• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.32 no.4
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• pp.1-34
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• 2010

We conduct a comprehensive risk analysis of household debt in Korea for the first time using the whole sample credit bureau (CB) data of 2.2 million individual debtors. After analysing debt service capacity profiles of debtor groups classified by the borrower characteristics such as income, age, occupation, credit scoring, and the type of creditor business companies, we investigate the impact of interest rate and income changes on debt service-to-income ratios (DTIs) and default rates of respective debtor groups. Empirical results indicate that debt service burdens are relatively high for low income wage earners, high income self-employed, low income capital and card loan holders, and high income mutual savings loan holders. We also find that debtors from multiple financial companies are particularly weak in their debt service capacity. The scenario analysis indicates that financial companies, with the current level of capital buffers, may be able to absorb negative consequences arising from the increase in DTIs and loan default rates if the interest rate and income changes remain modest. However, the negative consequences may fall disproportionately on non-bank financial companies such as capital, credit card, and mutual savings banks, whose debtors' DTIs are already high. We also find that the refinancing risk of household debt is relatively high in Korea as more than half of household mortgage debts are bullet loans. As the DTIs of mortgage loan holders are already high, under the current DTI regulation, mortgage loans may not be readily refinanced especially when the interest rate rises. Disruptions in mortgage loan refinancing may put downward pressure on housing prices, which may in turn magnify refinancing risk under the current loan-to-value (LTV) regulation. Overall our analysis suggests that, for more effective monitoring of household debt risk, it is necessary to combine existing surveillance schemes based on macro aggregate indicators with more comprehensive and detailed risk analyses based on micro individual data.

• Information and Communications Magazine
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• v.25 no.11
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• pp.48-52
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• 2008

기술혁신은 끝없이 지속적, 반복적으로 발생하지만, 최근의 기술혁신은 자체적인 혁신의 한계에 직면하고 있는 것처럼 보여진다. 국가경제의 발전은 개별적으로 진행되어 온 기술혁신에 크게 의존하지만, 이제 개별적인 혁신의 한계를 극복하기 위하여 이종간 기술 및 산업융합이 활발하게 모색되고 있다. 융합이라는 새로운 환경은 개별적인 기술이나 산업에 다양한 기회와 위험을 제공하게 될 것이다. 융합이라는 것이 단지 하나의 영역에 머무르는 개념이 아니라 여러 분야에 걸쳐서 대단히 광범위한 영역에서 발생하게 될 것이라는 점에서 그렇다. 이미 초기적인 융합의 현상들은 도처에서 발견되고 있으며, 이제 이를 더욱 확대 발전시키고 심화시켜 나가기 위한 노력들이 진행중이다. 융합을 가속화시키고 심화시켜 나가는데 필요한 요인은 무엇일까? 다양한 방법과 수단들이 거론될 수 있겠지만, 융합 발생의 광역성이라는 측면에서 개인의 창의력이 대단히 중요하다. 제한적인 인간의 역량으로 모든 분야에서 창의력을 발현한다는 것은 쉽지 않기 때문이다. 이러한 관점에서 우리나라 전체 기업의 대다수를 차지하는 중소기업의 역할은 대단히 중요하다. 국민소득 3만불 이상을 달성하기 위해서는 대기업과 중소기업의 육성을 위하여 다양한 정책을 입안하고 집행하여 왔지만, 중소기업의 경쟁력은 아직도 취약한 것이 회피할 수 없는 현실이다. 개인의 역량과 창의력 발현이 중시되는 융합환경에서 중소기업 육성을 위한 정책은 기존의 물적자원 중심의 지원방식과는 달리 다양한 협력네트워크의 구축과 네트워크 기반의 정보 공유 및 활용을 위한 방향으로 전환될 필요가 있다. 정보의 공유와 활용을 통하여 창의적인 아이디어의 발현이 더욱 확대되고 심화될 수 있기 때문이다.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.13 no.3
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• pp.75-88
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• 1991

성과급제도(成果給制度)란 개인(個人) 혹은 집단(集團)의 경제적(經濟的) 성과지표(成果指標)를 임금보상(賃金報償)의 추가적인 근거로 사용하는 제도(制度)를 말한다. 본고(本稿)에서는 성과급제도(成果給制度)의 한 종류인 이윤공유제도(利潤共有制度)의 경제적(經濟的) 의미(意味)를 검토하였다. 이윤공유제도(利潤共有制度)는 기업입장(企業立場)에서 보면 이윤(利潤)에 대해 일정률의 조세(租稅)를 납부한 후, 근로자(勤勞者)를 고용(雇傭)할 때마다 일정액의 보조금(補助金)을 받는 제도이다. 한편 근로자(勤勞者)의 입장에서 보면 최초에 고정급(固定給)을 낮게 유지해서 얻은 경영성과(經營成果)의 일부를 다른 근로자(勤勞者)들과 골고루 나누어 가지는 제도이다. 이런 본질적인 특성은 경제(經濟)에 긍정적인 효과와 부정적인 효과를 동시에 미친다. 우선 긍정적인 측면으로는 기업입장에서 노동(勞動)의 한계효용(限界效用)이 상대적으로 저렴해지므로 경제(經濟)의 물가수준(物價水準)은 하락하고 생산량(生産量)은 증가하게 된다. 그러나 이에 따르는 문제점도 과소평가할 수만은 없다. 우선 저렴한 한계노동비용(限界勞動費用) 때문에 이윤공유경제(利潤共有經濟)에서는 본질적으로 초과고용경향(超過雇傭傾向)이 내재하여 있으며, 또한 어느 한 개인의 노력에 의한 성과(成果)의 향상(向上)이 모두에게 분배되어 희석되므로 원래 의도되었던 동기유발효과(動機誘發效果)가 위축될 가능성이 있다. 또한 임금소득(賃金所得)이 변동(變動)하므로 위험기피적(危險忌避的)인 근로자(勤勞者)의 효용(效用)이 위협을 받게 된다. 이런 여러 문제점을 극복하고 성과급(成果給)의 원래 긍정적인 측면을 실현시키기 위해서는 근로자(勤勞者)의 경영참가(經營參加)가 보장되고, 이윤공유제(利潤共有制)의 채택에 대해 세제상(稅制上)의 유인(誘引)이 뒷받침되어야 하며, 정부(政府)의 경제안정화정책(經濟安定化政策)이 더욱 주의깊게 추구되어야 한다.

• The Journal of Information Technology
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• v.4 no.3
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• pp.19-34
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• 2001

The purpose of this study is to examine the differential influences of cash dividends and stock dividends on the firm valuation. Cash dividends are firm's cash outflows but stock dividends are not. If individual investors recognize that dividend revenues are taxed. they will value paid-in capital and retained earnings differently. The results from testing the hypotheses indicate that individual investors value cash dividends after dividend taxes but do not value stock dividends after dividend taxes. This suggests that non-taxing of capital gains provides tax shelters to individual investors and investors prefer retained earnings to be converted as paid-in capital rather than 0 be paid as cash dividends.

• Industry Promotion Research
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• v.1 no.2
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• pp.55-61
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• 2016

This study analyzed the effect of workplace innovation on business performance and labor condition improvement. The study results showed that work process standardization and quality control positively affected business performance. Also, downsizing, reducing individual subcontract, expanding non-core business outsourcing positively affected both business performance and labor condition improvement. In addition, labor union's participation moderated the effect of work process innovation on business performance. This study provided implications for analyzing the effect of workplace innovation comprehensively and extending the scope of study to personal employee dimension.

• Journal of Teachers' Pension
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• v.1
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• pp.129-153
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• 2016

2009년~2015년 사학연금 급여를 신청한 퇴직자에 대한 자료를 기반하여, 사학연금의 유형별 선택에 따른 연금 및 일시금 수급액을 산출하고, 주요 거시경제변수의 변화에 따라 사학연금 유형별 개인의 노후소득 규모와 이에 따른 사학연금의 재정지출 부담액의 변화를 산정하였다. 2009년과 2015년 사이에 퇴직한 사학연금 수급자가 2063년까지 지급받게 될 지급규모의 2016년 현재가치는 1억 2,500만원에서 1억 2,700만원 사이인 것으로 계산되었다. 그리고 2009년에서 2015년 사이의 퇴직자인 175,573명에게 2063년까지 연인원으로 633,720명에게 2016년의 현재가치로 1조 6,864억 원에서 1조 7,163억 원 사이를 지급할 것으로 계산되었다. 분석결과 유치원 등에 재직하는 여성의 경우 재직기간이 짧으며, 이로 인하여 연금수급권을 갖지 못하고 퇴직일시금을 수급하는 경향이 높다. 연금을 선택하는 집단은 주로 중고등학교 이상에 재직한 교원으로서 법정퇴직연령까지 재직하다가 퇴직 이후 연금을 수급하는 경향이 높다. 현재의 지급구조 하에서 저금리-저물가 기조가 유지되는 경우 그렇지 않은 경우보다 개인이 수급하는 연금의 현재가치가 상대적으로 높아지는 경향이 있다. 기금운용자의 경우 수급자의 지출을 통합하여 관리·운용하게 되므로 저금리-저물가 지속시 이에 대한 지급규모가 더욱 커지게 되며, 이를 위한 재원 확보와 기금운용수익률을 높여 재정을 안정화시킬 필요성이 더욱 커지게 된다

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.19 no.1
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• pp.1-12
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• 2006

The aim of this study is to analyse a survey data on the number of charitable donations using a mixture of two Poisson regression models. The survey was conducted in 2002 by Volunteer 21, an nonprofit organization, based on Koreans, who were older than 20. The mixture of two Poisson distributions is used to model the number of donations based on the empirical distribution of the data. The mixture of two Poisson distributions implies the whole population is subdivided into two groups, one with lesser number of donations and the other with larger number of donations. We fit the mixture of Poisson regression models on the number of donations to identify significant covariates. The expectation-maximization algorithm is employed to estimate the parameters. We computed 95% bootstrap confidence interval based on bias-corrected and accelerated method and used then for selecting significant explanatory variables. As a result, the income variable with four categories and the volunteering variable (1: experience of volunteering, 0: otherwise) turned out to be significant with the positive regression coefficients both in the lesser and the larger donation groups. However, the regression coefficients in the lesser donation group were larger than those in larger donation group.

• Journal of Labour Economics
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• v.38 no.4
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• pp.1-29
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• 2015

The Individual Retirement Pension (IRP) enables workers to continuously receive a retirement pension even when workers change their jobs in different companies and so it performs a bridge fund as the complimentary living expenses until they receive government public pension. Although the Korean government has forced workers to maintain an IRP account until their retirement age and to close their accounts only when they want to do so, it is not clear to measure its really effectiveness and, in fact, most of IRP accounts have been terminated immediately after the changes of their jobs. In this respect, IRP has not performed the bridge role for the future retirement pension income. We provide an economic decision-making model of both government and workers, where the retirement benefits related with the IRP are explicitly considered. Our model is required to select specific severance pay systems to maximize the income security and stability for their future old ages. It is concluded that the need of workers on the severance pay system is automatically revealed into the switch to IRP when workers are out from their current jobs, which is equivalent to the effect of gradually unifying the dual system of the retirement payment. In additoin, our empirical data indicates the relatively higher probability of termination on IRP for the older male workers having the more retirement deposit.

• International Area Studies Review
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• v.21 no.4
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• pp.173-194
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• 2017

The research study conducted logistics regression analysis through HLM (Hierarchical Linear Modeling) and presented the value of the outcome in order to investigate characteristic factors of demanders which influence the intention to move into public rental housing. (1) The results of the regression analysis of characteristic factors of household and housing were analyzed as having the significant effect on the intention to move in public rental housing, according to residents moving in monthly rent housing, residents' occupations, rental housing, the number of household, the location of surrounding public rental housing, monthly average income, children's educational level, the number of children, the types of housing and one's own house, in order, out of the types of housing tenure. (2) The results of the regression analysis of characteristic factors of the conditions of location were analyzed that out of the conditions of location of the top five areas in public rental rates, what influences significant effects on the intention to move in public rental housing is the location of surrounding rental housing, income, the number of household and children, children's educational level, job state, housing types, ones' own house, rent housing, monthly rent housing, in order. (3) In case of Seoul, Expanding public rental housing is inevitable in order to stabilize ordinary people's housing stability, owing to the high and rental prices of private housing. Nevertheless, an accurate analysis of the intention to move in public rental housing has not been conducted. Eventually, the research was, thus, conducted, based on the fact that the preference on public housing is low. According to the analytic results of the study, it is required for the government institutions and agencies should consider individual and local characteristics and provide an alternative that meets the real situation, in order to help ordinary citizens with low incomes stabilize housing.

• Korean Security Journal
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• no.48
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• pp.177-206
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• 2016

The purpose of this study is to verify the factors that affect the fear of crime by applying the risk interpretation model. Especially, whereas previous studies have not proven micro individual factor that the risk interpretation model had presented, This study includes micro individual elements such as neighborhood factor, perceived risk of crime, fears of crime as main variables. This study utilized secondary data of the National Crime Victimization Survey 2012, conducted by the Korean Institute of Criminology. In this study, multiple regression analysis of two stages and Sobel Test were conducted for verifying the individual influence of each independent variables and identifying the causal relationship between the variables set out in the risk analysis model. As the result, it appeared that the higher level of perceived risk of crime, neighborhood factor, crime experience, education, income cause the higher degree of the fear of crime. On the other hand, the lower degree of age was found to induce the higher level of the fear of crime. In addition, female showed the higher degree of the fear of crime than man. The causal relationship between the variables set out in the risk interpretation model was presented significantly in all variables, except for education.