• Title/Summary/Keyword: 결합지수

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Future water supply risk analysis using a joint drought management index in Nakdong river basin (결합가뭄관리지수(JDMI)를 이용한 낙동강 유역의 미래 용수공급 위험도 분석)

  • Yu, Ji Soo;Choi, Si-Jung;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.spc
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    • pp.1117-1126
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    • 2018
  • Water supply system aims to meet the user's demand by securing water resources in a stable way. However, water supply failure sometimes happens because inflow decreases during drought period. Droughts induced by the lack of precipitation do not always lead to water supply failures. Thus, it is necessary to consider features of actual water shortage event when we evaluate a water supply risk. In this study, we developed a new drought index for drought management, i.e., Joint Drought Management Index (JDMI), using two water supply system performance indices such as reliability and vulnerability. Future data that were estimated from GCMs according to RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios were used to estimate future water supply risk. After dividing the future period into three parts, the risk of water supply failure in the Nakdong River basin was analyzed using the JDMI. As a result, the risk was higher with the RCP 4.5 than the RCP 8.5. In case of RCP 4.5, W18 (Namgangdam) was identified as the most vulnerable area, whereas in case of RCP 8.5, W23 (Hyeongsangang) and W33 (Nakdonggangnamhae) were identified as the most vulnerable area.

Evaluation of Chloride Diffusion Characteristics in Concrete with Fly Ash Cured for 2 Years (2년 양생된 Fly Ash 콘크리트의 염화물 확산 특성 평가)

  • Yoon, Yong-Sik;Hwang, Sang-Hyeon;Kwon, Seung-Jun
    • Journal of the Korean Recycled Construction Resources Institute
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.8-15
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    • 2019
  • When RC(Reinforced Concrete) structures are exposed to harsh environment, deterioration phenomenon occurs, and the corrosion in rebar due to chloride intrusion is known as representative deterioration, so called chloride attack. In this paper, chloride resistance performance of 2 years aged concrete is evaluated considering 3 levels of water to binder ratio(0.37, 0.42, and 0.47) and 2 levels of substitution ratio of fly ash(0% and 30%). Accelerated chloride diffusion coefficient tests referred to Tang's method, total passed charge tests referred to ASTM C 1202, and compressive strength tests referred to KS F 2405 are performed. With adaptation of the previous test results and the results from this study, time-dependent chloride diffusion characteristics are analyzed for each concrete. The FA(Fly Ash) concrete has higher chloride resistance performance than OPC(Ordinary Portland Cement) concrete. According to the evaluation standard of ASTM C 1202, the FA concrete has "Moderate" grade after 49 days while OPC concrete does "Moderate" grade after 365 days. As the results of time-parameter for chloride diffusion, OPC concrete and FA concrete show the decreasing behavior of time-parameters with increasing water to binder ratio. Also, FA concrete has 1.57~2.74 times of time-parameter than OPC concrete. That's cause is thought that the time-parameter indicates the gradient of decreasing of diffusion coefficient. FA concrete has higher time-parameters than OPC concrete by pozzolanic reaction of FA.

Analysis of Co-movement and Causality between Supply-Demand Factors and the Shipping Market: Evidence from Wavelet Approach (웨이블릿 분석을 통한 수요-공급요인과 해운시황의 연관성 분석)

  • Jeong, Hoejin;Yun, Heesung;Lee, Keehwan
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.87-104
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    • 2022
  • Considering the complex structure and high volatility in the shipping market, it is important to investigate the connectedness amongst influencing factors. This study explores the dynamic relationship between supply-demand factors and shipping freight indices. We choose Capesize and Panamax in the bulk carrier market and use quarterly data of GDP, world fleet, BCI, and BPI from 1999 to 2021. Applying the wavelet analysis and wavelet Granger causality test, the simultaneous examination of co-movement and causality between two factors and the shipping market in both the time and frequency domains is achieved. We find that co-movement and causality vary across time and frequencies, thereby existing dynamic relationships between variables. Second, compared to multiple coherencies using demand and supply factors together, partial coherencies indicate noticeable causalities. It implies that analyzing demand and supply factors separately is essential. Finally, shipping freight indices show a high correlation with the demand factor in a good market and with the supply factor in a bad market. Generally, GDP positively leads shipping freights in the recovery phase while the world fleet negatively leads shipping freights in the downturn. The research is meaningful in that the rarely-applied wavelet analysis is adopted in the shipping market and that it gives a reasonable ground to explain the role of supply and/or demand factors in different phases of the market cycle.

A Modeling of an efficiency analysis based on DEA_AR and AHP for the improvement of usefulness of the Accreditation of Hospitals (의료기관평가의 유용성 증대를 위한 AHP와 DEA_AR 기반의 효율성 분석 모델 구축)

  • O, Dong-Il
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.11 no.7
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    • pp.2406-2419
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    • 2010
  • This study aims to elevate the usefulness of the current annual Accreditation of Hospitals. To achieve this purpose, A modeling of an efficiency analysis based on DEA and AHP to the Accreditation of Hospitals Data from 2004 to 2008. By applying to AHP and DEA_AR to the scores derived from the various domains in data, An adequate prediction model about conversion factor in fee contract is made. By summarizing information derived from DEA, factor analysis and Generalized Linear Model, The linear functions combining conversion factor and efficiency index is successfully established. The factor analysis with AHP was used to merge diverse scores from the domains of evaluation. Not only the input and output initially introduced, AHP scores, dummy variables of hospital classification, geographical location are effective variables to forecast a conversion factor. If a predicted conversion factors from efficiency is used, It will be a great contributions to the annul doctor's fee contract.

New Method for Combining P-values in Meta-Analysis (메타분석에서 새로운 P-Value 결합 방법)

  • Seon, Jeongyeon;Kim, Dongjae
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.797-806
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    • 2013
  • Meta-analysis is used in variety of areas to synthesize the results of previous studies. Among the methods for Meta-analysis, combining p-values is the simplest method; in addition Tippett (1931), Fisher (1932), Stuoffer at al. (1949), proposed various methods to combine p-values. We propose a new method to combine p-values based on exponential distribution. A Monte Carlo simulation study compares the power of the proposed methods with previous methods.

Separation of Fe(Ⅱ) from Co(Ⅱ), Ni(Ⅱ), Pb(Ⅱ) Using Amberlite IRA 400 Loaded with Alizarin Red S (Alizarin Red S가 결합된 Amberlite IRA 400 에 의한 Co(Ⅱ), Ni(Ⅱ), Pb(Ⅱ) 중 Fe(Ⅱ)의 분리)

  • Cha, Ki Won;Park, Chan Il;Kang, Ji Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.172-176
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    • 1998
  • An anion exchange resin which has Alizarin Red S (ARS) as functional group was prepared by batch method. The resin is stable in acidic solutions below 0.5 M hydrochloric acid, nitric acid and sulfuric acid and adsorption capacity of Fe(Ⅱ) ion on the resin was larger than other metal ions. The preconcentration and the separation of Fe(Ⅱ) ion from the mixture solution were carried out with the pH 4.5 buffer solution and 0.1 M $HNO_{3}$ as eluents.

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A Study on Noisy Speech Recognition Using Discriminative Training for PMC Algorithm (PMC 방식에서의 분별적 학습을 이용한 잡음 음성인식에 관한 연구)

  • 정용주
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.83-89
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we proposed a discriminative adaptation method for PMC algorithm and achieved improved speech recognition rate. For the adaptation, we adopted modified PMC(MPMC) which is a variant of PMC and discriminatively adapted the association factor for each mixture of the HMM in the MPMC. From the recognition experiments, the proposed method showed better recognition rate than the conventional PMC. Also, compared with STAR algorithm which is another model parameter compensation method, the proposed method showed superior performance when the SNR is very low and the adaptation data is not sufficient.

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A Study of Combinative Index for Conflict Resolution (상충 해결을 위한 결합지수 연구)

  • 고희병;이수홍;이만호
    • Korean Journal of Computational Design and Engineering
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.319-326
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    • 2000
  • Expert systems using uncertain and ambiguous knowledge are not of the recent interests about uncertainty problem for performing inference similar to the decision making of a human expert. Human factors on rule-based systems often involve uncertain information. Expert systems had been used the methods of conflict resolution in a rule conflict situation, but this methods not properly solved the rule conflict. If a human expert appends a new rule to an original rule base, the rule base rightly causes a rule conflict. In this paper, the problem of rule conflict is regarded as one in which uncertainty of information is fundamentally involved. In the reduction of problem with uncertainty, we propose an enhanced rule ordering method, which improve the rule ordering method using Dempster-Shafer theory. We also propose a combinative index, which involve human factors of experts decision making.

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Identification of Optimum Sites for Power System Controller using Normal Forms of Vector Field (벡터계 정규 형식을 이용한 전력시스템 제어기 설치 위치 선정)

  • 장길수;이인수;권세혁
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.53 no.4
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    • pp.227-233
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    • 2004
  • In stressed power system due to the presence of increased nonlinearity and the existence of nonlinear modal interactions. there exist some limitations to the use of conventional linear system theory to identify the optimum sites for a controller. This paper suggests an approach based on the method of normal forms to identify the optimum sites for controllers with incorporating the nonlinear interaction . In this paper, nonlinear participation factors and coupling factors are proposed as measures of the nonlinear interactions, and identification procedure of optimum sites for a controller is also proposed. The proposed procedure is applied to the 10-generator New England System and the KEPCO System in the year of 2010, and the results illustrate its capabilities.

Identification of Optimum Sites for Power System Controller using Normal Forms of Vector Field (벡터계 정규 형식을 이용한 전력시스템 제어기 설치 위치 선정)

  • 장길수;이인수;권세혁
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers B
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    • v.53 no.4
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    • pp.227-227
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    • 2004
  • In stressed power system due to the presence of increased nonlinearity and the existence of nonlinear modal interactions. there exist some limitations to the use of conventional linear system theory to identify the optimum sites for a controller. This paper suggests an approach based on the method of normal forms to identify the optimum sites for controllers with incorporating the nonlinear interaction . In this paper, nonlinear participation factors and coupling factors are proposed as measures of the nonlinear interactions, and identification procedure of optimum sites for a controller is also proposed. The proposed procedure is applied to the 10-generator New England System and the KEPCO System in the year of 2010, and the results illustrate its capabilities.