• Title/Summary/Keyword: 관측지점

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Prediction of Silking Date of Corn Hybrids Using Beta Function Model in South Korea (Beta 함수 모형을 이용한 국내 옥수수 품종의 출사기 예측)

  • Shim, Kyo-Moon;Kim, Yong-Seok;Lee, Jin-Seok;Jung, Myung-Pyo;Choi, In-tae;Kim, Hojung
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.102-109
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    • 2017
  • A temperature-based Beta function model was developed for corn hybrids (Zea mays L.). The beta function based on the hourly temperature was fitted to the phenology data (silking date) obtained for six years from 2008 through 2013 at four survey sites. Using the Beta function model, silking dates for two corn hybrids with the different ecotype ('Danok3', 'Ilmichal') were estimated over two years from 2014 through 2015 at four sites, and then the performance of the model was evaluated based on the data for the same period. The silking dates estimated by the model were predicted earlier than those observed at survey sites. Still, the correlation between estimates and observation was relatively high (r=0.859). The accuracy of the model differed by the survey site and the year, which was likely due to the considerably large standard deviation of the parameter calibrated in this study.

Regional Frequency Analysis for Future Precipitation from RCP Scenarios (대표농도경로 시나리오에 의한 미래 강수량의 지역빈도해석)

  • Kim, Duck Hwan;Hong, Seung Jin;Choi, Chang Hyun;Han, Dae Gun;Lee, So Jong;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.80-90
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    • 2015
  • Variability of precipitation pattern and intensity are increasing due to the urbanization and industrialization which induce increasing impervious area and the climate change. Therefore, more severe urban inundation and flood damage will be occurred by localized heavy precipitation event in the future. In this study, we analyze the future frequency based precipitation under climate change based on the regional frequency analysis. The observed precipitation data from 58 stations provided by Korea Meteorological Administration(KMA) are collected and the data period is more than 30 years. Then the frequency based precipitation for the observed data by regional frequency analysis are estimated. In order to remove the bias from the simulated precipitation by RCP scenarios, the quantile mapping method and outlier test are used. The regional frequency analysis using L-moment method(Hosking and Wallis, 1997) is performed and the future frequency based precipitation for 80, 100, and 200 years of return period are estimated. As a result, future frequency based precipitation in South Korea will be increased by 25 to 27 percent. Especially the result for Jeju Island shows that the increasing rate will be higher than other areas. Severe heavy precipitation could be more and more frequently occurred in the future due to the climate change and the runoff characteristics will be also changed by urbanization, industrialization, and climate change. Therefore, we need prepare flood prevention measures for our flood safety in the future.

A Study for Estimation of High Resolution Temperature Using Satellite Imagery and Machine Learning Models during Heat Waves (위성영상과 머신러닝 모델을 이용한 폭염기간 고해상도 기온 추정 연구)

  • Lee, Dalgeun;Lee, Mi Hee;Kim, Boeun;Yu, Jeonghum;Oh, Yeongju;Park, Jinyi
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.36 no.5_4
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    • pp.1179-1194
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    • 2020
  • This study investigates the feasibility of three algorithms, K-Nearest Neighbors (K-NN), Random Forest (RF) and Neural Network (NN), for estimating the air temperature of an unobserved area where the weather station is not installed. The satellite image were obtained from Landsat-8 and MODIS Aqua/Terra acquired in 2019, and the meteorological ground weather data were from AWS/ASOS data of Korea Meteorological Administration and Korea Forest Service. In addition, in order to improve the estimation accuracy, a digital surface model, solar radiation, aspect and slope were used. The accuracy assessment of machine learning methods was performed by calculating the statistics of R2 (determination coefficient) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) through 10-fold cross-validation and the estimated values were compared for each target area. As a result, the neural network algorithm showed the most stable result among the three algorithms with R2 = 0.805 and RMSE = 0.508. The neural network algorithm was applied to each data set on Landsat imagery scene. It was possible to generate an mean air temperature map from June to September 2019 and confirmed that detailed air temperature information could be estimated. The result is expected to be utilized for national disaster safety management such as heat wave response policies and heat island mitigation research.

Assessment of Surface Temperature Mitigation Effects of Wetlands During Heat and Cold Waves Using Daytime and Nighttime MODIS Land Surface Temperature (Terra/Aqua MODIS LST를 이용한 폭염 및 한파기간 동안 습지의 지면온도 완화효과 분석)

  • Chung, Jeehun;Lee, Yonggwan;Kim, Seongjoon
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.21 no.spc
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    • pp.123-133
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    • 2019
  • This study analyzed the surface temperature mitigation effect of wetlands during cold waves (below -12℃ from January to February) and heat waves (above 33℃ from July to August) in 2018. We used Terra/Aqua Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) Daytime and Nighttime Land Surface Temperature (LST) product, and the maximum and minimum air temperature observed at 86 stations of Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). For the cold wave analysis, the LST of Terra MODIS nighttime was the highest at forest area with -12.7℃, followed by upland crop and wetland areas of -12.9℃ and -13.0℃ respectively. The urban area showed the lowest value of -14.4℃. During the heat wave, the urban area was the highest with + 34.6℃ in Aqua MODIS LST daytime. The wetland area was + 33.0℃ showing - 1.6℃ decrease comparing with urban area.

Analysis of the effect of climate change on IDF curves using scale-invariance technique: focus on RCP 8.5 (Scale-Invariance 기법을 이용한 IDF 곡선의 기후변화 영향 분석: RCP 8.5를 중심으로)

  • Choi, Jeonghyeon;Lee, Okjeong;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.12
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    • pp.995-1006
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    • 2016
  • According to 5th IPCC Climate Change Report, there is a very high likelihood that the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events will increase. In reality, flood damage has increased, and it is necessary to estimate the future probabilistic design rainfall amount that climate change is reflected. In this study, the future probabilistic design precipitation amount is estimated by analyzing trends of future annual maximum daily rainfall derived by RCP 8.5 scenarios and using the scale-invariance technique. In the first step, after reviewing the time-scale characteristics of annual maximum rainfall amounts for each duration observed from 60 sites operating in Korea Meterological Administration, the feasibility of the scale-invariance technique are examined using annual daily maximum rainfall time series simulated under the present climate condition. Then future probabilistic design rainfall amounts for several durations reflecting the effects of climate change are estimated by applying future annual maximum daily rainfall time series in the IDF curve equation derived by scale-invariance properties. It is shown that the increasing trend on the probabilistic design rainfall amount has resulted on most sites, but the decreasing trend in some regions has been projected.

An evaluation of evaporation estimates according to solar radiation models (일사량 산정 모델에 따른 증발량 분석)

  • Rim, Chang-Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.12
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    • pp.1033-1046
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    • 2019
  • To evaluate the utilization suitability of solar radiation models, estimated solar radiation from 13 solar radiation models were verified by comparing with measured solar radiation at 5 study stations in South Korea. Furthermore, for the evaluation of evaporation estimates according to solar radiation models, 5 different evaporation estimation equations based on Penman's combination approach were applied, and evaporation estimates were compared with pan evaporation. Some solar radiation models require only meteorological data; however, some other models require not only meteorological data but also geographical data such as elevation. The study results showed that solar radiation model based on the ratio of the duration of sunshine to the possible duration of sunshine, maximum temperature, and minimum temperature provided the estimated solar radiation that most closely match measured solar radiation. Accuracy of estimated solar radiation also greatly improved when Angstrőm-Prescott model coefficients are adjusted to the study stations. Therefore, when choosing the solar radiation model for evaporation estimation, both data availability and model capability should be considered simultaneously. When applying measured solar radiation for estimating evaporation, evaporation estimates from Penman, FAO Penman-Monteith, and KNF equations are most close to pan evaporation rates in Jeonju and Jeju, Seoul and Mokpo, and Daejeon respectively.

A Study on the Change of Magma Activity from 2002 to 2009 at Mt. Baekdusan using Surface Displacement (지표변위를 활용한 백두산의 2002-2009년 마그마 활동 양상 변화 연구)

  • Yun, Sung-Hyo;Lee, Jeong-Hyun;Chang, Cheolwoo
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.470-478
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    • 2013
  • There have been a number of observed precursors of volcanic activities- such as volcanic earthquake, surface inflation, specific volcanic gas emission, temperature of hot spring- at Mt. Baekdusan since 2002. We identified the increase of the volume of magma chamber beneath Mt. Baekdusan as we observed an inflation trend of vertical and horizontal surface displacement around Cheonji caldera lake by using precise leveling data from 2002 to 2009. The surface displacement trend changed to deflation in 2010, and the trend changed to inflation again after a while. Utilizing the data of inflated surface (46.33 mm) on the northern slope of Mt. Baekdusan from 2002 to 2003, we calculated the volume change of magma chamber beneath the Mt. Baekdusan. The volume change was about 0.008 $km^3$ ($7.7-8.0{\times}10^6m^3$) from 2002 to 2003. It indicated that a new magma (0.008 $km^3$) injected to the magma chamber 5 km below Mt. Baekdusan.

Numerical Study on the Observational Error of Sea-Surface Winds at leodo Ocean Research Station (수치해석을 이용한 이어도 종합해양과학기지의 해상풍 관측 오차 연구)

  • Yim Jin-Woo;Lee Kyung-Rok;Shim Jae-Seol;Kim Chong-Am
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.189-197
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    • 2006
  • The influence of leodo Ocean Research Station structure to surrounding atmospheric flow is carefully investigated using CFD techniques. Moreover, the validation works of computational results are performed by the comparison with the observed data of leodo Ocean Research station. In this paper, we performed 3-dimensional CAD modelling of the station, generated the grid system for numerical analysis and carried out flow analyses using Navier-Stokes equations coupled with two-equation turbulence model. For suitable free stream conditions of wind speed and direction, the interference of the research station structure on the flow field is predicted. Beside, the computational results are benchmarked by observed data to confirm the accuracy of measured date and reliable data range of each measuring position according to the wind direction. Through the results of this research, now the quantitative evaluation of the error range of interfered gauge data is possible, which is expected to be applied to provide base data of accurate sea surface wind around research stations.

Analysis of NWP GRIB Data for LEO Satellite Mission Planning (저궤도 관측위성 임무계획(Mission Planning)을 위한 기상수치예보 GRIB Data 분석)

  • Seo Jeong-Soo;Seo Seok-Bae;Bae Hee-Jin;Kim Eun-Kyou
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2006.03a
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    • pp.178-186
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    • 2006
  • 기상 수치예보는 (Numerical Weather Pridiction, NWP)는 바람, 기온, 등과 같은 기상요소의 시간 변화를 나타내는 물리방정식을 컴퓨터로 풀어 미래의 대기 상태를 예상하는 과학적인 방법으로 지구를 상세한 격자 2진부호(GRIdded Binary, 이하 GRIB)로 나누어 그 격자점에서의 값으로 대기 상태를 나타낸다. 지구 각지에서의 각종 관측자료를 기초로 격자점상의 현재값을 구한다. 대용량의 격자데이터는 이진형태이어서 컴퓨터, 서버 저장장치에서 동일형태 데이터로 존재한다. 우리나라 최초의 저궤도 관측 위성인 다목적 실용위성 KOMPSAT-1호(이하, 아리랑 위성1호)는 전자광학카메라(Electro Optical Camera, EOC)를 탑재하여 1999년 12월 21일에 발사된 이후 2006년 1월 현재까지 6여년간 성공적으로 임무를 수행, 7049여회의 영상을 획득하여 국가적으로 귀중한 자료로 활용하고 있다. 아리랑 위성1호는 일일 2-3회 EOC영상을 획득하고 있으며, 임무계획(Mission Planning)은 MP(Mission Planner)가 사용자로부터 자료를 수집하여 임무분석 및 계획 서브시스템(MAPS)에 의해 계산되어진 위성의 제도예측 데이터에 촬영하고자하는 목표지점 좌표를 입력하여 자동명령생성기(KSCG)에 의해 계산된 촬영 경사각도(Tilt)값을 위성에 전송하여 목표지역의 영상을 획득하게 된다. 위성영상 획득에 있어 고가의 위성을 운영하면서 기상의 상태를 정확히 예측하여 실패없이 유효한 영상을 획득하는 것이 무엇보다 중요하다. 본 논문에서는 효율적인 위성임무계획을 위한 기상수치예보 자료를 분석하여 앞으로 발사하게 될 고해상 카메라 탑제위성인 아리랑 위성2호와 3호에 적용하고자 한다. the sufficient excess reactivity to override this poisoning must be inserted, or its concentration is decreased sufficiently when its temporary shutdown is required. As ratter of fact, these have an important influence not only on reactor safety but also on economic aspect in operation. Considering these points in this study, the shutdown process was cptimized using the Pontryagin's maximum principle so that the shutdown mirth[d was improved as to restart the reactor to its fulpower at any time, but the xenon concentration did not excess the constrained allowable value during and after shutdown, at the same time all the control actions were completed within minimum time from beginning of the shutdown.및 12.36%, $101{\sim}200$일의 경우 12.78% 및 12.44%, 201일 이상의 경우 13.17% 및 11.30%로 201일 이상의 유기의 경우에만 대조구와 삭제 구간에 유의적인(p<0.05) 차이를 나타내었다.는 담수(淡水)에서 10%o의 해수(海水)

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Probable annual maximum of daily snowfall using improved probability distribution (개선된 확률밀도함수 적용을 통한 빈도별 적설심 산정)

  • Park, Heeseong;Chung, Gunhui
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.4
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    • pp.259-271
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    • 2020
  • In Korea, snow damage has happened in the region with little snowfalls in history. Also, accidental damage was caused by heavy snow leads and the public interest on heavy snow has been increased. Therefore, policy about the Natural Disaster Reduction Comprehensive Plan has been changed to include the mitigation measures of snow damage. However, since heavy snow damage was not frequent, studies on snowfall have not been conducted on different points. The characteristics of snow data commonly are not the same as the rainfall data. Some southern coastal areas in Korea are snowless during the year. Therefore, a joint probability distribution was suggested to analyze the snow data with many 0s in a previous research and fitness from the joint probability distribution was higher than the conventional methods. In this study, snow frequency analysis was implemented using the joint probability distribution and compared to the design codes. The results were compared to the design codes. The results of this study can be used as the basic data to develop a procedure for the snow frequency analysis in the future.