• Title/Summary/Keyword: 공간가중회귀모형

Search Result 45, Processing Time 0.022 seconds

Geographically Weighted Regression on the Characteristics of Land Use and Spatial Patterns of Floating Population in Seoul City (서울시 유동인구 분포의 공간 패턴과 토지이용 특성에 관한 지리가중 회귀분석)

  • Yun, Jeong Mi;Choi, Don Jeong
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
    • /
    • v.23 no.3
    • /
    • pp.77-84
    • /
    • 2015
  • The key objective of this research is to review the effectiveness of spatial regression to identify the influencing factors of spatial distribution patterns of floating population. To this end, global and local spatial autocorrelation test were performed using seoul floating population survey(2014) data. The result of Moran's I and Getis-Ord $Gi^*$ as used in the analysis derived spatial heterogeneity and spatial similarities of floating population patterns in a statistically significant range. Accordingly, Geographically Weighted Regression was applied to identify the relationship between land use attributes and population floating. Urbanization area, green tract of land of micro land cover data were aggregated in to $400m{\times}400m$ grid boundary of Seoul. Additionally public transportation variables such as intersection density transit accessibility, road density and pedestrian passage density were adopted as transit environmental factors. As a result, the GWR model derived more improved results than Ordinary Least Square(OLS) regression model. Furthermore, the spatial variation of applied local effect of independent variables for the floating population distributions.

Prediction of apartment prices per unit in Daegu-Gyeongbuk areas by spatial regression models (공간회귀모형을 이용한 대구경북 지역 단위면적당 아파트 매매가격 예측)

  • Lee, Woo Jung;Park, Cheolyong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.26 no.3
    • /
    • pp.561-568
    • /
    • 2015
  • In this study we predict apartment prices per unit in Daegu-Gyeongbuk areas by spatial lag and spatial error models, both of which belong to so-called spatial regression model. A spatial weight matrix is constructed by k-nearest neighbours method and then the models for the apartment prices in March, 2012 are fitted using the weight matrix. The apartment prices in March, 2013 are predicted by the fitted spatial regression models and then performances of two spatial regression models are compared by RMSE (root mean squared error), RRMSE (root relative mean squared error), MAE (mean absolute error).

Environmental Equity Analysis of Fine Dust in Daegu Using MGWR and KT Sensor Data (다중 스케일 지리가중회귀 모형과 KT 측정기 자료를 활용한 대구시 미세먼지에 대한 환경적 형평성 분석)

  • Euna CHO;Byong-Woon JUN
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
    • /
    • v.26 no.4
    • /
    • pp.218-236
    • /
    • 2023
  • This study attempted to analyze the environmental equity of fine dust(PM10) in Daegu using MGWR(Multi-scale Geographically Weighted Regression) and KT(Korea Telecom Corporation) sensor data. Existing national monitoring network data for measuring fine dust are collected at a small number of ground-based stations that are sparsely distributed in a large area. To complement these drawbacks, KT sensor data with a large number of IoT(Internet of Things) stations densely distributed were used in this study. The MGWR model was used to deal with spatial heterogeneity and multi-scale contextual effects in the spatial relationships between fine dust concentration and socioeconomic variables. Results indicate that there existed an environmental inequity by land value and foreigner ratio in the spatial distribution of fine dust in Daegu metropolitan city. Also, the MGWR model showed better the explanatory power than Ordinary Least Square(OLS) and Geographically Weighted Regression(GWR) models in explaining the spatial relationships between the concentration of fine dust and socioeconomic variables. This study demonstrated the potential of KT sensor data as a supplement to the existing national monitoring network data for measuring fine dust.

A Geographically Weighted Regression on the Effect of Regulation of Space Use on the Residential Land Price - Evidence from Jangyu New Town - (공간사용 규제가 택지가격에 미치는 영향에 대한 공간가중회귀분석 - 장유 신도시지역을 대상으로-)

  • Kang, Sun-Duk;Park, Sae-Woon;Jeong, Tae-Yun
    • Management & Information Systems Review
    • /
    • v.37 no.3
    • /
    • pp.27-47
    • /
    • 2018
  • In this study, we examine how land use zoning affects the land price controlling other variables such as road-facing condition of the land, land form, land age after its development and land size. We employ geographically weighted regression analysis which reflects spatial dependency as methodology with a data sample of land transaction price data of Jangyu, a new town, in Korea. The results of our empirical analysis show that the respective coefficients of traditional regression and geographically weighted regression are not significantly different. However, after calculating Moran's Index with residuals of both OLS and GWR models, we find that Moran's Index of GWR decreases around 26% compared to that of OLS model, thus improving the problem of spatial autoregression of residuals considerably. Unlike our expectation, though, in both traditional regression and geographically weighted regression where residential exclusive area is used as a reference variable, the dummy variable of the residential land for both housing and shops shows a negative sign. This may be because the residential land for both housing and shops is usually located in the level area while the residential exclusive area is located at the foot of a mountain or on a gentle hill where the residents can have good quality air and scenery. Although the utility of the residential land for both housing and shops is higher than its counterpart's since it has higher floor area ratio, amenity which can be explained as high quality of air and scenery in this study seems to have higher impact in purchase of land for housing. On the other hand, land for neighbourhood living facility seems to be valued higher than any other land zonings used in this research since it has much higher floor area ratio than the two land zonings above and can have a building with up to 5 stories constructed on it. With regard to road-facing condition, land buyers seem to prefer land which faces a medium-width road as expected. Land facing a wide-width road may have some disadvantage in that it can be exposed to noise and exhaust gas from cars and that entrance may not be easy due to the high speed traffic of the road. In contrast, land facing a narrow road can be free of noise or fume from cars and have privacy protected while it has some inconvenience in that entrance may be blocked by cars parked in both sides of the narrow road. Finally, land age variable shows a negative sign, which means that the price of land declines over time. This may be because decline of the land price of Jangyu was bigger than that of other regions in Gimhae where Jangyu, a new town, also belong, during the global financial crisis of 2008.

Effects of Urban Environments on Pedestrian Behaviors: a Case of the Seoul Central Area (보행에 대한 도시환경의 차이: 서울 도심을 중심으로)

  • Kwon, Daeyoung;Suh, Tongjoo;Kim, Soyoon;Kim, Brian Hong Sok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.32 no.6
    • /
    • pp.638-650
    • /
    • 2014
  • The objective of this study is to identify the causes of pedestrian volume path to the destination by investigating the influential levels of regional and planning features in the central area of Seoul. Regional characteristics can be classified from the result of the analysis and through the spatial characteristics of pedestrian volume. For global scale analysis, Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression is used for the degree of influence of each characteristics to pedestrian volume. For the local scale, Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) is used to identify regional influential factors with consideration for spatial differences. The results of OLS indicate that boroughs with transportation facilities, commercial business districts, universities, and planning features with education research facilities and planning facilities have a positive effect on pedestrian volume path to the destination. Correspondingly, transportation hubs and congested areas, commercial and business centers, and university towns and research facilities in the Seoul central area can be identified through the results of GWR. The results of this study can provide information with relevance to existing plans and policies about the importance of regional characteristics and spatial heterogeneity effects on pedestrian volume, as well as significance in the establishment of regional development plans.

Prediction for spatial time series models with several weight matrices (여러 가지 가중행렬을 가진 공간 시계열 모형들의 예측)

  • Lee, Sung Duck;Ju, Su In;Lee, So Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.28 no.1
    • /
    • pp.11-20
    • /
    • 2017
  • In this paper, we introduced linear spatial time series (space-time autoregressive and moving average model) and nonlinear spatial time series (space-time bilinear model). Also we estimated the parameters by Kalman Filter method and made comparative studies of power of forecast in the final model. We proposed several weight matrices such as equal proportion allocation, reciprocal proportion between distances, and proportion of population sizes. For applications, we collected Mumps data at Korea Center for Disease Control and Prevention from January 2001 until August 2008. We compared three approaches of weight matrices using the Mumps data. Finally, we also decided the most effective model based on sum of square forecast error.

Analysis of the Characteristics of Subway Influence Areas Using a Geographically Weighted Regression Model (지리가중회귀모델을 이용한 역세권 공간구조 특성 분석)

  • Sim, Jun-Seok;Kim, Ho-Yong;Nam, Kwang-Woo;Lee, Sung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
    • /
    • v.16 no.1
    • /
    • pp.67-79
    • /
    • 2013
  • For the sake of the Transit-Oriented Development that has been prominent recently, an analysis of the spatial structures of transit centers, above all, should be carried out at a local level. This study, thus, analyzes the spatial structures of subway influence areas by applying a Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) model to individual parcels. As a result of the validity analysis of the model, it has turned out that the subway influence areas have different characteristics respectively, and there is spatial heterogeneity even in the same single area. Also, the result of the comparison among models has proved that the GWR model is more adequate than the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) model and $R^2$ has been also increased in the GWR model. Then, the results have been mapped by means of the GIS, which have made it possible to understand the spatial structures at a local level. If the Transit-Oriented Development is fulfilled in consideration of the spatial structural characteristics of the subway influence areas drawn respectively from the model analysis, it will be helpful in adopting effective policies.

A Spatial Statistical Approach on the Correlation between Walkability Index and Urban Spatial Characteristics -Case Study on Two Administrative Districts, Busan- (도시 공간특성과 Walkability Index의 상관성에 관한 공간통계학적 접근 -부산광역시 2개 구를 대상으로-)

  • Choi, Don Jeong;Suh, Yong Cheol
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
    • /
    • v.32 no.4_1
    • /
    • pp.343-351
    • /
    • 2014
  • The correlation between regional Walkability Index and their physical socio-economic characteristics has evaluated by the spatial statistical analysis to understand the urban pedestrian environments, where has been emerging the significance, recently. Following to the study, the Walkability Indexes were calculated quantitatively from two administrative districts of Busan and measured Global Local spatial autocorrelation indices. Additionally, the Geographically Weighted Regression model was applied to define the correlation between Walkability Indexes and urban environmental variables. The spatial autocorrelation values and clusters on the Walkability Indexes were derived in statistically significant level. Furthermore, the Geographically Weighted Regression model has been derived more improved inference than the OLS regression model, so as the influence of local level pedestrian environment was identified. The results of this study suggest that the spatial statistical approach can be effective on quantitative assessing the pedestrian environment and navigating their associated factors.

Testing Non-Stationary Relationship between the Proportion of Green Areas in Watersheds and Water Quality using Geographically Weighted Regression Model (공간지리 가중회귀모형(GWR)을 이용한 유역 녹지비율과 하천수질의 비균질적 관계 검증)

  • Lee, Sang-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
    • /
    • v.41 no.6
    • /
    • pp.43-51
    • /
    • 2013
  • This study aims to examine the presence of non-stationary relationship between water quality and land use in watersheds. In investigating the relationships between land use and water quality, most previous studies adopted OLS method which is assumed stationarity. However, this approach is difficult to capture the local variation of the relationships. We used 146 sampling data and land cover data of Korean Ministry of Environment to build conventional regressions and GWR models for BOD, TN and TP. Regression model and GWR models of BOD, TN, TP were compared with $R^2$, AICc and Moran's I. The results of comparisons and descriptive statistics of GWR models strongly indicated the presence of Non-Stationarity between water quality and land use.

Construction of Urban Crime Prediction Model based on Census Using GWR (GWR을 이용한 센서스 기반 도시범죄 특성 분석 및 예측모델 구축)

  • YOO, Young-Woo;BAEK, Tae-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
    • /
    • v.20 no.4
    • /
    • pp.65-76
    • /
    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study was to present a prediction model that reflects crime risk area analysis, including factors and spatial characteristics, as a precursor to preparing an alternative plan for crime prevention and design. This analysis of criminal cases in high-risk areas revealed clusters in which approximately 25% of the cases within the study area occurred, distributed evenly throughout the region. This means that using a multiple linear regression model might overestimate the crime rate in some regions and underestimate in others. It also suggests that the number of deserted houses in an analyzed region has a negative relationship with the dependent variable, based on the multiple linear regression model results, and can also have different influences depending on the region. These results reveal that closure signs in a study area affect the dependent variable differently, depending on the region, rather than a simple or direct relationship with the dependent variable, as indicated by the results of the multiple linear regression model.