• Title/Summary/Keyword: 결정론적 위해성 평가

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RF 마그네트론 스퍼터링을 이용하여 온도별로 증착한 CIGS 박막의 미세구조 및 화학 조성 분석

  • Jeong, Jae-Heon;Jo, Sang-Hyeon;Song, Pung-Geun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Vacuum Society Conference
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    • 2012.08a
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    • pp.278-279
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    • 2012
  • 최근 들어 세계적인 고유가 행진과 화석연료 고갈에 대응하기 위하여 대체 에너지원 발굴에 대한 필요성이 높아지고 있다. 그 중 CIGS 박막 태양전지는 미래 신재생 에너지 자원의 가장 유망한 후보군 중 하나이다. 기존의 Si 기반의 태양전지의 경우 시간경과에 따른 효율 저하, 높은 재료비, 복잡한 공정으로 인하여 대량생산이 힘든 단점을 가지고 있다. 반면 박막 태양전지의 경우 생산 원가를 낮출 수 있는 태양전지 제조기술로서는 2세대 태양전지로 불리우며, 에너지 변환 효율과 생산 원가에서 우월성을 가진다. 그리고 이러한 CIGS 박막 태양전지를 단일 CIGS 타겟을 이용하여 스퍼터링 공정으로 제작하면 기존에 사용되었던 동시 증발법에 비해서 간단하고 대면적 코팅 및 대량 생산이 가능하다. 본 연구에서 사용된 기판으로는 $25{\times}25mm$ 크기의 Soda Lime Glass (SLG) 위에 DC 마그네트론 스퍼터링 공정으로 Mo가 $1{\mu}m$ 증착된 시편을 이용하여, 2 inch 단일 CIGS 타겟 (MATERION, CIGS Target 25-17.5-7.5-50 at%)을 기판 가열하여 증착하였다. RF 파워는 80 W, 기판 온도는 RT, 100, 200, 300, $400^{\circ}C$로 가열 후 증착하였고, CIGS 박막의 두께는 약 $1{\mu}m$로 일정하게 하였다. CIGS/Mo 박막의 파워별 미세구조 분석을 위해 X-ray Diffraction (XRD, BRUKER GADDS)로 측정하였으며, 박막의 결정립 크기를 확인하기 위해 Field Emission Scanning Electron Microscopy (FE-SEM, HITACHI)을 사용하여 측정하였다. 조건별 박막의 조성 분석 및 표면조도는 Energy Dispersive X-ray Spectroscopy (EDS, HORIBA 7395-H)와 Atomic Force Microscopy (AFM)을 이용하여 각각 평가하였다. 마지막으로 광학적 특성을 평가하고 박막의 밴드갭 에너지를 계산하기 위해서 190 nm에서 1,100 nm의 영역 대에서 자외선 광학 측정기(UV-Vis, HP-8453, AGLIENT)로 투과도를 측정하여 밴드갭 에너지를 계산하였다. 증착된 CIGS 박막은 기판 온도가 증가함에 따라 결정립 크기가 커지는 경향을 보였다. 이는 기판 상에 도달한 스퍼터 원자의 확산 에너지 증가로 인한 것으로 생각되어진다. 또한, 기판온도에 따른 결정립 성장 변화는 4성분계의 박막의 조성 및 핵생성 밀도와 관련되어 설명되어질 것이다.

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A Probabilistic Risk-based Cost Estimation Model for Initial-Stage Decision Making on Apartment Remolding Projects (공동주택 리모델링 초기 단계 의사결정을 위한 확률론적 리스크 기반 비용 예측 모델 개발)

  • Lee, Dong-gun;Cha, Heesung
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.70-79
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    • 2016
  • The current remodeling cost estimation process is not only dependent on the historical data of new building construction, but it also has a poor linkage with risk-based estimation approach. As such, there is a high risk of falling short of initial budget. To overcome this, a risk-based estimation approach is necessary by providing a probabilistic estimation in consideration of the potential risk factors in conducting the remodeling projects. In addition, the decision-making process should be linked with the risk-based estimation results in stead of intuitive and/or experience-based estimation. This study provides a probabilistic estimation process for residential remodeling projects by developing a detailed methodology in which a step-by-step approach can be achieved. The new proposed estimation approach can help in decision-making for remodeling projects in terms of whether to proceed or not, by effectively reflecting the potential risk factors in the early stage of the project. In addition, the study can enhance the reliability of the estimation results by developing a sustainable estimation process model where a risk-based evaluation can be accomplished by setting up the cost-risk relationship database structure.

An Integrated Simulation Approach for Evaluating Speed Management Strategies Considering Public Health (공공보건을 고려한 시뮬레이션 연계기반 속도관리전략 평가기법 개발)

  • JOO, Shinhye;OH, Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.548-559
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    • 2016
  • Recent interests in both vehicle emissions and public health have facilitated the development of more eco-friendly transportation systems. This study proposed an integrated simulation approach for evaluating the effectiveness of speed management strategies from the various perspectives including safety, operational efficiency, and environmental compatability. Those simulation methods include driving simulation, traffic flow simulation, emissions simulation, and air dispersion simulation. An essence of the proposed simulation framework is to create the systematic connection of each simulation method toward the evaluation of effectiveness of speed management strategies. As an example, chicane and speed hump in residential area were evaluated by the proposed method. It is expected that the proposed simulation-based approach would be effectively used for the decision-making process in selecting better alternatives considering both safety and public health.

The Sensitivity Analysis and Safety Evaluations of Cable Stayed Bridges Based on Probabilistic Finite Element Method (확률유한요소해석에 의한 사장교의 민감도 분석 및 안전성 평가)

  • Han, Sung-Ho;Cho, Tae-Jun;Bang, Myung-Seok
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.141-152
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    • 2007
  • Considering uncertainties of random input data, it is more reasonable to use probabilistic method than the conventional deterministic method for the design of structures or for the assessment of the responses of structures, which are designed as safe even under extreme loads. Therefore, to assess the quantitative effects of the constructed cable stayed bridge by the input random variables, a sensitivity analysis is studied. Using perturbation method, an analysis program is developed for the iterative probabilistic finite element analyses and sensitivity analyses of the cable stayed bridge, except the initial shape analysis. Monte-Carlo Simulations were used for the verification of the developed program. The results of sensitivity analysis shows the governing effects of external loads. Because the results also provide the sensitive effects of the stiffness of members and the magnitudes of prestressing force of cables, the developed

A study on magnetron source design and characteristics for super high rate deposition (초고속 증착용 마그네트론원 설계 및 특성에 관한 연구)

  • 빈진호;남경훈;한전건
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Surface Engineering Conference
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    • 2001.06a
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    • pp.8-8
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    • 2001
  • 초고속 증착은 짧은 시간에 박막 형성을 가능하게 하므로 window glass 코팅등의 대면적 코팅에 있어서 비용을 절감 시키고, 대량생산을 가능하게 만들기 때문에 관심이 집중되고 있다. 고속증착 공정으로는 high current arc, laser arc, hollow cathode discharge ion plating 그리고 마그네트론 스퍼터링법 등이 있다. 특별히 마그네트론 스퍼터링법은 3m이상의 넓이에 코팅을 할때 두께가 매우 균일하며, 증착율은 evaporation 공정에 비해 경제적, 기능적인 면에서 효율적이다. 그리고 증착된 박막은 매우 조밀하고 좋은 밀착력을 갖고 있으며, 고융점 금속을 포함하여 금속 합금 및 혼합물의 비율을 조정 및 금속 산화물, 질화물, 탄화물 등과 같은 금속의 증착도 stoichiometry를 조정하여 박막을 합성 시키는데 있어서 효과적이다. 이러한 초고속 증착을 만들기 위한 마그네트론 스퍼터링법의 요건은 마그네트론 원이 높은 타켓 power density를 가져야 하며, 타켓에서 효율적으로 플라즈마를 구속하여 스퍼터 되는 이온의 양을 최대화 시킬 수 있어 한다. 따라서 본 실험에서는 초고속 증착을 위해서 직경 50mm 타켓의 UBM magnetron원을 설계 제작하였다. 고밀도의 플라즈마를 형성시키기 위해서, Poisson simulation c code를 이용하여 자기장의 방향, 세기 및 밀도를 측정 하였고, 자기장 측정기(Gauss meter)를 이용하여 실제 자장을 측정 비교 분석하였다. 상기의 data를 바탕으로 여러 형상의 마그네트론원을 설계, 제작하였고. 마그네트론 원의 특성 분석을 위해 I-V 방전 특성을 평가하였고 substrate ion current density와 박막의 증착율을 측정하였다.duty-on 시간의 증가에 따라 $Cr_2N$ 상의 형성이 점점 많아져 80% duty-on 시간 경우에는 거의 CrN과 $Cr_2N$ 상이 공존하는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 duty-on 시간이 증가할수록 회절피크의 세기가 증가하여 결정화가 더 많이 진행되어짐을 알 수 있었다. 마찬가지로 바이어스 펄스이 주파수에 다른 결정성의 변화도 펄스의 주파수가 증가할수록 박막이 결정성이 좋아지고 $Cr_2N$ 상이 쉽게 형성되었다. 증착 진공도에 따른 결정성은 상대적으로 질소의 농도가 높은 낮은 진공도에서는 CrN 상이 주로 형성되었으며, 반대로 높은 진공도에서는 $Cr_2N$ 상이 많이 만들어졌다. 즉 $1.3{\times}10^{-2}Torr$의 증착 진공도에서는 CrN 상만이 보이는 반면 $9.0{\tiems}1-^{-2}Torr$ 진공도에서부터 $Cr_2N$ 상이 형성되기 시작하여 $5.0{\tiems}10^{-2}Torr$ 진공도에서는 두개의 상이 혼재되어 있음을 알 수 있었다. 박막의 내마모성을 조사한 결과 CrN 박막의 마찰 계수는 초기에 급격하게 증가한 후 0.5에서 0.6 사이의 값으로 큰 변화를 보이지 않았으며, $Cr_2N$ 박막도 비슷한 거동을 보였다.차 이, 목적의 차이, 그리고 환경의 의미의 차이에 따라 경관의 미학적 평가가 달라진 것으로 나타났다.corner$적 의도에 의한 경관구성의 일면을 확인할수 있지만 엄밀히 생각하여 보면 이러한 예의 경우도 최락의 총체적인 외형은 마찬가지로 $\ulcorner$순응$\lrcorner$

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Probabilistic Safety Assessment of Gas Plant Using Fault Tree-based Bayesian Network (고장수목 기반 베이지안 네트워크를 이용한 가스 플랜트 시스템의 확률론적 안전성 평가)

  • Se-Hyeok Lee;Changuk Mun;Sangki Park;Jeong-Rae Cho;Junho Song
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.273-282
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    • 2023
  • Probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) has been widely used to evaluate the seismic risk of nuclear power plants (NPPs). However, studies on seismic PSA for process plants, such as gas plants, oil refineries, and chemical plants, have been scarce. This is because the major disasters to which these process plants are vulnerable include explosions, fires, and release (or dispersion) of toxic chemicals. However, seismic PSA is essential for the plants located in regions with significant earthquake risks. Seismic PSA entails probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA), event tree analysis (ETA), fault tree analysis (FTA), and fragility analysis for the structures and essential equipment items. Among those analyses, ETA can depict the accident sequence for core damage, which is the worst disaster and top event concerning NPPs. However, there is no general top event with regard to process plants. Therefore, PSA cannot be directly applied to process plants. Moreover, there is a paucity of studies on developing fragility curves for various equipment. This paper introduces PSA for gas plants based on FTA, which is then transformed into Bayesian network, that is, a probabilistic graph model that can aid risk-informed decision-making. Finally, the proposed method is applied to a gas plant, and several decision-making cases are demonstrated.

Study on the Priority of Defense R&D Project for Verifying Weapon Systems Requirement (전력소요 통합검증을 위한 국방 R&D사업 우선순위 선정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Ho-Jin;Ahn, Nam-Su
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.153-159
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    • 2018
  • In recent years, the development of weapons systems in the field of defense research and development has become increasingly large, complex, and long-term, and so have budgets and the time spans involved. In order to improve this, the Weapon Systems Requirement Verification Committee, which benchmarked the preliminary feasibility of the private sector, was established to verify the appropriateness of requirements, and the necessity and priority of the projects. This research proposes a methodology for analyzing and prioritizing proposed weapons systems for effective and strategic allocation of defense budget funding. First, the evaluation factors that can be used in the defense sector were assessed by analyzing the related fields. We set the weighting of items by using the analytical hierarchy process for technical risk assessment and technical profitability evaluation. After that, we applied the methodology to 32 weapons systems and analyzed the results. In conclusion, through this study, it was possible to analyze profitability dimensions overlooked in the existing methodology.

Evaluation of Spatial Distribution of Consolidation Settlement of Songdo Marine Clay by Probabilistic Method (확률론적 방법에 의한 인천송도지반 압밀침하량의 공간적 분포 평가)

  • Kim, Dong-Hee;Choi, Young-Min;Lee, Woo-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.26 no.9
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    • pp.15-24
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    • 2010
  • Because the thickness and depth of consolidation layer vary at every location, the consolidation settlement and time have to be evaluated spatially. Also, for a rational evaluation of the uncertainty of the spatial distribution of consolidation settlement and time, it is necessary to adopt a probabilistic method. In this study, mean and standard deviation of consolidation settlement and time of whole analysis region are evaluated by using the spatial distribution of consolidation layer which is estimated from ordinary kriging and statistics of soil properties. Using these results and probabilistic method, the area that needs adopting the prefabricated vertical drain as well as raising the ground level for balancing the final design ground level is determined. It is observed that such areas are influenced by the variability of soil properties. The design procedure and method presented in this paper can be used in the decision making process for a geotechnical engineering design.

Determining Priority of the Bikeway Construction in Rural National Highway (지방부 자전거도로 사업우선순위 선정 방법론에 관한 연구)

  • Jeon, Woo-Hoon;Lee, Hyang-Mi;Baik, Nam-Chel
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.111-120
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    • 2012
  • Because people are gradually interested in bicycles, central and local governments provide many efforts for expanding bikeway plans and utilization. However, most domestic bicycle plans have been established for the urban and leisure. This research is focused on developing the evaluation method to give the priority order for the investment of rural community bicycle roads. For the methodology development, the planning hierarchy and indicator framework are proposed in this paper. In order to decide the weighting value for indicators, a questionnaire survey to transportation experts was conducted. Moreover, the coefficient for social and spatial equity was applied to consider the balance of regional development. The evaluation was applied to a pilot corridor comprised of a 160km section of national highway in korea. This methodology provides a new tool to decide priority order for the investment of bicycle facilities.

Dynamic Decision Making for Self-Adaptive Systems Considering Environment Information (환경정보를 고려한 자가적응형 시스템을 위한 동적 의사결정 기술)

  • Kim, Misoo;Jeong, Hohyeon;Lee, Eunseok
    • Journal of KIISE
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    • v.43 no.7
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    • pp.801-811
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    • 2016
  • Self-adaptive systems (SASs) can change their goals and behaviors to achieve its ultimate goal in a dynamic execution environment. Existing approaches have designed, at the design time, utility functions to evaluate and predict the goal satisfaction, and set policies that are crucial to achieve each goal. The systems can be adapted to various runtime environments by utilizing the pre-defined utility functions and policies. These approaches, however, may or may not guarantee the proper adaptability, because system designers cannot assume and predict all system environment perfectly at the design time. To cope with this problem, this paper proposes a new method of dynamic decision making, which takes the following steps: firstly we design a Dynamic Decision Network (DDN) with environmental data and goal model that reflect system contexts; secondly, the goal satisfaction is evaluated and predicted with the designed DDN and real-time environmental information. We furthermore propose a dynamic reflection method that changes the model by using newly generated data in real-time. The proposed method was actually applied to ROBOCODE, and verified its effectiveness by comparing to conventional static decision making.