• 제목/요약/키워드: (J-C) model

검색결과 1,572건 처리시간 0.033초

고객의 지연보고를 고려한 보증수리내역자료에서의 고장률 추정 (Estimating Failure Rate Using Warranty Claim Data with Delayed Report of Customers)

  • 박종훈;김영훈;백장현;이창훈
    • 산업공학
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.176-181
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    • 2010
  • Warranty claim data analysis is a useful tool for the manufacturer because it contains many useful informations regarding reliability of the product in the real-world environments. Because of the nature of uncertainty and the incompleteness of data, some bias patterns are observed on warranty claim rate known as 'spikes'. Two types of spikes are considered. One is due to manufacturing-related failures. The other is caused by customer's behavior. This paper proposes a model by considering two types of spikes. Warranty claim data is analyzed with the proposed model. To represent spikes observed on the early warranty period, we classify failures into manufacturing-related failures and usage-related failures. Uniform distribution is assumed for the time delayed to diagnose and report by customers. By reducing maximum value of the delayed time by customers, the proposed model characterizes customer's rush in the vicinity of the warranty expiration limit. Experimental results by using the real warranty claim data show that the proposed model is better than the existing one in respect to MSE(Mean Squared Error). Moreover it is expected to estimate the failure rate more realistically with proposed model because it considers the delayed time to diagnose and report by customers.

ARIMA 모형과 Piecewise Cubic interpolation을 이용한 누락된 수요실적자료의 보정기법 (Correction Technique of Missing Load Data Using ARIMA Model and Piecewise Cubic Interpolation)

  • 이재용;이찬주;박종배;신중린;김성수
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2003년도 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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    • pp.83-85
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents a correction technique of missing load data. In this paper, the ARIMA(Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) model and Piecewise Cubic Interpolation are applied to seek the missing parameters. The new model has been tested under a variety of conditions and it is shown in this paper to produce excellent results. It is helpful for operators to designed the load duration curve.

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Magnetic Coupling in Oxoverdazyl-Benzene-Oxoverdazyl Diradical Systems: A DFT Study

  • Park, Young Geun;Ko, Kyoung Chul
    • EDISON SW 활용 경진대회 논문집
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    • 제2회(2013년)
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    • pp.25-35
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    • 2013
  • The intramolecular magnetic coupling constant (J) values of diradical-based magnet models (S1-S5) were studied using unrestricted density functional theory. The model systems were designed with series of oxoverdazyl radicals (o-Ver(N) and o-Ver(C)) linked through a benzene coupler. They were divided according to either connectivity of the radical (C or N) or geometrical topology (meta- and para-) of benzene coupler. Reasonable relationship was found between spin density distribution and sign of J value. With our results we determined ferromagnetic (positive J value) and antiferromagnetic (negative J value) interactions. J values were also calculated along the twisting movement by the scan of dihedral angles between the radical and the coupler. An overall trend was found as absolute value of J decreased over increasing torsion angles.

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카본 세라믹 복합재 디스크의 벤트 구조 최적화를 통한 냉각성능 향상에 관한 연구 (A Study on Improvement of Cooling Performance through Vent Structure Optimization of Carbon Ceramic Composite Disc)

  • 심재훈;신웅희;이중희;전갑배;김병철;곽정후;임동원;현은재;전태형;이재만
    • 자동차안전학회지
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.23-29
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    • 2019
  • Recently, use of composite materials has been increasing for body structures and chassis parts in the car industry because of weight reduction effect and excellent mechanical thermal characteristics. However, application of composite materials in brake system is very difficult because it is hard to obtain enough brake performance due to low heat storage capacity of the composite materials. In this paper, we will present new carbon ceramic composite disc with high flow characteristic. To obtain this characteristic, new vent structures were designed by using ARIZ method and substance-field model analysis. The flow effect of these vent structures on the brake performance was verified by pugh matrix and cooling test. The test results show improvement of cooling performance up to $30^{\circ}C$. Finally, These results will improve brake the reliability of the brake performance for the high performance vehicles and electric vehicles.

Molecular Dynamics Simulation of Liquid Alkanes. Ⅰ. Thermodynamics and Structures of Normal Alkanes : n-butane to n-heptadecane

  • 이송희;이홍;박형석;Jayendran C. Rasaiah
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • 제17권8호
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    • pp.735-744
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    • 1996
  • We present results of molecular dynamic (MD) simulations for the thermodynamic and structural properties of liquid n-alkanes, from n-butane to n-heptadecane, using three different models Ⅰ-Ⅲ. Two of the three classes of models are collapsed atomic models while the third class is an atomistically detailed model. Model Ⅰ is the original Ryckaert and Bellemans' collapsed atomic model [Discuss. Faraday Soc. 1978, 66, 95] and model Ⅱ is the expanded collapsed model which includes C-C bond stretching and C-C-C bond angle bending potentials in addition to Lennard-Jones and torsional potentials of model Ⅰ. In model Ⅲ all the carbon and hydrogen atoms in the monomeric units are represented explicitly for the alkane molecules. Excellent agreement of the results of our MD simulations of model Ⅰ for n-butane with those of Edberg et al.[J. Chem. Phys. 1986, 84, 6933], who used a different algorithm confirms the validity of our algorithms for MD simulations of model Ⅱ for 14 liquid n-alkanes and of models Ⅰ and Ⅲ for liquid n-butane, n-decane, and n-heptadecane. The thermodynamic and structural properties of models Ⅰ and Ⅱ are very similar to each other and the thermodynamic properties of model Ⅲ for the three n-alkanes are not much different from those of models Ⅰ and Ⅱ. However, the structural properties of model Ⅲ are very different from those of models Ⅰ and Ⅱ as observed by comparing the radial distribution functions, the average end-to-end distances and the root-mean-squared radii of gyrations.

정지궤도 위성의 열해석 모델 보정 (THERMAL MODEL CORRELATION OF A GEOSTATIONARY SATELLITE)

  • 전형열;김정훈
    • 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산유체공학회 2011년 춘계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.230-235
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    • 2011
  • COMS (Communication, Ocean and Meteorological Satellite) is a geostationary satellite and was developed by KARI for communication, ocean and meteorological observations. COMS was tested under vacuum and very law temperature conditions in order to correlate thermal model and to verify thermal design. The test was performed by using KARI large thermal vacuum chamber. The COMS S/C thermal model was successfully correlated versus the 2 thermal balance test phases. After model correlation, temperatures deviation of all individual unit were less than $5^{\circ}C$ and global deviation and standard deviation also satisfied the requirements, less than $2^{\circ}C$ and $3^{\circ}C$. The final flight prediction was performed by using the correlated thermal model.

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지구 정지궤도 위성의 열해석 모델 보정 (THERMAL MODEL CORRELATION OF A GEOSTATIONARY SATELLITE)

  • 전형열;김정훈
    • 한국전산유체공학회지
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.59-65
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    • 2011
  • COMS (Communication, Ocean and Meteorological Satellite) is a geostationary satellite and was developed by KARI for communication, ocean and meteorological observations. COMS was tested under vacuum and very low temperature conditions in order to correlate thermal model and to verify thermal design. The test was performed by using KARI large thermal vacuum chamber. The COMS S/C thermal model was successfully correlated versus the 2 thermal balance test phases. After model correlation, temperatures deviation of all individual units were less than $5^{\circ}C$ and global deviation and standard deviation also satisfied the requirements, less than $2^{\circ}C$ and $3^{\circ}C$. The final flight prediction was performed by using the correlated thermal model.

확률적 수리비용과 임계수준을 고려한 주기적 교체 모형에 관한 연구 (A Periodic Replacement Model with Random Repair Costs and Threshold Levels)

  • 강영길;강성진
    • 한국국방경영분석학회지
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.114-125
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    • 1992
  • A policy of periodic replacement with minimal repair at failure is considered for a complex system. Under such a policy the system is replaced at periodic times. iT(i=1,2, $\ldots$), while minimal repair is performed at any intervening system failures. The cost of the j-th minimal repair to the component which fails at age t is g(C(t). $c_j$ (t)), where C(t) is the age-dependent random part, $c_j$(t) is the deterministic part which depends on the age and the number of the minimal repair to the component, and g is a positive nondecreasing continuous function. The cost of replacement is expensive when the number of failures occurring in (0. T) is greater than a threshold level. The problem of determining the optimal replacement period, $T^{\ast}$, which minimizes the total expected cost per unit time over an infinite time horizon is considered. Various special cases are considered.

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마르텐사이트강의 수소취성 해석을 위한 유한요소 모델링 (Finite Element Modeling of Hydrogen Embrittlement in Martensitic Steel)

  • 김기정;김혜진;윤승채;현주식;신건진;박진흥;이명규
    • 소성∙가공
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    • 제32권5호
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    • pp.287-293
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    • 2023
  • This study aims to develop a computational framework based on the finite element method for modeling the hydrogen embrittlement in martensitic steel. The hydrogen embrittlement is a well-known phenomenon, in which the hydrogen penetrates into the surface, flows through the microstructure and finally leads to pre-mature fracture under external or internal stresses. The current numerical model takes into account the effect of hydrogen on the plasticity and failure behavior of martensitic steel under various stress states. This allows for the construction of a failure criterion that accounts for conventional stress states and hydrogen concentration. The developed model is capable of simulating hydrogen diffusion through the lattice based on the distribution of hydrostatic stress. Additionally, it can calculate the hydrogen concentration in trapped sites, such as dislocations, using a local equilibrium assumption, often referred to as Oriani's equilibrium. The developed model parameters are identified through the tensile tests with and without hydrogen environment, and the performance of model can be validated by analyzing fractured automotive part in the hydrogen environment.

유해화학물질 대기확산 예측을 위한 RAMS 기상모델의 적용 및 평가 - CARIS의 바람장 모델 검증 (Application and First Evaluation of the Operational RAMS Model for the Dispersion Forecast of Hazardous Chemicals - Validation of the Operational Wind Field Generation System in CARIS)

  • 김철희;나진균;박철진;박진호;임차순;윤이;김민섭;박춘화;김용준
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제19권5호
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    • pp.595-610
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    • 2003
  • The statistical indexes such as RMSE (Root Mean Square Error), Mean Bias error, and IOA (Index of agreement) are used to evaluate 3 Dimensional wind and temperature fields predicted by operational meteorological model RAMS (Regional Atmospheric Meteorological System) implemented in CARIS (Chemical Accident Response Information System) for the dispersion forecast of hazardous chemicals in case of the chemical accidents in Korea. The operational atmospheric model, RAMS in CARIS are designed to use GDAPS, GTS, and AWS meteorological data obtained from KMA (Korean Meteorological Administration) for the generation of 3-dimensional initial meteorological fields. The predicted meteorological variables such as wind speed, wind direction, temperature, and precipitation amount, during 19 ∼ 23, August 2002, are extracted at the nearest grid point to the meteorological monitoring sites, and validated against the observations located over the Korean peninsula. The results show that Mean bias and Root Mean Square Error are 0.9 (m/s), 1.85 (m/s) for wind speed at 10 m above the ground, respectively, and 1.45 ($^{\circ}C$), 2.82 ($^{\circ}C$) for surface temperature. Of particular interest is the distribution of forecasting error predicted by RAMS with respect to the altitude; relatively smaller error is found in the near-surface atmosphere for wind and temperature fields, while it grows larger as the altitude increases. Overall, some of the overpredictions in comparisons with the observations are detected for wind and temperature fields, whereas relatively small errors are found in the near-surface atmosphere. This discrepancies are partly attributed to the oversimplified spacing of soil, soil contents and initial temperature fields, suggesting some improvement could probably be gained if the sub-grid scale nature of moisture and temperature fields was taken into account. However, IOA values for the wind field (0.62) as well as temperature field (0.78) is greater than the 'good' value criteria (> 0.5) implied by other studies. The good value of IOA along with relatively small wind field error in the near surface atmosphere implies that, on the basis of current meteorological data for initial fields, RAMS has good potentials to be used as a operational meteorological model in predicting the urban or local scale 3-dimensional wind fields for the dispersion forecast in association with hazardous chemical releases in Korea.