• Title/Summary/Keyword: 공간회귀모델

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Analysis of the Characteristics of Subway Influence Areas Using a Geographically Weighted Regression Model (지리가중회귀모델을 이용한 역세권 공간구조 특성 분석)

  • Sim, Jun-Seok;Kim, Ho-Yong;Nam, Kwang-Woo;Lee, Sung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.67-79
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    • 2013
  • For the sake of the Transit-Oriented Development that has been prominent recently, an analysis of the spatial structures of transit centers, above all, should be carried out at a local level. This study, thus, analyzes the spatial structures of subway influence areas by applying a Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) model to individual parcels. As a result of the validity analysis of the model, it has turned out that the subway influence areas have different characteristics respectively, and there is spatial heterogeneity even in the same single area. Also, the result of the comparison among models has proved that the GWR model is more adequate than the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) model and $R^2$ has been also increased in the GWR model. Then, the results have been mapped by means of the GIS, which have made it possible to understand the spatial structures at a local level. If the Transit-Oriented Development is fulfilled in consideration of the spatial structural characteristics of the subway influence areas drawn respectively from the model analysis, it will be helpful in adopting effective policies.

Statistical Space-Time Metamodels Based on Multiple Responses Approach for Time-Variant Dynamic Response of Structures (구조물의 시간-변화 동적응답에 대한 다중응답접근법 기반 통계적 공간-시간 메타모델)

  • Lee, Jin-Min;Lee, Tae-Hee
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.34 no.8
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    • pp.989-996
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    • 2010
  • Statistical regression and/or interpolation models have been used for data analysis and response prediction using the results of the physical experiments and/or computer simulations in structural engineering fields. These models have been employed during the last decade to develop a variety of design methodologies. However, these models only handled responses with respect to space variables such as size and shape of structures and cannot handle time-variant dynamic responses, i.e. response varying with time. In this research, statistical space-time metamodels based on multiple response approach that can handle responses with respect to both space variables and a time variable are proposed. Regression and interpolation models such as the response surface model (RSM) and kriging model were developed for handling time-variant dynamic responses of structural engineering. We evaluate the accuracies of the responses predicted by the two statistical space-time metamodels by comparing them with the responses obtained by the physical experiments and/or computer simulations.

Effects of the Modifiable Areal Unit Problem (MAUP) on a Spatial Interaction Model (공간 상호작용 모델에 대한 공간단위 수정가능성 문제(MAUP)의 영향)

  • Kim, Kam-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.197-211
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    • 2011
  • Due to the complexity of spatial interaction and the necessity of spatial representation and modeling, aggregation of spatial interaction data is indispensible. Given this, the purpose of this paper is to evaluate the effects of modifiable areal unit problem (MAUP) on a spatial interaction model. Four aggregation schemes are utilized at eight different scales: 1) randomly select seeds of district and then allocate basic spatial units to them, 2) minimize the sum of population weighted distance within a district, 3) maximize the proportion of flow within a district, and 4) minimize the proportion of flow within a district. A simple Poisson regression model with origin and destination constraints is utilized. Analysis results demonstrate that spatial characteristics of residuals, parameter values, and goodness-of-fit of the model were influenced by aggregation scale and schemes. Overall, the model responded more sensitively to aggregation scale than aggregation schemes and the scale effect on the model was varied according to aggregation schemes.

Spatial Data Analysis for the U.S. Regional Income Convergence,1969-1999: A Critical Appraisal of $\beta$-convergence (미국 소득분포의 지역적 수렴에 대한 공간자료 분석(1969∼1999년) - 베타-수렴에 대한 비판적 검토 -)

  • Sang-Il Lee
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.212-228
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    • 2004
  • This paper is concerned with an important aspect of regional income convergence, ${\beta}$-convergence, which refers to the negative relationship between initial income levels and income growth rates of regions over a period of time. The common research framework on ${\beta}$-convergence which is based on OLS regression models has two drawbacks. First, it ignores spatially autocorrelated residuals. Second, it does not provide any way of exploring spatial heterogeneity across regions in terms of ${\beta}$-convergence. Given that empirical studies on ${\beta}$-convergence need to be edified by spatial data analysis, this paper aims to: (1) provide a critical review of empirical studies on ${\beta}$-convergence from a spatial perspective; (2) investigate spatio-temporal income dynamics across the U.S. labor market areas for the last 30 years (1969-1999) by fitting spatial regression models and applying bivariate ESDA techniques. The major findings are as follows. First, the hypothesis of ${\beta}$-convergence was only partially evidenced, and the trend substantively varied across sub-periods. Second, a SAR model indicated that ${\beta}$-coefficient for the entire period was not significant at the 99% confidence level, which may lead to a conclusion that there is no statistical evidence of regional income convergence in the US over the last three decades. Third, the results from bivariate ESDA techniques and a GWR model report that there was a substantive level of spatial heterogeneity in the catch-up process, and suggested possible spatial regimes. It was also observed that the sub-periods showed a substantial level of spatio-temporal heterogeneity in ${\beta}$-convergence: the catch-up scenario in a spatial sense was least pronounced during the 1980s.

Rock TBM design model derived from the multi-variate regression analysis of TBM driving data (TBM 굴진자료의 다변량 회귀분석에 의한 암반대응형 TBM의 설계모델 도출)

  • Chang, Soo-Ho;Choi, Soon-Wook;Lee, Gyu-Phil;Bae, Gyu-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.531-555
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    • 2011
  • This study aims to derive the statistical models for the estimation of the required specifications of a rock TBM as well as for its cutterhead design suitable for a given rock mass condition. From a series of multi-variate regression analysis of 871 TBM driving data and 51 linear rock cutting test results, the optimum models were newly proposed to consider a variety of rock properties and mechanical cutting conditions. When the derived models were applied to two domestic shield tunnels, their predictions of cutter penetration depth, cutter acting forces and cutter spacing were very close to real TBM driving data, showing their high applicability.

Analysis of Eunpyeong New Town Land Price Using Geographically Weighted Regression (지리가중회귀분석을 이용한 은평뉴타운 지가 분석)

  • Jung, Hyo-jin;Lee, Jiyeong
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.65-73
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    • 2015
  • Newtown Business of Seoul had been performed to reduce deterioration of Gangbuk and economic inequality between Gangnam and Gangbuk. According to this, Eunpyeong-gu was set as test-bed for Newtown business and Newtown business had been completed until 2013. This study aims to analyze the influence of social and economical factors which affect land price using GWR (Geographically Weighted Regression) considered spatial effect. As a result of analysis, GWR model demonstrated a better goodness-of-fit than OLS (Ordinary least square) model typically used in most study. Furthermore, AIC value and Moran's I of residual prove that GWR model is more suitable than OLS model. GWR model enable to explain more detailed than global regression model as coefficient and sign show different value locally. In future, this research will be helpful to develop Eunpyeong-gu considering spatial characters and strength effectiveness of development.

A Spatial-Temporal Correlation Analysis of Housing Prices in Busan Using SpVAR and GSTAR (SpVAR(공간적 벡터자기회귀모델)과 GSTAR(일반화 시공간자기회귀모델)를 이용한 부산지역 주택가격의 시공간적 상관성 분석)

  • Kwon, Youngwoo;Choi, Yeol
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.245-256
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    • 2024
  • Since 2020, quantitative easing and easy money policies have been implemented for the purpose of economic stimulus. As a result, real estate prices have skyrocketed. In this study, the relationship between sales and rental prices by housing type during the period of soaring real estate prices in Busan was analyzed spatio-temporally. Based on the actual transaction price data, housing type, transaction type, and monthly data of district units were constructed. Among the spatio-temporal analysis models, the SpVAR, which is used to understand the temporal and spatial effects of variables, and the GSTAR, which is used to understand the effects of each region on those variables, were used. As a result, the sales price of apartment had positive effect on the sale price of apartment, row house, and detached house in the surrounding area, including the target area. On the other hand, it was confirmed that demand was converted to apartment rental due to an increase in apartment sales prices, and the sale price fell again over time. The spatio-temporal spillover effect of apartments was positive, but the positive effect of row house and detached house were concentrated in the original downtown area.

Identification of MIMO State Space Model based on MISO High-order ARX Model: Design and Application (MISO 고차 ARX 모델 기반의 MIMO 상태공간 모델의 모델인식: 설계와 적용)

  • Won, Wangyun;Yoon, Jieun;Lee, Kwang Soon;Lee, Bongkook
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.45 no.1
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    • pp.67-72
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    • 2007
  • An efficient method for identification of MIMO state space model has been developed by combining partial least squares (PLS) regression, balanced realization, and balanced truncation. In the developed method, a MIMO system is decomposed into multiple MISO systems each of which is represented by a high-order ARX model and the parameters of the ARX models are estimated by PLS. Then, MISO state space models for respective MISO ARX transfer function are found through realization and combined to a MIMO state space model. Finally, a minimal balanced MIMO state space model is obtained through balanced realization and truncation. The proposed method was applied to the design of model predictive control for temperature control of a high pressure $CO_2$ solubility measurement system.

Testing Non-Stationary Relationship between the Proportion of Green Areas in Watersheds and Water Quality using Geographically Weighted Regression Model (공간지리 가중회귀모형(GWR)을 이용한 유역 녹지비율과 하천수질의 비균질적 관계 검증)

  • Lee, Sang-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.41 no.6
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    • pp.43-51
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    • 2013
  • This study aims to examine the presence of non-stationary relationship between water quality and land use in watersheds. In investigating the relationships between land use and water quality, most previous studies adopted OLS method which is assumed stationarity. However, this approach is difficult to capture the local variation of the relationships. We used 146 sampling data and land cover data of Korean Ministry of Environment to build conventional regressions and GWR models for BOD, TN and TP. Regression model and GWR models of BOD, TN, TP were compared with $R^2$, AICc and Moran's I. The results of comparisons and descriptive statistics of GWR models strongly indicated the presence of Non-Stationarity between water quality and land use.

A study using spatial regression models on the determinants of the welfare expenditure in the local governments in Korea (공간회귀분석을 통한 지방자치단체 복지지출의 영향요인에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Gyu-Beom;Ham, Young-Jin
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.16 no.10
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    • pp.89-99
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to analyse the determinants of the change in the welfare expenditure of local governments in 2015. This study analyzed the spatial correlation of welfare expenditure among neighboring local governments and determined the factors affecting the welfare expenditures. According to the results of the study, spatial correlation of welfare expenditure among local governments appears. Determinants, such as socio-economic factors, administrative factors, public financial factors are affecting the amount of the welfare expenditures, but local political factors, and local tax, last year's budgets are not correlated with the amount of local welfare expenditures. In this study, it is significant to found out that the spatial correlation of welfare expenditure among the local governments and to examine the determinants. If possible, it is necessary to analyze the time-series analysis using the multi-year welfare expenditure data, expecially self-welfare expenditures.