• Title/Summary/Keyword: 경제효과 분석

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National Economic Effects of the Korea Shipbuilding Industry (한국 조선산업의 국민경제적 파급효과 분석)

  • Chung, Young-Keun;Lim, Eung-Soon
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.129-143
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    • 2011
  • Korean Shipbuilding industry takes 33.1% of world market. This shows that Korea is number 1 in shipbuilding. Also, this means the shipbuilding industry plays a significant role in national economic development. This Study attempts to analyse the national economic impacts of shipbuilding industry using an inter-industry analysis. The study investigates demand-driven model and the Leontief price model. Specifically, this study investigates production-inducing effect, value added-inducing effect and employ-inducing effect. Also, we estimate the sectoral price effect. The result of this analyses are presented: 0.7891 won in production-inducing effect, 0.3742 won in value added-inducing effect. When 1 won is produced by shipbuilding industry, 3.7808 persons in employ-inducing effect when 1 billion won is produced, and sectoral price effect is 0.0009% due to the 10% increase of price.

소규모 개방경제하의 환경규제의 동태적 분석

  • Yeo, Taek-Dong;Kim, Yeong-Jae
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.175-206
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    • 1999
  • 본 연구는 2부문 개방거시경제모형을 이용하여 환경규제정책이 거시경제실적-국내자본 축적, 경상수지상태, 소비수준-에 미치는 영향을 동태적으로 분석하려고 한다. 정부가 환경규제를 강화할 경우, 즉 최대 허용가능한 오염배출량을 감소할 경우, 투자활동이 감소하게 되어 장기 정상상태에서 자본축적량이 감소하게 된다. 반면에, 환경규제가 강화될 경우 경제주체들은 국제채권의 구입을 늘리게 되어 새로운 정상균형상태에서 국제채권의 보유는 증가하게 된다(경상수지는 개선된다). 그러나 환경규제의 강화가 자산의 잠재가치와 두 재화의 소비에 미치는 효과는 불분명하다. 만약, 자본축적량과 최대 허용가능한 오염배출량의 변화에 따른 제조업부문의 산출고의 변화가 비제조업부문 산출고의 변화를 능가한다면, 환경규제 강화정책은 두 재화의 소비를 감소시킬 것이다. 본 연구에서는 환경규제정책의 변화를 예상한 경우와 예상하지 못한 경우, 그리고 예상하지 못한 경우에도 정책의 변화가 영구적 또는 일시적인 경우에 따라 환경규제 강화가 자본 한 단위의 시장가치 자본축적량 및 국제채권 보유에 미치는 영향을 단기 전환적 동태분석하고자 한다. 환경규제정책의 변화가 사전에 발표되어 민간 경제주체들이 정책의 변화를 예상할 수 있는 경우에는, 민간경제주체들이 정책의 변화 전에 자신들의 행동을 조정하므로 실제 정책 실시 후에는 정책이 각 경제변수에 미치는 효과는 정책을 예상하지 못한 경우보다 훨씬 줄어들게 된다. 정책 변화를 예상하지 못한 경우보다 정책 변화가 발표됨으로써 사전에 정책 변화를 예상한 경우에 환경규제 강화에 따른 자본축적량의 장기적인 감소효과가 훨씬 작게 되고, 따라서 국제채권 보유를 증가시키는(경상수지 상태를 개선시키는) 효과도 줄어들게 된다.

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천연가스 가격 및 가계수요, 투자의 경제적 파급효과 - CGE 모형을 이용한 분석 -

  • Park, Chang-Won;Han, Won-Hui;Kim, Gyeong-Sik
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.245-269
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    • 1999
  • 향후 기후변화협약과 같은 환경규제의 강화가 예견되는 상황에서 에너지산업은 상당한 정책변화를 겪게 될 것으로 예상된다. 이러한 정책수립과 결정과정에서 본 연구는 천연가스산업에 대한 정책변화 효과를 분석할 수 있는 일반균형 분석모형을 제시함으로써 천연가스산업에 관한 유용한 정보를 제공할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다. 소국경제를 가정한 연산가능 일반균형모형(CGE)을 통해 분석된 천연가스산업의 거시경제적 파급효과를 살펴보면 다음과 같다. 먼저, 천연가스 가격이 5% 상승하였을 경우에는 실질GDP가 0.031% 감소하고, 생산자 물가지수는 0.051% 상승하였다. 가계수요가 10% 증가한 경우와 투자가 10% 증가한 경우에는 실질 GDP가 각각 0.002%씩 상승하고 생산자 물가지수는 0.008%와 0.004% 상승하는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 분석결과는 천연가스산업이 비교적 거시경제에 미치는 영향이 적은 것을 보여 주고 있다.

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Cost Savings Effect of Internal Emission Trading in US Coal-Fired Electric Power Industry (석탄발전소(石炭發電所)에 대(對)한 배출권(排出權) 내부거래(內部去來)의 비용절감효과(費用節減效果))

  • Lee, Myeong-Heon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.1-23
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    • 1999
  • 배출권거래제도의 비용절감효과를 분석함에 있어 요소간 대체가능성 등 외부환경 변화에 대한 기업의 적응도를 반영하지 않은 공학적 추정치는 그 신뢰성에 한계가 있다. 또한 경제학적 분석방식을 시도한 연구의 대부분이 외부거래만을 대상으로 해온 반면에 거래실적의 다수를 차지하고 있는 내부거래에 대한 연구는 미미한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 Gollop and Roberts (1985)의 경제학적 추정모형을 이용하여 미국 석탄발전소를 대상으로 $SO_2$ 배출권에 대한 내부거래의 비용절감정도를 측정한 후 효과의 크기 변에서 외부거래와의 차이를 규명하고자 한다.

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The Economic Effect of the Public Financial Expenditure on the National Industrial Complexes (국가산업단지에 대한 재정지출의 경제적 효과)

  • Park Won Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.40 no.1 s.106
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    • pp.47-62
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    • 2005
  • This paper aims at analyzing the economic effect of the public financial expenditure on the national industrial complexes. Since public finance support is indirectly supplied to the national industrial complexes, the economic effect of the public financial expenditure on the national industrial complexes may be analyzed indirectly and circuitously In this contort, this paper uses 3 stage analysis method. In the first stage, the economic effect that the public financial expenditure influence the allotment, production and employment of companies residing in the national industrial complexes is analyzed by multiple regression analysis. In the second stage, the economic effect that the investment on the national industrial complexes influence the national and regional economies is analyzed by multiple regression analysis. In the third stage, the economic effect of the public financial expenditure on the national industrial complexes is analyzed through the compromising the results of the first and second stage. The main results of this paper are as follows. Firstly, public financial expenditure on the infrastructure of national industrial complexes leaded to positive growth of the allotment of companies residing in the national industrial complexes. Additionally, growth of the allotment of companies leaded to the positive effect on the production and employment of companies. And secondly, growth of the allotment of companies leaded to the positive effect on the gross regional domestic production. Finally, financial expenditure on the infrastructure of national industrial complexes leaded to positive effect on the national and regional economic growth through the compromising the results of the first and second stage.

Visitors' Behaviors and Economic Impacts of the Mulbit Festival at Suncheon Bay National Garden, Korea (순천만국가정원 물빛축제의 방문객 행태와 경제적 효과 분석)

  • Jang, Mun-Hyun;Lee, Jeong-Rock
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.219-230
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    • 2018
  • The Suncheon Bay National Garden and Suncheon Bay Wetland Reserve in Suncheon city are becoming a famous tourist place in national wide. This study investigates the visitors' behavior and economic impacts of the Mulbit Festival held in Suncheon Bay National Garden from July to August 2017. Results of visitors' behaviors showed that the total number of visitors to the festival were 802,825; 75.0% of respondents were outside visitors; 52% of respondents were accommodation visitors; 52.8% of respondents had a plan to visit downtown of Suncheon city. Results of economic impacts of the Mulbit festival showed that the per capita average consumption expenditure of outside visitors and inside visitors were respectively 112,793 won and 17,269 won; the total direct economic impacts was 57 billion won and production, income, and value added inducement impacts among the total indirect economic impacts were respectively 91.9 billion won, 19.1 billion won, and 41.3 billion won.

Economic and Competitive Effectiveness of Number Portability in Austalia and UK (번호이동성 구현에 따른 경쟁촉진 및 경제적 효과-호주와 영국 사례를 중심으로)

  • Song, S.H.
    • Electronics and Telecommunications Trends
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    • v.14 no.1 s.55
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    • pp.53-60
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    • 1999
  • 본 논문은 번호이동성의 구현에 따른 경쟁촉진 효과와 경제적 효과에 대해 호주와 영국의 사례를 분석하여 소개하였다. 분석 결과에 의하면, 번호이동성 구현은 통신사업자들간의 경쟁을 촉진시켜 통신서비스 요금의 인하와 보다 양질의 서비스가 제공될 수 있을 뿐만 아니라, 번호이동성 구축에 소요되는 비용보다는 이로 인한 국가 전체의 경제적 이익이 비용을 상회한다는 것이다.

A Study of the Regional Economic Multiplier Impacts of Local Cultural Festival : In Case of Jeonju International Film Festival (지역문화축제의 지역경제파급효과에 관한 연구 : 전주 국제 영화제를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Yon-Hyong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.125-140
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study is to analysis the economic impacts of regional cultural festival via using the regional input-output model. In order to achieve this purpose, calculate output, value added and employment multiplier impacts of the Jeonju International Film Festival. The impacts of the JIFF on regional economic follow as ; Output is 112 hundred million won, value added is 53 hundred million won and employes is 254 labors. We need a new following strategies to obtain highly positive impacts from regional cultural festival. It needs to made networks among sight-seeing places, cultural remains, restaurants, hotels and entertainment institutions, in order to made visitors and customers expend much.

Investigating the Economic Effects of Aviation Safety Technology Development (항공안전기술개발이 미치는 경제적 파급효과에 대한 연구)

  • Park, Jin-Woo;Seo, Hae-Jong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.769-772
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    • 2007
  • This research was conducted to investigate the economoic effects of aviation safety technology development. The important subjects of aviation safety technology development, aviation accident prevention and damage reduction technique, aircraft safety certification development, BASA promotion in an aircraft class, were included to investigate the economic effects. The survey technique using Benefit-Cost Anlysis was performed and the results showed that aviation safety technology development brought scientific technique effect, industrial and economic effect, and the rest effects. Also, the benefits from aviation safety technology development were much greater than the costs.

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An Analysis of Effectiveness of Economic Sanctions and Inducements and Implications for Policies towards North Korea Based on Theoretical Applications from Prospect Theory (경제제재와 경제지원의 효과 분석 및 대북정책에 대한 시사점: 전망이론적 논의)

  • Park, Ji-Youn;Jo, Dongho
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.1-32
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    • 2013
  • Economic sanctions and inducements are types of 'policy instruments' based on 'economic tools' to influence other international actors. Ongoing debates on sanctions and inducements have exposed drawbacks for relying on individual case studies. There are some studies in the literature that attempt theoretical analysis of sanctions and inducements, but they are mostly based on rational choice theory. In reality, however, there exist so many cases that cannot be explained by rational choice theory. These are called anomalies or exceptions. The literature introduces specific variables to interpret these anomalies and thus sacrifice the universality of the theory. From this point of view, prospect theory would present an effective tool to analyze economic sanctions and inducements. It is a behavioral economic theory that tries to model a decisions making process in reality. The theory says that people make decisions based on subjective value of losses and gains from an individual reference point, and that people evaluate these losses and gains using heuristics. Thus prospect theory could offer a different frame which has greater explanatory range without adding new variables. As a result of this study, target's losses of 'back down' towards economic sanctions loom larger when the reference point level increases, therefore, the effectiveness of sanctions decreases. However, target's losses of 'stand firm' towards economic inducements loom larger under the same condition of reference point, therefore, the effectiveness of inducements increases. The findings of the paper suggest meaningful implications to the economic policy towards North Korea.

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