• Title/Summary/Keyword: 관측지점

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Recent Changes in Summer Precipitation Characteristics over South Korea (최근 한반도 여름철 강수특성의 변화)

  • Park, Chang-Yong;Moon, Ja-Yeon;Cha, Eun-Jeong;Yun, Won-Tae;Choi, Young-Eun
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.324-336
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    • 2008
  • This paper examines the recent changes of summer precipitation in the aspect of temporal and spatial features using long-term($1958{\sim}2007$) observed station data over South Korea. tong-term mean summer precipitation has revealed two precipitation peaks during summer(June to September); one is the Changma as the first peak, and the other is the post-Changma as the second peak. During the Changma period, the spatial distribution of the maximum precipitation areas is determined by the prevailing southwesterlies and the quasi-stationary front, which results in large amount of precipitation at the windward side of mountain regions over South Korea. However during the post-Changma period, the spatial distribution of the maximum precipitation areas is determined by the lower tropospheric circulation flows from the west and the southeast around the Korean peninsula, and the weather phenomena such as Typhoons, convective instability, and cyclones which are originated from the Yangtze river. The larger amount of precipitation is founded on the southern coastal region and mountain and coastal areas in Korea during the second peak. Time series of total summer precipitation shows a steady increase and the increasing trend is more obvious during the recent 10 years. Decadal variation in summer precipitation indicates a large increase of precipitation, especially in the recent 10 years both in the Changma and the post-Changma period. However, the magnitude of change and the period of the maximum peak presents remarkable contrasts among stations. The most distinct decadal change occurs at Seoul, Busan, and Gangnueng. The precipitation amount is increasing significantly during the post-Changma period at Gangnueng, while the precipitation increases in the period between two maximum precipitation peaks during summer at Seoul and Busan.

Prediction of Wind Damage Risk based on Estimation of Probability Distribution of Daily Maximum Wind Speed (일 최대풍속의 추정확률분포에 의한 농작물 강풍 피해 위험도 판정 방법)

  • Kim, Soo-ock
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.130-139
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    • 2017
  • The crop damage caused by strong wind was predicted using the wind speed data available from Korean Meteorological Administration (KMA). Wind speed data measured at 19 automatic weather stations in 2012 were compared with wind data available from the KMA's digital forecast. Linear regression equations were derived using the maximum value of wind speed measurements for the three-hour period prior to a given hour and the digital forecasts at the three-hour interval. Estimates of daily maximum wind speed were obtained from the regression equation finding the greatest value among the maximum wind speed at the three-hour interval. The estimation error for the daily maximum wind speed was expressed using normal distribution and Weibull distribution probability density function. The daily maximum wind speed was compared with the critical wind speed that could cause crop damage to determine the level of stages for wind damage, e.g., "watch" or "warning." Spatial interpolation of the regression coefficient for the maximum wind speed, the standard deviation of the estimation error at the automated weather stations, the parameters of Weibull distribution was performed. These interpolated values at the four synoptic weather stations including Suncheon, Namwon, Imsil, and Jangsu were used to estimate the daily maximum wind speed in 2012. The wind damage risk was determined using the critical wind speed of 10m/s under the assumption that the fruit of a pear variety Mansamgil would begin to drop at 10 m/s. The results indicated that the Weibull distribution was more effective than the normal distribution for the estimation error probability distribution for assessing wind damage risk.

The Recent Increasing Trends of Exceedance Rainfall Thresholds over the Korean Major Cities (한국의 주요도시지점 기준강수량 초과 강수의 최근 증가경향 분석)

  • Yoon, Sun-Kwon;Moon, Young-Il
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.117-133
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    • 2014
  • In this study, we analysed impacts of the recent increasing trend of exceedance rainfall thresholds for separation of data set and different research periods using Quantile Regression (QR) approach. And also we performed significant test for time series data using linear regression, Mann-Kendall test and Sen test over the Korean major 8-city. Spring and summer precipitation was tend to significant increase, fall and winter precipitation was tend to decrease, and heavy rainy days in last 30 years have increased from 3.1 to 15 percent average. In addition, according to the annual ranking of rainfall occurs Top $10^{th}$ percentile of precipitation for 3IQR (inter quartile range) of the increasing trend, most of the precipitation at the point of increasing trend was confirmed. Quantile 90% percentile of the average rainfall 43.5mm, the increasing trend 0.1412mm/yr, Quantile 99% percentile of the average rainfall 68.0mm, the increasing trend in the 0.1314mm/yr were analyzed. The results can be used to analyze the recent increasing trend for the annual maximum value series information and the threshold extreme hydrologic information. And also can be used as a basis data for hydraulic structures design on reflect recent changes in climate characteristics.

Estimating the Influence of the Riffle and Pool on the Habitat of Fish (여울과 소의 형성 조건에 따른 어류 서식처 환경 영향)

  • Sung, Young-Du;Park, Bong-Jin;Lee, Sam-Hee;Cjung, Kwan-Sue
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.1007-1011
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    • 2006
  • 본 연구에서는 어류 생태계 유지를 위해 필요한 생태학적 추천유량을 산정하고, 어류의 서식처 환경인 여울과 웅덩이의 형성조건을 검토함으로써 '작용'인 '흐름'과 '응답'인 '하상구조'와의 상관 관계를 규명하고자 하였다. 본 연구의 대상하천인 금호강에서는 하상변동이 활발한 자연 상태를 벗어나 하상의 이동성 상당히 둔화된 상태이며, 저수로내 여울과 웅덩이도 대표어종이 서식할 수 있는 자갈하상 구조에 변화가 일어나고 있는 것으로 분석되었다. 이것은 금호강 상류에 영천댐 건설의 영향이 어느 정도 미치고 있음을 유황분석 결과를 통해 간접적으로 파악할 수 있었다. 댐과 같은 수공구조물의 건설로 인하여 하도가 고정화된 상태에서 장기간에 걸치게 되면 여울과 웅덩이와 같은 하상구조가 축소되거나 소멸되어 금호강에서의 대표어종 서식처 환경에 영향을 미칠 것으로 추정된다. 금번 연구결과, 금호강에서 어류의 생식에 필요한 생태학적 추천유량 $8.2m^3/sec$가 필요하였으며, 어류의 서식처 환경인 여울과 웅덩이를 지속적으로 유지되기 위해서는 $250m^3/sec$ 이상의 유량이 연간 한번 이상 흘러야 하고, 2.5년 내지 3년 마다 약 $500m^3/sec$ 정도의 유량이 흐를 필요가 있다고 분석되었다. 본 연구 대상지점에서 흐름과 하상구조를 하천생태계와 연계해서 볼 때, 생태추천유량은 어디까지나 대표어종이 서식할 수 있는 최소조건에 불과하다. 대표어종이 장기간에 걸쳐 서식할 수 있는 하상구조가 존재하기 위해서는 대표어종이 선호하는 여울과 웅덩이가 필요하다. 결국 대표어종이 서식하기 위한 필요충분조건은 생태추천유량 확보와 아울러 대표어종이 선호하는 하상구조를 유지하기 위해서는 하도의 이동성을 유발할 유황변화가 필요하다는 것이 입증되었다.대상으로 연중 발생하는 큰 호우사상에 대해 임의의 강우관측소를 결측지점으로 가정하고 주변의 강우관측소로부터 각각의 방법을 이용해 가중치들을 산정하여 결측지점의 강우량 값을 보정하고자 하였다. 또한 각각의 방법을 이용하여 얻어진 결과에 대해 실측값과 보정값의 오차정도를 평균절대오차법(Mean Absolute Error)과 제곱평균제곱근오차법(Root Mean Squared Error)에 의해 산정하여 보정 방법간의 효율성을 검토하고자 하였다.9년, 그리고 2010년${\sim}$2019년까지 총 4구간으로 나누어 결과를 도출하였으며 예상한 바와 같이 후반기 20년 동안에 세 가지 지표가 취약해 지는 것을 확인할 수 있었고, 특히 2000년부터 2009년까지 10년 동안에는 더욱 취약해짐을 확인할 수 있었다.를 보임에 따라 그 정책적 효과는 때로 역기능적인 결과로 초래하였다. 그럼에도 불구하고 이 연구결과를 통하여 최소한 주식시장(株式市場)에서 위탁증거금제도는 그 제도적 의의가 여전히 있다는 사실이 확인되었다. 또한 우리나라 주식시장에서 통상 과열투기 행위가 빈번히 일어나 주식시장을 교란시킴으로써 건전한 투자풍토조성에 저해된다는 저간의 우려가 매우 커왔으나 표본 기간동안에 대하여 실증분석을 한 결과 주식시장 전체적으로 볼 때 주가변동율(株價變動率), 특히 초과주가변동율(超過株價變動率)에 미치는 영향이 그다지 심각한 정도는 아니었으며 오히려 우리나라의 주식시장은 미국시장에 비해 주가가 비교적 안정적인 수준을 유지해 왔다고 볼 수 있다.36.4%)와 외식을 선호(29.1%)${\lrcorner}$ 하기 때문에 패스트푸드를 이용하게 된 것으로 응답 하였으며, 남 여 대학생간에는 유의한 차이(p<0.05)가 인정되었다. 응답자의 체형은 ${\ulco

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Estimation of the Flood Warning Rainfall with Backwater Effects in Urban Watersheds (도시 유역의 배수위 영향을 고려한홍수 경보 강우량 산정)

  • Kim, Eung-Seok;Lee, Seung-Hyun;Yoon, Ki-Yong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.801-806
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    • 2015
  • The incidence of flood damage by global climate change has increased recently. Because of the increased frequency of flooding in Korea, the technology of flood prediction and prevalence has developed mainly for large river watersheds. On the other hand, there is a limit on predicting flooding through the most present flood forecasting systems because local floods in small watersheds rise quite quickly with little or no advance warning. Therefore, this study estimated the flood warning rainfall using a flood forecasting model at the two alarm trigger points in the Suamcheon basin, which is an urban basin with backwater effects. The flood warning rainfall was estimated to be 25.4mm/120min ~ 78.8mm/120min for the low water alarm, and 68.5mm/120min ~ 140.7mm/120min for the high water alarm. The frequency of the flood warning rainfall is 3-years for the low water alarm, and 80-years for the high water alarm. The results of this analysis are expected to provide a basic database in forecasting local floods in urban watersheds. Nevertheless, more tests and implementations using a large number of watersheds will be needed for a practical flood warning or alert system in the future.

Assessment of Offshore Wind Power Potential in the Western Seas of Korea (한국 서해안의 해상풍력발전 부존량 평가)

  • Ko, Dong Hui;Jeong, Shin Taek;Kang, Keum Seok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.266-273
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, annual wind data in 2014 at six locations(Seosudo, Gadaeam, Sibidongpa, Galmaeyeo, Haesuseo, Jigwido) are collected and analyzed in order to review optimal candidate site for offshore wind farm in the Western Seas of Korea. Observed wind data is fitted to Rayleigh and Weibull distribution and annual energy production is estimated according to wind frequency. GWE-3kH(3 kW-class) and GWE-10KU (10 kW-class) turbine are selected as wind turbine. Also, power curve are used to calculate wind energy potential. As a result, annual mean wind speed at six locations(Seosudo, Gadaeam, Sibidongpa, Galmaeyeo, Haesuseo, Jigwido) were calculated about 4.60, 4.5, 5.00, 5.13, 5.51, 5.90 m/s, respectively. In addition, annual energy production were estimated at 10,622.752, 11,313.05, 13,509.41, 14,899.55, 17,106.13, 19,660.85 kWh. Generally, annual mean energy density were between poor and marginal class and capacity factor at Jigwido was calculated at 22.44%. Its value is higher than the others.

Distribution of Organic and Inorganic Arsenic Species in Groundwater and Surface Water Around the Ulsan Mine (울산광산 주변지역 수계에서 유기 및 무기 비소 종 분포)

  • Kim, Youn-Tae;Woo, Nam-Chil;Yoon, Hye-On;Yoon, Cheol-Ho
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.39 no.6 s.181
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    • pp.689-697
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    • 2006
  • Distribution and speciation of arsenic in water resources was investigated in the Ulsan mine area. In 62% of uoundwater samples from the mine area, total As concentrations exceeded 0.05 mg/l, the Korean Drinking Water Standard. As(V) was the major type in groundwater with minor As(III). Arsenic species appeared to be in transition stages following redox changes after exposure to the air through the monitoring wells. In areas around the mine, the mine and Cheongog spring appeared to be the sources of arsenic contamination of water resources. The spring showed 0.345 mg/1-As, as much as seven times of the Korean standard. Groundwater and stream samples showed As-concentrations greater than 0.05 mg/l in 30% and 33% samples, respectively, and 60 and 67% of samples exceeded 0.01 mg/l of WHO guideline, respectively. Again, As(V) was a dominant species, however, several samples had As(III) in appreciable levels. In one stream sample, organic species including DMA and AsB were detected in low levels, probably resulted from transformation or related biogeochemical processes.

A Point Rainfal1 Model and Rainfall Intensity-Duration-Frequency Analysis (점 강우모형과 강우강도-지속기간-생기빈도 해석)

  • Yu, Cheol-Sang;Kim, Nam-Won;Jeong, Gwang-Sik
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.577-586
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    • 2001
  • This study proposes a theoretical methodology for deriving a rainfall intensity-duration- frequency (I-D-F) curve using a simple rectangular pulses Poisson process model. As the I-D-F curve derived by considering the model structure is dependent on the rainfall model parameters estimated using the observed first and second order statistics, it becomes less sensitive to the unusual rainfall events than that derided using the annual maxima rainfall series. This study has been applied to the rainfall data at Seoul and Inchon stations to check its applicability by comparing the two I-D-F carves from the model and the data. The results obtained are as followed. (1) As the duration becomes longer, the overlap probability increases significantly. However, its contribution to the rainfall intensity decreases a little. (2) When considering the overlap of each rainfall event, especially for large duration and return period, we could see obvious increases of rainfall intensity. This result is normal as the rainfall intensity is calculated by considering both the overlap probability and return period. Also, the overlap effect for Seoul station is fecund much higher than that for Inchon station, which is mainly due to the different overlap probabilities calculated using different rainfall model parameter sets. (3) As the rectangular pulses Poisson processes model used in this study cannot consider the clustering characteristics of rainfall, the derived I-D-F curves show less rainfall intensities than those from the annual maxima series. However, overall pattern of both I-D-F curves are found very similar, and the difference is believed to be overcome by use of a rainfall model with the clustering consideration.

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Relationship of soil profile strength and apparent soil electrical conductivity to crop yield (실시간 포장에서 측정한 토양 경도 및 전자장 유도 전기전도도와 작물수량과의 관계)

  • Jung, Won-Kyo;Kitchen, Newell R.;Sudduth, Kenneth A.
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.109-115
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    • 2006
  • Understanding characteristics of claypan soils has long been an issue for researchers and farmers because the high-clay subsoil has a pronounced effect on grain crop productivity. The claypan restricts water infiltration and storage within the crop root zone, but these effects are not uniform within fields. Conventional techniques of identifying claypan soil characteristics require manual probing and analysis which can be quite expensive; an expense most farmers are unwilling to pay. On the other hand, farmers would be very interested if this information could be obtained with easy-to-use field sensors. Two examples of sensors that show promise for helping in claypan soil characterization are soil profile strength sensing and bulk soil apparent electrical conductivity (ECa). Little has been reported on claypan soils relating the combined information from these two sensors with grain crop yield. The objective of this research was to identify the relationships of sensed profile soil strength and soil EC with nine years of crop yield (maize and soybean) from a claypan soil field in central Missouri. A multiple-probe (five probes on 19-cm spacing) cone penetrometer was used to measure soil strength and an electromagnetic induction sensor was used to measure soil EC at 55 grid site locations within a 4-ha research field. Crop yields were obtained using a combine equipped with a yield monitoring system. Soil strength at the 15 to 45 cm soil depth were significantly correlated to crop yield and ECa. Estimated crop yields from apparent electrical conductivity and soil strength were validated with an independent data set. Using measurements from these two sensors, standard error rates for estimating yield ranged from 9 to 16%. In conclusion, these results showed that the sensed profile soil strength and soil EC could be used as a measure of the soil productivity for grain crop production.

A Study on Characteristic Design Hourly Factor by Road Type for National Highways (일반국도 도로유형별 설계시간계수 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Ha, Jung-Ah
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.52-62
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    • 2013
  • Design Hourly Factor(DHF) is defined as the ratio of design hourly volume(DHV) to Average Annual Daily Traffic(AADT). Generally DHV used the 30th rank hourly volume. But this case DHV is affected by holiday volumes so the road is at risk for overdesigning. Computing K factor is available for counting 8,760 hour traffic volume, but it is impossible except permanent traffic counts. This study applied three method to make DHF, using 30th rank hourly volume to make DHF(method 1), using peak hour volume to make DHF(method 2). Another way to make DHF, rank hourly volumes ordered descending connect a curve smoothly to find the point which changes drastic(method 3). That point is design hour, thus design hourly factor is able to be computed. In addition road classified 3 type for national highway using factor analysis and cluster analysis, so we can analyze the characteristic of DHF by road type. DHF which was used method 1 is the largest at any other method. There is no difference in DHF by road type at method 2. This result shows for this reason because peak hour is hard to describe the characteristic of hourly volume change. DHF which was used method 3 is similar to HCM except recreation road but 118th rank hourly volume is appropriate.