• Title/Summary/Keyword: , Stock Investment

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Echelon Base Stock Policy with Outside Competition in a Two-Stage Supply Chain (외부 경쟁을 고려한 두 단계 공급체인에서의 단계기본재고수준의 결정)

  • Kim, Nam-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.71-81
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    • 2005
  • This Paper focuses on the effects of outside competition on an optimal echelon base stock level in a two stage supply chain. This is new in that we have been studying the effects of inside competition within a supply chain up to now. It is known that the optimal echelon base stock level with inside competition within a supply chain is less than the global optimal echelon base stock level without inside competition. This is due to the ' public goods ' nature of inventory. That is, more inventory is better, but one wants the other to invest more, thus resulting in under-investment. However, this phenomenon becomes weaker as outside competition increases. We show that as outside competition becomes stronger, the ' public goods ' effects decrease and the optimal echelon base stock level increases. If the level of competition is sufficiently high, the optimal echelon base stock level goes even higher than the global optimal echelon base stock level. We develop a theoretical model for the analysis and conduct a numerical analysis.

Price Earning Ratio And Firm Valuation (주가수익률과 기업평가)

  • 여동길
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.9 no.14
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    • pp.49-58
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    • 1986
  • Those facts I have studied on the theoretical characteristics of stock price earning ratio related with firm evaluation are as followings. First, I have investigated stock valuation analysis under certainty in view of Miller's, Modigliani's and Linter's theories in Chapter Ⅱ, and it is found that stock valuation under uncertainty to which the basic model of MM theory and the concept of capitalization ratio are applied is the same output, as in the case under certainty. And I have examined the stock valuation of growth corporations in which net investment, total capitals and operating profits are expected. Second, I have reexamined the fact that stock price profits are the erotical indices of firm valuation and the firm valuation on the basis of stock price earning ratio in Chapter III. As a whole, I have surveyed the stock price earning ratio theory of the growth stocks and there have been found some problems as such scholars as Malkiel and others have suggested focusing on the stock price structure of growth stocks. To conclude, there must be incessant efforts for the study of security analysis to make it develop ideally.

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Lock-up Expiration and VC Investments: Impact on Stock Prices (의무보유 종료와 VC투자가 주가에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Jinsuk;Hong, Min-Goo
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.133-145
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    • 2023
  • This paper examines whether investors have adapted to the venture capital(VC) investment style. VC firms invest in privately held companies and generate returns by selling them after the lock-up period expires. We analyze the impact on stock prices before and after the lock-up period expiration, and compare the Cumulative Abnormal Return(CAR) between the past period(2015-2017) and the recent period(2020-2022) to investigate the effect of the second venture boom. The main findings are as follows. First, unlike in the past, stock price returns around the lock-up period expiration have been lower than the KOSDAQ index in recent years. Second, the impact on stock prices is significant for both 1-month and 12-month lock-up periods. Specifically, it is confirmed that stocks held by venture capital and professional investors with a 1-month lock-up period respond in advance to their information after the second venture boom. Finally, we find that there is a difference in CAR depending on whether or not the company received VC investment after the second venture boom. Based on our findings, we suggest that VC firms need to revise their exit strategies to improve performance. This includes finding ways to reduce information asymmetry and fees, as well as developing strategies to mitigate market volatility. Additionally, the current lock-up period for VCs should be reconsidered as it may increase the risk of stock price decline. We recommend that the government revise the scope and duration of lock-up periods to protect investors after IPO.

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Determinants of Households′ Stock Investments (가계의 주식투자 결정요인)

  • 여윤경;정순희
    • Journal of Families and Better Life
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.11-21
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    • 2004
  • This study examined factors associated with the ownership of stock investments and the amount of stock investments of households using the 2001 National Survey of Family Income and Expenditure by National Statistical Office. Households with large amounts of income, savings, and liabilities were more likely to invest in stocks and have large amounts of stock investments. Also, households with young and male householders, highly educated householders, a number of children in school, and housing ownership were more likely to invest in stocks and have large amounts of stock investments. On the other hand, self employed households and dual income households were less likely to invest in stocks and have small amounts of stock investments.

Stock Trading Model using Portfolio Optimization and Forecasting Stock Price Movement (포트폴리오 최적화와 주가예측을 이용한 투자 모형)

  • Park, Kanghee;Shin, Hyunjung
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.535-545
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    • 2013
  • The goal of stock investment is earning high rate or return with stability. To accomplish this goal, using a portfolio that distributes stocks with high rate of return with less variability and a stock price prediction model with high accuracy is required. In this paper, three methods are suggested to require these conditions. First of all, in portfolio re-balance part, Max-Return and Min-Risk (MRMR) model is suggested to earn the largest rate of return with stability. Secondly, Entering/Leaving Rule (E/L) is suggested to upgrade portfolio when particular stock's rate of return is low. Finally, to use outstanding stock price prediction model, a model based on Semi-Supervised Learning (SSL) which was suggested in last research was applied. The suggested methods were validated and applied on stocks which are listed in KOSPI200 from January 2007 to August 2008.

Test for Theory of Portfolio Diversification (포트폴리오 분산투자 이론의 검정)

  • Kim, Tae-Ho;Won, Youn-Jo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2011
  • This study investigates the dynamic structure of interdependence on the domestic and related major stock markets by employing a statistical framework. Finance theory predicts potential gains by international portfolio diversification if returns from investment in different national stock markets are not perfectly correlated or not cointegrated. The benefit of international diversification is limited when national stock markets are cointegrated because of the limited amount of independent variation by the presence of common factors. The statistical tests suggest that international diversification appears to be favorable after the period of the comovement of the stock prices caused by 1997 Asian financial crisis. The result reflects the increase in overseas investment and purchase of overseas funds after the early 2000's.

Cases of Stock Analysis through Artificial Intelligence Using Big Data (빅데이터를 활용한 인공지능을 통한 주식 예측 분석 사례)

  • Choi, Min-gi;Jo, Kwang-ik;Jeon, Min-gi;Choi, hun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2021.05a
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    • pp.303-304
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    • 2021
  • In the 21st century, as we enter the Fourth Industrial Revolution, research in various fields utilizing big data is being conducted, and innovative and useful technologies are constantly emerging in the world. Among several technologies recently in the big data era, among various fields utilizing some algorithms of artificial intelligence, it shines in the field of finance and is used for pin tech, financial fraud detection and risk management, etc., and recently Even in the booming stock market, it is used for investment prediction and investment factor analysis using artificial intelligence algorithm models. In this paper, we plan to investigate various research cases and investigate trends in how they are used in the stock market through artificial intelligence that utilizes big data.

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Cryptocurrency Auto-trading Program Development Using Prophet Algorithm (Prophet 알고리즘을 활용한 가상화폐의 자동 매매 프로그램 개발)

  • Hyun-Sun Kim;Jae Joon Ahn
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.105-111
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    • 2023
  • Recently, research on prediction algorithms using deep learning has been actively conducted. In addition, algorithmic trading (auto-trading) based on predictive power of artificial intelligence is also becoming one of the main investment methods in stock trading field, building its own history. Since the possibility of human error is blocked at source and traded mechanically according to the conditions, it is likely to be more profitable than humans in the long run. In particular, for the virtual currency market at least for now, unlike stocks, it is not possible to evaluate the intrinsic value of each cryptocurrencies. So it is far effective to approach them with technical analysis and cryptocurrency market might be the field that the performance of algorithmic trading can be maximized. Currently, the most commonly used artificial intelligence method for financial time series data analysis and forecasting is Long short-term memory(LSTM). However, even t4he LSTM also has deficiencies which constrain its widespread use. Therefore, many improvements are needed in the design of forecasting and investment algorithms in order to increase its utilization in actual investment situations. Meanwhile, Prophet, an artificial intelligence algorithm developed by Facebook (META) in 2017, is used to predict stock and cryptocurrency prices with high prediction accuracy. In particular, it is evaluated that Prophet predicts the price of virtual currencies better than that of stocks. In this study, we aim to show Prophet's virtual currency price prediction accuracy is higher than existing deep learning-based time series prediction method. In addition, we execute mock investment with Prophet predicted value. Evaluating the final value at the end of the investment, most of tested coins exceeded the initial investment recording a positive profit. In future research, we continue to test other coins to determine whether there is a significant difference in the predictive power by coin and therefore can establish investment strategies.

A study on stock price prediction through analysis of sales growth performance and macro-indicators using artificial intelligence (인공지능을 이용하여 매출성장성과 거시지표 분석을 통한 주가 예측 연구)

  • Hong, Sunghyuck
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.28-33
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    • 2021
  • Since the stock price is a measure of the future value of the company, when analyzing the stock price, the company's growth potential, such as sales and profits, is considered and invested in stocks. In order to set the criteria for selecting stocks, institutional investors look at current industry trends and macroeconomic indicators, first select relevant fields that can grow, then select related companies, analyze them, set a target price, then buy, and sell when the target price is reached. Stock trading is carried out in the same way. However, general individual investors do not have any knowledge of investment, and invest in items recommended by experts or acquaintances without analysis of financial statements or growth potential of the company, which is lower in terms of return than institutional investors and foreign investors. Therefore, in this study, we propose a research method to select undervalued stocks by analyzing ROE, an indicator that considers the growth potential of a company, such as sales and profits, and predict the stock price flow of the selected stock through deep learning algorithms. This study is conducted to help with investment.

Analysis of ASEAN's Stock Returns and/or Volatility Distribution under the Impact of the Chinese EPU: Evidence Based on Conditional Kernel Density Approach

  • Mohib Ur Rahman;Irfan Ullah;Aurang Zeb
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.33-60
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    • 2023
  • This paper analyzes the entire distribution of stock market returns/volatility in five emerging markets (ASEAN5) and figures out the conditional distribution of the CHI_EPU index. The aim is to examine the impact of CHI_EPU on the stock returns/volatility density of ASEAN5 markets. It also examined whether changes in CHI_EPU explain returns at higher or lower points (abnormal returns). This paper models the behaviour of stock returns from March 2011 to June 2018 using a non-parametric conditional density estimation approach. The results indicate that CHI_EPU diminishes stock returns and augments volatility in ASEAN5 markets, except for Malaysia, where it affects stock returns positively. The possible reason for this positive impact is that EPU is not the leading factor reducing Malaysian stock returns; but, other forces, such as dependency on other countries' stock markets and global factors, may have a positive impact on stock returns (Bachmann and Bayer, 2013). Thus, the risk of simultaneous investment in Chinese and ASEAN5 stock markets, except Malaysia, is high. Further, the degree of this influence intensifies at extreme high/low intervals (positive/negative tails). The findings of this study have significant implications for investors, policymakers, market agents, and analysts of ASEAN5.