Journal of Hydrogen and New Energy (한국수소및신에너지학회논문집)

The Korean Hydrogen and New Energy Society (한국수소및신에너지학회)
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Development of Low Carbon Hydrogen Production Technology Evaluation Model Using Delphi-AHP Method

Delphi-AHP 방법을 이용한 저탄소수소 생산 기술 가치평가 모델 개발

  • HO SEOK WHANG (Intellectual Property, Moon Soul Graduate School of Future Strategy, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology) ;
  • UISIK KIM (Korea Electric Power Research Institute, Korea Electric Power Corporation) ;
  • YOUNGSHIN JANG (Korea Electric Power Research Institute, Korea Electric Power Corporation) ;
  • JUNGHWAN KIM (Korea Electric Power Research Institute, Korea Electric Power Corporation) ;
  • KWANG JUN KIM (Intellectual Property, Moon Soul Graduate School of Future Strategy, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology)
  • 황호석 (한국과학기술원 문술미래전략대학원 지식재산대학원프로그램) ;
  • 김의식 (한국전력공사 전력연구원) ;
  • 장영신 (한국전력공사 전력연구원) ;
  • 김정환 (한국전력공사 전력연구원) ;
  • 김광준 (한국과학기술원 문술미래전략대학원 지식재산대학원프로그램)
  • Received : 2023.03.27
  • Accepted : 2023.04.20
  • Published : 2023.04.28
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Abstract

Recently, low hydrogen carbon production technology is drawing interest due to lower production costs. Although the pace of research in this field has been accelerating, there is no well-established criteria for evaluation. The most of current evaluation methods needs information related to technology. However the technology is not enough to provide effective evaluation criteria because the technology is not fully developed. In this study, we propose an integrated Delphi-analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method and low carbon hydrogen production technology evaluation model. Experts opinion is used to provide evaluation criteria for the technology. In this study, integrated Delphi-AHP method are utilized for determining factors and calculating their numerical importance based on experts opinion. Then, sensitivity analysis is performed to verify the robustness of the analysis and scenarios of potential changes. As many as 11 factors are identified by Delphi method. Then, numerical importance of the factors are calculated by AHP. Sensitivity analysis is performed. It shows that intellectual property right (IPR) is always more important than other factors. This study proposes the numerical standard for the low carbon hydrogen production technology evaluation. The proposed model can be used for technology evaluation or commercialization.

Keywords

Acknowledgement

본 연구는 한국전력공사의 2021년 선정 주력연구개발과제 연구비에 의해 지원되었음(과제번호: R21EJ01).

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