• Title/Summary/Keyword: $C^*$ 예측

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Development of a Surface Temperature Prediction Model Using Neural Network Theory (신경망 이론을 이용한 노면온도예측모형 개발)

  • Kim, In Su;Yang, Choong Heon;Choi, Keechoo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.686-693
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    • 2014
  • This study presents a model that enables to predict road surface temperature using neural network theory. Historical road surface temperature data were collected from Road Weather Information System. They used for the calibration of the model. The neural network was designed to predict surface temperature after 1-hour, 2-hour, and 3-hour from now. The developed model was performed on Cheongwon-Sangju highway to test. As a result, the standard deviation of the difference of the predicted and observed was $1.27^{\circ}C$, $0.55^{\circ}C$ and $1.43^{\circ}C$, respectively. Also, comparing the predicted surface temperature and the actual data, R2 was found to be 0.985, 0.923, and 0.903, respectively. It can be concluded that the explanatory power of the model seems to be high.

Analysis on the Thermal Efficiency of Branch Prediction Techniques in 3D Multicore Processors (3차원 구조 멀티코어 프로세서의 분기 예측 기법에 관한 온도 효율성 분석)

  • Ahn, Jin-Woo;Choi, Hong-Jun;Kim, Jong-Myon;Kim, Cheol-Hong
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartA
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    • v.19A no.2
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    • pp.77-84
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    • 2012
  • Speculative execution for improving instruction-level parallelism is widely used in high-performance processors. In the speculative execution technique, the most important factor is the accuracy of branch predictor. Unfortunately, complex branch predictors for improving the accuracy can cause serious thermal problems in 3D multicore processors. Thermal problems have negative impact on the processor performance. This paper analyzes two methods to solve the thermal problems in the branch predictor of 3D multi-core processors. First method is dynamic thermal management which turns off the execution of the branch predictor when the temperature of the branch predictor exceeds the threshold. Second method is thermal-aware branch predictor placement policy by considering each layer's temperature in 3D multi-core processors. According to our evaluation, the branch predictor placement policy shows that average temperature is $87.69^{\circ}C$, and average maximum temperature gradient is $11.17^{\circ}C$. And, dynamic thermal management shows that average temperature is $89.64^{\circ}C$ and average maximum temperature gradient is $17.62^{\circ}C$. Proposed branch predictor placement policy has superior thermal efficiency than the dynamic thermal management. In the perspective of performance, the proposed branch predictor placement policy degrades the performance by 3.61%, while the dynamic thermal management degrades the performance by 27.66%.

Constrained One-Bit Transform using Extension of Matching error criterion (정합 오차 기준을 확장한 제한된 1비트 변환 알고리즘)

  • Lee, Sang-Gu;Yun, Jang-Hyeok;Jeong, Je-Chang
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Broadcast Engineers Conference
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    • 2013.06a
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    • pp.267-269
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    • 2013
  • 본 논문은 제한된 1비트 변환 (Constrained One-Bit Transform : C1BT) 알고리즘의 정합 오차 기준의 동적 범위를 확장하는 알고리즘을 제안하였다. C1BT는 정합 오차 기준으로 SAD (Sum of Absolute Differences)를 사용하지 않고 CNNMP (Constrained Number of Non-Matching Points)를 사용하여 하드웨어 구현을 용이하게 하고 속도를 대폭 향상시켰다. 이는 기존의 움직임 예측 방법인 전역 탐색 알고리즘 (Full Search Algorithm: FSA)과 비교하여 연산량을 크게 줄였으나 움직임 예측의 정확도를 현저히 감소시켰다. 이 점을 개선하기 위해 이 논문에서는 C1BT의 정합 오차 기준을 확장하여 움직임 예측의 정확도를 높이는 알고리즘을 제안하였다. 기존의 C1BT와 제안하는 알고리즘을 비교한 결과에서 제안하는 알고리즘이 기존의 C1BT에 비해 움직임 예측의 정확도의 기준인 PSNR 측면에서 더 우수한 성능을 보였다.

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Accelerated Life Prediction of Ethylene-Propylene Diene Monomer Rubber Subjected to Combined Degradation (복합노화를 받는 EPDM 고무의 가속수명예측)

  • Han, Seung Wook;Kwak, Seung Bum;Choi, Nak Sam
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.38 no.5
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    • pp.505-511
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    • 2014
  • The EPDM(ethylene-propylene diene monomer) rubbers used for manufacturing engine radiator hoses can be degraded by locally generated electrical stress in addition to thermal and mechanical stresses. This study presents an accelerated life prediction of the EPDM rubber under electrochemical stresses using the Arrhenius formula under various aging temperatures($60^{\circ}C$, $80^{\circ}C$, and $100^{\circ}C$). The modified life prediction formula considers the relationship between the gradient($E_a/R$) and the Arrhenius constant(C). The effects of tensile strain(5%, 10%) on the life of these rubbers were investigated. The aging temperature influences EPDM rubber life, and tensile strain was predicted. It was confirmed that the modified life prediction was within the data deviation level of the test.

RELIABILITY OF IMPEDANCE AUDIOMETRY IN OTITIS MEDIA WITH EFFUSION (고막천자를 시행한 소아 삼출성 중이염환자에 대한 Impedance 청각검사의 신뢰도)

  • 김희남;박기현;박인용;임상빈;이승철;홍지헌
    • Proceedings of the KOR-BRONCHOESO Conference
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    • 1987.05a
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    • pp.11.3-12
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    • 1987
  • 삼출성 중이염은 소아연령군의 이비인후과질환중 유병율이 가장 높은 질환의 하나로 1867년 Politzer가 최초로 기술하고 치료법을 소개한 이후 그 병인 및 치료법이 다양하게 연구 개발되어 왔으며 1950년대 및 1960년대 electroacoustic impedance unit의 발전에 따라 진단법에 많은 변혁이 이루어졌다. 연자들은 1981년 1월1일 부터 1986년 12월31일까지 삼출성 중이염으로 중이내 통기관유치술 및 고막천자를 시행한 15세 이하의 290명의 환자를 대상으로 tympanogram의 양상 및 술전 기골도차를 조사하여 중이내 삼출액의 유무 및 점성도의 예측도에 대하여 살펴 보았다. Tympanometric peak pressure (T. P. P.) 가 -50mm$H_2$O 미만이며 compliance가 0.4 c.c.미만인 영역을 B영역으로. T.P.P.가 -50mm$H_2$O 미만이며 compliance가 0.4 c.c. 이상인 영역을 C영역으로 정하였을 때 중이내 삼출액 유무의 예측도는 B영역이 87.5%. C영역은 81.48%였으며 삼출액이 장액성일 경우의 예측도는 B영역이 24.51%, C영역이 22.72%이었고, 삼출액이 점액성일 경우의 예측도는 B영역이 70.39%, C영역이 54.54%이었다. 연령을 15세 - 7세군과 6세이하의 군으로 세분하였을 경우에도 비슷한 결과를 얻었다.

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Constrained One-Bit Transform based Motion Estimation using Extension of Matching Error Criterion (정합 오차 기준을 확장한 제한된 1비트 변환 알고리즘 기반의 움직임 예측)

  • Lee, Sanggu;Jeong, Jechang
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.730-737
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, Constrained One-Bit Transform (C1BT) based motion estimation using extension of matching error criterion is proposed. C1BT based motion estimation algorithm exploiting Number of Non-Matching Points (NNMP) instead of Sum of Absolute Differences (SAD) that used in the Full Search Algorithm (FSA) facilitates hardware implementation and significantly reduces computational complexity. However, the accuracy of motion estimation is decreased. To improve inaccurate motion estimation, this algorithm based motion estimation extending matching error criterion of C1BT is proposed in this paper. Experimental results show that proposed algorithm has better performance compared with the conventional algorithm in terms of Peak-Signal-to-Noise-Ratio (PSNR).

Customer Churning Forecasting and Strategic Implication in Online Auto Insurance using Decision Tree Algorithms (의사결정나무를 이용한 온라인 자동차 보험 고객 이탈 예측과 전략적 시사점)

  • Lim, Se-Hun;Hur, Yeon
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.125-134
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    • 2006
  • This article adopts a decision tree algorithm(C5.0) to predict customer churning in online auto insurance environment. Using a sample of on-line auto insurance customers contracts sold between 2003 and 2004, we test how decision tree-based model(C5.0) works on the prediction of customer churning. We compare the result of C5.0 with those of logistic regression model(LRM), multivariate discriminant analysis(MDA) model. The result shows C5.0 outperforms other models in the predictability. Based on the result, this study suggests a way of setting marketing strategy and of developing online auto insurance business.

A Performance Improvement of Resource Prediction Method Based on Wiener Model in Wireless Cellular Networks (무선 셀룰러 망에서 위너모델에 기초한 자원예측 방법의 성능개선)

  • Lee Jin-Yi
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartC
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    • v.12C no.1 s.97
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    • pp.69-76
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    • 2005
  • To effectively use limited resources in wireless cellular networks it is necessary to predict exactly the amount of resources required by handoff calls at a future time. In this paper we propose a method which predicts the amount of resources needed by handoff calls more accurately than the existing method based on Wiener processes. The existing method uses the current demands to predict future demands. Although this method is much simpler than using traffic information from neighbor cells, its prediction error increases as time elapses, leading to waste of wireless resources. By using an exponential parameter to decrease the magnitude of error over time, we show in simulation how to outperform the existing method in resource utilization as well as in prediction of resource demands.

Estimating the Change of Potential Forest Distribution and Carton Stock by Climate Changes - Focused on Forest in Yongin-City - (기후변화에 따른 임상분포 변화 및 탄소저장량 예측 - 용인시 산림을 기반으로 -)

  • Jeong, Hyeon yong;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Nam, Kijun;Kim, Moonil
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.177-188
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    • 2013
  • In this research, forest cover distribution change, forest volume and carbon stock in Yongin-city, Gyeonggi procince were estimated focused on the forest of Yongin-City using forest type map and HyTAG model in relation to climate change. Present forest volume of Yongin-city was estimated using the data from $5^{th}$ Forest Type Map and Korean National Forest Inventory (NFI). And for the future 100 years potential forest distribution by 10-year interval were estimated using HyTAG model. Forest volume was also calculated using algebraic differences form of the growth model. According to the $5^{th}$ Forest Type Map, present needleleaf forest occupied 37.8% and broadleaf forest 62.2% of forest area. And the forest cover distribution after 30 years would be changed to 0.13% of needleleaf forest and 99.97% of broadleaf forest. Finally, 60 years later, whole forest of Yongin-city would be covered by broad-leaf forest. Also the current forest carbon stocks was measured 1,773,862 tC(56.79 tC/ha) and future carbon stocks after 50 years was predicted to 4,432,351 tC(141.90 tC/ha) by HyTAG model. The carbon stocks after 100 years later was 6,884,063 tC (220.40 tC/ha). According to the HyTAG model prediction, Pinus koraiensis, Larix kaempferi, Pinus rigida, and Pinus densiflora are not suitable to the future climate of 10-year, 30-year, 30-year, and 50-year later respectively. All Quercus spp. was predicted to be suitable to the future climate.

Measurement and Prediction of the Lower flash Point for n-Propanol+n-Decane System Using the Tag Open-Cup Apparatus (Tag 개방식 장치를 이용한 n-Propanol+n-Decane 계의 하부인화점 측정 및 예측)

  • Ha Dong-Myeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.20 no.2 s.70
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    • pp.162-168
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    • 2005
  • The lower flash points for the n-propanol+n-decane flammable mixture were measured by the Tag open-cup apparatus(ASTM D 1310). The experimental results of mixture exhibited the lower flash point than those of pure component in the flash point versus composition curve. The experimental value of the minimum flash point is $27^{\circ}C$ at a mole fraction of n-propanol of 0.71, and the flash point of n-propanol was $28^{\circ}C$. The experimentally obtained data were compared with the values that had been calculated by use of the prediction model, which assumes an ideal solution, and the flash point prediction models based on the van Laar equation were used to estimate the activity coefficients. The predictive curve based on an ideal solution deviated from the experimental data for this system. The experimental results demonstrate a close agreement with the predicted curves, which used the van Laar equation. The average absolute deviation(A.A.D.) from using the van Lau equation is $0.83^{\circ}C$. The methodology proposed here in this paper can thus be applied to incorporate an inherently safer design for chemical processes, such as determining safe storage and handling conditions for flammable solutions.