• Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
• /
• v.21 no.2
• /
• pp.46-52
• /
• 2017

Recently durability design based on deterministic or probabilistic method has been attempted since service life evaluation in RC(Reinforced Concrete) structure exposed to chloride attack is important. The deterministic durability design contains a reasonable method with time effect on surface chloride content and diffusion coefficient, however the probabilistic design procedure has no consideration of time effect on both. In the paper, a technique on PDF(Probability of Durability Failure) evaluation is proposed considering time effect on diffusion and surface chloride content through equivalent surface chloride content which has same induced chloride content within a given period and cover depth. With varying period to built-up from 10 to 30 years and maximum surface chloride content from $5.0kg/m^3$ to $10.0kg/m^3$, the changing PDF and the related service life are derived. The proposed method can be reasonably applied to actual durability design with preventing conservative design parameters and considering the same analysis conditions of the deterministic method.

• Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
• /
• v.19 no.5
• /
• pp.67-74
• /
• 2015

RC (Reinforced Concrete) structures are considered as cost-benefit and durable however performances of structural safety and durability are degraded due to steel corrosion. Service life in RC structure is differently evaluated due to different local environmental conditions even if it is exposed to the same chloride attack. In the paper, 25 concrete cores from field investigation are obtained from 4 RC columns with duration of 3.5~4.5 years exposed to sea water. Through total chloride content measurement, surface chloride contents and apparent diffusion coefficients are evaluated. Service life of the target structure is estimated through deterministic method based on Fick's $2^{nd}$ Law and probabilistic method based on durability failure probability, respectively. Probability method is evaluated to be more conservative and relatively decreased service life is evaluated in tidal zone and splash zone over 40.0 m. Chloride penetration behavior with coring location from sea level and the present limitations of durability design method are investigated in the paper.

• Tunnel and Underground Space
• /
• v.24 no.2
• /
• pp.155-165
• /
• 2014

Multiple thermal energy storage (TES) caverns can be used for storing thermal energy on a large scale and for a high-aspect-ratio heat storage design to provide good thermal performance. It may also be necessary to consider the use of multiple caverns with a reduced length when a single, long tunnel-shaped cavern is not suitable for connection to aboveground heat production and injection equipments. When using multiple TES caverns, the separation distance between the caverns is one of the significant factors that should be considered in the design of storage space, and the optimal separation distance should be determined based on a quantitative stability criterion. In this paper, we described a numerical approach for determining the optimal separation distance between multiple caverns for large-scale TES utilization. For reliable stability evaluation of multiple caverns, we employed a probabilistic method which can quantitatively take into account the uncertainty of input parameters by probability distributions, unlike conventional deterministic approaches. The present approach was applied to the design of a conceptual TES model to store hot water for district heating. The probabilistic stability results of this application demonstrated that the approach in our work can be effectively used as a decision-making tool to determine the optimal separation distance between multiple caverns. In addition, the probabilistic results were compared to those obtained through a deterministic analysis, and the comparison results suggested that care should taken in selecting the acceptable level of stability when using deterministic approaches.

• Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
• /
• v.25 no.5
• /
• pp.15-23
• /
• 2021

In this paper, service life for RC(Reinforced Concrete) substructure subjective to carbonation was evaluated through deterministic and probabilistic method considering field investigation data and Design Code(KDS 14 20 40). Furthermore changes in service life with increasing COV(Coefficient of Variation) and equivalent safety index meeting the same service life were studied. From the investigation, the mean and its COV of cover depth were evaluated to 70.0 ~ 90.0 mm and 0.2, respectively. With intended failure probability of 10.0 % and 70 mm of cover depth, service life decreased to 137 years, 123 years, and 91 years with increasing COV of 0.05, 0.1, and 0.2, respectively. In the case of 80 mm of cover depth, it changes to 179 years, 161 years, and 120 years with increasing COV. The equivalent safety index meeting the same service life from deterministic method showed 1.66 ~ 3.43 for 70 mm of cover depth and 1.61 ~ 3.24 for 80 mm of cover depth, respectively. The various design parameters covering local environment and quality condition in deterministic method yields a considerable difference of service life, so that determination of design parameters are required for exposure conditions and parameter variation.

• Journal of the KSME
• /
• v.54 no.2
• /
• pp.46-51
• /
• 2014

최근 각종 공학문제의 해결을 위해 결정론적(Deterministic) 관점보다는 각종 불확실성을 고려한 확률적 (Probabilistic) 또는 추계적(Stochastic) 관점에서 분석 평가하려는 노력이 증가하고 있다. 이는 신뢰성분석 및 설계 측면에서 특히 중요하게 인식되고 있으며, 이를 구현하는 방법론으로 베이지안 통계기법(Bayesian Statistics)이 최근 많은 주목을 받고 있다. 이 글에서는 이러한 기법을 신뢰성 평가 및 고장예지에 어떻게 적용하고 있는지 사례를 중심으로 설명하고자 한다.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
• /
• v.13 no.3
• /
• pp.290-297
• /
• 2010

At present, the design live load of railway is divided into common railway and high speed railway separately in Korea. L22 which is based on American railway standards is used for common railway and HL25 which is based on Eurocode is used for high speed railway. Although, the design load is the starting point for design of railway, any research for developing design load does not exist at all. However, Europe and Japan develops the design load model consistently for advanced design. Recently, deterministic, probabilistic and cost performance approaches are investigated for developing new design load in Europe which is called LM2000. In the present paper, as a step for developing new design live load model for Korean railway, deterministic processes will be introduced. The safety margins are analyzed based on serviced real trains versus proposed new design load model and a necessity for new design live load will be presented quantitatively.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
• /
• v.34 no.7
• /
• pp.18-27
• /
• 2006

The conventional reliability based design optimization(RBDO) methods require high computational cost compared with the deterministic design optimization(DO) methods, therefore it is hard to apply directly to large-scaled problems such as an aerodynamic shape design optimization. In this study, to overcome this computational limitation the efficient RBDO procedure with the two-point approximation(TPA) and adjoint sensitivity analysis is proposed, that the computational requirement is nearly the same as DO and the reliability accuracy is good compared with that of RBDO. Using this, the 3-D aerodynamic shape design optimization is performed very efficiently.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
• /
• v.26 no.1
• /
• pp.100-107
• /
• 1994

A statistical methodology is developed for calculating the nuclear fuel pod internal pressure of Korean PWR fuel in order to reduce over-conservatism of the current KAERI deterministic methodology. The developed statistical methodology employs the response surface method and Monte Carlo calculation. The simple regression equation for the rod internal pressure is derived by taking into account the various fuel fabrication-related and fuel performance model-related parameters. The validity of the regression equation is examined by the F-test, $R^2$-method and Cp-test The internal pressure predicted by the regression equation is in good agreement with that calculated by he computer code using the KAERI deterministic methodology. The distribution of the internal pressure from the Monte Carlo calculation is found to be normal. Comparison of the 95/95 rod internal pressure predicted by the developed statistical methodology with the maximum rod internal pressure by the deterministic methodology shows that the developed statistical methodology reduces significantly over-conservatism of the deterministic methodology.

• Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
• /
• 2004.05a
• /
• pp.360-364
• /
• 2004

기술 로드맵(technology roadmap)은 기업의 사업전략을 기술계획에 반영하고 기술을 제품, 시장과 연결하는 기술기획 방법론이다. 기존의 연구들은 기술 로드맵의 전략적 효과에 대한 정성적 분석이나 기본적인 이해를 돕기 위한 연구에 치우쳐 있어, 구체적인 작성과정이나 작성과정에 포함되는 의사결정을 지원하는 방법론 개발에 대한 연구는 부족했다. 이에 본 연구는 QFD(Quality Function Deployment)와 웹 기반 시스템의 설계를 통해 기술 로드맵 작성과정을 지원하는 방법론을 제안하고자 한다. 구체적으로는 우선 QFD를 활용하여 고객동인(market driver)과 제품 동인(product driver), 제품 동인과 기술 동인(technology driver)의 연결고리를 발견하고 다음으로 전략적 의사결정을 위한 대안을 평가하는 과정으로 구성된다. 마지막으로 제안한 방법론을 구현하는 웹 기반의 시스템을 소개한다. 웹 기반 시스템과 QFD의 도입으로, 의사결정을 지원하는 체계적인 틀을 제공하고 기술로드맵 작성과정을 보다 효율적으로 수행할 수 있도록 하는 효과를 기대할 수 있다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
• /
• v.14 no.2
• /
• pp.95-107
• /
• 2002

A reliability analysis on sliding of monolithic vertical caisson of composite breakwaters is extensively carried out in order to make the basis for the applicability of reliability-based design method. The required width of caisson of composite breakwaters is determined by the deterministic design method including the effect of impulsive breaking waves as a function of water depth, also studied interactively with the results of reliability analyses. It is found that the safety factor applied in current design may be a little over-weighted magnitude for the sliding of caisson. The reliability index/failure probability is also seen to slowly decrease as the water depth increases for a given wave condition and a safety factor. In addition, optimal safety factor can roughly be evaluated by using the concept of target reliability index for several incident waves. The variations of optimal safety factor may be resulted from the different wave conditions. Finally, it may be concluded from the sensitivity studies that the reliability index may be more depended on the incident wave angles and the wave periodsrather than on the bottom slopes and the thickness of rubble mound.