• 제목/요약/키워드: 강우빈도해석

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Temporal distritution analysis of design rainfall by significance test of regression coefficients (회귀계수의 유의성 검정방법에 따른 설계강우량 시간분포 분석)

  • Park, Jin Heea;Lee, Jae Joon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.4
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    • pp.257-266
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    • 2022
  • Inundation damage is increasing every year due to localized heavy rain and an increase of rainfall exceeding the design frequency. Accordingly, the importance of hydraulic structures for flood control and defense is also increasing. The hydraulic structures are designed according to its purpose and performance, and the amount of flood is an important calculation factor. However, in Korea, design rainfall is used as input data for hydrological analysis for the design of hydraulic structures due to the lack of sufficient data and the lack of reliability of observation data. Accurate probability rainfall and its temporal distribution are important factors to estimate the design rainfall. In practice, the regression equation of temporal distribution for the design rainfall is calculated using the cumulative rainfall percentage of Huff's quartile method. In addition, the 6th order polynomial regression equation which shows high overall accuracy, is uniformly used. In this study, the optimized regression equation of temporal distribution is derived using the variable selection method according to the principle of parsimony in statistical modeling. The derived regression equation of temporal distribution is verified through the significance test. As a result of this study, it is most appropriate to derive the regression equation of temporal distribution using the stepwise selection method, which has the advantages of both forward selection and backward elimination.

Analysis of the Effectiveness of Nature-based Solutions for River Flood Level Reduction (하천 홍수위 저감을 위한 자연기반해법의 적용효과 분석)

  • Hoyong Lee;Minseok Kim;Junhyeong Lee;Taewoo Lee;Hung Soo Kim;Soojun Kim
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.379-385
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    • 2023
  • EDue to climate change and urbanization, the localized heavy rainfall frequently exceeded a design storm rainfall and flood damage has occurred in South Korea. The concept of addressing sustainable river management and environmental and social issues through Nature-based Solutions (NbS) is gaining attention as it seeks to resolve these issues through ecosystem services. Therefore, in this study, the flood reduction effect by river management using NbS was quantitatively analyzed for the Hwang River, which is directly downstream of Hapcheon Dam, South Korea. Floodplain excavation and dyke relocation, which are methods of the NbS, were applied to the flood risk area of the Hwang River. As a result of analyzing the flood level of the river through the unsteady flow analysis of HEC-RAS, we obtained flood level reduction by 8 cm at the confluence of the Nakdong River. The results of this study can be expected to be sufficiently utilized as a basis for use as a management plan through NbS rather than the river management with grey infrastructure.

Estimation of Flood Flow and Inundation Range of the Aprokgang(Riv.) in 2024 using Satellite Images (위성영상을 이용한 2024년 압록강 홍수량 및 침수범위 추정)

  • Kim, Joo-Hun;Choi, Yun-Seok;Kim, Dong-Phil
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.44 no.5
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    • pp.673-681
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    • 2024
  • The purpose of this study was to estimate the flood flow and the range of inundation in the downstream area of the Aprokgang(Riv.) that occurred in 2024 using satellite images. The study area was the Aprokgang(Riv.) watershed, the longest river in North Korea. Satellite image Sentinel-1A(SAR-C) data was used for flood analysis before and after the flood. As a result of the analysis of the inundation range using satellite images, it was confirmed that there was a change in the water surface before and after the flood. However, the image after the flood was taken six days after the peak discharge of the flood, so there are limitations in extracting the accurate extent of the flooding. As a result of the analysis using satellite precipitation and ground observed rainfall, the rainfall exceeded 500-year rainfall amount, and the peak-flow was simulated as 85,102 m3/s. As a result of analyzing the inundation range by using the contour lines from AW3D30, it was determined that the inundation occurred around the 15 m contour line. In the future, it is need to conduct a study that can extract more scientifically the inundation range through the use of the inundation analysis model.