DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

Revisiting a Gravity Model of Immigration: A Panel Data Analysis of Economic Determinants

  • Received : 2022.06.15
  • Accepted : 2022.07.13
  • Published : 2022.06.30

Abstract

This study investigates the effect of economic factors on immigration using the gravity model of immigration. Cross-sectional regression and panel data analyses are conducted from 2000 to 2019 using the OECD International Migration Database, which consists of 36 destination countries and 201 countries of origin. The Poisson pseudo-maximum-likelihood method, which can effectively correct potential biased estimates caused by zeros in the immigration data, is used for estimation. The results indicate that the economic factors strengthened after the global financial crisis. Additionally, this effect varies depending on the type of immigration (the income level of origin country). The gravity model applied to immigration performs reasonably well, but it is necessary to consider the country-specific and time-varying characteristics.

Keywords

Acknowledgement

This work was supported by the Hongik University new faculty research support fund. I would like to thank three anonymous referees for their insightful comments.

References

  1. Anderson, J. E. 1979. "A Theoretical Foundation for the Gravity Equation." American Economic Review, vol. 69, no. 1, pp. 106-116.
  2. Ball, R. J. 1967. "An Econometric Study of International Trade Flows." Economic Journal, vol. 77, no. 306, pp. 366-368. http://doi.org/10.2307/2229319
  3. Borjas, G. J. 1999. "Economic Research on the Determinants of Immigration: Lessons for the European Union." World Bank Technical Paper, no. 438.
  4. Borjas, G. J. 2003. "The labor demand curve is downward sloping: Reexamining the impact of immigration on the labor market." Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol. 118, no. 4, pp. 1335-1374. https://doi.org/10.1162/003355303322552810
  5. Card, D. 1990. "The impact of the Mariel boatlift on the Miami labor market." Industrial Labor Relations Review, vol. 43, no. 2. pp. 245-257. https://doi.org/10.2307/2523702
  6. Card, D. 2001. "Immigrant inflows, native outflows, and the local labor market impacts of higher immigration." Journal of Labor Economics, vol. 19, no. 1, pp. 22-64. https://doi.org/10.1086/209979
  7. Deardorff, A. V. 2011. "Determinants of bilateral trade: does gravity work in a neoclassical world?" In Stern, R. M. (eds.) Comparative Advantage, Growth, and the Gains from Trade and Globalization-A Festschrift in Honor of Alan V Deardorff. Singapore: World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd. pp. 267-293.
  8. de Haas, H., Czaika, M., Flahaux, M.-L., Mahendra, E., Natter, K., Vezzoli, S. and M. VillaresVarela. 2019. "International Migration: Trends, Determinants, and Policy Effects." Population and Development Review, vol. 45, no. 4, pp. 885-922. http://doi.org/10.1111/padr.12291
  9. Friedberg, R. M. and J. Hunt. 1995. "The impact of immigrants on host country wages, employment and growth." Journal of Economic Perspectives, vol. 9, no. 2, pp. 23-44. http://doi.org/10.4324/9781315054193-4
  10. Gandal, N., Hanson, G. H. and M. J. Slaughter. 2004. "Technology, trade, and adjustment to immigration in Israel." European Economic Review, vol. 48, no. 2, pp. 403-428. http://doi.org/10.1016/S0014-2921(02)00265-9
  11. Hummels, D., Ishii, J. and K.-M. Yi. 2001. "The Nature and Growth of Vertical Specialization in World Trade." Journal of International Economics, vol. 54, no. 1, pp. 75-96. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1996(00)00093-3
  12. Hur, J. 2017. "Fiscal Implications of Immigration Policy in Korea." KDI Policy Study, no. 2017-20. Korea Development Institute.
  13. Lane, P. R. and G. M. Milesi-Ferretti. 2007. "The external wealth of nations mark II: Revised and extended estimates of foreign assets and liabilities, 1970-2004." Journal of International Economics, vol. 73, no. 2, pp. 223-250. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2007.02.003
  14. Lee, C. W. 2015 "Statistics on Korean Emigration: Current State and Limitations." IOM MRTC Policy Report Series, no. 2015-04, Migration Research & Training Centre. (in Korean)
  15. Lewer, J. J. and H. Van den Berg. 2008. "A gravity model of immigration." Economics Letters, vol. 99, no. 1, pp. 164-167. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2007.06.019
  16. Mendoza, E. G. 2016. "Sudden Stops, Financial Crises, and Leverage." American Economic Review, vol. 100, no. 5, pp. 1941-1966. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.100.5.1941
  17. Santos Silva, J. M. C. and S. Tenreyro. 2006. "The Log of Gravity." Review of Economics and Statistics, vol. 88, no. 4, pp. 641-658. http://doi.org/10.1162/rest.88.4.641
  18. Taylor, A. M. and J. G. Williamson. 1997. "Convergence in the age of mass migration." European Review of Economic History, vol. 1, no. 1, pp. 27-63. http://doi.org/10.1017/s1361491697000038
  19. Tinbergen, J. 1962. Shaping the World Econom: Suggestions for an international Economic Policy. New York: The Twentieth Century Fund.