사물인터넷융복합논문지 (Journal of Internet of Things and Convergence)

한국사물인터넷학회 (The Korea Internet of Things Society)
권호 표지
DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

금융환경 변화에 따른 ICT기업의 수출 개선 방안 연구

A Study on How to Improve Exports of ICT Companies due to Changes in the Financial Environment

  • 이상호 (목포대학교 스마트비즈니스학과) ;
  • 조광문 (목포대학교 전자상거래학과 )
  • Sangho Lee (Dept. of Smart Business, Mokpo National University ) ;
  • Kwangmoon Cho (Dept. of Electronic Commerce, Mokpo National University)
  • 투고 : 2023.05.29
  • 심사 : 2023.08.07
  • 발행 : 2023.08.31
PDF 다운로드
⟨ 이전 논문 다음 논문 ⟩

초록

본 연구의 목적은 국내·외 금융환경 변화가 ICT기업 수출액에 미치는 경제지표 요인을 검증하는데 있다. 과학기술정보통신부와 한국은행경제통계시스템에서 2020년 1월부터 2023년 4월까지 자료를 수집하여 분석하였다. 사용된 변수는 ICT기업 수출액, 한국금리, 생산자물가지수, 수출물가지수, 총임금, 원/달러환율, 원/위안환율, 원/엔환율로 구성하였다. 연구결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 미국의 자이언트 스텝 금리 인상에 따라 한국금리, 생산자물가지수, 수출물가지수, 총임금, 원/달러환율, 원/위안환율, 원/엔환율에 차이가 나타났다. 둘째, ICT기업 수출액에 미치는 영향력이 제일 높은 경제변수는 한국금리로 나타났고, 다음으로 수출물가지수, 생산자물가지수, 총임금 순으로 나타났다. 셋째, ICT기업 수출액에 미치는 영향력이 제일 높은 환율변수는 원/위안환율로 나타났고, 다음으로 원/달러환율로 나타났다. 넷째, 한국금리가 감소할수록 ICT기업 수출액은 상승하지만, 원/위안환율이 이를 조절하는 것으로 나타났다. 다섯째, 수출물가지수가 증가할수록 ICT기업 수출액은 상승하지만, 원/엔환율이 이를 조절하는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 총임금이 증가할수록 ICT기업 수출액은 상승하지만, 원/엔환율이 이를 조절하는 것으로 나타났다. 이와 같은 연구 결과가 ICT산업에 활용되어 국가 경쟁력 제고에 기여할 수 있는 토대가 되길 기대한다.

The purpose of this study is to verify the economic indicator factors affecting the exports of ICT companies according to changes in the domestic and foreign financial environment. Data were collected and analyzed from January 2020 to April 2023 by the Ministry of Science and ICT and the Bank of Korea economic statistics system. The variables used were ICT company exports, Korean interest rate, producer price index, export price index, total wages, won/dollar exchange rate, won/yuan exchange rate and won/yen exchange rate. The results of the study are as follows. First, there were differences in Korean interest rates, producer price index, export price index, total wages, won/dollar exchange rate, won/yuan exchange rate and won/yen exchange rate due to the US Giant Step interest rate hike. Second, the economic variable that has the highest impact on ICT companies' exports was the Korean interest rate, followed by the export price index, producer price index and total wages in that order. Third, the exchange rate variable with the highest influence on ICT companies' exports was the won/yuan exchange rate, followed by the won/dollar exchange rate. Fourth, it was found that as the Korean interest rate decreases, ICT companies' exports increase, but the won/yuan exchange rate controls them. Fifth, as the export price index increases, ICT companies' exports increase, but the won/yen exchange rate controls it. In addition, as total wages increase, ICT companies' exports increase, but the won/yen exchange rate controls them. It is hoped that the results of this study will be utilized in the ICT industry and serve as a basis for contributing to the enhancement of national competitiveness.

키워드

참고문헌

  1. Korea Center for International Finance, July FOMC Meeting Results and Evaluation, Issue Analysis, 2023. 
  2. Korea Center for International Finance, International Financial Breaking News, Flash News, 2023. 
  3. Korea International Trade Association, Diagnosis of Export Competitiveness and Economic Contribution of 5 New Growth Industries, TRADEBRIEF, No.5, 2023. 
  4. Korea International Trade Association, Evaluation of Imports and Exports in the First Half of 2023 and Outlook for the Second Half, TRADEBRIEF, No.10, 2023. 
  5. K.S.Cha and Y.S.Kim, "The Effects of an Increase in the Federal Funds Rate on the Exports of Korean Manufacturing Industry," International Economic Journal, Vol.22, No.4, pp.87-120, 2016.  https://doi.org/10.17298/kky.2016.22.4.004
  6. D.H.Lee and S.T.Lee, "An Analysis of Asymmetric Transmission Effects of Exchange Rate on Export Price of Pear: Using an ARDL model," Journal of Policy Development, Vol.19, No.1, pp.67-94, 2019.  https://doi.org/10.35224/KAPD.2019.19.1.003
  7. C.Y.Choi and H.B.Ham, "An Analysis on the Pass-through on Korean Export Prices of Exchange Rate Changes," International Commerce and Information Review, Vol.13, No.4, pp.227-247, 2011.  https://doi.org/10.15798/KAICI.13.4.201112.227
  8. S.W.Kang, "Impact of Global Inflation Factors on Producer Prices in the Domestic Manufacturing Industry and Implications," KIET Industrial Economic Review, No.282, pp.7-19, 2022. 
  9. W.J.Kim, "The Determinants of Korean Exports in Information and Communication Technology Industry: Focusing on Exports to East Asian Countries," Journal of Northeast Asian Economic Studies, Vol.27, No.4, pp.1-34, 2015. 
  10. E.B.Kim and J.H.Kim, "Export Determinants and Firms Heterogeneity in Size: A Case of Korean ICT Industry," Journal of Management & Economics, Vol.44, No.4, pp.147-174, 2022. 
  11. T.G.Kim and K.Y.Kim, "Optimum Level of Infrastructure and Investment Strategy for Korean Economy," International Economic Journal, Vol.3, No.1, pp.57-80, 1997. 
  12. M.W.Tsou, J.T.Liu and C.J.Huang, "Export Activity, Firm Size and Wage Structure: Evidence from Taiwanese Manufacturing Firms," Asian Economic Journal, Vol.20, No.4, pp.333-354, 2006.  https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-8381.2006.00242.x
  13. Y.Ling and K.Y.Oh, "Wage Premium of Exporting Firms in Korean Manufacturing," Journal of Korean Economy Studies, Vol.36 No.3, pp.65-90, 2018.  https://doi.org/10.46665/jkes.2018.09.36.3.65
  14. A.Scholl and H.Uhlig, "New Evidence on the Puzzles: Results from Agnostic Identification on Monetary Policy and Exchange Rates," Journal of International Economics, Vol.76, pp.1-13, 2008.  https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2008.02.005
  15. J.I.Kim and S.T.Kim, "A Study on the Effect of Won Dollar Exchange Rate Changes on Export Price and Import Price," The Journal of Professional Management, Vol.20, No.1, pp.55-68, 2017. 
  16. T.H.Kwon and C.Y.Liu, "RMB Exchange Rate Changes and Korean Firms Foreign Exchange Rate Exposure," International Business Journal, Vol.33, No.4, pp.35-56. 2022.  https://doi.org/10.14365/ibj.2022.33.4.2
  17. S.I.Cho and H.K.Cha, "An Econometric Study on Exchange Rate Pass-Through into Export Price in Japanese Economy," The Journal of Business Education, Vol.34, No.4, pp.133-152, 2020.  https://doi.org/10.34274/KRABE.2020.34.4.006
  18. Korea Center for International Finance, Examination of Yen Exchange Rate Conditions and Future Prospects, Issue Analysis, 2023. 
  19. D.Y.Oh, "An Analysis of the Determinants of Korean SMEs' Exports," Journal of International Trade and Industry Studies, Vol.17, No.2, pp.135-159, 2012. 
  20. Ministry of Science and ICT, ICT Integrated Classification System Item Commentary, 2017. 
  21. S.J.Kim and J.I.Choi, "The Effect of Export Volume, Export Price Index and Treasury Bond Interest Rate on Export Amount," Journal of Convergence for Information Technology, Vol.9, No.9, pp.133-140, 2019.  https://doi.org/10.22156/CS4SMB.2019.9.9.133
  22. K.C.Lim and J.S.Yoo, "The Effect of an Increase in the Raw Material Costs on the Price Level of Daegu-Gyeongbuk Region," YeonSang Journal, Vol.5, No.1, pp.51-72, 2012. 
  23. Korea International Trade Association, Effects and Implications of Changes in Working Environments on Exporting SMEs, TRADEBRIEF, No.11, 2023. 
  24. L.S.Aiken and S.G.West, "Multiple Regression: Testing and Interpreting Interactions," Thousand Oaks: Sage Publications, 1991.