• Title/Summary/Keyword: 공간 통계

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Expansion of Private Tutoring Market for Adults according to Labor Market Changes and the Geographical Characteristics (노동시장의 구조 변화에 따른 성인 대상 사교육 시장의 성장과 공간적 함의)

  • Park, Sohyun;Lee, Keumsook
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.402-419
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    • 2014
  • This study attempts to investigate the spatial characteristics of private tutoring markets for adults which have been expanded rapidly with labor market changes in Korea. In particular, For the purpose, we examine thoroughly various indies of labor markets and private tutoring markets for adults in Korea in first and then analyze the spatial characteristics. We classify private tutoring institutes for adults into two categories by job-statuses and education levels, and analyze the spatial distribution patterns of the attendants of the classes. In order to understand the spatial characteristic of their distributions, we distinguish whether there exist the spatial autocorrelation or not by applying Moran's I values for each categories in first. We also examine the spatial cluster patterns by Hot spots analysis utilizing $G^*$ statistics. Multiple linear regression models are developed for each category to explain the relationships between the spatial distributions of private tutoring institutes and geographical variables.

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Kalman-Filter Estimation and Prediction for a Spatial Time Series Model (공간시계열 모형의 칼만필터 추정과 예측)

  • Lee, Sung-Duck;Han, Eun-Hee;Kim, Duck-Ki
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.79-87
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    • 2011
  • A spatial time series model was used for analyzing the method of spatial time series (not the ARIMA model that is popular for analyzing spatial time series) by using chicken pox data which is a highly contagious disease and grid data due to ARIMA not reflecting the spatial processes. Time series model contains a weighting matrix, because that spatial time series model influences the time variation as well as the spatial location. The weighting matrix reflects that the more geographically contiguous region has the higher spatial dependence. It is hypothesized that the weighting matrix gives neighboring areas the same influence in the study of the spatial time series model. Therefore, we try to present the conclusion with a weighting matrix in a way that gives the same weight to existing neighboring areas in the study of the suitability of the STARMA model, spatial time series model and STBL model, in the comparative study of the predictive power for statistical inference, and the results. Furthermore, through the Kalman-Filter method we try to show the superiority of the Kalman-Filter method through a parameter assumption and the processes of prediction.

Note on the estimation of informative predictor subspace and projective-resampling informative predictor subspace (다변량회귀에서 정보적 설명 변수 공간의 추정과 투영-재표본 정보적 설명 변수 공간 추정의 고찰)

  • Yoo, Jae Keun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.657-666
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    • 2022
  • An informative predictor subspace is useful to estimate the central subspace, when conditions required in usual suffcient dimension reduction methods fail. Recently, for multivariate regression, Ko and Yoo (2022) newly defined a projective-resampling informative predictor subspace, instead of the informative predictor subspace, by the adopting projective-resampling method (Li et al. 2008). The new space is contained in the informative predictor subspace but contains the central subspace. In this paper, a method directly to estimate the informative predictor subspace is proposed, and it is compapred with the method by Ko and Yoo (2022) through theoretical aspects and numerical studies. The numerical studies confirm that the Ko-Yoo method is better in the estimation of the central subspace than the proposed method and is more efficient in sense that the former has less variation in the estimation.

Spatial Clustering Method Via Generalized Lasso (Generalized Lasso를 이용한 공간 군집 기법)

  • Song, Eunjung;Choi, Hosik;Hwang, Seungsik;Lee, Woojoo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.561-575
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, we propose a penalized likelihood method to detect local spatial clusters associated with disease. The key computational algorithm is based on genlasso by Tibshirani and Taylor (2011). The proposed method has two main advantages over Kulldorff's method which is popoular to detect local spatial clusters. First, it is not needed to specify a proper cluster size a priori. Second, any type of covariate can be incorporated and, it is possible to find local spatial clusters adjusted for some demographic variables. We illustrate our proposed method using tuberculosis data from Seoul.

Uncertainty Analysis of Spatial Distribution of Probability Rainfall: Comparison of CEM and SGS Methods (확률강우량의 공간분포에 대한 불확실성 해석: CEM과 SGS 기법의 비교)

  • Seo, Young-Min;Yeo, Woon-Ki;Lee, Seung-Yoon;Jee, Hong-Kee
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.11
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    • pp.933-944
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    • 2010
  • This study compares the CEM and SGS methods which are geostatistical stochastic simulation methods for assessing the uncertainty by spatial variability in the estimation of the spatial distribution of probability rainfall. In the stochastic simulations using CEM and SGS, two methods show almost similar results for the reproduction of spatial correlation structure, the statistics (standard deviation, coefficient of variation, interquartile range, and range) of realizations as uncertainty measures, and the uncertainty distribution of basin mean rainfall. However, the CEM is superior to SGS in aspect of simulation efficiency.

A Study on the Prediction of Traffic Counts Based on Shortest Travel Path (최단경로 기반 교통량 공간 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Heo, Tae-Young;Park, Man-Sik;Eom, Jin-Ki;Oh, Ju-Sam
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.459-473
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we suggest a spatial regression model to predict AADT. Although Euclidian distances between one monitoring site and its neighboring sites were usually used in the many analysis, we consider the shortest travel path between monitoring sites to predict AADT for unmonitoring site using spatial regression model. We used universal Kriging method for prediction and found that the overall predictive capability of the spatial regression model based on shortest travel path is better than that of the model based on multiple regression by cross validation.

Mapping the Geographic Variations of the Low Birth Weight cases in South Korea: Bayesian Approaches (우리나라 저체중아 출생의 공간적 변동성 지도화: 베이지언적 접근)

  • Roh, Young-hee;Park, Key-ho
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.51 no.3
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    • pp.367-380
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    • 2016
  • This study reviewed and compared methods for mapping aggregated low birth weight (LBW) and geographic variations in LBW in South Korea. Based on this review, we produced LBW maps in South Korea. Standardized mortality/morbidity ratios (SMRs) and crude mortality rates have been widely used for many years in epidemiological research. However, SMR-based maps are likely to be affected by sample size of unit area. Therefore, this study adopted a model-based approach using Bayesian estimates to reduce noisy variability in the SMR. By using a Bayesian model, we can calculate a statistically reliable RR values. We used the full Bayes estimator, as well as empirical Bayes estimators. As a result, variations in the two Bayes models were similar. The SMR-based statistics had the largest variation. The result maps can be used to identify regions with a high risk of LBW in South Korea.

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Methodology of Extraction of Crime Vulnerable Areas Through Grid-based Analysis (격자망분석을 통한 범죄발생 취약지역 추출 기법)

  • Park, Jin Yi;Kim, Eui Myoung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.221-229
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    • 2015
  • The urban crimes that threat individual's safety are parts of the serious social problems. However. the information of crime in Korea has only been provided by forms of hot spots around place of crime, or forms of crime statistics without positional information. Those could not provide enough information to users in identifying the vulnerable areas for substantive crimes. Therefore, this study suggested a methodology of extraction in criminal vulnerable areas by using the spatial information, the statistical information and the public sector information. The crime vulnerable areas were extracted through the grid-based spatial analysis and the overlapping analysis from each of the information. In fact, the extracted areas were able to provide detailed vulnerability information than the traditional hot spot-based crime information. Following the study, the extracted results in crime vulnerable areas have displayed highly coincide with Korea safety map, provided by national disaster management institute, which regards to be able to provide crime risk rating in terms of administrative business in future.

Strategy for the improvement of the crop monitoring using remote sensing techniques (원격탐사기법을 활용한 작물재배면적 파악의 개선 전략)

  • Seo, Dong-Jo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association of Geographic Inforamtion Studies Conference
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    • 2009.04a
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    • pp.271-272
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    • 2009
  • 우리나라의 농업통계조사방법은 과거의 조사방법을 그대로 사용하고 있어 비표본오차발생 가능성이 높은 상황이다. 따라서 작물재배면적의 통계조사에 위성영상을 활용함으로써 조사 및 통계자료의 제공에 효율성 및 정확성을 높이는 것이 필요하다. 이를 위해서 UN, 미국, 캐나다, 유럽 등을 중심으로 위성영상을 사용한 경지면적조사, 재배면적조사, 작황예측분석 등 농업통계의 생산 사례를 살펴보았다. 이후 국내 활용동향을 분석하여 원격탐사기법을 활용한 작물재배면적 파악의 개선전략을 제시하였다.

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Two Stage Small Area Estimation (이단계 소지역추정)

  • Lee, Sang-Eun;Shin, Key-Il
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.293-300
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    • 2012
  • When Binomial data are obtained, logit and logit mixed models are commonly used for small area estimation. Those models are known to have good statistical properties through the use of unit level information; however, data should be obtained as area level in order to use area level information such as spatial correlation or auto-correlation. In this research, we suggested a new small area estimator obtained through the combination of unit level information with area level information.