• Title/Summary/Keyword: 가격결정

Search Result 1,356, Processing Time 0.03 seconds

Estimating the Investment Value of Fuel Cell Power Plant Under Dual Price Uncertainties Based on Real Options Methodology (이중 가격 불확실성하에서 실물옵션 모형기반 연료전지 발전소 경제적 가치 분석)

  • Sunho Kim;Wooyoung Jeon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
    • /
    • v.31 no.4
    • /
    • pp.645-668
    • /
    • 2022
  • Hydrogen energy is emerging as an important means of carbon neutrality in the various sectors including power, transportation, storage, and industrial processes. Fuel cell power plants are the fastest spreading in the hydrogen ecosystem and are one of the key power sources among means of implementing carbon neutrality in 2050. However, high volatility in system marginal price (SMP) and renewable energy certificate (REC) prices, which affect the profits of fuel cell power plants, delay the investment timing and deployment. This study applied the real option methodology to analyze how the dual uncertainties in both SMP and REC prices affect the investment trigger price level in the irreversible investment decision of fuel cell power plants. The analysis is summarized into the following three. First, under the current Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS), dual price uncertainties passed on to plant owners has significantly increased the investment trigger price relative to one under the deterministic price case. Second, reducing the volatility of REC price by half of the current level caused a significant drop in investment trigger prices and its investment trigger price is similar to one caused by offering one additional REC multiplier. Third, investment trigger price based on gray hydrogen and green hydrogen were analyzed along with the existing byproduct hydrogen-based fuel cells, and in the case of gray hydrogen, economic feasibility were narrowed significantly with green hydrogen when carbon costs were applied. The results of this study suggest that the current RPS system works as an obstacle to the deployment of fuel cell power plants, and policy that provides more stable revenue to plants is needed to build a more cost-effective and stable hydrogen ecosystem.

The Determination Factor's Variation of Real Estate Price after Financial Crisis in Korea (2008년 금융위기 이후 부동산가격 결정요인 변화 분석)

  • Kim, Yong-Soon;Kwon, Chi-Hung;Lee, Kyung-Ae;Lee, Hyun-Rim
    • Land and Housing Review
    • /
    • v.2 no.4
    • /
    • pp.367-377
    • /
    • 2011
  • This paper investigates the determination factors' variation of real estate price after sub-prime financial crisis, in korea, using a VAR model. The model includes land price, housing price, housing rent (Jensei) price, which time period is from 2000:1Q to 2011:2Q and uses interest rate, real GDP, consumer price index, KOSPI, the number of housing construction, the amount of land sales and practices to impulse response and variance decomposition analysis. Data cover two sub-periods and divided by 2008:3Q that occurred the sub-prime crisis; one is a period of 2000:1Q to 2008:3Q, the other is based a period of 2000:1Q to 2011:2Q. As a result, Comparing sub-prime crisis before and after, land price come out that the influence of real GDP is expanding, but current interest rate's variation is weaken due to the stagnation of current economic status and housing construction market. Housing price is few influenced to interest rate and real GDP, but it is influenced its own variation or Jensei price's variation. According to the Jensei price's rapidly increasing in nowadays, housing price might be increasing a rising possibility. Jensei price is also weaken the influence of all economic index, housing price, comparing before sub-prime financial crisis and it is influenced its own variation the same housing price. As you know, real estate price is weakened market basic value factors such as, interest rate, real GDP, because it is influenced exogenous economic factors such as population structural changes. Economic participators, economic officials, consumer, construction supplyers need to access an accurate observation about current real estate market and economic status.

자산가격결정(資産價格決定)의 생산기저모형(生産基底模型)에대한 실증적(實證的) 검증(檢證)

  • Gu, Bon-Yeol
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
    • /
    • v.10 no.2
    • /
    • pp.117-136
    • /
    • 1993
  • 1980년부터 1992년까지 12년간의 거시경제변수(巨視經濟變數)와 주식수익율자료(株式收益率資料)를 이용하여 한국증권시장(韓國證券市場)에서 생산기저모형(生産基底模型)에 대한 실증적(實證的) 검증(檢證)과 아울러 CAPM, APM 그리고 소비기저모형(消費基底模型)을 검증함으로써 이 모형들의 현실적인 설명력에 대한 비교 분석을 하고자 하였다. 검증에 사용된 모형은 Cochrane(1991,1992)과 BCM(1990) 및 Sharathchandra(1991)등에 의하여 유도된 생산기저모형을 기초로 하였다. 그리고 모수추정(母數推定)과 모형의 타당성(妥當性) 검증(檢證)을 위하여 수단변수(手段變數)를 사용하지않는 무조건부모형(無條件附模型)에서는 ML방법(maximum likelihood method)을 이용하였으며 수단변수를 사용한 조건부모형(條件附模型)의 경우에는 GMM의 추정방법에 의하였다. 검증결과, 실물자산(實物資産)의 투자수익률(投資收益率)이 주식수익률의 움직임과 관계가 높아 자산가격결정모형(資産價格決定模型)으로써 생산기저모형(生産基底模型)이 조건부모형에서나 무조건부모형에서 모두 의미가 있는 것으로 나타나 한국증권시장(韓國證券市場)에 대한 현실적(現實的) 설명력(說明力)이 높은 것으로 나타났다. 한편 CAPM과 APM은 자산가격결정모형으로써 타당성이 있었으나 소비기저모형(消費基底模型)은 모형의 추정계수인 상대위험회피계수(相對危險回避係數)가 비유의적(非有意的)으로 나타났으며 모형의 적합성이 기각(棄却)되었다.

  • PDF

전국 개별토지가격 산정완료

  • 건설부
    • 주택과사람들
    • /
    • s.14
    • /
    • pp.66-67
    • /
    • 1991
  • [ $\circ$ ] 정부는 관계부터 합동으로 3.11부터 조사에 착수한 약 2,500만필지에 대한 개별토지가격 조사작업을 5.4(55일간)에 끝내고 지방토지평가위원회의 심의에 들어갔다. (건설부, 국세청, 지방자치단체공무원 20,500여명과 자문요원인 486명의 감정평가사 동원) $\circ$ 이번에 조사된 개별토지가격은 오는 5.20까지 지방 토지 평가 위원회의 심의를 거쳐 5.22부터 6.11까지 토지 소재지 읍$\cdot$$\cdot$동사무소에서 주민열람을 실시케 하고 토지 소유자 및 이해관계인은 조사된 지가에 대하여 이의가 있을 경우에는 의견을 제출할 수 있도록 하였으며, $\circ$ 또한 지가산정의 공평성과 정확성을 기하기 위하여 해당 지역 사정에 정통한 지역인사로 구성된 읍$\cdot$$\cdot$동 지가심의회의 심의를 거친 후, 감정평가사, 한국감정원 직원, 토지 및 세무담당공무원 등 전문가로 구성된 시$\cdot$$\cdot$읍 단위 지방토지평가위원회에서 심의하도록 하였으며, 이러한 절차를 거친 후 중앙토지평가위원회의 심의와 건설부장관의 확인을 받아 6.29까지 시장, 군수, 구청장이 지가를 결정하게 된다. $\circ$ 이렇게 하여 결정된 지가는 토지초과이득세, 양도소득세, 증여세, 상속세 등의 산정기준, 택지초과소유부담금 및 개발부담금의 산정기준, 종합토지세의 과세표준 결정자료, 기타 토지공개념관련제도 시행을 위한 지가산정기준 등으로 활용된다.

  • PDF

The Development of a Real Estate Multi-Attribute Integrated Search System (부동산 다속성 통합 검색 시스템 개발)

  • Cho, Jae-Hyung
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
    • /
    • v.14 no.3
    • /
    • pp.15-37
    • /
    • 2009
  • This study presents a new retrieval system developed to consider various preferential requirements for buyers in the real estate market. The paper analyses essential factors affecting the price of real estate and then a set of factors are classified by region-related factor and individual-related factor. After endowing the buyer's selected factors with weights in the retrieval system, the optimal solutions have been drawn by comparing with the others through an entropy measure of Multi-attribute Decision Making. This retrieval system is applied to the Busan real estate market to estimate the solutions of retrieval. Evaluation results indicate that the retrieval system can provide useful information to analyse the price determination factors of real estate, as well as to save the searching cost of the buyers.

  • PDF

Micro-Study on Stock Splits and Measuring Information Content Using Intervention Method (주식분할 미시분석과 정보효과 측정)

  • Kim, Yang-Yul
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
    • /
    • v.7 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-20
    • /
    • 1990
  • In most of studies on market efficiency, the stability of risk measures and the normality of residuals unexplained by the pricing model are presumed. This paper re-examines stock splits, taking the possible violation of two assumptions into accounts. The results does not change the previous studies. But, the size of excess returns during the 2-week period before announcements decreases by 43%. The results also support that betas change around announcements and the serial autocorrelation of residuals is caused by events. Based on the results, the existing excess returns are most likely explained as a compensation to old shareholders for unwanted risk increases in their portfolio, or by uses of incorrect betas in testing models. In addition, the model suggested in the paper provides a measure for the speed of adjustment of the market to the new information arrival and the intensity of information contents.

  • PDF

Robust production and transportation planning for TFT-LCD industry under demand and price uncertainties using scenario model (시나리오 모델을 활용한 수요 및 가격 불확실성이 존재하는 TFT-LCD 산업에서의 Robust 생산 및 수송계획)

  • Shin, Hyun-Joon;Ru, Jae-Pil
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.11 no.9
    • /
    • pp.3304-3310
    • /
    • 2010
  • This study solves the decision making problems for TFT-LCD manufacturing supply chain with demand and price uncertainties by establishing robust production and distribution strategies. In order to control the decisions regarding production graded by quality, inventory level and distribution, this study develop scenario model based stochastic mixed integer linear programs (SMILPs) that consider demand and price uncertainties as well as realistic constraints such as capacities etc. The performance of the solution obtained from the SMILPs using robust algorithms will be evaluated through various scenarios.

Imperfect Competition and Productivity: Korean Fossil-fueled Power Generation Sector (발전부문의 불완전경쟁과 생산성 변화)

  • Kwon, Oh-Sang;Park, Hojeong
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
    • /
    • v.19 no.1
    • /
    • pp.3-21
    • /
    • 2010
  • By the significant structural change in 1999, a partial privatization has occurred in Korean fossil-fuel power generation sector. Under the current price scheme wholesale electricity price is dependent on output size, and hence, may not satisfy the assumption of price-taking producers. The purpose of our study is constructing the productivity change measurements of Korean power generation sector taking into account possibly imperfect competition and variable returns to scale. Our approach based on Harrison (1994) and Levinsohn (1993) derives the plant-level productivity measurements of the period between 2001 and 2007, as well as the measurements of mark-ups and returns to scale. It is shown that the mark-up size is dependent on the plants' fuel type and is decreasing over time. Allowing for imperfect competition and variable returns to scale adjusts the productivity measurements substantially.

  • PDF

MSRP Prediction System Utilizing KERAS and DNN (Keras와 DNN을 이용한 자동차 MSRP 예측 시스템)

  • Kang, Jiwon;Yun, Hyonbin;Lee, Sanghyun;Choi, Hyunho;Moon, Yoo-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
    • /
    • 2021.01a
    • /
    • pp.355-356
    • /
    • 2021
  • 본 논문에서는 Python 3의 Keras 모듈을 이용하여 특정 자동차에 대한 최적의 판매자권장소비자가격(MSRP)을 예측하는 시스템을 제안한다. 이 시스템은 2004년에 미국에서 시판된 428종류의 자동차에 대한 정보를 제조사, 차종, 생산지, 엔진 크기, 실린더 수, 시내 주행 시 연비, 고속도로 주행 시 연비, 마력, 차체 무게, 차체 길이의 독립변수를 사용하여 자체적으로 딥러닝한 회귀모델을 통해 특정 지표가 주어진 차량에 대해 종속변수인 판매자권장소비자가격을 예측한다. Optimizer를 adam으로, 학습률을 0.005으로 설정한 경우의 검증 MAE 값이 3842.98로 가장 낮게 산출되었고, 해당 모델의 결과는 예측값과 실제값의 오차율이 ±15% 정도 내외로 예측된 표본의 비율이 약 80.14%로 측정되었다. 위 모델은 향후 신차 가격 결정 및 중고차 시장에서 구매, 판매 결정을 돕는 등 특정 시장 내에서 다양한 자동차의 가치를 판단하기에 유용할 것으로 전망된다.

  • PDF

School Dieticians' Perception of Seafood Ingredient Pricing in School Food-Service in Seoul (학교급식 수산물 가격 결정에 대한 서울 지역 학교영양(교)사의 인식)

  • Cha, Myeong Hwa;Seo, Sang Rok;Moon, Min Ji;Yang, Ji Hye;Sung, Bo Mi;Jung, Hyun Suk;Ryu, Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Food Science and Nutrition
    • /
    • v.43 no.11
    • /
    • pp.1766-1773
    • /
    • 2014
  • The purpose of this research was to scrutinize dieticians' perspective of seafood ingredients prices in school food-service. Suppliers' contract status, seafood ingredient usage and satisfaction, expectations regarding prices of seafood ingredients, and willingness to pay when HACCP is taken into account were studied. Through random sampling, the survey was conducted on 231 dieticians in 11 different educational districts and 12 elementary, six middle, and three high schools. Ultimately, 142 survey responses were taken into account. Data analysis was performed using SPSS v15.0 by descriptive analysis, ${\chi}^2$-test, and t-test. For contracts regarding seafood ingredients, competitive contracts composed 79.7%. Exactly 42.1% responded that contracts were breached, and 60.1% testified that product returns were due to excessive glazing of ingredients. The satisfaction rate of 'hygiene & sanitation of product' was the highest, whereas 'price of product' was the lowest. For 'recontracting intention', 'informal purchasing' showed higher rates compared to 'competitive bidding'. Reflecting upon the six main price factors, 'designation and maintenance of HACCP', 'price of raw seafood ingredients', 'processing costs', 'margin', 'logistic costs', and 'cost of standardizing seafood ingredients', dieticians' perceived 'impact on the anticipated price' on total cost was lower than present counterparts. This implicates that 'impact on the present price' of the six price factors is too excessive, suggesting that many dieticians are unsatisfied with the current prices of seafood ingredients. Furthermore, 52.8% of dieticians stated that the maximum additional payment of HACCP seafood ingredients should be less than 5%. Consequently, this research serves as basic information for reasonable pricing of seafood ingredients and contributes to increased seafood usage by school food-services.