• Title/Summary/Keyword: 교통사고건수

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Fitting Distribution of Accident Frequency of Freeway Horizontal Curve Sections & Development of Negative Binomial Regression Models (고속도로 평면선형상 사고빈도분포 추정을 통한 음이항회귀모형 개발 (기하구조요인을 중심으로))

  • 강민욱;도철웅;손봉수
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.20 no.7
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    • pp.197-204
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    • 2002
  • 교통사고예측 및 예방을 위해서는 실제적으로 도로설계과정에서 제어가 가능한 도로 기하구조요소에 대한 사고관계를 파악함이 타당하다. 즉, 도로의 설계자는 도로건설에 앞서 기하구조요소와 사고와의 관계를 현장자료를 통해 정확히 밝혀 도로설계에 반영해야 한다. 이를 위해, 교통사고의 빈도분포를 박히는 것은 가장 기본이 되는 일이며, 교통사고 예측모형개발에 선행되어야 한다. 일반적으로 교통사고건수의 경우 분산이 평균보다 큰 과분산(overdispersion)의 특징을 가지고 있어 음이항 분포를 따른다고 알려져 있다. 따라서 본 논문은 사고모형의 개발에 앞서, 사고발생지점에 대한 도로설계요소와 기타 잠재적인 사고발생 관련요인이 비교적 잘 파악되어있는 호남고속도로를 중심으로 평면 선형상 곡선부에 대하여 교통사고의 분포를 적합도 검정을 통해 알아보고자 하였다. 사고자료는 한국도로송사의 호남고속도로 5년(1996∼2000)간 자료를 분석에 맞게 정리하였으며, 강민욱과 송봉수(2002)에서 제시한 평면선형에 있어서의 구간분할법을 이용하여 배향곡선구간과 단일곡선구간에 대한 사고분석을 하였다. 적합도 분석결과, 예상대로 음이항분포가 사고건수를 설명하기에 가장 적합한 확률분포로 제시되었으며, 이를 통해 최우추정법을 이용한 음이항회귀모형을 개발하였다. 구간분할법을 적용한 음이항회귀모형의 경우, 기존의 확률회귀토형에 비하여 높은 결정계수를 갖았으며, 모형에서 적용된 기하구조요소로는 차량 노출계수, 곡선반경, 단위거리 당 편경사변화값 등이다.

Road Accident Trends Analysis with Time Series Models for Various Road Types (도로종류별 교통사고 추세분석 및 시제열 분석모형 개발)

  • Han, Sang-Jin;Kim, Kewn-Jung
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2007
  • Roads in Korea can be classified into four types according to their responsible authorities. For example, Motorway is constructed, managed, and operated by the Korea Highway Corporation. Ministry of Construction and Transportation is in charge of National Highway, and Province Roads are run by each province government. Urban/county Roads are run by corresponding local government. This study analyses the trends of road accidents for each road type. For this purpose, the numbers of accidents, fatalities, and injuries are compared for each road type for last 15 years. The result shows that Urban/County Roads are the most dangerous, while Motorways are the safest, when we simply compare the numbers of accidents, fatalities, and injuries. However, when we compare these numbers by dividing by total road length, National Highway becomes the most dangerous while Province Roads becomes the safest. In the case of road accidents, fatalities, and injuries per vehicle km, which is known as the most objective comparison measure, it turns out that National Highway is the most dangerous roads again. This study also developed time series models to estimate trends of fatalities for each road type. These models will be useful when we set up or evaluate targets of national road safety.

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Traffic Accident Reduction Effects of the All-Red Clearance Interval (ARCI) Operation (전적색신호시간 운영에 따른 교통사고 감소효과)

  • Park, Byung-Ho;Jung, Yong-Il;Kim, Kyung-Hwan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.21-27
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    • 2012
  • This study deals with the relationships between signal operation and traffic accident of signalized intersections. The objective of this study is to analyze the traffic accident reduction effects on the operation of all-red clearance interval (ARCI). This study gives particular attentions to evaluating the traffic accident reduction effects of ARCI at 37 signalized intersections in Cheongju using before-after evaluation with comparison group. The main results are as follows. First, the number of traffic accidents, fatalities and injuries has changed before operating ARCI and thereafter. Second, the result of before-and-after evaluation with comparison group showed that the number of accidents was reduced by 20.0% and that the number of fatalities and injuries was reduced by 28.0%. Finally, reduction effects from operating ARCI were evaluated to be 6.0~35.0% in the number of accidents and 18.0~37.0% in the number of fatalities and injuries.

A Visualization of Traffic Accidents Hotspot along the Road Network (도로 네트워크를 따른 교통사고 핫스팟의 시각화)

  • Cho, Nahye;Jun, Chulmin;Kang, Youngok
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.48 no.1
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    • pp.201-213
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    • 2018
  • In recent years, the number of traffic accidents caused by car accidents has been decreasing steadily due to traffic accident prevention activities in Korea. However, the number of accidents in Seoul is higher than that of other regions. Various studies have been conducted to prevent traffic accidents, which are human disasters. In particular, previous studies have performed the spatial analysis of traffic accidents by counting the number of traffic accidents by administrative districts or by estimating the density through kernel density method in order to identify the traffic accident cluster areas. However, since traffic accidents take place along the road, it would be more meaningful to investigate them concentrated on the road network. In this study, traffic accidents were assigned to the nearest road network in two ways and analyzed by hotspot analysis using Getis-Ord Gi* statistics. One of them was investigated with a fixed road link of 10m unit, and the other by computing the average traffic accidents per unit length per road section. As a result by the first method, it was possible to identify the specific road sections where traffic accidents are concentrated. On the other hand, the results by the second method showed that the traffic accident concentrated areas are extensible depending on the characteristic of the road links. The methods proposed here provide different approaches for visualizing the traffic accidents and thus, make it possible to identify those sections clearly that need improvement as for the traffic environment.

사업용 자동차 운전자의 안전성격 분석에 관한 연구(교통사고 잦은 업체 및 대형 교통사고 발생업체를 중심으로)

  • 이환승
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Industrial Safety Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.551-557
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    • 2003
  • 2002년도 사고건수 등을 통한 사고가 잦은 운수업체와 대형 교통사고 발생업체를 선정하여 전반적인 안전관리실태를 조사하여 문제점을 파악하고 이를 토대로 운수업체의 효율적인 운전자관리를 위한 개선방안을 제시하는데 활용할 목적으로 조사 및 분석을 실시하였다.(중략)

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A Study to Predict the Traffic Accident Severity Level Applying Neural Network at the Signalized Intersections (인공신경망을 적용한 신호교차로 교통사고심각도 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Jae-Won;Kim, Seong-Ho;Cho, Jun-Han;Kim, Won-Chul
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.3 s.74
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    • pp.127-135
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    • 2004
  • 교차로 안전성 진단과 관련된 기존의 연구는 교차로 상에서 발생한 사고 자료에 기초하여 교차로 기하구조 요소, 교통량 및 신호운영방법 등과 관련된 요인을 변수로 사용하여 교통사고건수 예측모형 개발에 관한 연구가 대부분이다. 그러나, 분석하고자 하는 대상 교차로의 사고건수 예측모형을 개발하기 위해 필요한 교통사고 자료의 경우 단 기일에 걸쳐 획득되지 않으며 몇 년간의 사고 자료를 요구할 수도 있다. 이러한 자료를 이용하더라도 사고 발생 기간동안 교차로 사고에 영향을 미치는 요인(교차로 운영방법, 기하구조 등)이 변화될 수도 있다는 문제점을 지닌다. 이와 같은 이유로 교차로 안전성을 진단하는데 있어 기존 교통사고 자료는 언제나 절대적인 자료가 될 수 없다. 이에 대한 보완책으로, 3일에서 5일정도의 조사 자료만으로도 안전성 진단이 가능한 상충자료를 이용하여 교차로 안전성 진단을 할 수 있다. 본 연구는 기존사고 자료를 이용하여 사고 발생에 기인하는 여러 변수들을 교통사고심각도와의 상관관계를 분석하고, 상관관계가 높은 변수를 이용하여 신경망 사고심각도 예측모형을 개발하였으며, 모형 검증을 위해 다중회귀사고심각도 예측모형을 개발하여 비교 평가한 결과 신경망 사고심각도 예측모형의 예측력이 우수한 것으로 나타났다. 현장에서 조사된 상충자료를 신경망 사고심각도 예측모형에 적용하여 상충이 사고로 연결 될 경우 사고심각도를 예측하였으며, 예측된 사고심각도에 가중치를 부여하여 대상 교차로 위험우선순위를 결정한 결과 사고비용에 기초한 위험우선순위 결정법과 같은 순위의 결과를 도출하였다.

Analysis of Traffic Accident Reduction Effect When Introducing Motorcycle Safety Inspection (이륜자동차 안전검사제도 도입 시 교통사고절감효과 분석)

  • KOO, Jahun;JANG, Jinyoung;CHOO, Sang Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.25-36
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze traffic accident reduction effect of the introduction of motorcycle safety inspection. To analyze the effect of motorcycle inspection, we first estimate the number of defective motorcycles, and calculate the probability of accident occurrences caused by the defect using four year traffic accident data. Finally, we estimate the number of reduced accidents due to the introduction of the inspection and the total reduced accident cost. In this study, we analyzed three scenarios. It is analyzed that when the safety inspection system is applied to all motorcycles, 642 cases of traffic accidents and 325 million won per year of traffic accident costs are reduced. It is approximately 0.1% of 2014 total traffic accident cost of 26.5725 trillion won per year. It suggests that the cost of traffic accidents and traffic accidents due to vehicle factors are reduced when the safety inspection system is introduced.

International Comparative Analysis of Traffic Safety Indicators related to Road Traffic Accidents (도로교통사고 안전지표의 국제간 비교분석 평가)

  • Kim, Sang Gu
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.17 no.9
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    • pp.429-438
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    • 2019
  • This study was to evaluate the level of traffic safety related to domestic traffic accidents by analyzing the international comparison of road traffic accident indicators and to set goals and directions of traffic accidents in Korea in the future. The research procedure was as follows: First, population, number of registered vehicles, roadway length, vehicle kilometers, injury accidents, fatalities, injuries were collected in 32 OECD countries. Second, we determined Korea's traffic safety rankings through international comparison of traffic accident rate. Finally, we analyzed the level of traffic safety by comparing Korea with the 7 advanced countries with the traffic accident rate per vehicle kilometers. The accident rate in Korea was greater than two times higher than those of the seven major developed countries, which showed that the level of traffic safety in Korea implied very low. Target values for domestic accidents were proposed based on the accident rate.

A Study on the Factors Influencing the Number of Enforcement on Traffic Signal Violation - Focused on Daegu City - (신호위반 단속건수에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 연구 - 대구시를 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Ki-Hyuk;Jung, Youn-Jae
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.6D
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    • pp.553-560
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    • 2010
  • This study examined the factors influencing the number of enforcement cases on traffic signal violation. The study collected enforcement data on traffic signal violation by multi-functional unmanned cameras across the Daegu metropolitan area, and analyzed the data to determine correlations among various factors including physical dimensions and engineering characteristics of the roadway as to how they would influence the number of violations. The resulting analysis provided a general model that assesses applicability for multi-functional unmanned cameras, and further shed helpful insights on efficient utilization of such traffic signal enforcement equipments in terms of installation thresholds and location. By identifying violation-prone features and characteristics and subsequent enforcement considerations, this research also supports safety efforts in reducing the number of traffic accidents as well.

Quantitative Effectiveness Analysis of Vehicle Inspection (자동차검사제도의 정량적 효과분석)

  • Jo, Han-Seon;Sim, Jae-Ik;Kim, Jong-Ryong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.65-74
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    • 2007
  • Vehicle inspection is a system to help all vehicles function safely through periodic maintenance. Vehicle inspections have been performed since 1962 in Korea by the government in order to reduce traffic accidents due to vehicle defects. Also, vehicle inspections may help protect citizens against uninsured vehicles and illegal vehicle remodeling by discovering and disclosing those vehicles. The prime objective of vehicle inspection is to guarantee all vehicles drive safely on the road by inspecting and fixing items which can affect traffic accidents. In addition, vehicle inspections may help to improve the public order related to vehicle operations and prevent crime through the confirmation of vehicle identity and authentication of ownership. Although there are many benefits of vehicle inspection. there are some negative opinions of the system. In this study, a methodology to analyze the effectiveness of the vehicle inspection system quantitatively in terms of traffic safety was developed. According to the developed methodology. accidents were reduced by 23.735, which is 11% of the total number of accidents in 2005.