무역학회지 (Korea Trade Review)

한국무역학회 (Korea Trade Research Association)
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제도적 거리와 해외직접투자의 관계에 관한 연구: 중국을 중심으로

A Study on the Relationship Between Institutional Distance and Outward Foreign Direct Investment: the Case of China

  • 림아신 (경희대학교 무역학과 무역연구소) ;
  • 유천 (국립목포대학교 무역학과 ) ;
  • 황윤섭 (경희대학교 무역학과 )
  • 투고 : 2023.07.25
  • 심사 : 2023.08.26
  • 발행 : 2023.08.31
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초록

본 연구는 제도적 거리와 해외직접투자의 관계를 규명하기 위한 것으로 중국의 해외투자를 대상으로 수행한다. 중국과 투자 유치국 간의 제도적 거리는 세계은행에서 발표한 제도적 품질을 이용한다. 2008년부터 2019년까지 중국이 투자한 50개국의 패널 데이터를 수집하여 패널 GLS 방법론을 통해 해외직접투자에 영향을 미치는 요인을 제도적 관점에서 다음의 3가지를 검증한다. 첫째, 중국의 해외직접투자 전체 국가들을 대상으로 제도적 거리의 절대값이 중국의 OFDI에 미치는 영향이다. 두 번째는 중국과의 제도적 거리가 양(+)인 국가와 음(-)인 국가의 두 그룹으로 나눈 후 각 그룹에서의 제도적 거리와 OFDI의 관계이다. 마지막으로 제도적 거리와 중국의 OFDI 사이의 비선형 관계이다. 이를 위해 제도적 거리의 제곱항을 분석 모형에 추가한다. 분석 결과는 다음과 같다. 제도적 거리는 중국의 OFDI와 정(+)의 관계가 확인된다. 중국보다 상대적으로 제도 품질이 높은 진출국 그룹에서는 제도적 거리와 OFDI는 역 U자형 관계가 나타나지만, 낮은 진출국 그룹에서는 정(+)의 관계가 나타난다. 또한, 중국의 OFDI는 제도적 요인과 경제적 요인의 복합적인 영향을 받는 것으로 확인된다. 본 연구의 결과는 FDI 유치국뿐만 아니라 다국적 기업의 FDI 진출국 선택에 있어서 시사점을 제공할 것이다.

This study aims to investigate the relationship between institutional distance and FDI and focuses on China's outward FDI. The institutional distance between China and the host country is measured using the institutional quality published by the World Bank. This study collects panel data from 50 countries in which China invested from 2008 to 2019 and use the panel GLS methodology to examine the factors affecting outward FDI through three models. First, this study examines the impact of the absolute value of institutional distance on China's OFDI across all countries in which China invests. Second, this study divides countries with positive and negative institutional distance to China into two groups and examine the relationship between institutional distance and OFDI in each group. Finally, this study examines the non-linear relationship between institutional distance and OFDI from China. To test this, this study adds the squared term of institutional distance to the model. The results of the analysis are as follows Institutional distance is positively related to China's OFDI. The relationship between institutional distance and OFDI is inverted U-shaped in the group of host countries with relatively higher institutional quality than China, but positive in the group of low-quality host countries. In addition, China's OFDI is affected by a combination of institutional and economic factors. The results of this study have implications not only for FDI host countries but also for MNCs' choice of FDI destinations.

키워드

과제정보

이 논문은 2020년 대한민국 교육부와 한국연구재단의 인문사회분야 중견연구자지원사업의 지원을 받아 수행된 연구임(NRF-2020S1A5A2A01044259)

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