorganizing and expanding a data set capable of rational inference to solve the data shortage.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.34 no.2
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• pp.561-571
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• 2014

This study analyzes traffic accident severity of old age drivers in fourteen cities and counties of Jeonbuk Province. It is assumed that traffic accident effecting factors have two staged structure by personal and driving environment and urban characteristics. Multilevel Analysis Model is used under the assumption of hierarchical characteristics to analyze factors effecting severity. As the driver's age increases after sixty-five years old, accident damages become severe. The drunk driving is likely to make traffic accident damage more severer. The number of fatal accident by old age drivers is about three time more than by no old age drivers. Old age drivers have higher number of night traffic accidents but severer ones in daytime. Old age drivers show the higher number of traffic accidents but severer ones in fine weather. Wet road surface also influences damage severity and especially old age drivers show higher serious damage and fatal than no old drivers.

• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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• v.30 no.1 s.107
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• pp.35-43
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• 2006

This study suggests strategies to prevent traffic accidents by utilizing impact factors per each cluster and the typical patterns of 81 cities based on the statistical analysis of the data concerning the TCI which was developed from the partnership of the Traffic Safety Authority and the Green Traffic Movement Corporation in 2002 and 2003. The Principal Component Analysis and Cluster Analysis on impact factors and TCI result in 4 components and 4 clusters. Also as the results of Stepwise Multiple Regression Analysis examining the relationship between impact factors and TCI, R2 values of these models show high to all clusters. According to the results, we suggest strategies to prevent traffic accidents per cluster concretely and it is necessary to analyze how effective the invested facilities are in reducing traffic accidents in the future.

• Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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• v.5 no.1
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• pp.9-15
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• 2014

Traffic accidents are caused by a variety of factors. Among the factors that cause traffic accidents are weather conditions at the time. There is a difference in the percentage of deaths according to traffic accidents, due to the weather conditions. In order to reduce the number of deaths due to traffic accidents, to predict the incidence of traffic accidents that occur in response to weather conditions is required. In this paper, it propose a model to predict the incidence of traffic accidents caused by weather conditions. Predictive modeling was applied to the theory of Markov processes. By applying the actual data for the proposed model, to predict the incidence of traffic accidents, it was compared with the number of occurrences in practice. In this paper, it is to support the development of traffic accident policy with the change of weather.

• Proceedings of KOSOMES biannual meeting
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• 2018.06a
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• pp.50-50
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• 2018