DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

Rise of Geopolitics and Changing Korea and Japan Trade Politics

  • Choi, Byung-il (Ewha Womans University) ;
  • Oh, Jennifer S. (Ewha Womans University)
  • Received : 2022.02.28
  • Accepted : 2022.03.25
  • Published : 2022.03.30

Abstract

In the past decade, Korea and Japan have increasingly exhibited different strategic priorities in trade in face of China's rising global economic prowess and worsening US-China trade conflict. Japan's trade policy decisions have worked to reinforce its economic and security ties with the US as a means to counter China. Japan has used both bilateral and multilateral means to secure its ties with the US against China. In contrast, Korea's trade policy positions have been one of 'strategic ambiguity'. Korea has been more conciliatory towards China, reluctant to take actions that would counter China's interest. Korea has mainly resorted to bilateral channels to maintain favorable relations with both China and the US. Korea's reluctance to clearly ally with the US against China has been observed across different administrations with opposing political orientations. This paper examines Korea and Japan's diverging strategic priorities in trade through the 2017 World Trade Organization Ministerial Conference; the 2017 US imposition of Section 232 on steel; the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership, the Korea-US FTA renegotiation and the Korea-China FTA Phase Two Negotiation; and the 2019 Japan-US Trade Agreement.

Keywords

References

  1. Abe, S. 2015. "Toward an Alliance of Hope - Address to a Joint Meeting of the U.S. Congress by Prime Minster Shinzo Abe. Prime Minister of Japan and His Cabinet. April 29. https://japan.kantei.go.jp/97_abe/statement/201504/uscongress.html (accessed March 18, 2022)
  2. Baschuk, B. and J. Lee. 2021. "South Korea 'Seriously' Looking to Join CPTPP Following China Bid." The Japan Times. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2021/10/08/asiapacific/politics-diplomacy-asia-pacific/south-korea-join-cptpp-china-bid/ (accessed March 22, 2022).
  3. Choi, B.-I. 2018a. "Saving KORUS from Trump." Global Asia, vol. 13, no. 2.
  4. Choi, B.-I. 2018b. Northeast Asia in 2030: Forging Ahead or Drifting Away. Seoul: Asiatic Research Institute.
  5. Choi, B.-I. 2020. "Global Value Chain in East Asia Under "New Normal": Ideology-Technology-Institution Nexus." East Asian Economic Review, vol. 24, no. 1, pp. 3-30. https://doi.org/10.11644/KIEP.EAER.2020.24.1.370
  6. Choi, B.-I. and J. S. Oh. 2021. Politics of East Asian Free Trade Agreements: Unveiling the Asymmetry between Korea and Japan. Oxford and New York: Routledge.
  7. Davis, C. L. and S. Meunier. 2011. "Business as Usual? Economic Responses to Political Tensions." American Journal of Political Science, vol. 55, no. 3, pp. 628-646. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-5907.2010.00507.x
  8. Deacon, C. 2021. "(Re)producing the 'History Problem': Memory, Identity and the Japan-South Korea Trade Dispute." The Pacific Review. https://doi.org/10.1080/09512748.2021.1897652 (accessed March 17, 2022)
  9. Diaz, A. and S. Zhang. 2017. "Angered by U.S. Anti-missile system, China Takes Economic Revenge." CBS News, April 7, 2017. https://www.cbsnews.com/news/china-retaliatessouth-korea-us-thaad-missile-defense-lotte-and-k-pop/ (accessed February 21, 2022)
  10. Fefer, R. F. 2021. "Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act 1962." CRS in Focus, November 4. Congressional Research Service. https://sgp.fas.org/crs/misc/IF10667.pdf (accessed February 27, 2022)
  11. Ikenberry, G. J. 2004. "American Hegemony and East Asian Order." Australian Journal of International Affairs, vol. 58, no. 3, pp. 353-367. https://doi.org/10.1080/1035771042000260129
  12. Ikenberry, G. J. 2016. "Between the Eagle and the Dragon: America, China, and Middle State Strategies in East Asia." Political Science Quarterly, vol. 131, no. 1, pp. 9-43. https://doi.org/10.1002/polq.12430
  13. Korea International Trade Association. 2021. "Korea's FTA Expects to Cover 77 Percent of Its Total Trade." January 5. https://www.kita.net/cmmrcInfo/cmmrcNews/cmercNews/cmercNewsDetail.do?searchReqType=detail&nIndex=1805782&no=8750&classification=130001 (accessed March 22, 2022) (in Korean)
  14. Koo, T.-G. 2021. "South Korea Applies to Join CPTPP after China's Bid." The Dong-A Ilbo, December 14. https://www.donga.com/en/article/all/20211214/3082039/1 (accessed March 18, 2022)
  15. Korea Trade-Investment Promotion Agency. 2017. "US Perspective: The Past Five Years of KORUS FTA." Global Market Report, no. 17-011. https://dream.kotra.or.kr/kotranews/cms/indReport/actionIndReportDetail.do?SITE_NO=3&MENU_ID=280&CONTENTS_NO=1&pHotClipTyName=DEEP&pRptNo=7334 (accessed March 22, 2022) (in Korean)
  16. Kwan, C. H. 2019. "The China-US Trade War: Deep-Rooted Causes, Shifting Focus and Uncertain Prospects." Asian Economic Policy Review, vol. 15, no. 1, pp. 1-18. https://doi.org/10.1111/aepr.12292
  17. Lee, J. J. 2015. "The Truth about South Korea's TPP Shift: A Look at the Reasons Behind Seoul's Recent Rethinking." The Diplomat, October 23. https://thediplomat.com/2015/10/the-truth-about-south-koreas-tpp-shift/ (accessed March 18, 2022)
  18. Leonard, J. 2022. "One Year into His Term, Biden Finds Himself Boxed in on China." Bloomberg Businessweek, January 19. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-01-19/china-fell-short-on-trade-deal-what-that-means-for-biden-dems-in-midterms (accessed March 18, 2022)
  19. Lim, D. J., Ferguson, V. A. and R. Bishop. 2020. "Chinese Outbound Tourism as an Instrument of Economic Statecraft." Journal of Contemporary China, vol. 29, pp. 916-933. https://doi.org/10.1080/10670564.2020.1744390
  20. Lobosco, K. 2022. "Why Biden is Keeping Trump's China Tariffs in Place." CNN Politics, January 26. https://edition.cnn.com/2022/01/26/politics/china-tariffs-biden-policy/index.html (accessed March 18, 2022)
  21. Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan. 2022. Free Trade Agreement (FTA)/ Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) and Related Initiatives. https://www.mofa.go.jp/policy/economy/fta/index.html (accessed February 21, 2022)
  22. Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy. 2018. "KORUS FTA Outcomes and Explanations [Files]." http://www.motie.go.kr/motie/ne/presse/press2/bbs/bbsView.do?bbs_cd_n=81&bbs_seq_n=160802 (accessed March 22, 2022)
  23. Obama, B. 2016. "Statement by the President on the Signing of the Trans-Pacific Partnership." The White House-President Barack Obama, February 3. https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/the-press-office/2016/02/03/statementpresident-signing-trans-pacific-partnership (accessed March 18, 2022)
  24. Office of the US Trade Representative. 2017a. "Joint Statement by the United States, European Union and Japan at MC11." December 12. https://ustr.gov/about-us/policy-offices/press-office/press-releases/2017/december/joint-statement-united-states (accessed February 27, 2022)
  25. Office of the US Trade Representative. 2017b. "Opening Plenary Statement of USTR Robert Lighthizer at the WTO Ministerial Conference." December 11. https://ustr.gov/about-us/policy-offices/press-office/press-releases/2017/december/opening-plenary-statement-ustr (accessed February
  26. Office of the US Trade Representative. 2021. "Fact Sheet: The Biden-Harris Administration's New Approach to the U.S.-China Trade Relationship." October 4. https://ustr.gov/index.php/about-us/policyoffices/press-office/press-releases/2021/october/fact-sheet-biden-harris-administrations-new-approach-us-china-trade-relationship (accessed March 18, 2021)
  27. Pempel, T. J. 2019. "Right Target; Wrong Tactics: the Trump Administration Upends East Asian Order." The Pacific Review, vol. 32, no. 6, pp. 996-1018. https://doi.org/10.1080/09512748.2019.1617769
  28. Ravenhill, J. 2017. "Regional Trade Agreements." In Ravenhill, J. (ed.) Global Political Economy. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
  29. Shelton, J. 2021. "Look Skeptically at China's CPTPP Application." Center for Strategic and International Studies. November 18. https://www.csis.org/analysis/look-skepticallychinas-cptpp-application (accessed March 22, 2022)
  30. Sohn, Y. 2019. "South Korea under the United States-China Rivalry: Dynamics of the Economic-Security Nexus in Trade Policymaking." The Pacific Review, vol. 32, no. 6, pp. 1019-1040. https://doi.org/10.1080/09512748.2019.1617770
  31. Swanson, A. 2022. "The U.S. and Japan Strike a Deal to Roll Back Trump-Era Steel Tariffs." The New York Times, February 7. https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/07/business/economy/us-japan-steel-tariffs.html (accessed March 18, 2022)
  32. Terada, T. 2019. "Japan and TPP/TPP-11: Opening Black Box of Domestic Political Alignment for Proactive Economic Diplomacy in Face of Trump Shock." The Pacific Review, vol. 32, no. 6, pp. 1041-1069. https://doi.org/10.1080/09512748.2019.1617771
  33. The White House. 2021. "U.S.-Japan Joint Leaders' Statement: U.S.-Japan Global Partnership for a New Era." April 16. https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statementsreleases/2021/04/16/u-s-japan-joint-leaders-statement-u-s-japan-global-partnership-for-a-new-era/ (accessed March 18, 2022)
  34. The White House-President Barack Obama. n.d. "The Trans-Pacific Partnership: What's at Stake." https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/issues/economy/trade (accessed February 22, 2022)
  35. The World Bank. 2022. World Development Indicators [Data set]. https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators (accessed February 24, 2022)
  36. Urata, S. 2020. "US-Japan Trade Frictions: The Past, the Present, and Implications for The US-China Trade War." Asian Economic Policy Review, vol. 15, no. 1, pp. 141-159. https://doi.org/10.1111/aepr.12279
  37. U.S. Census Bureau. 2022. Trade in Goods with China [Data set]. https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/balance/c5700.html (accessed February 24, 2022)
  38. Williams, B. R., Cimino-Isaacs, C. D. and A. Regmi. 2019. "Stage One U.S.-Japan Trade Agreements." CRS Report, no. R46140. Congressional Research Service. https://sgp.fas.org/crs/row/R46140.pdf (accessed March 17, 2022)
  39. World Integrated Trade Solution. [Data set]. https://wits.worldbank.org/Default.aspx?lang=en (accessed February 24, 2022)
  40. Yoon, S.-Y. 2022. "South Korea Needs to Step Up." Foreign Affairs, February 8. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/south-korea/2022-02-08/south-korea-needs-step (accessed March 22, 2022)