• Title/Summary/Keyword: 거시.미시경제적 영향

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화석연료세(化石燃料稅)가 수출입구조(輸出入構造)에 미치는 영향 -계산가능한 일반균형모형을 이용한 분석-

  • Sin, Dong-Cheon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.1-21
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    • 1996
  • 석유, 석탄 및 천연가스와 같은 일차화석연료(一次化石燃料)와 그 제품(製品)들의 사용에 따르는 이산화탄소배출량을 줄이는 방법의 하나로 거론되고 있는 탄소세와 에너지세의 부과가 2000년도 한국경제의 수출입(輸出入)에 미치는 영향을 평가하기 위하여 계산가능한 일반균형모형을 이용하여 분석하였다. 거시계량모형(巨視計量模型)에 의하여 예측된 2000년도 한국경제의 국내총생산(國內總生産)과 계산가능한 일반균형모형(一般均衡模型)의 이론적(理論的) 구조(構造)를 이용하여 2000년도 한국경제의 미시구조(微視購造)를 결정한 후 이로부터 계산된 이산화탄소배출량을 5%와 10% 줄이는 탄소세와 에너지세를 부과하였을 때의 경제적 효과를 계산하였다. 화석연료에 부과되는 탄소세와 에너지세는 수출입구조에 유사한 효과를 가져오는 것으로 평가되나 산업별로 약간의 차이를 가져오는 것으로 계산되었으며 이산화탄소감축율이 증가함에 띠라 국내총생산변화와 동등변동(同等變動)으로 측정된 경제적 비용이 점증하는 것으로 평가되었다.

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Economic Effects of Agreement on Trade in Services under the Korea-ASEAN FTA - A CGE Approach - (CGE모형을 이용한 한-아세안 FTA 서비스무역협정의 경제적 효과분석)

  • Ko, Jong-Hwan
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.419-448
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    • 2008
  • The objective of this study is to conduct a quantitative assessment of potential impacts on the Korean economy of Agreement on Trade in Services Under the Framework Agreement on Comprehensive Economic Cooperation Among the Governments of the Republic of Korea and the Member Countries of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations which was signed on 21 November 2007 using a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model. Tariff equivalents of services were calculated on the basis of concessions made in the Agreement between Korea and ASEAN member countries. The empirical analysis shows that Korea is to get an additional gain in real GDP of 0.04 percent and in welfare of US$106 million, with an increase in per capita utility of 0.03 percent. Total exports and imports of Korea are to rise by US$179 million and $191 million, respectively, causing a trade deficit of $12 million. Korea's exports to ASEAN member countries will increase by $108 million and Korea's imports from them will rise by $278 million, giving rise to a trade deficit of $170 million.

A research on the Relationship between the Socio-economic Factors of the Regions and Suicidal Ideation of the Elderly -By utilizing the multi-level analyses- (지역의 사회·경제적 요인과 노인의 자살생각 간의 관련성 연구 -다수준 분석을 활용하여-)

  • Choi, Kwang-Soo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.11
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    • pp.584-594
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    • 2016
  • This research empirically analyzes, from an ecological perspective, whether socio-economic factors of the regions in which the elderly live have any actual influence on thoughts of suicide on the part of the elderly. Microscopic data either included outliers in part of the variables, including income and other variables of that type, from among source data from investigations into actual conditions of the elderly in 2014. Regarding macroscopic data, the indices that represent social and economic situations in each region, which were provided by KOSIS, were selected. Regarding the method of analysis, hierarchical or multi-level analysis models were applied by considering special hierarchical characteristics and heterogeneity at the personal and regional levels. The analyses showed that the following had statistically significant influences: 1. the cost-of-living index and the national basic supply and demand rate of the region; 2. the extent of natural disaster damage; and 3. the number of leisure and welfare facilities for the elderly, compared to the elderly population. Based on the results, proposals are made for systematic and practical endeavors in the community.

A Comparative Study on Economic Impacts of a China-Korea FTA and a Japan-Korea FTA using a Dynamic CGE Model (동태CGE모형을 이용한 한·일FTA와 한·중FTA의 경제적 효과 비교분석)

  • Ko, Jong-Hwan
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.423-453
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    • 2010
  • This study aims at quantifying potential economic effects on the Korean economy of a China-Korea FTA and a Japan-Korea FTA using a dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. Most of the previous studies on them used static CGE models. Key findings of this study are that a China-Korea FTA would lead to a higher increase in Korea's exports and economic growth than a Japan-Korea FTA and that both a China-Korea FTA and a Japan-Korea FTA would cause additional trade deficits to Korea, which would be minuscule compared to Korea' economic trade volume. Since potential economic impacts on Korea's industry output and exports by sector of a China-Korea FTA and a Japan-Korea FTA are forecast to be complementary, i.e., major sectors which would run trade deficits from a Japan-Korea FTA would run trade surpluses from a China-Korea FTA, a simultaneous pursuit of both a China-Korea FTA and a Japan-Korea FTA would be more desirable and beneficial to Korea. This study shows that a dynamic CGE model which can take explicit account of international capital mobility and ownership is required for more precise estimation of effects of the FTAs.

A Study on Economic Effects of NAMA Negotiations in the WTO on Automotive Industry of the World (WTO 비농산물협상이 전세계 자동차산업에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Ko, Jong-Hwan
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.95-126
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    • 2011
  • The objective of this study is to quantify the potential economic effects of Non-Agricultural Market Access (NAMA) negotiations of the WTO on automotive industry of the world using a multi-region, multi-sector Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model with 21 countries/regions and 22 sectors. According to the December 2008 NAMA modalities text, issued by the chair of the negotiation on NAMA, three different scenarios of tariff liberalization of NAMA are conducted on the basis of the Swiss formula with a coefficient of 8 for developed members and 20 for developing (scenario 1), with a coefficient of 8 for developed members and 22 for developing (scenario 2) and with a coefficient of 8 for developed members and 25 for developing (scenario 3). Simulation results show potential economic effects at the macroeconomic and microeconomic level of 21 countries concerned. In particular, Korea is to be one of the winners of tariff liberalization of NAMA in the WTO and Korean automotive industry is to benefit from it to a large extent in terms of its output, domestic sales, exports and trade balance, which implies that Korea needs to actively engage in NAMA negotiations of the WTO.

A Study on Economic Effects of Liberalization of Services Industry in a Korea-U.S. FTA: A Dynamic CGE Model (동태CGE모형을 이용한 한-미 FTA 서비스분야 협상 타결의 경제적 영향분석)

  • Ko, Jong-Hwan
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.695-728
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    • 2009
  • This study aims to conduct a quantitative assessment of potential economic impacts on the Korean economy of the concessions of the Korea-U.S. FTA (KORUS FTA) which was signed on April 1, 2007 using a dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model, with all sectors, including agriculture, manufacturing sectors and services industry, considered for simulations. In addition, the timing of trade liberalization based on the concessions agreed on in the KORUS FTA talks for all sectors is explicitly considered. Major findings of this study are that Korea' real GDP would rise by 4.67%~4.99% by 2023 and the contribution of liberalization of services trade to Korea's economic growth would be 0.3%~0.62% points. Trade liberalization in service sectors would lead to lowered import prices and an increase in FDI, which are to contribute to an higher output and exports of sectors which make an intensive use of imported inputs and finally a higher economic growth of the Korean economy as a whole. For that to happen, a ratification of the KORUS FTA by the National Assembly of Korea and the U.S. Congress is required.

Analysis of Ecological Factors Affecting School Life Satisfaction of Commercial High School Students (상업계열 고등학생들의 학교생활만족도에 영향을 미치는 생태체계 변인 분석)

  • Kim, Leejin;Chang, Inhee
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.16 no.7
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    • pp.135-145
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    • 2016
  • This research intended to investigate, from an ecological perspective, significant predictors affecting school life satisfaction. The subjects were 312 students(2nd grade) of commercial high school in Kyonggido. Data collected by questionnaire survey were analyzed by SPSS Win 22.0 and descriptive statistics, correlation analysis, hierarchical linear regression, and stepwise regression were conducted. There were 21 independent variables: 8 organism variables (self-competence, interpersonal skills, internal control, mood awareness, emotional expression, empathy, emotional regulation, emotional capability), 9 microsystem variables(school variables: the relationship with teachers, school learning, classroom climate, school welfare facilities, school environment/peer variables: peer relationship/family variables: family functioning, education level of fathers, economic status), 2 mesosystem variables(parent-teacher relationship, parent-children's peer relationship), 1 exosystem variables(satisfaction with Korean educational system), 1 macrosystem variables(Korean's primal belief in educational achievement). The results are as follows; the significant variables were the relationship with teachers, satisfaction with Korean educational system, peer relationship, emotional capability, parent-teacher relationship($R^2=45.3%$); and the effect of microsystem was the strongest($R^2=35.7%$). This research is meaningful of analyzing school life satisfaction of commercial high school in terms of ecological perspective.

A Study on the Ecological Factors Affecting the Quality of Life among the Elderly People (노년기 삶의 질에 영향을 미치는 생태체계적 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Bae, Na-Rae;Park, Chung-Sun
    • 한국노년학
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.761-779
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the factors affecting the quality of life of elderly people from the ecological perspective. Specifically, this study attempts to compare the relative contributions of the variables from the individual system, microsystem, mesosystem, and macrosystem on the quality of life of the elderly people. The subjects for this study consisted of 443 elderly over 60 years old in Daegu city, Gyeongsang-do, and Chungchung-do areas. The data were collected randomly by interviews with a structured questionnaire, and analyzed by frequencies, means, ANOVA, and hierarchial regression method. The major-findings of this study were as follows: 1. The quality of life of the elderly consisted of four factors; physical, economic, psychological, and social factors. The highest satisfaction score for the quality of life was found in psychological factors, The global satisfaction score for the quality of life was found to be relatively high. 2. Out of the individual factors influencing the quality of life of the elderly, the economic status of the respondent was found to be the most important. Out of the microsystemic factors, the most important factors were found to be the intimacy with the spouse and with the children. Out of the mesosysystemic factors, the degree of the social participation of the elderly was found to be the most significant. However, none of the macrosystemic factors were found to be important in influencing the quality of life of the elderly people. 3. The relative significances of the variables contributing to the quality of life of the elderly were analyzed using a hierarchical regression technique. It was found that there was no significant factor in social background and mesosystemic variables. On the other hand, the degree of the self-efficacy and the level of the economic status from the individual factors, and the intimacy with the spouse and the children from microsystemic factors were found to be very significant in contributing the quality of life of the elderly.

The Economic Impact of the May 18 Democratic Uprising on the Regional Economy: A Synthetic Control Method (SCM) approach (5·18민주화운동이 지역경제에 미친 경제적 영향 분석: 통제집단합성법(SCM)을 이용한 접근)

  • Ryu, Deockhyun;Seo, Dongkyu
    • Analyses & Alternatives
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.155-183
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to econometrically analyze the negative impact of the May 18 Democratic Uprising on the Gwangju/Jeonnam regionional economy using the Synthetic Control Method (SCM). The SCM SCM is a methodology similar to the difference-in-difference(DID) method of microeconometrics. It is applied to macroeconomic variables such as country, region, etc. to estimate the causal relationship between specific events and the dependent variable. In this study, as of 1980, local tax revenue data of metropolitan local governments were used as a proxy variable for the economy of the region, and the impact of the May 18 Democratic Uprising on the economy of Gwangju/Jeonnam region was analyzed through various socio-economic indicators. In this study, data were used to analyze from 1971 to 2000, and as a result of empirical analysis, local tax revenues in Gwangju/Jeonnam area were less collected than normal routes up to 17%. In addition, the significance of this analysis was confirmed through in-time placebo effect analysis and in-space placebo effect analysis, which are methods of analyzing the robustness of the control group synthesis method.

A Study on Ecological Variables that Affect Runaway Youths at Risk in Preparation for a Independent Life - Centering on Youths at Shelters (가출위기청소년의 자립생활 준비에 영향을 미치는 생태 체계적 변인연구 - 쉼터 청소년을 중심으로 -)

  • Oh, Soo-Saing;Byun, Sang-Hae
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.195-205
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    • 2012
  • This study examines runaway youths at risk in a youths' shelter who are preparing for an independent life and both the facilitating and adverse factors to personal characteristics and independence of runaway youths at risk with the aim to grasp their recognition of independence and level of desire for it and find out necessary factors for a successful independence in multidimensional perspectives including the economic independence, educational independence, psychological independence, and social independence for their sound growth. This will provide the basis for desirable interventions for youths runaway youths at risk to prepare for an independent life. The findings of this study on the factors that affect the preparation for an independent life are as follows: First, as a result of analyzing the effect of micro-systematic factors on the preparation for an independent life, it turned out that problem-solving abilities and self-efficacy had influence on the preparation for a career Second, as a result of analyzing the effect of mesoscopic-systematic variables on the preparation for an independent life, it turned out that the preparation for a career were affected by whether to participate in independence preparation programs and institutional supports, and that career maturity of runaway youths at risk were affected only by the relationship with teachers and participation in independence preparation programs. Third, as a result of analyzing the effect of macro systematic variables on the preparation for an independent life, it turned out that the preparation for a career were affected by participation of the local community and service network, and that participation of the local community was an predictor variable that would affect a career maturity of runaway youths at risk. Fourth, as a result of analyzing ecological systematic variables that might affect the preparation for a career, it turned out that intervening variables and macro systematic variables had the most powerful influence on the preparation for a career among runaway youths at risk. It is necessary, therefore, to provide education programs organized by policies in order to develop problem-solving abilities and vocational capabilities so that runaway youths at risk, and to train and appoint more professional teachers at shelters. Programs for independence preparation need to be developed actively and practically in consideration of the characteristics of shelters, and the network with the local community for support also need to be established in utilization of the human resources and service programs of the community. With the understanding of leaving home of runaway youths at risk as the previous stage of an independence, there should be a housing support for their stable settlement in the perspective of housing welfare until become adults. In addition, there should be education specialized programs for occupation and careers to train runaway youths at risk as professionals including such areas as health, mentality, learning, and voluntary work for their sound growth.

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