• Title/Summary/Keyword: 강우자료

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Effect of Urbanization on Rainfall Events during the 2010 Summer Intensive Observation Period over Seoul Metropolitan Area (2010년 여름철 수도권 집중관측기간 강수 사례들에서 나타나는 도시화 효과)

  • Kim, Do-Woo;Kim, Yeon-Hee;Kim, Ki-Hoon;Shin, Seung-Sook;Kim, Dong-Kyun;Hwang, Yoon-Jeong;Park, Jong-Im;Choi, Da-Young;Lee, Yong-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.219-232
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    • 2012
  • The intensive observation (ProbeX-2010) was performed to investigate an urban effect on summer rainfall over the Seoul metropolitan area from 13 August to 3 September 2010. Two kinds of urban effect were detected. First, weak rainfall (${\leq}1\;mm\;hr^{-1}$) was observed more frequently in the downwind area of Seoul than any other area of the country. The high frequency of weak rainfall in the downwind area was also confirmed from the recent five years of observational data (2006-2010). Because the high frequency was more apparent in mountainous regions during nighttime, the weak rainfall seems to be caused by a combined effect of urbanization and topography. Second, sporadically, a convective system was developed rapidly in the downwind area of Seoul, causing heavy rainfall (${\geq}10\;mm\;hr^{-1}$). It can be most clearly seen in series of radar images around 1300-1500 KST 27 August 2010. We investigated in detail the synoptic and local weather and upper air conditions. As a result, not only urban-induced high sensible heat but also conditionally unstable atmosphere (especially unstable in low level) and low level moisture were pointed out as important factors that contributed to urban-induced heavy rainfall.

Analysis of Runoff Characteristics for a Small Forested Watershed Using HYCYMODEL - At a watershed in Mt. Palgong - (물순환(循環)모델에 의한 산지소유역(山地小流域)의 유출특성(流出特性) 분석(分析) - 팔공산유역(八空山流域)을 대상(對象)으로 -)

  • Park, Jae Chul;Lee, Heon Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.89 no.5
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    • pp.564-575
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    • 2000
  • This study was carried out to reveal characteristics of long-term runoff by using HYCYMODEL in a small forested watershed. From May to September in 1998 and in 1999, the fitness of HYCYMODEL and runoff characteristics were estimated by HYCYMODEL using rainfall and discharge at the experimental watershed. The function of stage and discharge in the experimental watershed was determined as following equation $Q=11.148H^{2.5867}$($R^2=0.9956$). From May to September in 1998 and in 1999, the runoff rates were 57.7% in 1998 and 87.1% in 1999 at the experimental watershed. The discharge was assumed to be increased because of rainfall intensity difference and thinning. By applicability test, the HYCYMODEL showed good estimation of runoff by optimized fifteen parameters. Comparing runoff characteristics before and after thinning by calculating through HYCYMODEL, direct runoff and base runoff increased 4%, 7%, respectively as evapotranspiration decreased 11%. Parameters $D_{50}$ and $K_h$, which were related to the direct run, and a parameter $K_u$, which was related to the baseflow, were assumed to indicate that forest was changed by the effect of thinning and weathering process of bed rock.

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Influences of Cumulative Number of Days of Rainfall on Occurrence of Landslide (강우량의 누적일수가 산사태 발생에 미치는 영향)

  • Kang, Won-Seok;Ma, Ho-Seop;Jeon, Kwon-Suk
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.105 no.2
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    • pp.216-222
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    • 2016
  • In relation to the impact of cumulative rainfall on landslides in accordance with the cumulative number of days, for the more than 100 mm rainfall, the 3 days cumulative rainfall experienced 64.9% of the total points, which is 986 points out of the 1520 points. The 5 days cumulative rainfall period experienced 60% of the total landslides, which is 846 points out of 1520 points analyzed. The 3 days or 5 days cumulative rainfall thus had a greater effect on landslides than the other days. In addition, for the 101-200 mm rainfall, more landslides occurred in the 10 days cumulative number of days, for the 201-300 mm, more landslides occurred in the 14 days cumulative number of days, whereas the 18 days cumulative number of days had more landslides for the 301-400 mm rainfall. Thus, it is imperative to take into consideration cumulative rainfall and the cumulative number of days of rainfall in the establishment of forecasting and warning systems for landslides, to minimize the damage caused to life and property by landslides.

Applying Evaluation of Soil Erosion Models for Burnt Hillslopes - RUSLE, WEPP and SEMMA (산불사면에 대한 토양침식모형의 적용 평가 - RUSLE, WEPP, SEMMA)

  • Park, Sang Deog;Shin, Seung Sook
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.3B
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    • pp.221-232
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    • 2011
  • Applicability of three soil erosion models for burnt hillslopes was evaluated. The models were estimated with the data from plots established after tremendous wildfire occurred in the east coastal region. Soil erosion and surface runoff were simulated by the Water Erosion Prediction Project (WEPP) and the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) of application mode for disturbed forest areas and the Soil Erosion Model for Mountain Areas (SEMMA) developed for burnt hillslopes. Simulated sediment yield and surface runoff were compared with the measured those. In maximum value of sediment yield, three models was under-predicted and RUSLE and WEPP had difference of over two times. SEMMA showed the best model response coefficient, determination coefficient and the model efficiency. In application of models to the soil erosion according to the elapsed year after wildfire, all models were underestimated in initial stage disturbed by wildfire. Evaluation of models in this burnt hillslopes was shown the tends to under-predict soil erosion for larger measured values. Although a lot of sediment can be generated in small rainfall event as fine-grained soil of the high water repellency was exposed excessively right after wildfire, this under-prediction was shown that those models have a limit to estimate the weighted factors by wildfire.

Development of Rating Curve for High Water Level in an Urban Stream using Monte Carlo Simulation (Monte Carlo Simulation을 이용한 도시하천의 고수위 Rating Curve 개발)

  • Kim, Jong-Suk;Yoon, Sun-Kwon;Moon, Young-Il
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.1433-1446
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    • 2013
  • In this study, we proposed a methodology to develop Rating Curves for high water level using rainfall generation by the Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) technique, optimized rainfall-runoff model, and flood routing model in an urban stream. The developed stage discharge Rating Curve based on observed data was contained flow measurement errors and uncertainties. The standard error ($S_e$) for observations was 0.056, and the random uncertainty ($2S_{mr}$) was analyzed by ${\pm}1.43%$ on average, and up to ${\pm}4.27%$. Moreover, it was found that the Rating Curve extensions by way of logarithmic and Stevens methods were overestimated to compare with the urban basin scale. Finally, we confirmed that the high water level extension by random generation of hydrological data using MCS can be reduced uncertainty of the high water level, and it will consider as a more reliable approach for high water level extension. In the near future, this results can be applied to real-time flood alert system for urban streams through construction of the high water level extension system using MCS procedures.

Studies on the Effect of Weather Factors upon the Tobacco Yields (잎담배 수량에 영향하는 기상요소에 대한 고찰)

  • Il Hou
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.97-101
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    • 1968
  • Effects of weather factors on leaf tobacco yield were studied from the yield data of flue-cured yellow tobacco variety Yellow pryer and weather recordes for 13 years from 1952 to 1964. The results are summarized as follows; 1. Leaf tobacco yield variation was large and larger coefficient of variance was calculated. 2. Yield of leaf tobacco was correlated largely to leaf number, with simple correlation coefficient r=0.736. Leaf number was correlated largely to sunshine hours during May with r=0.745, and multiple correlation coefficient R=0.837 between leaf number and multiple weather factors during May to June. 3. Leaf tobacco yield was largely affected by the sunshine hours (r=0.717) and temperature (r=0.329) in May and precipitation (r=0.421) in June. 4. From the study of partial regression of leaf tobacco yield on weather factors a formulation Y=441.664-31.255$X_1$+1.19$Y_2$-0.031$X_3$ was calculated for the estimation of leaf tobacco yield. Here R=0.8074 d.f.=7 was significant.

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Analysis of Rock Slope Stability for Natural Slope and Cut Slope of Gneiss Area in Andong, Korea (편마암지역 자연사면.절취사면의 안정성 분석 사례)

  • Kim, Man-Il;Bae, Du-Won;Kim, Jong-Tae;Chae, Byung-Gon;Jeong, Gyo-Cheol
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.17 no.2 s.52
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    • pp.289-297
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    • 2007
  • Slope failure that is occurred by rainfall generates a lot of property damages and loss of lives. Slope stability management and reinforcement countermeasure can be attained through continuous monitoring about various slope types that adjoin in human's life for reducing slope failure from natural and artificial cut slope hazards. The study area is rock slope that is consisted of gneiss, and large scale joint set is ranging by fault activity. This rock mass is exposed during long period and has lithological weathering property of weathered rock or soft rock. In-situ investigation carried out after divide by natural slope and cut slope. As a result, the natural slope appeared to high possibility of planar failure and wedge failure in few joint points that main joint set is formed. On the other hand, slope failure conformation in cut slope was superior only wedge failure occurrence possibility in eight joint points. In result of numerical analysis using SLIDE 2D, the minimum safety factor was analyzed slope stability for cut slope relatively low than natural slope in this study.

An Analysis of Internal & External Acoustic Fields by Using FEM (유한요소법을 이용한 내부 및 외부 음향장 해석)

  • 이덕주;이재규
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 1992.10a
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    • pp.113-116
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    • 1992
  • 소음의 발생 원인은 공기역학적 측면과 구조적 측면으로 나누어지는데, 실제 로는 유동장에서 발생되는 음원과 구조물에서 발생되는 진동과의 상호 간섭 에 의해 보다 복잡한 형태로 발생된다. 음장 문제를 두가지 범주로 구분하면 첫째는 음원과 구조물과의 상호교란에 의한 산란문제(Scattering)와 둘째로 구조물의 자체 진동에 의한 음의 전파현상과 구조물내부에 회전체와 같은 음원이 존재하는 경우에 음의 전파를 관측하는 방사문제(Radiation)가 있다. 실제로 산업용 터빈이나 비행기 엔진 흡입구에서 발생되는 소음, 또는 자동 차의 배기구를 통해 발생되는 소음 그리고 엔진의 진동에 의한 구조적 소음, 기타 가전제품의 회전체(Fan & Motor)에 의한 소음은 방사(Radiation)의 문 제로서 중요 관심 과제이다 수치적 기법으로 근래에 많이 사용하는 방법으 로 BEM(경계요소법), FEM(유한요소법), FDM(유한차분법)이 있는데 본 연 구에서는 유한요소법을 이용하기로 한다. 지금까지는 주로 BEM을 통해서 Far-Field의 음향장을 해석하였지만 복잡한 형상을 갖는 구조물내부에서의 음향장 변화나 구조물 내부에 음원이 존재하는 경우 또는 구조물 자체가 갖 는 물리적 특성치 변화 즉 물체표면에서의 부분 진동문제의 음향장 해석에 있어서 가장 잘 대체해 나갈 수 있는 방법이 유한 요소법이라고 여겨진다. 본 연구에서는 2차원 또는 기하학적으로 축대칭인 3차원 Duct내부에 음원이 존재하는 경우 음원전파에 따른 Near-field와 far-field에서 음의 방향성을 예측하기 위해 먼저 기본적인 유한요소법에 의한 Robin 경계조건을 사용하 여 계산된 결과와 Infinite Element를 도입하여 계산할 결과를 비교하여, Infinite Element가 보다 효율적이며 타당한 결과를 얻음을 확인해 보기로 한다.다 복합적인 측면에서 치료에 임하여야 할 것으로 사료된다. with such configuration.trap with 2.88[eV] deep of injected space charge from the chathode in the crystaline regions. The origin of ${\alpha}$$_2$ peak was regarded as the detrapping process of ions trapped with 0.9[eV] deep originated from impurity-ion remained in the specimen during production process of the material, in the crystalline regions. The origin of ${\beta}$ peak was concluded to be due to the depolarization process of "C=0"dipole with the activation energy of 0.75[eV] in the amorphous regions. The origin of ${\gamma}$ peak was responsible to the process combined with the depolarization of "CH$_3$", chain segment, with the activation energy of carriers from the shallow trap with 0.4[eV], in he amorphous regions.의 증발산율은 우기의 기상자료를 이용하여 구한 결과 0.05 - 0.10 mm/hr 의 범위로서 이로 인한 강우손실량은 큰 의미가 없음을 알았다.재발이 나타난 3례의 환자

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Seasonal Precipitation Prediction using the Global model (전지구 모델 GME를 이용한 계절 강수 예측)

  • Kim, In-Won;Oh, Jai-Ho;Hong, Mi-Jin;Huh, Mo-Rang
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.351-351
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    • 2011
  • 최근 지구온난화와 더불어 이상기후가 대두됨에 따라 기상 예측이 더욱더 중요시되고 있다. 또한 이전부터 가뭄 및 홍수와 같은 기상현상으로 인한 피해 사례가 빈번하였으며, 이로 인하여 물 관리의 어려움을 겪고 있다. 한 예로 이상기후가 유난히 잦았던 2010년 여름철 경우 평년보다 발달한 북태평양고기압의 영향으로 여름철 92일 가운데 81일의 전국 평균기온이 평년보다 높게 나타났다. 또한 강우 일수가 평년에 비해 7.4일 많은 44.2일을 기록하였으며, 국지성 집중호우 사례가 빈번하였다. 또한 8월 9일 발생한 태풍 `뎬무'를 포함해서 한 달 동안 3개의 태풍이 한반도에 영향을 끼치는 이례적인 사례가 발생하였다. 따라서 본 연구는 이러한 기상재해에 따른 물 관리를 장기적으로 대비하고자 고해상도 전지구 모델 GME를 이용하여 2010년 여름철 강수 예측을 실시하였다. 강수 예측에 사용된 전지구 모델 GME는 기존의 카테시안 격자체계를 가진 모델과 달리 전구를 삼각형으로 구성된 20면체로 격자화 한 Icosahedral-hexagonal grid 격자체계로 구성되어 있어, 해상도 증가에 용이할 뿐만 아니라, HPC(High Performance Computing)환경에서 효율성이 높은 장점을 가지고 있다. 본 계절 예측을 수행함에 있어 발생하는 잡음을 최소화하고자, Time-lag 기법을 이용하여 5개의 앙상블 멤버로 구성되어있으며, 이를 비교 분석하기위해 Climatology를 이용하여 총 10개의 앙상블 멤버로 규준실험을 수행하였다. 선행 연구에 따르면 1개월 이상의 장기 적분의 경우 초기조건보다 외부 강제력이 더 중요한 역할을 한다고 연구된 바 있다. (Yang et al., 1998) 특히 계절 변동성의 경우 대기-해양간의 상호작용에 의해 지배되며, 이를 고려하여 본 연구는 해수면 온도를 경계 자료로 사용하여 계절 예측을 수행하였다. 앞서 말한 실험 계획을 바탕으로 하여 나온 결과를 통해 동아시아지역 및 한반도 도별 강수 및 온도 변수에 대해 순별 및 월별 카테고리맵 분석을 실시하여 한눈에 보기 쉽게 나타냈다. 또한 주요 도시별 강수량 및 온도의 시계열 분석을 실시하여 시간이 지남에 따라 나타나는 변동성을 확인하였다. 계절 예측 결과에서 온도의 경우 평년보다 높게 나타났으며, 이는 실제 온도 예측과도 유사한 패턴을 가졌다, 강수의 경우 7월부터 8월 중순까지 평년보다 다소 적게 모의되었으며, 8월 하순경 회복하는 것으로 예측하였다. 따라서 본 계절 강수 예측은 다소 역학 모델이 가지는 한계를 가지고 있으나, 실제와 비교하여 어느 정도의 경향성이나 패턴에 있어 유사성을 보임을 확인하였으며, 이를 장기적 차원의 물관리를 함에 있어 참고 및 활용 가능할 것으로 예상한다.

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Improvement of Rainfall Estimation according to the Calibration Bias of Dual-polarimetric Radar Variables (이중편파레이더 관측오차 보정에 따른 강수량 추정값 개선)

  • Kim, Hae-Lim;Park, Hye-Sook;Ko, Jeong-Seok
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.12
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    • pp.1227-1237
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    • 2014
  • Dual-polarization can distinguish precipitation type and dual-polarization is provide not only meteorological phenomena in the atmosphere but also non-precipitation echoes. Therefore dual-polarization radar can improve radar estimates of rainfall. However polarimetric measurements by transmitting vertically vibration waves and horizontally vibrating waves simultaneously is contain systematic bias of the radar itself. Thus the calibration bias is necessary to improve quantitative precipitation estimation. In this study, the calibration bias of reflectivity (Z) and differential reflectivity ($Z_{DR}$) from the Bislsan dual-polarization radar is calculated using the 2-Dimensional Video Disdrometer (2DVD) data. And an improvement in rainfall estimation is investigated by applying derived calibration bias. A total of 33 rainfall cases occurring in Daegu from 2011 to 2012 were selected. As a results, the calibration bias of Z is about -0.3 to 5.5 dB, and $Z_{DR}$ is about -0.1 dB to 0.6 dB. In most cases, the Bislsan radar generally observes Z and $Z_{DR}$ variables lower than the simulated variables. Before and after calibration bias, compared estimated rainfall from the dual-polarization radar with AWS rain gauge in Daegu found that the mean bias has fallen by 1.69 to 1.54 mm/hr, and the RMSE has decreased by 2.54 to 1.73 mm/hr. And estimated rainfall comparing to the surface rain gauge as ground truth, rainfall estimation is improved about 7-61%.