• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.41 no.5
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• pp.545-558
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• 2008

This study estimated the error involved in the areal average rainfall derived from incomplete radar information due to radar partial coverage of a basin or sub-basin. This study considers the Han-River Basin as an application example for the rainfall observation using the Ganghwa rain radar. Among the total of 20 mid-sized sub-basins of the Han-River Basin evaluated in this study, only five sub-basins are fully covered by the radar and three are totally uncovered. Remaining 12 sub-basins are partially covered by the radar to result in incomplete radar information available. When only partial radar information is available, the sampling error decreases proportional to the size of the radar coverage, which also varies depending on the number of clusters. Conditioned that the total area coverage remains the same, the sampling error decreases as the number of clusters increases. This study estimated the sampling error of the areal average rainfall of partially-covered mid-sized sub-basins of the Han- River Basin, and the results show that the sampling error could be at least several % to maximum tens % depending on the relative coverage area.

• Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
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• 2018.07a
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• pp.60-62
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• 2018

본 논문에서는 유도전동기의 회전자 시정수 오차에 강인한 센서리스 전차원(Full-Order) 자속(Flux) 관측기(Observer)를 제안하였다. 이 관측기는 고정자 자속과 회전자 자속을 동기좌표계상에서 추정한다. 고정자 자속에서 누설 자속을 뺀 공극 자속을 기준으로 제어를 수행하며, 동기좌표계가 공극 자속을 빠르게 따라갈 수 있는 방법을 제안하였다. 제안된 방법을 적용할 때, 기존의 회전자 자속을 직접 이용하는 방법보다 중-고속 영역에서 회전자 시정수 오차의 영향이 감소함을 확인하였다. 또한 기존 관측기와 달리 제안된 관측기에서 적응제어기(Adaptive Controller)는 전동기의 회전 주파수가 아닌, 전동기의 슬립 주파수 만을 추정하므로, 회전자 자속 오차에 민감한 적응제어기의 역할을 축소하였다. 시뮬레이션 및 실험으로 이론의 타당성 및 효과를 검증하였다.

• Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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• v.15 no.1
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• pp.119-138
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• 1998

Recently measurements of atmospheric trace gases from satellite are vigorous. So the development of its data processing algorithm is important. In this study, retrievalof vertical ozone profile from the atmospheric transmittance measured by satellite solar occultation method and its sensitivity to temperature and pressure are investigated. The measured transmittance from satellite is assumed to be given by the limb path transmittance simulated using annual averaged Umkehr data for Seoul. The limb path transmittance between wavelengths $9.89{\mu}m$ and $10.2{\mu}m$ is simulated with respect to tangent heights using the ozone data of HALOE SIDS(Hallogen Occultation Experiment Simulated Instrument Data Set) as an initial profile. Other input data such as pressure and temperature are also from HALOE SIDS. Vertical ozone profile is correctly retrieved from the measured transmittance by onion-peeling method from 50km to 11km tangent heights with the vertical resolution of 3km. The bias error of $\pm0.001$ in measured transmittance, the forced error of $\pm3K$ in each layer temperature, and the forced $\pm3%$ error in each layer pressure are assumed for sensitivity tests. These errors are based on the ADEOS/ILAS error limitation. The error in ozone amount ranges from -6.5% to +6.9% due to transmittance error, from -9.5% to +10.5% due to temperature error, and from -5.1% to +5.4% due to pressure error, respectively. The present study suggests that accurate vertical ozone profile can be retrieved from satellite solar occultation method. Accuracy of vertical temperature profile is especially important in the retrieval of vertical ozone profile.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2015.05a
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• pp.30-30
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• 2015

유역에 내린 강우의 총량은 홍수나 갈수 측면에서 매우 중요하다. 점 강우량에 의해 측정된 강우량을 이용하여 유역 총강우량으로 환산하는 과정에 많은 오차가 포함되어 있다. 선행연구에 따르면, 우량계를 통한 강우관측에서 언더캐치(undercatch)에 의한 계통오차는 일반적으로 5~16%, 우연오차는 약 5%가 발생된다고 보고하였으며, 점 우량계 자료를 내삽하여 공간자료로 변환할 경우 0.1km 규모에서 표준오차가 4~14%, 1km 규모에서는 33~45%, 10km 규모에서는 약 65% 정도 발생된다고 한다. 이러한 우량계 관측오차 및 강우자료 처리과정에서 발생되는 오차는 유역의 유출량 계산에 영향을 주어 홍수예보 정확도를 크게 떨어뜨릴 수 있다. 우리나라에서는 지금까지 유역 총강우량 산정 측면에서 지점강우량의 불확실성에 대한 연구가 많이 이루어지지 못하였다. 본 연구에서는 우리나라에서 주로 사용되고 있는 전도형 우량계를 이용하여 소규모 구역에서 관측되는 강우관측의 불확실성을 분석하고자 하였다. 연구에 사용된 우량계는 0.5mm 급 표준 전도형 우량계로 정밀도는 시간당 1~100mm 기준으로 ${\pm}1%$를 기록하여 기상검정규격인 ${\pm}3%$를 만족하고 있다. 이 우량계는 한국건설기술연구원 안동하천실험센터 내에 장애물이 없는 평지에 60m 간격으로 총 6대($2{\times}3$)를 설치하여 2014년 7월 11일부터 9월 2일까지 54일간 관측을 수행하였다. 관측기간 동안 2대의 우량계가 수일동안 강우가 기록되지 않아서 분석에서 제외하였다. 우량계 상호 간의 누적강우량(54일간)을 비교한 결과 2.5~25.5mm의 차이를 나타냈다. 강우강도별 강우량 합계를 비교한 결과 시간당 1mm 이상에서는 약 1%의 차이가 났으며, 시간당 15mm 이상에서는 7.4%의 차이를 나타내어 강도가 큰 강우사상에서 우량계 간의 관측오차가 더 크게 나타났다. 또한 우량계 상호 간의 상관계수를 분석한 결과, 우량계 간의 거리가 가까울수록 그리고 누적시간이 길수록 상관계수는 커지는 것을 확인할 수 있었다. 도출된 결과를 토대로 하면 앞서 언급한 바와 같이 점 우량계 자료를 내삽하거나 유역 또는 계산격자의 대푯값으로 사용하여 1시간 이하 단위로 유출모의를 할 경우 심각한 오차를 발생시킬 수 있음을 시사한다. 보다 신뢰성 있는 홍수예보와 효율적인 유역관리를 위해서는 점 중심의 강우 관측이 아닌 면적 우량에 대한 관측이 이루어져야 하며 이를 위한 기술의 개발이 필요하다.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.35 no.1
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• pp.1-12
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• 2002

This study was intended to investigate the rainfall-runoff relationship with spatially distributed rainfall data, and then, to analyze and quantify the uncertainty induced by spatially averaging rainfall data. For constructing spatially distributed rainfall data, several historical rainfall events were extended spatially by simple kriging method based on the semivariogram as a function of the relative distance. Runoff was computed by two models; one was the modified Clark model with spatially distributed rainfall data and the other was the conventional Clark model with spatially averaged rainfall data. Rainfall errors and discharge errors occurred through this process were defined and analyzed with respect to various rain-gage network densities. The following conclusions were derived as the results of this work; 1) The conventional Clark parameters could be appropriate for translating spatially distributed rainfall data. 2) The parameters estimated by the modified Clark model are more stable than those of the conventional Clark model. 3) Rainfall and discharge errors are shown to be reduced exponentially as the density of rain-gage network is increased. 4) It was found that discharge errors were affected largely by rainfall errors as the rain-gage network density was small.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.29 no.2D
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• pp.319-327
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• 2009

In order to estimate accurate position by GPS observations, it is prerequisite to define both of the correct function model and the realistic stochastic model. In the case that un-modeled outliers exist in observations, estimates become biased, and their standard deviations are unable to be used as a measure which represents their accuracy. Hence, such outliers should be appropriately removed from the observations before estimating final solutions, so that the accuracy can be maximized with the improvement of the reliability. For this purpose, this research deals with quality control and quality measure computation algorithms for GPS stand-alone positioning. After theoretical studies, all the algorithms have been implemented and tested with real observations. Results of the tests indicate that the reliability of the estimated position is improved by increasing redundancy as well as using good satellite geometry and more realistic stochastic model. Moreover, the adaptation of the quality control procedure enable to improve positioning reliability and accuracy by appropriately excluding outlier in observations.

• Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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• v.21 no.4
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• pp.361-370
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• 2004

The DSN(Deep Space Network) measurement model for interplanetary navigations which is essential for precise orbit determination has been developed. The DSN measurement model produces fictitious DSN observables such as range, doppler and angular data, containing the potential observational errors in geometric data obtained from orbit propagator. So the important part of this research is to model observational errors in DSN observation and to characterize the errors. The modeled observational errors include the range delay effect caused by troposphere, ionosphere, antenna offset, and angular refraction effect caused by troposphere. Non-modeled errors are justified as the parameters. All of these results from developed models show about $10\%$ errors compared to the JPL's reference results, that are within acceptable error range.

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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• v.25 no.1
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• pp.34-39
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• 2013

In this study, the quantitative analysis and pattern analysis of the error bounds with respect to recording period were carried out using the wave climate data from coastal areas. Arbitrary recording periods were randomly sampled from one month to six years using the bootstrap method. Based on the analysis, for recording periods less than one year, it was found that the error bounds decreased rapidly as the recording period increased. Meanwhile, the error bounds were found to decrease more slowly for recording periods longer than one year. Assuming the absolute estimate error to be around 10% (${\pm}0.1m$) for an one meter significant wave height condition, the minimum recording period for reaching the estimate error for Sokcho and Geoje-Hongdo stations satisfied this condition with over two years of data, while Anmado station was found to satisfy this condition when using observational data of over three years. The confidence intervals of the significant wave height clearly show an increasing pattern when the percentile value of the wave height increases. Whereas, the confidence intervals of the mean wave period are nearly constant, at around 0.5 seconds except for the tail regions, i.e., 2.5- and 97.5-percentile values. The error bounds for 97.5-percentile values of the wave height necessary for harbor tranquility analysis were found to be 0.75 m, 0.5 m, and 1.2 m in Sokcho, Geoje-Hongdo, and Anmado, respectively.

• The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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• v.7 no.3
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• pp.100-107
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• 2002

The sea-surface winds during the passage of 64 typhoons for 1979-1999 were simulated using two different typhoon wind models, ie, typhoon parametric model(TPM) and primitive vortex model(PVM). The model hindcast winds were compared with the winds observed at JMA ocean buoys(22001 and 21002) and Kyushu ocean observation tower. The analysis of ms and relative errors between hindcast and observed winds was made to find the accuracy and sensitivity of the typhoon wind prediction models. Both hindcast winds of TPM and PVM underestimate the observed typhoon winds, but PVM winds are more closer to the observations with less rms and relative errors. Relative errors of two model winds were small within 200km from typhoon center, but TPM's relative errors increase up to 70% as the radial distance from typhoon center increases beyond > 200km although PVM's relative errors remain in 20% with less sensitive to the distance from typhoon centers.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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• v.35 no.6
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• pp.573-580
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• 2017

Precise stochastic modeling for GPS measurements is one of key factors in adjustment computations for GPS positioning. To analyze the GPS measurement errors, Minimum Norm Quadratic Unbiased Estimators(MINQUE) approach is used in this study to estimate the variance components for measurement types with short-baseline GPS positioning model. The results showed the magnitudes of measurement errors for C1, P2, L1, L2 are 22.3cm, 27.6cm, 2.5mm, 2.2mm, respectively. To reduce the memory usage and computational burden, variance components are also estimated on epoch-by-epoch basis. The results showed that there exists slight differences between the solutions. However, epoch-by-epoch analysis may also be used for most of GPS applications considering the magnitudes of the differences.