• Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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• v.6 no.3 s.22
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• pp.1-8
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• 2006

The seismic zone factor is evaluated according to the regional characteristics of seismic response based on the historical and instrumental earthquake data. This study aims at arranging regional seismic characteristics by the analysis of earthquake data recorded in the Korean Peninsula and providing the fundamental data to be used for establishing seismic zone factor considering the domestic seismic characteristics. This paper provides the seismic characteristics in the Korean Peninsula according to the historical and instrumental records and then presents fundamental data for establishing seismic zone factors in domestic region.

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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• v.21 no.5
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• pp.419-425
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• 2009

Although earthquake damage was negligible in Korea during the last a few decades, its historic records suggest that the peninsula have experienced severe earthquake damages throughout the history. The potential for disastrous earthquakes, therefore, should always be considered. Harbors handle 99.6% of imported and exported cargo in Korea. Thus, it is necessary to secure the safety of harbors against seismic events and to establish a support system of emergency measures. Although instrumental seismic data are favored for seismic hazard estimation, their history in the peninsula is limited only to the past 30 years, which does not represent the long-term seismic characteristics of the peninsula. We use historic earthquakes with magnitude greater than 5 to observe long-term regional seismic hazards. Results of historic earthquake records indicate relatively high seismic hazard at harbors in Pohang, Ulsan and Incheon. Analysis of instrumental earthquake records reveal relatively high seismic hazard for harbors located along the East coast including Okgye, Mukho, Donghae, Samcheok, Pohang, and Ulsan.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.30 no.5
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• pp.759-774
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• 2017

Earthquake concerns have grown after a remarkable earthquake incident on September 12th, 2016 in Gyeongju, Korea. Earthquake forecasting is gaining in importance in order to guarantee infrastructure safety and develop protection policies. In this paper, we adopt a power-law distribution model to fit past earthquake occurrences in Korea with various historical and modern seismological records. We estimated power-law distribution parameters using empirical distributions and calculated the future probabilities for large earthquake events based on our model. We provide the probability that a future event has a larger magnitude than given levels, and the probability that a future event over certain levels will occur in a given period of time. This model contributes to the assessment of latent seismological risk in Korea by estimating future earthquake probabilities.

• Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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• v.4 no.1
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• pp.13-34
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• 2000

본 연구에서는 서기 2년부터 1977년까지 남.북한 역사지진(A.D 2-1904)과 초기 계기 지진(1905-1977) 목록을 이용하여 남한 지진 규모로 재조정된 지진목록을 작성하였다 역사 지진은 과거의 협소한 인구분포로 인해 지진 기록의 누락이 많앗다 지진 위험도를 작성하기 위해 지진 발생분포와 지체구조의 특성을 고려하여 4개의 지진구(seismic province)를 설정하였다. 각 지진구에서 최대 잠재 지진결정은 Gumbel의 최대치 이론을 이용하였다 제 1수정 점근 함수 분포에서 유한 상한 값(finte upper boundary) 의 존재는 각 지진구에서 발생할 최대 잠재 지진의 진원(source)이 유한하다는 사실과 잘 일치한다. 따라서 이를 근거로 각 지진구에서 10년 , 20년, 30년, 50년 이내에 2% 5% 10% 초과 확률을 갖는 최대 규모지진을 추정하였다 또한 각 지진구에서 유한 지진원은 과거에 발생했던 큰 규모의 특정 지진과 지진 지체구조 정보에 근거하여 결정하였다. 연구결과 조선시대(1392-1904) 의 지진위험도에서는 경주 울산지역과 서울과 평양지역을 따라 높은지반 가속도 값을 보이며 경주지역에서 0.24g의 최대 지반 가속도 값으로 나타났다 계기 지진목록(1905-1998)을 이용한 한반도의 지진 위험도에서는 경주, 울산, 대구 지역에서 0.10-0.12g 의 최대 지반가속도 값을 보였다. 그리고 계기 지진 목록(1905-1998) 만을 이용하여 작성한 서울.경기 지역의 지진 위험도에서는 김포, 잠실 , 성남 지역의 한강을 따라 분포하는 충적층과 강남지역의 지반 운동이 한강 이북의 대보 화강암 지역에 비해 비교적 높은 0.09-0.10g의 지반 가속도를 보이는 것이 특징이다.

• The Journal of Engineering Geology
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• v.5 no.1
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• pp.45-58
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• 1995

A probabilistic seismic risk in the Korean Peninsula is calculated from the instrumental eaathquake data. For the purpose, an instrumental earthquake catalogue since 1905 m which parameters are readjusted to have uniformity and homogeneity in description is cornpiled through the review of all available data. The maximum potential earthquake expected in the Korean Peninsula for 100, 1000, and 4000 years are estimated to be 6.3, 7.2 and 7.8 in magnitude, respectively, from Gumbel's extreme value theory. In addition, contour rnaps representing the maximum ground acceleration expected for 100 and 1000 years are prepared using the return period method. Seismic hazart] curves in which maximum ground acceleration expressed in terms of probability of occurrence are also presented for the major populated areas.

• The Journal of the Petrological Society of Korea
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• v.25 no.4
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• pp.325-334
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• 2016

Both 1900 years of historic literature and recent instrumental seismic records indicate the Korean Peninsula has repeatedly experienced small and large earthquakes. This study has used historical and instrumental records of Korea to investigate the characteristics of earthquakes in the peninsula. Results of GIS spatial analyses indicate Pyongyang, the capital of North Korea, is more vulnerable to the earthquake hazard than that of other regions in the Korean Peninsula. It is also noted that Pyongyang is exposed to high risks of other natural and social disasters because of the high population density and concentrated infra structures. Scenario shake map drawn up assuming a magnitude 6.7 earthquake, which was experienced in A.D. 502 in the area, indicates that 51.1% of the city are exposed to PGA 0.24 g or higher. Recent statistics by the Statistics Korea also indicates the North Korea is far more vulnerable to disasters than those in the South Korea. Results of the preliminary study provide essential information for comprehensive understanding of earthquake hazard estimation in Korea including the North Korea.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.39 no.6
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• pp.821-831
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• 2019

The 9.12 earthquake (2016.9.12., M_L=5.8) and Pohang (2017.11.15., M_L=5.4) caused social and economic damage, resulting in a greater public interest in earthquakes than in the past. In the U.S., Japan and Chile, which have high frequency of earthquakes, infrastructure facilities are already managed based on probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) and ground motion prediction equation (GMPE) to prepare for and respond to seismic disasters. In South Korea, the aforementioned PSHA and GMPE models have been developed independently through individual researchers. However, the limited disclosure of basic data, calculation methods, and final results created during the model development poses a problem of deploying new data without updating the earthquake that occurs every year. Therefore, this paper describes how to create flatfile, which is the basic data of GMPE, and how to process for seismic waves, and how to create intensity measures.

• The Journal of the Petrological Society of Korea
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• v.25 no.3
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• pp.253-260
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• 2016

A moment magnitude 3.1 earthquake occurred in the Seoul metropolitan region (SMR), Korea, on 9 February 2010. The unexpected shaking attracted much attention and raised concerns about the seismic hazards and risks in the SMR, which was regarded as an area safe from any earthquake hazard. The SMR has a population of 25 million and is one of the largest metropolitan areas in the world. A shakemap for a scenario earthquake with magnitude 6.5 and focal depth 12 km implies that the SMR will be exposed to serious risk because of its large population and the high vulnerability of its buildings. Although the instrumentally recorded earthquakes discussed in this article cannot be classified as major events, they should not be discounted as insignificant. Considering the low seismicity, micro-earthquakes below the magnitude of a conventional seismic network can achieve would be used to estimate background information in the evaluation of earthquake hazards and risks.

• Journal of the Korean Geophysical Society
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• v.3 no.2
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• pp.91-98
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• 2000

The seismicity of the Korean Peninsula shows a very irregular pattern of strain release typical of the intraplate seismicity. The Korean Peninsula may be divided into several tectonic provinces of differing tectonics. In this analysis, seismicity parameters for each tectonic province are evaluated from historical as well as instrumental earthquake data of the Korean Peninsula to examine the differences in seismic characteristics among tectonic provinces. Statistical analysis of the earthquake data made of incomplete data before the Choseon Dynasty and complete data afterwards reveals that there exist no significant differences in seismic characteristics between the tectonic provinces. It turns out the b-value in the intensity-frequency relation for the whole peninsula is about 0.6 and the maximum earthquake is about MMI X. The results of this study may be used in the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis of the Korean Peninsula and in estimating the design earthquake in earthquake engineering.

• Journal of the Korean earth science society
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• v.21 no.2
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• pp.159-167
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• 2000

We tested the randomness and estimated the degree of concentration for the earthquake occurrence in the Korean Peninsula by using the statistical methods for spatial data. For the randomness test, we applied both of the test statistics based method and the empirical distribution based method to the both of historical and instrumental seismicity data. It was found that the earthquake occurrences for historical and instrumental seismicity data are not random and clustered rather than scattered. A nonparametric density estimation method was used to estimate the concentration degree in the Peninsula. The earthquake occurrences show relatively high concentration on Seoul, Choongnam, Chonbook and Kyungbook areas for the historical seismicity data. Also,'L" shaped concentrations connecting Whanghaedo -the coast of Choongnam -the inland of Kyungbook area are revealed for the instrumental seismicity data.