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A Comparative Study of Vessel Trajectory Prediction Error based on AIS and LTE-Maritime Data

AIS 및 LTE-Maritime 데이터를 활용한 항적 예측 오차 비교연구

  • Received : 2022.11.30
  • Accepted : 2022.12.28
  • Published : 2022.12.31

Abstract

AIS is widely utilized in vessel traffic services for marine traffic safety. In 2021, Korea deployed the high-speed maritime wireless communication system (LTE-Maritime) on the sea following IMO's proposal for the introduction of e-Navigation. In this paper, vessel trajectory data from AIS and LTE-Maritime were used for vessel trajectory prediction to compare and analyze the two systems. The results show that the trajectory prediction error of LTE-Maritime was smaller than that of AIS due to the granular and uniform data provided by LTE-Maritime. Additionally, it was revealed that time interval is the most important factor influencing the errors in trajectory prediction, with the prediction error of LTE-Maritime growing at a slower rate of 17% than AIS. This research contributes to the literature by quantitatively comparing AIS and LTE-Maritime systems for the first time.

기존 해상 교통안전을 위한 기반 정보는 AIS 시스템을 사용하여 왔으나, IMO의 e-Navigation 도입이 제기된 이후 LTE 통신을 활용한 초고속 해상무선통신시스템(LTE-Maritime, LTE-M)이 세계 최초로 대한민국에 구축되었다. 본 논문에서는 AIS와 LTE-Maritime을 사용하여 수집된 항적 데이터를 비교 분석하고, 두 가지 종류의 항적 데이터를 기반으로 해상 안전사고 예방에 활용될 수 있는 항적 예측을 수행하였다. AIS 대비 LTE-Maritime의 데이터 수집 간격이 조밀하고 균일하여 항적 예측 오차가 작은 것을 확인하였다. LTE-Maritime에서 수집된 데이터의 경우 데이터 송·수신 시간 간격은 AIS 대비 항적 예측 오차에 대한 영향이 약 17% 적은 것을 발견하였다. 본 연구는 AIS와 LTE-Maritime의 항적 데이터와 그 활용을 정량적으로 비교한 최초의 연구라는 점에서 의미가 있다.

Keywords

Acknowledgement

본 논문은 해양수산부 재원으로 국가연구개발사업인 "지능형 해상교통정보 서비스 기반의 해상디지털 정보활용기술개발"에 의해 수행되었습니다(1525012276).

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