• Title/Summary/Keyword: , Stock Investment

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Research model on stock price prediction system through real-time Macroeconomics index and stock news mining analysis (실시간 거시지표 예측과 증시뉴스 마이닝을 통한 주가 예측시스템 모델연구)

  • Hong, Sunghyuck
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.12 no.7
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    • pp.31-36
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    • 2021
  • As the global economy stagnated due to the Corona 19 virus from Wuhan, China, most countries, including the US Federal Reserve System, introduced policies to boost the economy by increasing the amount of money. Most of the stock investors tend to invest only by listening to the recommendations of famous YouTubers or acquaintances without analyzing the financial statements of the company, so there is a high possibility of the loss of stock investments. Therefore, in this research, I have used artificial intelligence deep learning techniques developed under the existing automatic trading conditions to analyze and predict macro-indicators that affect stock prices, giving weights on individual stock price predictions through correlations that affect stock prices. In addition, since stock prices react sensitively to real-time stock market news, a more accurate stock price prediction is made by reflecting the weight to the stock price predicted by artificial intelligence through stock market news text mining, providing stock investors with the basis for deciding to make a proper stock investment.

The Effect of the Global Financial Crisis on Corporate Investment in Korea: From the Perspective of Costly External Finance

  • JEONG, DAEHEE
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.19-44
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    • 2015
  • This paper examines the effect of the global financial crisis on corporate investment in Korea. Specifically, the crisis was considered to have possibly constrained firm-level investment as the negative shock to the credit supply dramatically unfolded. As Duchin et al. (2010) demonstrated, if a negative supply-side shock is evident during a crisis period, larger cash holdings before the crisis will lead to fewer constraints to corporate investment, or vice versa. In order to investigate the supply-side effect of the crisis, we use firm-level financial data, including firms listed on the Korean stock market as well as small and medium-sized enterprises. We find that corporate investment declined significantly after the crisis, even if we control for factors associated with the demand side, such as contemporaneous capital productivity and cash flow. More importantly, the decline is positively and significantly related to cash holdings before the crisis, implying the negative effect of a credit supply shock. Small and medium enterprises experienced relatively sharp investment declines compared to those of larger firms, and the relationship between pre-crisis cash amounts and the degree of investment decline is greater than that in large firms. Additionally, we examine whether the negative effect persists up to the present, finding evidence that the cash-investment relationship continues in small and medium-sized enterprises.

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Efficient Storage Structures for a Stock Investment Recommendation System (주식 투자 추천 시스템을 위한 효율적인 저장 구조)

  • Ha, You-Min;Kim, Sang-Wook;Park, Sang-Hyun;Lim, Seung-Hwan
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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    • v.16D no.2
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    • pp.169-176
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    • 2009
  • Rule discovery is an operation that discovers patterns frequently occurring in a given database. Rule discovery makes it possible to find useful rules from a stock database, thereby recommending buying or selling times to stock investors. In this paper, we discuss storage structures for efficient processing of queries in a system that recommends stock investments. First, we propose five storage structures for efficient recommending of stock investments. Next, we discuss their characteristics, advantages, and disadvantages. Then, we verify their performances by extensive experiments with real-life stock data. The results show that the histogram-based structure improves the query performance of the previous one up to about 170 times.

Relationship Between Stock Price Indices of Abu Dhabi, Jordan, and USA - Evidence from the Panel Threshold Regression Model

  • Ho, Liang-Chun
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.13-19
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    • 2013
  • Purpose - The paper tested the relationship between the stock markets of the Middle East and the USA with the oil price and US dollar index as threshold variables. Research design, data, and methodology - The stock price indices of the USA, the Middle East (Abu Dhabi, Jordan), WTI spot crude oil price, and US dollar index were daily returns in the research period from May 21, 2001 to August 9, 2012. Following Hansen (1999), the panel threshold regression model was used. Results - With the US dollar index as the threshold variable, a negative relationship existed between the stock price indices of Jordan and the USA but no significant result was found between the stock price indices of Abu Dhabi and the USA. Conclusions - The USA is an economic power today:even if it has a closer relationship with the US stock market, the dynamic US economy can learn about subsequent developments and plan in advance. Conversely, if it has an estranged relationship with the US stock market, thinking in a different direction and different investment strategies will achieve good results.

The Effect of Non-Oil Diversification on Stock Market Performance: The Role of FDI and Oil Price in the United Arab Emirates

  • BANERJEE, Rachna;MAJUMDAR, Sudipa
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2021
  • UAE has rapidly developed into one of the leading global financial hubs, with significant transformations in its stock exchanges. In its attempt at economic diversification in the last two decades, the country has also taken a lead in the GCC region in introducing extensive reforms to attract FDI to the Emirates. However, oil price volatilities have posed a significant challenge to all oil-exporting countries. The main aim of this study is to explore the impact of economic diversification and oil price on the UAE stock market. The study applies Granger Causality and Vector Autoregressive Model on monthly Abu Dhabi stock exchange index, Dubai Fateh crude oil spot price, and FDI inflows during 2001-19. The short-term interbank rate has been included as a monetary policy variable. The results show a substantial difference between the two phases of reforms. Oil price and Abu Dhabi stock index show bidirectional relationship during 2001-09 but no causality was found during 2010-19. Furthermore, the second phase was characterized by unidirectional causation from FDI to ADX index. This study highlights FDI inflows as a key driver of stock market performance during the last decade and emphasizes the success of the intense reforms in the UAE initiated for the diversification of its economy.

Study of validation process according to various option strategies in a KOSPI 200 options market (코스피 200 주가지수옵션 데이터의 효율적 가공을 통한 다양한 옵션 전략들의 사후검증에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Chi-Woo;Oh, Kyong-Joo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.1061-1073
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    • 2009
  • Stock price index option investing is a scientific investment method and various index and investment strategies have been developed. The purpose of this study is to apply the variety of option investment strategies that have been introduced in the market and validate them using past option trading data. Option data was based on an actual stock exchange market tick data ranging from September 2001 to January 2007. Visual Basic is used to propose an option back-testing model. Validation process was carried out by transferring the tick data into ten-minute intervals and empirically analyzed. Furthermore, most option-related strategies have been applied to the model, and the usefulness of each strategies can be easily evaluated. As option investment has high leverage followed by high risks and profit, the optimal option investment strategy should be used according to the market condition at the time to make stable profit with minimum risk.

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How Does the Concentration of Ownership Impact R&D Investments? Evidence from Korean Pharmaceutical Firms (소유 집중도가 기업 연구개발 투자에 미치는 영향: 국내 제약 산업을 중심으로)

  • Han, Kyul;Moon, Seongwuk
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.157-183
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    • 2014
  • This paper examines how the concentration of ownership in firms influences the R&D investment decision and whether the type of a firm's management (i.e, the owner-manager or professional manger) differentiates the relationship between the ownership concentration and R&D investments by using data of Korean pharmaceutical companies between 2004 and 2008. The results show that the share of the largest shareholder and R&D investment have an inverted U-shaped relationship, and whether a CEO is an owner or a professional manager affects the curvature of the inverted U-shaped relationship. Specifically, when a firm's CEO is a professional manager and the share of his stock is small, increase in the CEO's share increases the R&D investment in the larger amount than when a firm's CEO is an owner. This is because the increase in ownership reduces agency cost; However, when the share of his stock is large, the increase in CEO's share decreases R&D investment in the larger amount than when a firm's CEO is an owner. This is because a professional manager gets concerned over excessive risk exposure more than an owner-manager does.

The Impact of Foreign Ownership on the Dividend and Investment Behaviors of Korean Firms (한국기업의 배당과 투자에 대한 외국인 투자자의 영향력 연구)

  • Kang, Shin Ae;Min, Sang Kee
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.79-105
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    • 2010
  • This paper investigates empirically the impact of foreign investors on a firm's dividend and investment decision making in Korean stock market. Empirical results using the sample firms in non-financial firms listed in Korean stock market whose settlement month are December, we find that foreign investors who declared participation in management didn't exert significant impact on dividend increase. In the case of investment, foreign investors exerts significant impact on R&D investments. Using Hausman-Taylor Instrumental Variable method, we controlled endogeneity problem related with foreign ownership and dividend and investment policy. The contribution of this paper is that the purpose of foreign investors whether or not participate in management is the most critical point and the impacts of foreign investors on dividends and investment are different whether they participate in management or not.

The Effect of the Risk Avoiding Activities and Characteristic of Korean Venture Capital on the Financial Performance of the Invested Companies (국내 벤처캐피탈의 투자위험회피활동과 차별적 특성이 피투자기업의 경영성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Oh, Jin-Seob;Kim, Byung-Keun
    • Korean small business review
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.89-107
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    • 2017
  • This study investigates the effect of risk avoiding activities and characteristic of venture capital on the financial performance of invested companies. Based on the review on the literature, we present staged financing, syndicated investment and preferred stock investment as the measurements for risk avoiding activities. Types and age of venture capital were chosen as the variables for characteristic. The financial performance data of the invested companies was derived from their publicly announced yearly financial report. Data were analysed using logistic regression technique. The result show that syndicated investment and independent venture capital have positive influence on the growth of sales revenue and asset of the invested companies. Age of venture capital appears to be positively associated with growth of sales revenue. Staged financing and preferred stock investment, however, have no impact on any financial growth and profitability. Activities and characteristic of venture capital show no influence on the profitability.

Portfolio Management Game Applicable to Korean Stock Market (주식투자(株式投資)에 관(關)한 모의(模擬)게임)

  • O, Seong-Baek;Hwang, Hak
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.55-59
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    • 1977
  • This paper develops a portfolio management game applicable to Korean Stock Market with an emphasis on teaching and training aid. It allows each participant to start out with a certain amount of money and pick his favorable stocks from a list of stocks chosen by instructor. Each participant must make a transaction at each time period and he gets a readout that states his individual performance, i.e., stock lists, cash on hand, net worth, transactions he has made and rank in accordance with his net worth. This game package consists of 10 subprograms and 7 files written with Fortran language for use on the Nova 840 computer and is divided into 3 main categories according to their functions, i.e., book-keeping function, data processing function and information searching function. This package may be used for training portfolio decison makings in the stock market and for comparing various investment methods through hypothetical investments.

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