• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.52 no.8
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• pp.555-563
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• 2019

Reduced thickness of the water pipes due to corrosion makes it difficult to perform the original functions since corrosion in metallic water pipes can occur over time. In this study, reliability model that can estimate the probability of pipe breakage is developed regarding corrosion depth increment according to service year. Probability of pipe breakage was calculated by FORM(First Order Reliability Method) and unsteady analysis was performed to analyze the statistical properties of water pressure. And KCIP(Korea Cast Iron Pipe) equation was adopted for the reliability function. Furthermore, change of pipe thickness was estimated by Nahal and Khelif equation and Romanoff equation. Therefore, pipe thickness was calculated due to change of corrosion depth and probability of pipe breakage was calculated and compared with 10, 20, 30 service years. From the results, probability of pipe breakage for network A is gradually increased from 6.8% to 8.6% according to service year of 10, 20, 30 when Nahal and Khelif equation is applied. And probability of pipe breakage for network A is also gradually increased from 6.4% to 8.9% according to service year of 10, 20, 30 when Romanoff equation is applied.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2021.06a
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• pp.420-420
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• 2021

상수도관은 시간이 경과됨에 따라 부식이 발생하고 이로 인해 관의 두께 및 강도가 감소하여 점차 상수도관의 기능을 상실하게 된다. 이러한 노후 상수도관은 누수, 적수 등 수자원에 막대한 경제적인 손실을 발생시키고 사람들에게 많은 불편을 끼친다. 현재 우리나라도 전체 상수도관 중 노후 상수도관이 많은 부분을 차지하고 있기 때문에 교체나 개선이 시급한 실정이다. 하지만 전체 상수도관을 교체하는 것은 막대한 예산이 필요하기 때문에 현실적으로 어려운 문제이다. 따라서 상수도관의 노후도 분석을 통하여 상수관망의 최적 교체 우선순위를 판단하고 교체를 실시하는 것이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 노후도 분석에 중요한 관의 부식깊이와 잔존수명을 예측하고 신뢰성해석을 통해 파괴확률을 산정하였다. 이를 위해 Romanoff(1957)와 환경부(2002)에서 실측한 상수관의 관종에 따른 관두께 변화를 적용하여 해석하였다. 실측 자료를 통해 부식깊이, 잔존수명 예측 모델을 수립하였으며 이에 따른 관의 파괴확률을 산정하였다. Romanoff(1957)의 혼합강관과 주철관에 대한 실측 자료를 사용하여 상수관의 사용연수가 10년, 20년, 30년 경과됨에 따른 부식깊이와 관파괴확률을 산정하였다. 혼합강관의 경우 사용연수에 따른 부식깊이는 0.57mm, 0.92mm, 1.21mm으로 산정되었으며, 주철관의 경우 0.16mm, 0.24mm, 0.31mm으로 산정되었다. 또한 신뢰성모형을 직경 300mm관에 적용한 결과 최대 상수도압 15kg/cm²에서 혼합강관의 사용연수에 따른 파괴확률은 3.36%, 4.65%, 6.18%로 나타났으며 주철관은 1.36%, 2.50%, 2.68%로 나타났다. 환경부(2002)의 주철관에 대한 부식 실측 자료를 통해 상수관의 사용연수 10년, 20년, 30년 경과에 따른 부식깊이와 관파괴확률을 산정하였으며 초기 관두께 측정 자료를 통해 잔존수명도 예측하였다. 부식깊이는 1.02mm, 1.25mm, 1.41mm으로 산정되었으며, 파괴확률은 5.15%, 6.30%, 7.35%로 산정되었다. 그리고 잔존수명의 경우 부식률이 20%일 때, 잔존수명은 약 30년으로 산정되었다.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.52 no.5
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• pp.373-380
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• 2019

In this study, the optimum pump operation technique is suggested to decrease the damage rate of water distribution system. Pump operation system was developed to achieve the effective pump operation. Pressure sensors which can communicate with pumps are installed at the end of water distribution system. Pump operation system can control the pressure of water pump according to data sent from the pressure sensors. Therefore, water distribution system can reduce the pressure and maintain enough pressure which can supply the demand of water users. For proving effectiveness of new system, reliability model was introduced to compare the results of damage rates between the maintaining high pressure and selective pressure in water pump. Unsteady analysis was conducted with several scenarios. And the results were used to calculate the probability of pipe breakage. From the results, it was found that new pump operation system can reduce the energy usage and probability of pipe breakage by applying to pumps.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.54 no.8
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• pp.589-597
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• 2021

In this study, corrosion depth equation was suggested according to real measured corrosion data, and then management indexes of pipe network which can determine the deterioration rate and safety rate has been established and applied to real pipe networks. Furthermore, reliability analysis and management index analysis have been conducted to estimate and compare the deterioration rate. From the results of reliability analysis, it was found that probability of failure of 200 mm steel pipe can be increased from 4.36% at present time to 8.23% after 20years at Gaduk and from 7.35% to 12.99% at Nami. From the results of management index analysis, it was found that deterioration rates of Gaduk and Nami are 1.009 and 1.174, respectively. Priority of improvement and replacement of water pipe can be determined by results of reliability analysis and management index analysis.