• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2018.05a
• /
• pp.40-40
• /
• 2018

현실화된 기후변화로 인하여 강수패턴 및 강수량의 변화가 발생함에 따라 물 관리의 불확실성이 증가하고 있는 실정이며 또한 2014년부터 시작된 극심한 가뭄은 안정적인 용수공급에 많은 어려움을 주고 있다. 예로 보령댐의 경우 저수율이 2015년 19%, 2017년 8.3%로 역대 최저를 기록한 바 있고 2018년 3월 기준 운문댐과 밀양댐의 경우 저수율이 각각 11%(심각), 26.2%(경계)로 극심한 물부족에 시달리고 있다. 이러한 극심한 가뭄에 대응하기 위해서는 시설간 연계 운영, 급수체계 조정, 도수로 가동 등과 같은 구조적 대책과 더불어 저수용량에 따라 용수공급량을 감축하는 형태의 비구조적 대책의 일환인 용수공급 조정기준이 동시에 이루어져야 한다. 용수공급 조정기준은 국토교통부에서 주기적으로 발생하고 있는 가뭄에 대하여 대응하기 위해 만들어진 기준으로 다목적댐의 저수량을 기준으로 단계별(관심, 주의, 경계, 심각) 공급량을 감축하여 장기간 공급함으로써 국가재난을 사전에 예방하는 것을 목표로 하고 있다. 이러한 용수공급 조정기준을 수립하기 위해서는 최소 20년 이상의 과거 관측된 유입량 자료를 모의 발생하여 이수안전도 95%이상을 만족하는 단계별 용수공급 조정 기준선을 작성하게 된다. 하지만 신규 댐의 경우 관측된 유입량 자료가 전무함에 따라 용수공급 조정 기준을 수립하는데 어려움이 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 신뢰할 수 있는 유입량 자료를 생산하기 위해 첫 번째로 물리적 기반인 분포형 강우-유출 모형을 구축하고 검보정을 수행하였으며 이처럼 구축된 강우-유출모형을 이용하여 다수의 유입량 자료를 생산하였다. 두 번째로 SAMS 2007을 이용하여 유입량 자료를 모의 발생시켰으며 이를 저수지 운영에 활용하여 이수안전도 95%를 만족하는 용수공급 조정기준을 수립하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 극심한 가뭄에 대비하여 안정적인 용수공급 및 수자원 확보 등 이수적인 측면에서 크게 활용 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

• Journal of Satellite, Information and Communications
• /
• v.12 no.3
• /
• pp.22-34
• /
• 2017

The K-DRUM(K-water hydrologic & hydraulic Distributed RUnoff Model), a distributed rainfall-runoff model of K-water, calculates predicted runoff and water surface level of a dam using precipitation data. In order to obtain long-term hydrometeorological information, K-DRUM requires long-term weather forecast. In this study, we built a system providing long-term hydrometeorological information using predicted rainfall ensemble of GloSea5(Global Seasonal Forecast System version 5), which is the seasonal meteorological forecasting system of KMA introduced in 2014. This system produces K-DRUM input data by automatic pre-processing and bias-correcting GloSea5 data, then derives long-term inflow predictions via K-DRUM. Web-based UI was developed for users to monitor the hydrometeorological information such as rainfall, runoff, and water surface level of dams. Through this UI, users can also test various dam management scenarios by adjusting discharge amount for decision-making.

• Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
• /
• v.105 no.3
• /
• pp.351-359
• /
• 2016

This study was conducted to analyze the effect of climate change on the tree-ring growth of Pinus koraiensis in Korea. Annual tree-ring growth data of P. koraiensis collected by the $5^{th}$ National Forest Inventory were first organized to analyze yearly growth patterns of the species. When tree-ring growth data were analyzed through cluster analysis based on similarity of climatic conditions, five clusters were identified. Yearly growing degree days and standard precipitation index based on daily mean temperature and precipitation data from 1951 to 2010 were calculated by cluster. Using the information, yearly temperature effect index(TEI) and precipitation effect index(PEI) by cluster were estimated to analyze the effect of climatic conditions on the growth of the species. Tree-ring growth estimation equations by cluster were developed by using the product of yearly TEI and PEI as independent variable. The tree-ring growth estimation equations were applied to the climate change scenarios of RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 for predicting the changes in tree-ring growth by cluster of P. koraiensis from 2011 to 2100. The results of this study are expected to provide valuable information necessary for estimating local growth characteristics of P. koraiensis and for predicting changes in tree-ring growth patterns caused by climate change.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2008.05a
• /
• pp.1727-1731
• /
• 2008

수자원의 효율적인 관리를 위해서는 신뢰성 있는 유량자료의 획득이 대단히 중요하다. 우리나라는 양질의 유량자료를 획득하기 위해 매년 많은 시간과 돈을 투자하고 있으나 자료의 질적인 면에서 만족할 만한 성과를 얻지 못하고 있다. 현재까지 우리나라의 유량자료는 댐의 수문자료와 수량관리 부처인 건교부에서 운영하는 수위표 지점의 수위-유량곡선에서 산출된 자료에 의존하고 있다. 그러나 수위-유량 관계식을 보정하기 위한 유량측정사업이 지속적이지 못하며, 이 관계식은 유량이 적은 저수기 및 갈수기에는 부정확하다는 한계가 있다. 또한, 국립환경과학원 낙동강물환경연구소에서 오염총량관리를 위한 낙동강수계 유량측정사업을 실시하고 있지만, 목적은 낙동강수계의 오염총량관리 단위유역 말단 47개 지점에서 유량측정을 효율적으로 실시하여 수질정책의 기초자료를 제공하는데 있다. 이 자료 역시 오염총량관리를 위하여 유량측정을 실시하여 수자원의 효율적인 관리를 위한 일 유량을 알 수가 없는 한계점을 가지고 있다. 따라서 저수기 및 갈수기에 수질정책의 기초자료를 제공하기 위해서 하천을 포함한 유역의 정확한 강우-유출특성의 파악이 필요하다. 그러나 강우-유출특성 또한 유역 내 강우의 시 공간적 분포가 다르며 그 자가 비선형성이 강하고 여러 변동성을 포함하므로, 강우로부터 하천의 유출량의 정확한 해석이 불가능하다. 그러나 최근 인공지능 분야에서 신호처리, 지능제어 및 패턴인식 등의 수단으로 사용되고 있는 신경망은 학습이라는 최적화 과정을 통해 입력과 출력으로 구성되는 하나의 시스템을 비선형적으로 구축할 수 있으며 이러한 이점을 활용하여 수자원 분야에서 다양하게 적용되고 있다. 본 연구의 목적은 강우-유출자료 및 댐 방류량 자료의 비선형적인 특정을 가장 잘 반영할 수 있는 신경망모형을 적용하여 수질정책의 기초자료를 제공하기 위하여 신뢰성 있는 유량자료를 산정하는 모형을 개발하는 것이다. 이를 위해서 낙동강물환경연구소에서 오염총량관리를 위한 낙동강수계 유량측정 지점 상류의 댐 방류량의 일 방류량자료와 강우자료를 입력 자료로 하여 유량을 예측할 수 있는 유량예측 신경망 모형 FFBN(Flow Forecasting By Neural)을 개발하였다. 그리고 입력 자료로서 장기유출모형인 SWAT의 모의결과를 입력 자료로 추가한 FFBNS(Flow Forecasting By Neural and SWAT)을 개발하였다. 신경망 모형의 구조는 입력층과 출력층 사이에 하나의 은닉층이 존재하는 다층 신경망으로 구성하였으며, 학습단계에서는 오류 역전파 알고리듬 학습방법 중 모멘텀법을 사용하였다. 예측된 유출량을 실측치와의 비교를 위하여 낙본D지점과 낙본 E지점에 대하여 $2005{\sim}2006$년까지의 모의 결과를 낙동 수위측정지점과 구미 수위측정지점의 실측치 통하여 복잡한 비선형성을 가지는 유출 시계열 자료에 대한 효과적인 최적의 신경망모델을 개발하여 유량을 예측하고 적용 가능성을 검토하고자 한다. 모의 결과는 수질정책의 기초자료 제공에 기여할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
• /
• v.9 no.2
• /
• pp.507-518
• /
• 1982

Biogeochemistry of a 34-year-old red pine plantation on a Typic Udipsamment was investigated in the central sand plains of Wisconsin Biomass and net primary production were $106Mg\;ha^{-1}$ and $11.0Mg\;ha^{-1}y^{-1}$ respectively. Concentrations of elements in the vegetation were greatest in the 2- to 3-year-old needles, followed by current needles, current twigs, bole bark, live branches, dead branches, bolewood production, and bolewood. For a given tree component (excluding the current twigs), elemental concentrations were greatest in the upper one- third and least in the lower one- third of the tree. Total elements in the vegetation are ranked: N($222kg\;ha^{-1}$), Ca(217), K (85), Mg(38), S(31), and p. The soil contained from 60 to 89% of the readily available P, K, Ca, Mg, and S in the ecosystem. Whereas precipitation was the major source of N and S, weathering supplied the bulk of the Ca, Mg, P, and K. Output of a given element by leaching was less than $7kg\;ha^{-1}y^{-1}$ except for S which was $12kg\;ha^{-1}y^{-1}$ Whereas throughfall returned the greatest amounts of N, K, and S to the forest floor, litterfall accounted for the greatest returns of Ca, Mg, and P. Because of foliar leaching, net loading of all elements studied in the throughfall exceeded that of the precipitation. Ammonium in net precipitation was reduced by a factor of three within the upper 7.5cm due to uptake by fine roots.

• Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
• /
• v.28 no.5
• /
• pp.522-526
• /
• 2006

To investigate the characteristics of rainwater in Daegu area, parameters such as pH, electrical conductivity, TOC, TIC and TC were analyzed on 34 samples from January to December 2005. Results revealed that higher values were measured in winter than in summer. Furthermore samples that originated from industrial and commercial areas had higher chemical concentrations and conductivity as compared with those from residential and reference areas. Seldom acid-rain occurrence was recorded(27.2%) as compared with non-acid precipitation(72.8%) incidence. Also higher organic carbon fraction(TOC) was detected(72.5%) than inorganic form(TIC)(27.5%) in terms of component ratio with TC. During frequent rainfalls, the concentration of chemicals was decreased to a degree. Conversely, lower rate of rainfall gave out higher chemical values. Thereby the improvement of air qualify in 2005 compare with 2003 report was influenced by the environment authorities' efforts to reduce air pollutions and various factors by the depression of the region's economy.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
• /
• v.39 no.2 s.163
• /
• pp.121-126
• /
• 2006

Snowmelt effect is identified from the analysis of the relationship between precipitation and groundwater level(GWL) data and Severe drawdown of GWL is observed in drought. Groundwater dam Operation Index (GOI), which is developed for the optimal operation of groundwater dam, is calculated by taking common logarithm of the moving average(MA) of precipitation data for a certain period. The period can vary from watershed to watershed because the period is decided by picking the maximum correlation coefficient between GWL and GOI of several MAs of precipitation. For Ssangchun watershed, the correlation was the strongest when we apply 70 day MA for GOI calculation. Snowmelt effect is considered by applying the temperature change by elevation($0.5^{\circ}C$ decrease per 100m) and examining the areal distribution of the watershed by elevation. Snow event is assumed when the daily average temperature is below $0^{\circ}C$ and snowmelt is assumed when the temperature is above zero degree Celsius. Total snowmelt is assumed for the day. When the snow event is occurred the precipitation data is separated into two components, snow and rainfall. The areal distribution by elevation is used for the calculation in the separation. The correlation between GWL and GOI is higher when we consider snowmelt effect than we neglected it.

• Journal of the Korean earth science society
• /
• v.44 no.6
• /
• pp.540-556
• /
• 2023

This study analyzed rawinsonde soundings observed during the summer and early fall seasons (June, July, August and September) on the Korean peninsula to examine the utility of the Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and Convective Inhibition (CIN) in predicting the occurrence of deep moist convection and precipitation. Rawinsonde soundings are categorized into two groups based on thermodynamic criteria: high CAPE and low CIN represent a high potential for deep moist convection; low CAPE and high CIN indicate conditions unfavorable for deep convection. A statistical hypothesis test is conducted to determine whether the two groups are significantly different in terms of 12-hour cumulative precipitation, 12-hour mean cloud base, and 12-hour mean mid-level cloud cover. The results, in the case of no-precipitation, reveal statistically significant differences between the two groups, except for the 12-hour mean cloud base during the 21:01-09:00 KST time period. This suggests that the group characterized by high CAPE and low CIN is more conducive to the occurrence of deep moist convection and precipitation than the group with low CAPE and high CIN.

• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
• /
• v.7 no.1
• /
• pp.35-44
• /
• 2005

Microclimate of Gwangneung forest watershed is characterized by analyzing wind, radiation, profiles of air temperature and humidity, soil and bole temperature, precipitation and soil water content measured at and around the flux tower from April 2000 to September 2003. Mountain-valley wind was prevalent due to the topographic effect with dominant wind from east during daytime and relatively weak wind from west during nighttime. Air temperature reaches its peak in July-August whereas monthly-averaged incoming shortwave radiation shows its peak in May due to summer monsoon. Albedo ranges from 0.12 to 0.16 during the growing season. Monthly-averaged bole temperature is in phase with monthly- averaged air temperature which is consistently higher. Monthly-averaged soil temperature lags behind air temperature and becomes higher with leaf fall. With the emergence of leafage in April, maximum temperature level during midday shifts from the ground surface to the crown level of 15-20m in May. Profiles of water vapor pressure show a similar shift in May but the ground surface remains as the major source of water. Vapor pressure deficit is highest in spring and lowest in winter. Monthly averaged surface soil temperatures range from 0 to 20℃ with a maximum in August. Monthly averaged trunk temperatures of the dominant tree species range from -5.8 to 21.6℃ with their seasonal variation and the magnitudes similar to those of air temperature. Annual precipitation amount varies significantly from year to year, of which >60% is from July and August. Vertical profiles of soil moisture show different characteristics that may suggest an important role of lateral movement of soil water associated with rainfall events.

• The Journal of the Petrological Society of Korea
• /
• v.18 no.4
• /
• pp.279-291
• /
• 2009

Radon is a natural radionuclide originated from radioactive decay of radium in rocks and soil. It is colorless, odorless and tasteless elements that mainly distributed as gaseous phase in soil pore space. The present study analyzed the characteristics of long-term radon variation in granitic residual soil at Mt. Guemjeong in Guemjeong-gu, Busan and determined the effects of atmospheric temperature, rainfall and soil temperature and moisture. Periodic measurements of radon concentrations in soil gas were conducted by applying two types of in-situ monitoring methods (chamber system and tubing system). Radon concentration in soil gas was highest in summer and lowest in winter. The variations in soil temperature and atmospheric temperature were most effective factors in the long-term radon variations and showed positive co-relations. The air circulation between soil air and atmosphere by the temperature difference between soil and atmosphere was analyzed a major cause of the variation. However, other factors such as atmospheric pressure, rainfall and soil moisture were analyzed relatively less effective.